email...earnings sharing mechanism (esm) efficiency carry-over mechanism (ecm) service quality...
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March 7, 2014 Via Email Original via Mail British Columbia Utilities Commission 6th Floor, 900 Howe Street Vancouver, BC V6Z 2N3 Attention: Ms. Erica M. Hamilton, Commission Secretary Dear Ms. Hamilton: Re: FortisBC Energy Inc. (FEI) and FortisBC Inc. (FBC) (collectively the Companies)
Applications for Approval of Multi-Year Performance Based Ratemaking (PBR) Plans for 2014 through 2018 (the Applications)
Opening Statement Presentation
On February 28, 2014, the Companies filed a letter1 identifying the Witness Panels being putting forward for the Oral Public Hearing commencing on Tuesday, March 11, 2014. As indicated in that letter, attached is the presentation material which Panel 1 will be using in making its Opening Statement.
1 FEI Ex. B-41 and FBC Ex. B-40.
FortisBC Energy
16705 Fraser Highway
Surrey, B.C. V4N 0E8
Tel: (604) 576-7349
Fax: (604) 576-7074
www.fortisbc.com
Regulatory Affairs Correspondence Email: [email protected]
Diane Roy
Director, Regulatory Affairs
FortisBC Inc.
Suite 100 โ 1975 Springfield Road
Kelowna, BC V1Y 7V7
Tel: (250) 717-0890
Fax: 1-866-335-6295
www.fortisbc.com
Regulatory Affairs Correspondence
Email: [email protected]
Dennis Swanson
Director, Regulatory Affairs
B-47
March 7, 2014 British Columbia Utilities Commission FEI-FBC 2014-2018 PBR Plans Applications Opening Statement Presentation Page 2
If further information is required, please contact the undersigned. Sincerely, FORTISBC ENERGY INC. and FORTISBC INC. Original signed:
Diane Roy and Dennis Swanson
Attachments
cc (email only): Registered Parties
- 1 -
PBR Framework for FortisBC
March 11, 2014
- 2 - - 2 -
Why PBR
PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
Agenda
1
4
2
3
- 3 - - 3 -
PBR Benefits Customers and the Utility
Lower Rates Compared to Cost of Service
Ongoing Productivity Focus
Regulatory Efficiencies
Customers Share in Earnings
Company Maintains High Service Quality
Why PBR?
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 4 -
Similar principles are generally accepted for PBR Plans
across North America
FortisBC Principles of PBR Design
Align interests of customers and the utility and share
benefits
Provide the utility with a reasonable opportunity to
recover costs and earn a fair return
Recognize unique circumstances of the utility
Maintain service quality while providing productivity
incentives
Easy to understand and implement, reduce the
regulatory burden
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 5 - - 5 -
PBR Plan Structure
5 year Term
Formula-driven controllable capital and O&M
CPCN capital and certain non-controllable O&M treated outside formula
Flow-through Items and Exogenous Factors
Earnings Sharing mechanism (ESM)
Efficiency Carry-over Mechanism (ECM)
Service Quality Indicators (SQIs)
Annual Review/Mid-term Review/Off-ramps
Overview
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 6 -
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
โข Fundamental to achieving sustained
incremental savings
โข Streamlines regulatory process and
brings significant cost savings
Five Year PBR Term
Base Year 5-Year PBR Term
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 7 -
Expenditures Under the PBR Formula
Controllable
O&M
Expenditures
Subject to the PBR Formula
๐ + (๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซโ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ) ร ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐
Controllable
Capital
Expenditures
CPCN
Capital not
Subject to
Formula
Base year plus Inflation (I) less Productivity (X) and factors
in Customer Growth
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 8 -
๐ฐ๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐ = ๐๐%๐ฉ๐ช ๐จ๐พ๐ฌ + ๐๐%๐ฉ๐ช ๐ช๐ท๐ฐ
Weighting Labour Component Non-Labour
Component
Reflective of Utilityโs
Cost Structure
BC Average Weekly
Earnings Index
BC Consumer Price
Index
Inflation Factor PBR Formula Components
Composite I-Factor Reflects Expected Inflation for the Companies
๐ + (๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซโ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ) ร ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 9 -
Productivity Improvement Factor PBR Formula Components
0.5% X-Factor proposal poses a significant challenge for the Companies
Productivity studies (TFP) indicate negative productivity gains in recent years for the gas and electric utility industries
B&V considers 0 to be an appropriate X-Factor, which is inclusive of a Stretch Factor
Companies willing to accept additional 0.5% Stretch Factor to provide immediate benefits to customers
๐ + (๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซโ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ) ร ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 10 -
Growth Factor Cost Drivers
๐ + (๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซโ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ) ร ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐
Controllable Expenditures: ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐๐๐ :
Controllable O&M (FEI & FBC) Change in Average Customers
Total Controllable Capital (FBC) Change in Average Customers
Controllable Growth Capital (FEI) Number of Service Line
Additions
Remaining Controllable Capital (FEI)
Change in Average Customers
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 11 -
Non-Controllable Expenses and Revenues Flow Through Items
โฆ known
but beyond
the control
of the
Companies
and
forecast
each year
Revenues โ FBC flow through; FEI mostly flow through
Power Purchase Expense โ flow through
Property and Income Taxes โ mostly flow through
Depreciation and Amortization
Interest Expense โ mostly flow through
Return on Equity โ 50/50 sharing in variances from allowed
Rate Base other than Gas Plant in Service
Items outside PBR Formula that are...
Flow-Through Treatment is not Unique to PBR and
Ensures that Customers Pay Only for the Actual Costs
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 12 -
โฆunknown
& beyond
the control
of the
Companies
and
brought
forward in
Annual
Reviews
Changes in Revenue Requirements due to Commission Decisions
(i.e. Rate Design Issues, Depreciation Rate Changes, Changes to Cost of Capital)
Changes in GAAP, Standards or Policies
Bypass or Similar Events
Major Seismic Incident
Acts of War, Terrorism or Violence
Catastrophic Events
Judicial, Legislative or Administrative Changes, Orders or Directions
Exogenous Factors are...
Treatment of Exogenous Factors is not Unique to PBR
Non-Controllable Expenses and Revenues Exogenous Factors
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 13 -
50/50
Sharing
with
Customers
Same ESM as previous FEI and FBC PBRs
50% of the difference between actual and allowed earnings (above or below) will be shared with customers each year
Customersโ share for the current year will be forecasted and trued up to actual in the following year
Amount of earnings to be shared will be returned to or recovered from customers through lower or higher rates
In the absence of ESM, all earnings above or below the allowed earnings would remain with the Companies
Earnings Sharing Mechanism (ESM)
ESM Aligns Customer and Company Interests
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 14 -
Efficiency Carryover Mechanism (ECM)
Customers Benefit from Lower Rates Coming out of
PBR than without ECM
Ensures the incentive to pursue efficiencies in the later years are as strong as the earlier years
Decouples the link between timing of savings and incentives
Allows the same 5 year benefit for all savings, no matter the timing or source
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 15 -
Performance Measure FEI Proposed
Benchmark
FBC Proposed
Benchmark
Emergency Response Time 95% 85%
Meter Reading Accuracy 95% 97%
Meter Exchange Appointment 95% N/A
Public Contact with Pipeline Informational
Telephone Service Factor โ Emergency 95%
Telephone Service Factor โ Non-
Emergency 70%
First Call Resolution 78%
Billing Index 5.0
All Injury Frequency Rate Informational
Customer Satisfaction Index Informational
SAIDI N/A
Informational
SAIFI Informational
Service Quality Indicators
SQIs Maintain the Already High Level of Service Quality & Ensure that
Savings are not at the Expense of Service Quality
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 16 -
Mid-Term / Annual Review
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
Annual Review
To Review Companiesโ Performance
Mid-Term Review
Status-Check at the End of 2016
โข Re-calculate next yearโs items subject
to PBR formula
โข To occur at the third Annual Review
(2016
โข Re-forecasts non-formula items
โข To provide an opportunity for parties
to review the status of the PBR
โข Projects earnings sharing for the
current year and true-up to actual
earnings sharing for the prior year
โข Reviews Service Quality Indicator
results
โข Adjustments considered only to
address material unintended
consequences or material changes in
service quality
- 17 -
Financial and
Non-Financial
Triggers
Designed to protect customers and the shareholder from material unintended unfair outcomes of the PBR Plan
Off-ramps include both financial and non-financial components
Financial Off Ramp triggered if the after sharing difference between the achieved and allowed ROE is greater than 200 basis points in a single year of the plan
Non-Financial Off Ramp may be triggered if there is serious, sustained and unjustified degradation of the SQI metrics within the Companiesโ control
Off-Ramp Mechanism
The impact to customers and the shareholder must be
considered and balanced against the effect of triggering
an off-ramp
Why PBR
PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 18 - - 18 -
Conclusion
PBR Plan Summary
PBR Plans build on the success of past Plans, in particular the FEI plan
Same basic Plan design for gas and electric utilities to create uniform incentives across FortisBC
Plan accounts for operational realities, such as already efficient operations, need for significant infrastructure investment, and existing high level of service quality
Plan works as an integrated whole to ensure rates are fair to customers and Companies
Plan will enhance regulatory efficiency
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
- 19 - - 19 -
Gas Utilities Amalgamation and PBR
PBR Methodology Unaffected by Amalgamation
Effective for 2015 delivery rates
Base O&M and capital subject to the formula will be increased for Vancouver Island and Whistler costs
The approved I-X formula will apply to this revised base to calculate 2015 delivery rates
Amalgamation specific net savings will be considered a Z factor and reforecast each year at Annual Review
The forecast for all other items will include Vancouver Island and Whistler
Why PBR PBR Principles and Overview
Key Elements of the PBR Plan
Conclusion
The I-X formula is not affected. The approved inflation and
productivity will be applied to the amalgamated entity