electricity pricing and generation tariff - sks_badarpur

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    ELECTRICITY PRICING

    ANDGENERATION TARIFF

    By-S. K. SharmaDGM(Commercial)

    NTPC

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    Principles of Pricing

    Correct pricing signal to investors and consumers

    Stable and predictable over the tariff period avoid

    tariff shocks

    Protect interest of consumer and investors risk Incentive for efficiency improvement and promoting

    rational use of electricity

    Consider socio-economic need of the country to

    ensure supply and services even to low income group

    Tariff determination to be transparent and simple

    Encourage market determination of prices

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    Objectives

    Promote competition, efficiency in the economy

    Reliable and quality of power supply

    Adequate supply to meet the demand Optimum generation on merit order basis

    Adequate transmission network to facilitate power flow

    to different parts of the country

    Promote supply with the environmental norms

    Sound commercial practices

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    Options for Electricity Pricing

    Rate of Return (ROR) / Cost of Service Regulation

    Performance Based Regulation (PBR)

    Hybrid Sliding Scale Method

    (RPIX) Price / Revenue Cap Regulation

    Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC)

    Competitive Bidding

    Price Determination by Market Mechanism

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    Rate of Return/Cost of Service Regulation

    This is a cost plus pricing strategy.

    It is based on determination of allowable capital cost

    and a fair rate of return.

    Variable cost is on actuals based on the data of the testyear.

    Advantages

    It is a familiar traditional approach. Provides steady predictable return to utilities for

    reinvestment

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    Limitations

    Investor has a tendency to over invest as capital cost formsbasis for earning return.

    It is a backward looking approachcontinue to pay based

    on historic cost even if the investment has become

    unproductive.

    Pricing is independent on future price signals.

    No incentive to utility to reduce cost or improve efficiency

    as reduction in cost is pass through to consumers.

    As this is based on cost of service, pricing is normally

    reviewed and fixed on yearly basis, resulting in frequent

    tariff variations.

    Rate of Return / Cost of Service Regulation contd..

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    Performance Based Price Regulation

    (PBR) This is based on set of performance targets both

    financial and operational. Pricing is based on financial

    parameters like-

    capital cost;

    debt:equity ratio;

    rate of return; and

    variable cost

    are based on normative operating parameters such as heat rate,auxiliary power consumption, plant load factor (PLF) etc. forgeneration tariff.

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    Advantages

    Provides incentive to utility to perform efficiently as

    efficiency gains are retained by the utility.

    Norms are fixed for a tariff period of 4-5 years avoiding

    frequent tariff revisions.

    Limitations

    Difficulty in benchmarking of performance data.

    In order to maximise gains, utility tends to sacrifice qualityof service.

    In case norms are liberal, consumers pay more and in case

    norms are stringent / not achievable investor may end up

    in losing.

    Performance Based Regulation (PBR) contd..

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    Hybrid Sliding Scale

    This combines features of both Rate of Return (ROR)and Performance Based Regulation (PBR).

    Cost related to financial aspects are normally based on

    actuals and those related to operating parameters are

    based on norms.

    This mode of regulation is normally used for transition

    from ROR to PBR.

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    (RPIX) Price/Revenue Cap Regulation

    It imposes a price cap for the tariff period

    The price cap can be only to the extent of retail priceinflation (RPI) after accounting for pre-defined efficiencygains.

    Formula for Regulation : Pn = P-1 {1+(RPI-X)} + Z

    Where,

    Pn = Price cap for the current year

    P-1= Average price for the previous yearRPI = Retail Price Index in %age

    X = Impact of efficiency gain in %age

    Z = External changes not related to inflation or productivity such asGovt. taxes, levies, duties etc.

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    Advantages : Utility has flexibility to incur cost and retain efficiency

    improvement measures, upgradation etc. as long asthese are within the price cap.

    Choice and technology and fuels is left to the utility. Benefits of the efficiency gains are shared by the utility

    and the consumer.

    Limitations :

    Difficulty in assuming productivity / efficiency gainfactor.

    Appropriateness of RPI indices for power sector.

    (RPIX) Price/Revenue Cap Regulation contd..

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    Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method

    LRMC is based on future cost of power which takesinto account additional investment required for

    capacity addition and projected fuel cost.

    LRMC pricing is based on

    Estimation of future expansion plan for a period of

    20-25 years

    Estimation of capital cost for the capacity addition

    Future demand and supply projections

    Impact of technological developments on cost of

    capital and requirement of power

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    Advantages : Correct price signal to consumer regarding cost of

    power being consumed.

    Provides sufficient investable funds for future capacity

    addition

    Promote economic generation

    Tariff not based on historical cost but more guided

    towards market requirements. Old investment can be leveraged for generation of

    resources for capacity addition.

    Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method contd..

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    Limitations :

    Number of assumptions like future capacity addition

    requirement, projected cost, cost of capital etc.

    Any wrong estimation in any of the parameters may

    result in unaffordable tariff.

    For any change in the above factors, corresponding

    changes in tariff is necessary.

    Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method contd..

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    Competitive Bidding

    Electricity pricing under competitive bidding is based on

    selection of utility through market competition.

    Under competitive bidding tariff based bids are invited

    and utility is awarded the project based on least tariffbasis.

    Tariff so arrived at is fixed for the life of the project.

    For effective competitive bidding, it is necessary to laydown guidelines for the bidding and ensure

    transparency in the bidding process.

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    Advantages :

    This method provides fixed tariff of the life of the

    project and all risks associated with project cost over-

    run are to be taken by the investor.

    There is no need to fix financial and operating norms.

    Consumer is aware about the cost he has to pay for the

    life of the project and provide a stable tariff basis.

    Competitive Bidding contd..

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    Market Mechanism

    This is dependent on the presence of large number of

    suppliers and consumers in the market.

    For pricing through market mechanism, it is necessary

    that electricity industry has to be structured itself into the

    market so that adequate freedom is available to the

    consumer and purchaser for carrying out the business inthe market.

    For this mechanism, it is necessary to unbundle

    generation, transmission and distribution business and

    create large number of players in each industry segment.

    Monopoly in bulk power supply to be dispensed with.

    Non-discriminatory open access in transmission and

    distribution system is a pre-requisite.

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    Advantages

    There is no need to regulate pricing of electricity

    Prices are determined by demand and supply in the

    market.

    Competition encourages efficiency in operation and

    low cost of power

    It promotes investment for capacity addition.

    It provides a market situation to the consumers and

    sellers avoiding monopoly in supplies.

    Market Mechanism contd..

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    Limitations

    In energy deficit conditions prevailing in of the

    countries under such mechanism, utility/seller will try

    to take undue advantage and prices may increaseabnormally.

    In case market is not fully developed, utilities may

    manipulate the market to increase price for their gain

    California crises.

    Switchover to market has to be very gradual.

    Market Mechanism contd..

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    GENERATIONTARIFF

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    Tariff Principles

    Regulatory Commission to determine tariff for supply of

    electricity by generating co. on long/medium term contracts.(Section 62)

    No tariff fixation by regulatory commission if tariff is determinedthrough competitive bidding or where consumers, on beingallowed open access enter into agreement with generators/traders.

    Consumer tariff should progressively reduce cross subsidies andmove towards actual cost of supply. (Section 61 (g))

    State Government may provide subsidy in advance through thebudget for specified target groups if it requires the tariff to be

    lower than that determined by the Regulatory Commission.(Section 65)

    Regulatory Commissions may undertake regulation includingdetermination of multi-year tariff principles, which rewards

    efficiency and is based on commercial principles. (Section 61 (e),

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    DIFFERENT TARIFF PROVISIONS

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120

    DEEMED PLF(AVAILABILITY)

    FIX

    EDCHARGES

    INCENTIVE

    SINGLE PART

    KPRAO

    CERC ORDER

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    Generation tariffof regional stations consists of-

    Capacity charges Energy charges

    UI charges

    Capacity charges are recovered at 80% availability & pro-rata

    recovery below 80%. For generation above 80%, PLF incentive atthe rate of 25 paise/Unit

    Energy charges are based on actual fuel cost and normative

    operating parameters. Energy charges are paid based on scheduled

    generation.

    UI charges are linked to frequency and are levied on deviations from

    schedules.

    Availability Based Tariff

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    UI Charges

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700800

    48

    .8

    48

    .9

    49

    49

    .1

    49

    .2

    49

    .3

    49

    .4

    49

    .5

    49

    .6

    49

    .7

    49

    .8

    49

    .9

    50

    50

    .1

    50

    .2

    50

    .3

    50

    .4

    50

    .5

    50

    .6

    Freqency (Hz.)

    Rate(P/Unit)

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    UI Charges

    Max. UI rate increased to 745 p/unit.

    A band has been provided for generation above DC. (5%

    above DC in any time block, restricted to 1% over a day

    for payment of UI for generation above DC has been

    provided)

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    Capacity charges consists of

    Return on equity (ROE)

    Interest on Loan

    Depreciation

    O&M Cost

    Interest on Working Capital

    Generation Tariff

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    Tariff Period - 5 years

    Debt : Equity Ratio - 70:30 In case equity is more than 30% it shall be limited to 30%

    and excess equity shall be treated as normative loan and

    shall be serviced at weighted average rate of interest ofthe outstanding loan.

    As per this provision, for the stations where debt:equity

    ratio was 50:50, it will now be 70:30 and equity in excess

    of 30% will be treated as notional loan.

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    Capital Cost For existing stations

    Admitted by Commission upto 31.3.2001

    + Addcap & FERV for the period 2001 - 2004.

    For new stations

    Actual expenditure capitalised

    + Spares @ 2.5% for coal based stations & 4% for gas basedstations & 1.5% for hydro station.

    Return on Equity

    14% post tax Income Tax pass through on Generation Income.

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    Interest on loan

    On weighted average actual interest rate

    Outstanding loan as on 31.3.2004

    Normative repayment during 2004-09.

    Interest on loan has been allowed on normative outstanding loan.

    Commission has further said that during the period of moratorium,

    depreciation recovery shall be considered towards loan repayment

    while working out interest on loan.

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    Depreciation On straight line basis

    3.6% - coal based stations

    6% - gas based stations

    2.57% - Hydro

    Advance Against Depreciation Limited to 1/10th of loan amount i.e. Dep + AAD = 7%

    (maximum)

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    Interest on working capital

    Fuel Cost

    Coal based stations - 1 month for pit head and 2 months for non-pithead corresponding to target availability.

    Gas based Stations Cost of fuel for 1 month

    Secondary Fuel

    Coal based stations Cost of secondary fuel oil for 2 months

    Gas based Stations Cost of Liquid fuel for month.

    O&M expenses for 1 month

    Spares 1% of historical capital cost escalated @ 6% from COD.

    2 months receivables

    Earlier provisions for stock of coal & oil were on normative stock or

    actual whichever is lower. Now it has been provided on normative basis.

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    These are now fixed on normative basis about 2.5% of

    current capital cost.Coal based stations

    - 200/210/250 MW - Rs.10.4 lacs/MW

    - 500 MW and above - Rs. 9.36 lacs/MW

    Gas based stations

    - Stations with warranty spares - Rs. 5.2 lacs/MW

    - Without warranty spares - Rs. 7.8 lacs/MW

    Escalation

    4% per year

    Tanda & Talcher TPSsO&M cost provision have been

    provided based on actual of last 5 years

    O&M Charges

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    Operating Norms

    Heat Rate- 200 MW - 2500 kcal/kwh (same as earlier)

    - 500 MW - 2450 kcal/kwh (reduced by 50 kcal/kwh).

    In case of MDBFP Heat rate will be reduced by 40

    kcal/kwh.- Gandhar / Faridabad / Kayamkulam - 2000 kcal/kwh

    - Dadri / Anta / Kawas - 2075 kcal/kwh

    - Auraiya - 2100 kcal/kwh

    - Future gas based stations

    1850 kCal/kwh for Advanced class

    1950 kcal/kwh for conventional machines

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    Specific Oil Consumption 2 ml / kwh (reduced from - 3.5 ml/kwh)

    Auxiliary Power Consumption

    Stabilisation Period 180 days allowed only upto March, 2006.

    No relaxed norms for target availability have been allowed during stabilisation period.

    Without cooling tower With cooling tower

    200 MW 8.5 9.0

    500 (TDBFP) 7.0 7.5

    500 (MDBFP) 8.5 9.0

    Gas Stations

    Open Cycle 1.0

    Combined Cycle 3.0

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    Target Availability - 80%

    Disincentive pro-rata of fixed charges

    Incentive at flat rate of 25 paise/unit on generation above

    80% scheduled PLF.

    Coal Losses Landed cost of coal shall be computed considering transit

    loss of-

    CERC Norm- Pit Head 0.3%

    - Non Pit Head 0.8%

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    Other Provisions

    Provision regarding actual or norm whichever is lower hasbeen deleted. It will provide efficiency gain from future

    stations.

    Commercial Operation Date

    Earlier regulation stipulated a period of 180 days between

    synchronisation of a coal unit and its commercial

    operation.

    This provision has been deleted. It is a welcome

    change.

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    Typical Example

    Thermal Power Station of 1000 MW

    (Capital CostRs. 4 Crs/MW)

    Fixed Charges 743.89

    1 Return on Equity Annexure-1 192.00

    2 Interest on Loans Annexure-2 189.40

    3 Depreciation Annexure-3 214.88

    4 O&M Expenses Annexure-4 112.74

    5 Interest on Working Capital Annexure-5 34.87

    Rs./Cr.

    Variable Charges Annexure-6 59.34

    Ps./kWh

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    Thermal Power Station of 1000 MWUnit

    Capacity MW 1000

    Normative Availability for Fixed cost recovery %age 80

    Generation at norm Availability MUs 7008

    Energy Export at norm PLF MUs 6447

    Normative Heat Rate Kcal/kWh 2500

    Normative Aux. Consumption %age 8Specific Oil Consumption ml/kWh 3.5

    Financial Parameters :

    Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000

    Debt:Equity Ratio Ratio 70:30

    Rate of Return on Equity %age 16.00Interest on Loans %age 8.5

    Depreciation Rate %age 3.6

    O&M expenses %age 2.50

    Rate of Interest on Working Capital %age 12.0

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    Return on Equity

    Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000

    Debt:Equity Ratio %age 70:30

    Equity Rs./Cr. 1200

    Return on Equity %age 16.00

    Return Rs./Cr. 192

    Annexure - 1

    Annexure - 2

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    Interest on LoansParticulars Unit Amount

    Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000

    Debt:Equity Ratio %age 70:30

    Normative Gross Loans Rs./Cr. 2800

    Net Loans Rs./Cr.

    Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average

    Gross Loans 2800 2800 2600 2400 2100 1800

    Repayments 200 200 300 300 200

    Net Loan 2800 2600 2400 2100 1800 1600

    Average Net Loan 2700 2500 2250 1950 1700 2220

    Weighted Average Rate of Interest

    Sources of Loans Amount Rate of Interest

    US$ Rs./Cr. 1500 7

    DM Rs./Cr. 200 5

    SBI Newyork US$ Rs./Cr. 200 7.5HDFC Rs./Cr. 300 12

    SBI Rs./Cr. 200 12.5

    Uncommitted Debt Rs./Cr. 400 12.0

    Weighted Rate of Interest 8.5

    Interest on Loan Rs./Cr. 189.4

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    Calculation of DepreciationAnnexure - 3

    Particulars Unit

    Capital Cost (excluding WCM) Rs./Cr. 4000

    Rate of Depreciation %age 3.6

    Depreciation Rs./Cr. 144

    Rs./Cr.

    Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average

    Capital Cost 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000

    Depreciation 144 144 144 144 144 --

    Advance against Depreciation 93.2 93.2 93.2 93.2 93.2 --

    Loan Repayment 200 200 300 300 200 --

    Allowed Dep + AAD 200 200 237.2 237.2 200 214.88

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    Operation and Maintenance ExpensesAnnexure - 4

    Particulars Unit

    Capital Cost (excluding WCM) Rs./Cr. 4000

    O&M Cost %age 2.5

    O&M Escalation Rate %age 6

    O&M Expenses Rs./Cr. 112.74

    Rs./Cr.

    Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average

    Capital Cost 4000

    O&M Expenses 100 106 112.36 119.10 126.24 112.74

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    Interest on Working CapitalAnnexure - 5

    Particulars Norms Unit Amounts BasisContents:

    O&M Exp. 1 Month Rs./Cr. 9.4 1/12th of O&M expenses (Annexure-4)

    Spares 1 Year Rs./Cr. 45.1 40% of O&M expenses (Annexure-4)

    Fuel 1 Month Rs./Cr. 31.88 Variable rate (Ann-6) 59.34ps/kWh

    multiplied by {6447MUs/(12*10)}

    Coal 15 days Rs./Cr. 14.83 Variable rate from Ann-6 (coal)multiplied by {6447MUs/(24*10)}

    Oil 2 Months Rs./Cr. 4.43 Variable rate from Ann-6 (oil) multipliedby {6447MUs/(6*10)}

    Receivables 2 Months Rs./Cr. 185 Fixed+Variable charges for two monthssupply at 80% Availability

    Total WC Rs./Cr. 290.6

    Interest on netWC

    Rs./Cr. 34.87

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    Variable Charges - Oil

    Annexure - 6

    Particulars Unit

    Price of Oil Rs./Kl 10866.35

    GCV of Oil kCal/lr 9977

    Specific Oil Cons.

    (Normative)

    Ml/kWh 3.50

    Heat Rate kCal/kWh 35

    Variable Charges Ps./kWh 4.13

    Total Variable Charges : 59.34 ps/kWh

    Variable Charges - CoalParticulars Unit

    Price of Coal Rs./MT 832.25

    GCV of Coal kCal/Kg 4039

    Specific Oil Cons. Kg/kWh 0.610

    Heat Rate

    (2500-Heat from Oil)

    kCal/kWh 2465

    Variable Charges Ps./kWh 55.21

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    Fuel Price Adjustment Formula :

    FPA = (10*Ho) * (Pom Pos) + 10*Hc * (Pcm Pcs)

    (ps./kWh) (100-AC) (Kom Kos) 100-AC (Kcm Kcs)

    Ho = Heat from Secondary Fuel as derived35 kCal/kWh

    AC = Aux. Consumption adopted in tariff in %age 8%.

    Pom = Weighted average price of Fuel Oil as per PSL at the end of Month in Rs./Kl.

    Kom = Weighted average GCV of Fuel Oil on fired basis during the month in kCal/ltr.

    Pos = Weighted average price of Fuel Oil as taken for initial fixation of tariff Rs./Kl

    10866.35

    Kos = GCV of Fuel Oil as taken for initial fixation of tariff 9977 in kCal/ltr.

    Hc = Heat from Coal as derived(2500heat from Oil) in kCal/kWh.

    Pcm = Weighted average price of coal as per PSL at the end of Month in Rs./MT.

    Kcm = Weighted average GCV of Coal on fired basis during the Month in kCal/kg.

    Pcs = Weighted average price of coal as taken for initial fixation of tariff Rs./MT

    832.25

    Kcs = GCV of Coal as taken for initial fixation of tariff 4039 in kCal/kg.

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    THANK

    YOU