electricity pricing and generation tariff - sks_badarpur
TRANSCRIPT
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ELECTRICITY PRICING
ANDGENERATION TARIFF
By-S. K. SharmaDGM(Commercial)
NTPC
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Principles of Pricing
Correct pricing signal to investors and consumers
Stable and predictable over the tariff period avoid
tariff shocks
Protect interest of consumer and investors risk Incentive for efficiency improvement and promoting
rational use of electricity
Consider socio-economic need of the country to
ensure supply and services even to low income group
Tariff determination to be transparent and simple
Encourage market determination of prices
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Objectives
Promote competition, efficiency in the economy
Reliable and quality of power supply
Adequate supply to meet the demand Optimum generation on merit order basis
Adequate transmission network to facilitate power flow
to different parts of the country
Promote supply with the environmental norms
Sound commercial practices
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Options for Electricity Pricing
Rate of Return (ROR) / Cost of Service Regulation
Performance Based Regulation (PBR)
Hybrid Sliding Scale Method
(RPIX) Price / Revenue Cap Regulation
Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC)
Competitive Bidding
Price Determination by Market Mechanism
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Rate of Return/Cost of Service Regulation
This is a cost plus pricing strategy.
It is based on determination of allowable capital cost
and a fair rate of return.
Variable cost is on actuals based on the data of the testyear.
Advantages
It is a familiar traditional approach. Provides steady predictable return to utilities for
reinvestment
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Limitations
Investor has a tendency to over invest as capital cost formsbasis for earning return.
It is a backward looking approachcontinue to pay based
on historic cost even if the investment has become
unproductive.
Pricing is independent on future price signals.
No incentive to utility to reduce cost or improve efficiency
as reduction in cost is pass through to consumers.
As this is based on cost of service, pricing is normally
reviewed and fixed on yearly basis, resulting in frequent
tariff variations.
Rate of Return / Cost of Service Regulation contd..
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Performance Based Price Regulation
(PBR) This is based on set of performance targets both
financial and operational. Pricing is based on financial
parameters like-
capital cost;
debt:equity ratio;
rate of return; and
variable cost
are based on normative operating parameters such as heat rate,auxiliary power consumption, plant load factor (PLF) etc. forgeneration tariff.
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Advantages
Provides incentive to utility to perform efficiently as
efficiency gains are retained by the utility.
Norms are fixed for a tariff period of 4-5 years avoiding
frequent tariff revisions.
Limitations
Difficulty in benchmarking of performance data.
In order to maximise gains, utility tends to sacrifice qualityof service.
In case norms are liberal, consumers pay more and in case
norms are stringent / not achievable investor may end up
in losing.
Performance Based Regulation (PBR) contd..
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Hybrid Sliding Scale
This combines features of both Rate of Return (ROR)and Performance Based Regulation (PBR).
Cost related to financial aspects are normally based on
actuals and those related to operating parameters are
based on norms.
This mode of regulation is normally used for transition
from ROR to PBR.
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(RPIX) Price/Revenue Cap Regulation
It imposes a price cap for the tariff period
The price cap can be only to the extent of retail priceinflation (RPI) after accounting for pre-defined efficiencygains.
Formula for Regulation : Pn = P-1 {1+(RPI-X)} + Z
Where,
Pn = Price cap for the current year
P-1= Average price for the previous yearRPI = Retail Price Index in %age
X = Impact of efficiency gain in %age
Z = External changes not related to inflation or productivity such asGovt. taxes, levies, duties etc.
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Advantages : Utility has flexibility to incur cost and retain efficiency
improvement measures, upgradation etc. as long asthese are within the price cap.
Choice and technology and fuels is left to the utility. Benefits of the efficiency gains are shared by the utility
and the consumer.
Limitations :
Difficulty in assuming productivity / efficiency gainfactor.
Appropriateness of RPI indices for power sector.
(RPIX) Price/Revenue Cap Regulation contd..
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Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method
LRMC is based on future cost of power which takesinto account additional investment required for
capacity addition and projected fuel cost.
LRMC pricing is based on
Estimation of future expansion plan for a period of
20-25 years
Estimation of capital cost for the capacity addition
Future demand and supply projections
Impact of technological developments on cost of
capital and requirement of power
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Advantages : Correct price signal to consumer regarding cost of
power being consumed.
Provides sufficient investable funds for future capacity
addition
Promote economic generation
Tariff not based on historical cost but more guided
towards market requirements. Old investment can be leveraged for generation of
resources for capacity addition.
Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method contd..
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Limitations :
Number of assumptions like future capacity addition
requirement, projected cost, cost of capital etc.
Any wrong estimation in any of the parameters may
result in unaffordable tariff.
For any change in the above factors, corresponding
changes in tariff is necessary.
Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) Method contd..
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Competitive Bidding
Electricity pricing under competitive bidding is based on
selection of utility through market competition.
Under competitive bidding tariff based bids are invited
and utility is awarded the project based on least tariffbasis.
Tariff so arrived at is fixed for the life of the project.
For effective competitive bidding, it is necessary to laydown guidelines for the bidding and ensure
transparency in the bidding process.
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Advantages :
This method provides fixed tariff of the life of the
project and all risks associated with project cost over-
run are to be taken by the investor.
There is no need to fix financial and operating norms.
Consumer is aware about the cost he has to pay for the
life of the project and provide a stable tariff basis.
Competitive Bidding contd..
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Market Mechanism
This is dependent on the presence of large number of
suppliers and consumers in the market.
For pricing through market mechanism, it is necessary
that electricity industry has to be structured itself into the
market so that adequate freedom is available to the
consumer and purchaser for carrying out the business inthe market.
For this mechanism, it is necessary to unbundle
generation, transmission and distribution business and
create large number of players in each industry segment.
Monopoly in bulk power supply to be dispensed with.
Non-discriminatory open access in transmission and
distribution system is a pre-requisite.
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Advantages
There is no need to regulate pricing of electricity
Prices are determined by demand and supply in the
market.
Competition encourages efficiency in operation and
low cost of power
It promotes investment for capacity addition.
It provides a market situation to the consumers and
sellers avoiding monopoly in supplies.
Market Mechanism contd..
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Limitations
In energy deficit conditions prevailing in of the
countries under such mechanism, utility/seller will try
to take undue advantage and prices may increaseabnormally.
In case market is not fully developed, utilities may
manipulate the market to increase price for their gain
California crises.
Switchover to market has to be very gradual.
Market Mechanism contd..
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GENERATIONTARIFF
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Tariff Principles
Regulatory Commission to determine tariff for supply of
electricity by generating co. on long/medium term contracts.(Section 62)
No tariff fixation by regulatory commission if tariff is determinedthrough competitive bidding or where consumers, on beingallowed open access enter into agreement with generators/traders.
Consumer tariff should progressively reduce cross subsidies andmove towards actual cost of supply. (Section 61 (g))
State Government may provide subsidy in advance through thebudget for specified target groups if it requires the tariff to be
lower than that determined by the Regulatory Commission.(Section 65)
Regulatory Commissions may undertake regulation includingdetermination of multi-year tariff principles, which rewards
efficiency and is based on commercial principles. (Section 61 (e),
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DIFFERENT TARIFF PROVISIONS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
DEEMED PLF(AVAILABILITY)
FIX
EDCHARGES
INCENTIVE
SINGLE PART
KPRAO
CERC ORDER
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Generation tariffof regional stations consists of-
Capacity charges Energy charges
UI charges
Capacity charges are recovered at 80% availability & pro-rata
recovery below 80%. For generation above 80%, PLF incentive atthe rate of 25 paise/Unit
Energy charges are based on actual fuel cost and normative
operating parameters. Energy charges are paid based on scheduled
generation.
UI charges are linked to frequency and are levied on deviations from
schedules.
Availability Based Tariff
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UI Charges
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700800
48
.8
48
.9
49
49
.1
49
.2
49
.3
49
.4
49
.5
49
.6
49
.7
49
.8
49
.9
50
50
.1
50
.2
50
.3
50
.4
50
.5
50
.6
Freqency (Hz.)
Rate(P/Unit)
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UI Charges
Max. UI rate increased to 745 p/unit.
A band has been provided for generation above DC. (5%
above DC in any time block, restricted to 1% over a day
for payment of UI for generation above DC has been
provided)
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Capacity charges consists of
Return on equity (ROE)
Interest on Loan
Depreciation
O&M Cost
Interest on Working Capital
Generation Tariff
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Tariff Period - 5 years
Debt : Equity Ratio - 70:30 In case equity is more than 30% it shall be limited to 30%
and excess equity shall be treated as normative loan and
shall be serviced at weighted average rate of interest ofthe outstanding loan.
As per this provision, for the stations where debt:equity
ratio was 50:50, it will now be 70:30 and equity in excess
of 30% will be treated as notional loan.
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Capital Cost For existing stations
Admitted by Commission upto 31.3.2001
+ Addcap & FERV for the period 2001 - 2004.
For new stations
Actual expenditure capitalised
+ Spares @ 2.5% for coal based stations & 4% for gas basedstations & 1.5% for hydro station.
Return on Equity
14% post tax Income Tax pass through on Generation Income.
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Interest on loan
On weighted average actual interest rate
Outstanding loan as on 31.3.2004
Normative repayment during 2004-09.
Interest on loan has been allowed on normative outstanding loan.
Commission has further said that during the period of moratorium,
depreciation recovery shall be considered towards loan repayment
while working out interest on loan.
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Depreciation On straight line basis
3.6% - coal based stations
6% - gas based stations
2.57% - Hydro
Advance Against Depreciation Limited to 1/10th of loan amount i.e. Dep + AAD = 7%
(maximum)
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Interest on working capital
Fuel Cost
Coal based stations - 1 month for pit head and 2 months for non-pithead corresponding to target availability.
Gas based Stations Cost of fuel for 1 month
Secondary Fuel
Coal based stations Cost of secondary fuel oil for 2 months
Gas based Stations Cost of Liquid fuel for month.
O&M expenses for 1 month
Spares 1% of historical capital cost escalated @ 6% from COD.
2 months receivables
Earlier provisions for stock of coal & oil were on normative stock or
actual whichever is lower. Now it has been provided on normative basis.
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These are now fixed on normative basis about 2.5% of
current capital cost.Coal based stations
- 200/210/250 MW - Rs.10.4 lacs/MW
- 500 MW and above - Rs. 9.36 lacs/MW
Gas based stations
- Stations with warranty spares - Rs. 5.2 lacs/MW
- Without warranty spares - Rs. 7.8 lacs/MW
Escalation
4% per year
Tanda & Talcher TPSsO&M cost provision have been
provided based on actual of last 5 years
O&M Charges
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Operating Norms
Heat Rate- 200 MW - 2500 kcal/kwh (same as earlier)
- 500 MW - 2450 kcal/kwh (reduced by 50 kcal/kwh).
In case of MDBFP Heat rate will be reduced by 40
kcal/kwh.- Gandhar / Faridabad / Kayamkulam - 2000 kcal/kwh
- Dadri / Anta / Kawas - 2075 kcal/kwh
- Auraiya - 2100 kcal/kwh
- Future gas based stations
1850 kCal/kwh for Advanced class
1950 kcal/kwh for conventional machines
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Specific Oil Consumption 2 ml / kwh (reduced from - 3.5 ml/kwh)
Auxiliary Power Consumption
Stabilisation Period 180 days allowed only upto March, 2006.
No relaxed norms for target availability have been allowed during stabilisation period.
Without cooling tower With cooling tower
200 MW 8.5 9.0
500 (TDBFP) 7.0 7.5
500 (MDBFP) 8.5 9.0
Gas Stations
Open Cycle 1.0
Combined Cycle 3.0
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Target Availability - 80%
Disincentive pro-rata of fixed charges
Incentive at flat rate of 25 paise/unit on generation above
80% scheduled PLF.
Coal Losses Landed cost of coal shall be computed considering transit
loss of-
CERC Norm- Pit Head 0.3%
- Non Pit Head 0.8%
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Other Provisions
Provision regarding actual or norm whichever is lower hasbeen deleted. It will provide efficiency gain from future
stations.
Commercial Operation Date
Earlier regulation stipulated a period of 180 days between
synchronisation of a coal unit and its commercial
operation.
This provision has been deleted. It is a welcome
change.
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Typical Example
Thermal Power Station of 1000 MW
(Capital CostRs. 4 Crs/MW)
Fixed Charges 743.89
1 Return on Equity Annexure-1 192.00
2 Interest on Loans Annexure-2 189.40
3 Depreciation Annexure-3 214.88
4 O&M Expenses Annexure-4 112.74
5 Interest on Working Capital Annexure-5 34.87
Rs./Cr.
Variable Charges Annexure-6 59.34
Ps./kWh
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Thermal Power Station of 1000 MWUnit
Capacity MW 1000
Normative Availability for Fixed cost recovery %age 80
Generation at norm Availability MUs 7008
Energy Export at norm PLF MUs 6447
Normative Heat Rate Kcal/kWh 2500
Normative Aux. Consumption %age 8Specific Oil Consumption ml/kWh 3.5
Financial Parameters :
Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000
Debt:Equity Ratio Ratio 70:30
Rate of Return on Equity %age 16.00Interest on Loans %age 8.5
Depreciation Rate %age 3.6
O&M expenses %age 2.50
Rate of Interest on Working Capital %age 12.0
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Return on Equity
Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000
Debt:Equity Ratio %age 70:30
Equity Rs./Cr. 1200
Return on Equity %age 16.00
Return Rs./Cr. 192
Annexure - 1
Annexure - 2
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Interest on LoansParticulars Unit Amount
Capital Cost Rs./Cr. 4000
Debt:Equity Ratio %age 70:30
Normative Gross Loans Rs./Cr. 2800
Net Loans Rs./Cr.
Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average
Gross Loans 2800 2800 2600 2400 2100 1800
Repayments 200 200 300 300 200
Net Loan 2800 2600 2400 2100 1800 1600
Average Net Loan 2700 2500 2250 1950 1700 2220
Weighted Average Rate of Interest
Sources of Loans Amount Rate of Interest
US$ Rs./Cr. 1500 7
DM Rs./Cr. 200 5
SBI Newyork US$ Rs./Cr. 200 7.5HDFC Rs./Cr. 300 12
SBI Rs./Cr. 200 12.5
Uncommitted Debt Rs./Cr. 400 12.0
Weighted Rate of Interest 8.5
Interest on Loan Rs./Cr. 189.4
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Calculation of DepreciationAnnexure - 3
Particulars Unit
Capital Cost (excluding WCM) Rs./Cr. 4000
Rate of Depreciation %age 3.6
Depreciation Rs./Cr. 144
Rs./Cr.
Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average
Capital Cost 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000
Depreciation 144 144 144 144 144 --
Advance against Depreciation 93.2 93.2 93.2 93.2 93.2 --
Loan Repayment 200 200 300 300 200 --
Allowed Dep + AAD 200 200 237.2 237.2 200 214.88
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Operation and Maintenance ExpensesAnnexure - 4
Particulars Unit
Capital Cost (excluding WCM) Rs./Cr. 4000
O&M Cost %age 2.5
O&M Escalation Rate %age 6
O&M Expenses Rs./Cr. 112.74
Rs./Cr.
Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Average
Capital Cost 4000
O&M Expenses 100 106 112.36 119.10 126.24 112.74
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Interest on Working CapitalAnnexure - 5
Particulars Norms Unit Amounts BasisContents:
O&M Exp. 1 Month Rs./Cr. 9.4 1/12th of O&M expenses (Annexure-4)
Spares 1 Year Rs./Cr. 45.1 40% of O&M expenses (Annexure-4)
Fuel 1 Month Rs./Cr. 31.88 Variable rate (Ann-6) 59.34ps/kWh
multiplied by {6447MUs/(12*10)}
Coal 15 days Rs./Cr. 14.83 Variable rate from Ann-6 (coal)multiplied by {6447MUs/(24*10)}
Oil 2 Months Rs./Cr. 4.43 Variable rate from Ann-6 (oil) multipliedby {6447MUs/(6*10)}
Receivables 2 Months Rs./Cr. 185 Fixed+Variable charges for two monthssupply at 80% Availability
Total WC Rs./Cr. 290.6
Interest on netWC
Rs./Cr. 34.87
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Variable Charges - Oil
Annexure - 6
Particulars Unit
Price of Oil Rs./Kl 10866.35
GCV of Oil kCal/lr 9977
Specific Oil Cons.
(Normative)
Ml/kWh 3.50
Heat Rate kCal/kWh 35
Variable Charges Ps./kWh 4.13
Total Variable Charges : 59.34 ps/kWh
Variable Charges - CoalParticulars Unit
Price of Coal Rs./MT 832.25
GCV of Coal kCal/Kg 4039
Specific Oil Cons. Kg/kWh 0.610
Heat Rate
(2500-Heat from Oil)
kCal/kWh 2465
Variable Charges Ps./kWh 55.21
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Fuel Price Adjustment Formula :
FPA = (10*Ho) * (Pom Pos) + 10*Hc * (Pcm Pcs)
(ps./kWh) (100-AC) (Kom Kos) 100-AC (Kcm Kcs)
Ho = Heat from Secondary Fuel as derived35 kCal/kWh
AC = Aux. Consumption adopted in tariff in %age 8%.
Pom = Weighted average price of Fuel Oil as per PSL at the end of Month in Rs./Kl.
Kom = Weighted average GCV of Fuel Oil on fired basis during the month in kCal/ltr.
Pos = Weighted average price of Fuel Oil as taken for initial fixation of tariff Rs./Kl
10866.35
Kos = GCV of Fuel Oil as taken for initial fixation of tariff 9977 in kCal/ltr.
Hc = Heat from Coal as derived(2500heat from Oil) in kCal/kWh.
Pcm = Weighted average price of coal as per PSL at the end of Month in Rs./MT.
Kcm = Weighted average GCV of Coal on fired basis during the Month in kCal/kg.
Pcs = Weighted average price of coal as taken for initial fixation of tariff Rs./MT
832.25
Kcs = GCV of Coal as taken for initial fixation of tariff 4039 in kCal/kg.
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THANK
YOU