efficient powertrain solutions 12 v to 800 v€¦ · north america. annual production volume –...

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K. Küpper, T. Pels, M. Deiml, A. Angermaier, T. Bürger, A. Weinzerl, G. Teuschl AVL List GmbH Public EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V RIGHTSIZING ELECTRIFICATION AUTOMOTIVE SUMMIT 2016 BITEC - BANGKOK

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Page 1: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

K. Küpper, T. Pels, M. Deiml, A. Angermaier, T. Bürger, A. Weinzerl, G. Teuschl

AVL List GmbHPublic

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 VRIGHTSIZING ELECTRIFICATIONAUTOMOTIVE SUMMIT 2016BITEC - BANGKOK

Page 2: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 2Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025OVERVIEW

EUROPENorth America ASIA Japan/Korea2… 1% 4%

17%

76%

1% 1% 3%10%

85%

1%1…

3%

18%

59%

1%0% 7%3%5%

84%

Very Conservative Shares of xEV

Source: IHS Q4 2015

Page 3: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 3Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025TREND AND TIPPING POINT

North America

Annu

al P

rodu

ctio

nVo

lum

e –

Mio

Uni

ts

Source: IHS Q4 2015

JapanEurope

CO295g/km

RDE

China

Stage5

Stage4FE

Penalty Trading

Trend Shows significant Increase of Electrification

Past half year (“Dieselgate”) and tight future Regulatory push Electrification

Page 4: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 4Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025EXPECTED MARKET SHARES

EUROPENorth America ASIA Japan/Korea

Very Conservative Shares of xEV

Page 5: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 5Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025EXPECTED MARKET SHARES

EUROPENorth America ASIA Japan/Korea

Migration from MHEV towards higher integrated solutions andHEV on lower voltage to achieve future CO2 and Emission Regulatory. (EU/CN)

Discussion on City Access Zones and especially the precise definition is seen as a decisive factor for BEV and/or PHEV.

Dedicated Hybrid Transmissions get more into the focus due to higher volumes.

BEV Cell prices are seen move further down (today: 145 USD/kWh GM Volt Gen2) and to further increase the energy density.

Page 6: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 6Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025SOLUTIONS

EUROPENorth America ASIA Japan/Korea

Mild & Micro Hybrid & Ancillary Electrification

Battery Electric Vehicle w/o Range Extender

Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicle

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle

Efficiency Hybrid

All degrees of electrification in passenger car, different Customer

Page 7: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 7Confidential

MARKET SHARES 2025RIGHT SIZING VOLTAGE

Mild & Micro Hybrid & Ancillary Electrification

Battery Electric Vehicle w/o Range Extender

Plugin Hybrid Electric Vehicle

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle

Efficiency Hybrid

All degrees of electrification in passenger car, different Customer

Cost / Complexity

Func

tion

12V24V

48V96V

400V 600V

800V

RightsizingStandardization

Market Demand

Page 8: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 8Confidential

Vehicle Technology

Electri-fication

CHANGE OF BOUNDARIESPOWERTRAIN ELECTRIFICATION

Legislation

WLTP

Customer Demands

TCODriving

Experience

ElectrificationTransmission VehicleEngine

Page 9: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 9ConfidentialPublic

High Efficiency High Performance

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V /48V

DRIVING EMOTION / FUN TO DRIVE LEGISLATION & HOMOLOGATION

Mild Hybrid + eSC (Plug In) - Hybrid BEV

1,6l TGDI, e-supercharger 104 kW/4000 rpm FE Target: 90 g/km CO2

1,75l TGDI, e-supercharger 400Nm / 3500rpm 350HP / 6500rpm (148 kW/l)

Page 10: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 10Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS IS HERE TO STAY

Fleets will remain predominantly 12 V due to cost

12 V vehicles will have significant impact on fleet fuel consumption

Innovation for 12 V vehicles is mandatory

Page 11: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 11Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V POWER SUPPLY SYSTEM

After stop/start, Intelligent Power Supply Systems will become standard

Dual Batteries or pure Li-Ion batteries gaining Charge acceptance and discharge power Denso already sold > 1 Mio 12V Li-Ion batteries

Source: www.globaldenso.com

ALT ST

SW

Load

Li-IonPb Load

Page 12: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 12Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS WHY STOP AT 48V?

Significant cost saving…

max. voltage < 60 V NO protection against

contact required

… at attractive functionality

14…16+ kW generating 8…12+ kW motoring Several hybrid options

P1, P2, P3, P4 Unified VDA-standard

Page 13: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 13Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 4 DRIVERS FOR 48 V

48VPerformance

CO2

ElectricSystem

Emissions

Page 14: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 14Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS BASIC MILD HYBRID FUNCTIONALITIES

Load

Lev

elin

g /

redu

ce L

oad

Load

Lev

elin

g /

incr

ease

Loa

d

Star

t / S

top

with

com

forta

ble

belt-

star

t

Star

t/Sto

pw

ith c

omfo

rtabl

ebe

lt-st

art

Pure

Ele

ctric

Driv

ing

Sailin

g /

Coa

stin

g*

Rec

uper

atio

n

E-to

rque

ass

ist /

Ant

i-sta

ll

*feasible with AT,DCT or e-clutch

Velo

city

[km

/h]

Time [s]

Page 15: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 15Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS FUNCTIONALITIES ARE SYSTEM DEPENDENT

Segments

A – C > C

12V 48V

CO2 CO2Costs Cost/benefit

fun2driveComfort

Page 16: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 16Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSIMPACT OF FUNCTIONALITY

CO2

C-Segment, 4 cyl. TGDI, automatic transmission, NEDC

12 V 12 V 48 V 48 V 48 V

CO

2Em

issi

ons

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

Basis w/oSTST

STST+IPSS Regen Brake RegenBrake+Boost

EngineMeasures

New Basis

“Indirect” Benefit

Pwtr. Measuresenabled by 48V

Page 17: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 17Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSIMPACT OF DRIVING CYCLES

*STST inhibited in China City due to energy balance

CO2

86%88%90%92%94%96%98%

100%

NEDC WLTC China City*Basis w/ STST Regen Brake Regen Brake+Boost

C-Segment, 4 cyl. TGDI, automatic transmission

Page 18: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 18Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS EMISSION & CO2 IMPROVEMENT

Velo

city

[km

/h]

04080

120160

BSG

[N

m]

CO2

[g]

0

4

8

NO

x [m

g]

0

6

12

Σ

CO

2 [%

]

0

50

100 Base Vehicle 48V BSG

Σ

NO

x [%

]

0

50

100

Time [s]0 10 20 30 40 50 60

13%

Emissions

Page 19: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 19Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS EMISSION & CO2 IMPROVEMENT

Velo

city

[km

/h]

04080

120160

BSG

[N

m]

CO2

[g]

0

4

8

NO

x [m

g]

0

6

12

Σ

CO

2 [%

]

0

50

100 Base Vehicle 48V BSG

Σ

NO

x [%

]

0

50

100

Time [s]0 10 20 30 40 50 60

13%

Emissions

Page 20: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 20Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS EMISSION & CO2 IMPROVEMENT

Velo

city

[km

/h]

04080

120160

BSG

[N

m]

CO2

[g]

0

4

8

NO

x [m

g]

0

6

12

Σ

CO

2 [%

]

0

50

100 Base Vehicle 48V BSG

Σ

NO

x [%

]

0

50

100

Time [s]0 10 20 30 40 50 60

13%

17%

Emissions

Page 21: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 21Confidential

ElectricSystem

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 4 DRIVERS FOR 48 V

48VPerformance

CO2

Emissions

ElectricSystem

Page 22: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 22Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSELECTRIC POWER SUPPLY SYSTEM

Three main trends, pushing 48 V Power Supply System (PSS)

Fewer opportunities for electrical energy generation

Increasing continuous power consumption

More high power consumer

ElectricSystem

Page 23: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 23Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS ELECTRIC PSS DESIGN REQUIRED!

Boosting Events

Vehicel Measurements

DCDC Power

Gen Capacity

Gen Power

ElectricSystem

Page 24: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 24Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSELECTRIC PSS DESIGN REQUIRED!

Power and Energy AnalysisExample: Luxury sedan w/ 48V electric supercharger

ElectricSystem

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Generator UtilizationP_act/Pmax_act

BatterySOC Window

Energy Share eSCE_eSC/E_electr.

CityHot cityRace trackMountain

P_act/Pmax_act E_eSC/E_electr.

Page 25: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 25ConfidentialPublic

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS400V

DRIVING EMOTION / FUN TO DRIVE LEGISLATION & HOMOLOGATION

Mild Hybrid + eSC (Plug In) - Hybrid BEV

400V

Page 26: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 26Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS HYBRID ROAD MAP

48 V Mild Hybrid

HV Full Hybrid

today tomorrow

CO2

Page 27: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 27Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS HYBRID ROAD MAP

48 V Mild Hybrid

HV Full Hybrid

HV Plug-In Hybrid

today tomorrow

CO2

Electric driving

Page 28: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 28Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS DEDICATED HYBRID TRANSMISSIONS (DHT)

Most hybrid vehicle models use standard transmissions or slight modifications thereof (e.g. P2)

Dedicated Hybrid Transmissions (DHT) will become standard

Toyota Prius is dominating hybrid volumes already todaywith DHT

Dedicated Hybrid

Transmissi…

Other Hybrids

Market Share 2014

Source: IHS 2014

DHT: Transmission notfunctional w/o e-machine

Page 29: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 29Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSNEXT GENERATION DHT

Legislation

-10% CO2compared to Powersplit

-10% Piece Costcompared to Powersplit

Page 30: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 30ConfidentialPublic

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS48V/400V/800V

DRIVING EMOTION / FUN TO DRIVE LEGISLATION & HOMOLOGATION

Mild Hybrid + eSC (Plug In) - Hybrid BEV

Range

Charging Time &Convenience

Performance

400/800V

Connectivity

Page 31: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 31Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS PERFORMANCE & ENERGY MANAGEMENT

500 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚

800V-System

► 40l/min @8l/100km

400V-Tesla-System

► 400 km in < 44,4 Minuten*1 ► 400 km < 14,9 Minuten*2

Gasoline

9 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚

27 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚

…Charging Performance

Page 32: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 32Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONSWEIGHT AND INTEGRATION

400V90mm² 800V

35mm²

400 V @ 100 A

800 V @ 100 A

2 x Power output with better repeatability @ 800 V

…Higher Performance with less weight and lower current

Page 33: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

| | 23rd June 2016 | 33Confidential

EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS KEY AREAS OF ELECTRIFICATION

For an Exciting, Reliable and Durable Product

Page 34: EFFICIENT POWERTRAIN SOLUTIONS 12 V TO 800 V€¦ · North America. Annual Production Volume – Mio Units . Source: IHS Q4 2015. Europe. Japan. CO 2. 95g/km. RDE. China. Stage5

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