eere.energy.gov1 | Vehicle Technologies Program

SAE Government/Industry Meeting

Henry Kelly, Acting Assistant Secretary

Energy Efficiency and Renewable EnergyU.S. Department of Energy

January 27, 2012

The Cost of Oil is More than Monetary

• Transportation is responsible for 2/3 of petroleum usage and 1/3 GHG emissions.

• Unites States spends $1B per day to import oil.

• Global discovery of new oil fields peaked in 1966.

• U.S. oil production peaked in 1971.

World Oil Production 2005: 84.58 mbpd 2008: 85.37 mbpd 2006: 84.54 mbpd 2009: 84.24 mbpd 2007: 84.40 mbpd 2010: 86.82 mbpd

World Oil Production 2005: 84.58 mbpd 2008: 85.37 mbpd 2006: 84.54 mbpd 2009: 84.24 mbpd 2007: 84.40 mbpd 2010: 86.82 mbpd

2 I Vehicle Technologies Program

Moving People

Moving Goods

Transportation Energy Energy

Vice

New CAFÉ standards will require cars and light trucks to yield a combined fuel economy of 54.5

miles per gallon

Administration sets goal of reducing oil imports by 1/3 by 2025

President calls out goal of 1 million PHEVs on the road by 2015 in State of the Union address

3 I Vehicle Technologies Program

eere.energy.gov4 | Vehicle Technologies Program

VTP Technology

Advancement Highlights

Lightweighting Electrification Infrastructure

DOE-Funded Technologies Move to Commercial Applications

Advanced Combustion Engines

Increased engine efficiency with simultaneous emissions reduction show the

results of DOE R&D

Supporting Research and Development of Materials with a Goal to Reduce Chassis Weight by 50% Vehicle Electrification Efforts in

Deployment, Manufacturing, Power Electronics and Electric Motors

• The Recovery Act enabled the largest-ever U.S. deployment of electric-drive vehicles

and charging infrastructure. • Installation of over 22,000 Level 2 charging

sites at residential, commercial, and public locations and 350 (500VDC) Fast

Chargers.• Collection of detailed operational data from

this charging infrastructure will allow future improvements.

Recovery Act

Advanced Batteries

eere.energy.gov5 | Vehicle Technologies Program

2025 Highway Oil Consumption –Target Scenario

Transportation Cluster Benefits: can approach 100% of 2025 Administration target oil import reduction

Adv. powertrain benefits apportioned

by subprogram:(from GPRA12 analysis)

SI

HEV

PHEV/EV

HT

eere.energy.gov6 | Vehicle Technologies Program

2025 Transportation GHG Emissions – Target Scenario

eere.energy.gov7 | Vehicle Technologies Program

Lifecycle Vehicle Costs Meeting Established DOE Goals

2010 2015 2030Ref SI 21-23 25-26 27-29Adv SI 21-22 23-24 23-24Adv CI 22-23 23-24 23-24SI HEV 22-23 21-22 20-21SI PHEV10 23-24 22-24 ~19SI EREV40 31-32 ~25 19-20FC HEV ~29 ~24 ~20BEV150 ~41 28-29 ~17BEV300 73-74 44-45 20-21

FC HEV

BEV150

SI EREV40

Adv CI

Adv SISI HEV

SI PHEV10

2010 SI

BEV300

eere.energy.gov8 | Vehicle Technologies Program

Lifecycle Vehicle Costs Meeting First Milestones

2010 2015 2030Ref SI 21-23 25-26 27-29Adv SI 22-23 24-26 25-26Adv CI 22-24 25-26 25-26SI HEV 23-24 24-25 23-24SI PHEV10 25-26 24-25 22-23SI EREV40 36-37 29-30 24-25FC HEV ~32 ~27 ~22BEV150 49-50 35-36 ~24BEV300 93-94 60-61 ~35

FC HEV

BEV150

SI EREV40

Adv CI

Adv SI

SI HEV SI PHEV10

2010 SI

BEV300

eere.energy.gov

Heavy Truck Improvements

Conventional Class 8 Vehicle~6.5 mpdge

~29% WTW hPetroleum reduction: 0%

Average engine efficiency

Transmission and drivetrain

efficiency

Aero, rolling resistance efficiency

42%

95%

87%

Lifecycle Cost Comparison0.7x baseline

Payback Period: 0.75-1.25 yearsBreakeven diesel price: $3.50

$-

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

$0.60

$0.70

$0.80

$0.90

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asel

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Die

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BEV

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per

mile

)

SuperTruck Class 8 Vehicle~10 mpdge

~40% WTW hPetroleum reduction: 35%

50%

97%

96%

Baseli

neSup

erTr

uck

Fuel CostSensitivity

Fuel Cost

Powerplant

Non-Powerplant

Moving People

Moving Goods Percentage of fuel used

to move goods vs people

9 I Vehicle Technologies Program

eere.energy.gov10 | Vehicle Technologies Program

• Vehicle miles traveled• Improving fuel

economy for legacy fleets

• Off-road vehicles• Natural gas • Vehicles becoming

more intelligent• Wide range of fuels

now available

Moving Forward

eere.energy.gov11 | Vehicle Technologies Program

eere.energy.gov12 | Vehicle Technologies Program

Henry KellyActing Assistant

Secretary

Energy Efficiency and Renewable

Energy

U.S. Department of Energy

www.energy.gov