economics of build back better - un escap...economics of build back better recovery and...
TRANSCRIPT
ECONOMICS OF BUILD BACK BETTER
Recovery and Reconstruction
Housing and Human Settlements
Gorkha Earthquake 2015
Suman Kumar Karna, PhD
Recovery Specialist- IOM, Nepal
Regional Earthquake Recovery Dialogue for BBB
UN-ESCAP, SDMC and NPC – 1-2 Oct. 2015
Overview
• Housing and Human Settlements
Recovery and Reconstruction
Gorkha Earthquake 2015
• BBB Perspective – In general
BBB Perspective:
• Clinton Proposition of BBB
• BBB Concept, Framework and Principles
• Shelter Recovery – Key Issues
• Shelter in Disaster Recovery Context
• Shelter Vulnerability Factors
Tsunami Recovery 2006 –
Clinton’s Proposition of BBB:
1. Community Driven.
2. Fairness and Equity.
3. Preparedness for future disasters.
4. Local Government Empowerment
5. Recovery planning/effective coordination and IM.
6. Clear role of UN, WB, and other multilateral agencies.
7. Role of NGOs and the Red Cross.
8. Allow entrepreneurs to flourish.
9. Co-ordinated Support to affected populations.
1 0. Reduce risks and Build resilience.
Build Back Better:
Ensure that the affected community is
regenerated in a resilient manner for the future.
As a way to utilize the reconstruction process to
improve a community’s physical, social,
environmental and economic conditions to create
a more resilient community………..
A – Key Propositions for Building Back Better ( )
B – Principles for settlement and shelter, (UNDRO, 1982)
C – Post-Tsunami R&R Strategy and BBB Guiding Principles,
(GoSL, 2005)
D – Rebuilding for a more Sustainable Future: An Operational
Framework, (FEMA, 2000)
E – Bam‘s Reconstruction Charter, BRSSPA, (Omidvar et al., 2010)
F – R&R Framework, VBRRA, (VBBRA, 2009 and 2011)
G – Recovery Strategy, CERA, (CERA, 2013)
Documents Referred:
S
N
BBB Concepts BBB Guidelines Score
A B C D E F G
1 Community-driven R&R 7
2 Fairness/Equity/Transparency 5
3 Pre-prepared Recovery Plans 4
4 Empowerment of local Government 5
5 Coordination of activities 4
6 Livelihood and economic recovery 5
7 DRR, Resilient, Safety of people 7
8 Needs-based resource allocation 5
9 Locally appropriate solutions 7
10 Legislation/policies to facilitate R&R 3
11 Evacuation and resettlement 5
12 Training/education for community 3
13 updating BC/Construction methods 3
BBB Concepts Areas of Recovery
Community-driven R&R Community – at driving seat, empowerment,
engagement, ownership, inclusive
Fairness/Equity/Transparency Community – participation & empowerment , good
governance - effective IM, M&E, auditing
Pre-prepared Recovery Plans Efficiency, Effectiveness, Speed
Empowerment of local Government LG - empowerment, engagement, capacity building
Coordination of activities Efficiency, Effectiveness, Speed (EES)
Livelihood and economic recovery Empowerment, Enterprise, Economic Recovery
DRR, Resilient, Safety of people Risk, Hazard, Built Environment, Relocation
Needs-based resource allocation Local community based
Locally appropriate solutions Local- community, culture, design, materials, skills,
habits, norms and practices
Legislation/policies to facilitate R&R Risks, Hazards, BE, Location, EES
Evacuation and resettlement Risks, Hazards, Built environment, Relocation
Community participation, Social, Economical
Training/education for community Community engagement and empowerment
Updating BC/Construction methods Risk, Hazard, Built Environment, Location
BBB Framework:
Shelter in RECOVERY Context – either provided
with, or are facilitated in the self-provision of,
Housing Solutions that are:
• Permanent
• Sustainable
• Hazard resilient
• Culturally acceptable
• Environmentally friendly
Key Sources of Shelter Vulnerability:
Housing and Human Settlements
Recovery and Reconstruction
Gorkha Earthquake 2015
• Pre-Disaster Context – Baseline Info.
• Post-Disaster Context
• Recovery and Reconstruction Strategy
• Implementation Arrangements
Pre-Disaster Context – Baseline Information
• Relevant Constitutional Acts and Policies are
thoroughly reviewed:
� 2007 Interim Constitution – land to economically
weak and/or landless
� 2007 National Urban Policy – safe, prosperous and
resilient settlement, LG capacity building
� 2012 National Shelter Policy – right to safe and
adequate housing for all
� 2015 NUDS – resilience in urban development
Continued…
� 2012 National Land Use Policy – settlement development in hazard free, safer location
� 1999 LSGA, 2013 EFLG – role of local government
� 1999 Building Act – promotes safer building practices (MTR, NBC)
� 1997 Apartment Act – increasing housing demand
� 1999 Nepal Engineers Act – NEC role, Ntnl. Plan of Action for Safer Building Construction
Sufficient Legal and Institutional backing
to integrate Principles of BBB in
EQ Recovery & Reconstruction Programme.
Building Damage by Typology:
EXISTING BUILDING TYPOLOGIES IN 31 AFFECTED DISTRICTS
Low strength
masonry
Cement
mortared
masonry
Reinforced
concrete frame
Wood and
Bamboo based
58% 21 % 15% 6%
Building types – in line with 2011 Census
Building Typologies (Source- NSET)
Abode Bldg. – Sun dried brick with Mud Brick in Mud Building
Stone and Brick in MudStone in Mud Building
Stone in Cement BuildingEngineered RCC Frame Structure
Non-engineered RCC BuildingBrick in Cement Building
• Fully Collapsed – 498,852
• Partially Collapsed – 256,697
Analysis of Building Damage
BUILDING TYPOLOGIES AND DAMAGE
Typology of buildings Fully Collapsed Partially Collapsed
Low strength masonry 474,025 (95%) 173,867 (67.7%)
Cement mortared
masonry
18,214 (3.7%) 65,859 (25.6%)
Reinforced concrete
frame
6,613 (1.7%) 16,971 (6.7%)
TOTAL 498,852 (100%) 256,697 (100%)
Physical damage – Vulnerability Curves by NSET
Recovery and Reconstruction Strategy:
� Owners’ Driven Approach
� holistic Habitat development
� Principles of BBB – safer settlements/Resettlement
� Increase Community Resilience – reduce
vulnerabilities, strengthen capacity, mitigate future
disaster, improve construction practices
� Strengthen local economy – upgrade living conditions
� Sustainable & environmental friendly- CC, NRM, SRA
� Equitable and Inclusive
� Land Use and Clustering of Housing –
� Choose only in case of no option
� 22,256 hhs needs clustering
� Rigorous multi-hazard study of each site
� Select low risk location
� Holistic approach to Habitat
� Participatory, link to livelihood opportunities
� Improve overall living standard
� Settlement Planning Approach for
Rural Housing –
�Adopt Consultative Process
� Include Community Infrastructure
� Integrate Risk Mitigation Measures
� Promote Planning Principles
� Risk Sensitive Planning for Urban Areas –
�Norms/Standards for safer settlements
� Integration of indigenous and technical
knowledge
� Risk Sensitive land use plan
�Multi-hazard risk assessment
� Promote planning principles
Contd….
• Review of future seismic hazards – NBC 105 and
108 for structures
• Special focus to settlements with heritage
importance
• Follow regional planning perspective – develop
smaller municipalities
• High-rise building – BC, height, FAR,
development controls, enforcement, capacity
Social/Technical Facilitation
Grants linked to Compliance
Facilitated Mgt. Structure
Trained Masons, Carpenters and
Artisans
Participatory Planning
Detailed Hazard Mapping
Rapid Urban Expansion
Study
Address
Underlying
causes of
Vulnerabilities
Strategy for
Reconstruction
Phase
Socio/Technical Facilitation
MoU between Govt and HH
IMS to Coordinate &Monitor Recovery
Basic disaster-resistant elements
Proper masonry construction
practices
RCC – proper seismic detailing
MRT-NBC where applicable Construction
adheres practices that BBB advocates
Imp
lem
en
tati
on
Str
ate
gy
Construction Material/Labor
Simple method for repair /retrofitting
Robust System – Cash Transfer
Building Damage and Eligibility
Survey
Quality Assurance and Compliance
Training/Certification of trainers
Risk Coverage -Insurance
Awareness Programme
Independent Monitoring/Auditing
Subsector Disaster Effects (NPR million)
Damage Loss Total
Homes destroyed 258,442 - 258,442
Homes damaged 24,598 - 24,598
Household goods 16,382 - 16,382
Real-estate sector 4,210 20,000 24,210
Demolition and removal of
debris
- 9,941 9,941
Transitional sheltering costs - 14,968 14,968
Rental losses - 1,999 1,999
Total 303,632 46,908 350,540
Summary of Damages and Losses
R&R Needs Total
Recovery Needs 39,023
Demolition and rubble removal 9,941
Provision of temporary shelter 14,968
Planning of reconstruction 6,273
Training and quality control 7,841
Reconstruction Needs 288,739
House reconstruction 247,025
Repair and retrofitting 31,189
Clustering costs 10,525
Total Needs 327,762
Recovery and Reconstruction Needs:
TOTAL BBB Cost:
Activities Number/Cost
(Million)
Basis BBB Cost
(Million)
Reconstruction of Fully
Damaged Houses
609,938 /247,025
(450 Sq.ft @ 900)
10% of Total Cost 24,702
Reconstruction of Partial
Damaged Houses
256,697 Repair and
Retrofitting
31,189
Clustering Cost 22,256 hhs Total Cost 22,256
Urban Planning /Heritage
Settlement Planning
LS 2% of R&R Cost 6,273
Training and Quality
Control
LS 2.5% of R&R Cost 7,841
TOTAL BBB Cost (Housing & Human Settlement Cost i.e. 350,540 M)
92,261
(26%)
ध�यवाद