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NOVEMBER 2017 PAGE 1 Economic Zones: China’s First Venture into the Market Economy Foreword China’s rapidly developing economy has been of great curiosity for many years. Its policies have pulled half the population out of poverty and dramatically increased GDP per capita, year over year, at an unprecedented rate. In response to the announcement of China’s new economic expansion plans in Xiongan, this report explores one of the core contributors to China’s growth: Special Economic Zones (SEZs). China’s Economic History Since 1949 Following the Communist Party’s rise to power after the Chinese civil war in 1949, China was very much a command economy. Chairman Mao Zedong envisioned a self-sustaining China, closed off from foreign investment, with all industries under control of the state. Under these policies, China’s GDP per capita was a mere $165 USD when Mao’s rule ended in 1976 (World Bank). In 1978, China saw a change in leadership with President Deng Xiaoping, who assumed power in a time where China’s political and economic environment was a quagmire. Deng sought to open China up to foreign investment, transitioning from a command to market economy that was still under communist rule. Due to this dramatic change, the central government chose to isolate regions in China to experiment with free market policies. These regions were known as Special Economic Zones. Contributors Grace Li Christine Tan “Queen’s Global Markets (QGM) is a premier undergraduate think-tank dedicated to providing the Queen's student body with knowledge of macroeconomics, capital markets and public policy. QGM aims to provide insights into the complex developments across the globe.” A PREMIER UNDERGRADUATE THINK-TANK www.queensglobalmarkets.ca NOVEMBER 2017

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Page 1: Economic Zones: China’s First Venture into the Market Economy€¦ · NOVEMBER 2017 PAGE 2 Special Economic Zones In 1980, four SEZs were officially announced: Shenzhen, Zhuhai,

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Economic Zones: China’s First Venture into the Market Economy

Foreword China’s rapidly developing economy has been of great curiosity for many years. Its policies have pulled half the population out of poverty and dramatically increased GDP per capita, year over year, at an unprecedented rate. In response to the announcement of China’s new economic expansion plans in Xiongan, this report explores one of the core contributors to China’s growth: Special Economic Zones (SEZs).

China’s Economic History Since 1949Following the Communist Party’s rise to power after the Chinese civil war in 1949, China was very much a command economy. Chairman Mao Zedong envisioned a self-sustaining China, closed off from foreign investment, with all industries under control of the state. Under these policies, China’s GDP per capita was a mere $165 USD when Mao’s rule ended in 1976 (World Bank).

In 1978, China saw a change in leadership with President Deng Xiaoping, who assumed power in a time where China’s political and economic environment was a quagmire. Deng sought to open China up to foreign investment, transitioning from a command to market economy that was still under communist rule. Due to this dramatic change, the central government chose to isolate regions in China to experiment with free market policies. These regions were known as Special Economic Zones.

Contributors

Grace Li

Christine Tan

“Queen’s Global Markets (QGM) is a premier undergraduate think-tank dedicated to providing the Queen's student body with knowledge of macroeconomics, capital markets and public policy. QGM aims to provide insights into the complex developments across the globe.”

A PREMIER UNDERGRADUATE THINK-TANK

www.queensglobalmarkets.ca NOVEMBER 2017

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Special Economic ZonesIn 1980, four SEZs were officially announced: Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Xiamen, and Shantou. Hainan province was later granted SEZ status in 1988 (Rodrigue, 2009). These coastal regions gave easy access to ports, which was perfect for China’s export-oriented economy.

To encourage foreign investment, the SEZs enjoyed liberal economic policies in contrast to the rest of China, including low tax rates and the elimination of custom duties on imported goods that would be re-exported after processing in China. Companies also had legal protection for their private property and were allowed to manage workers at their own discretion (Rodrigue, 2009). Heavy investment in infrastructure was another key aspect of SEZs, with capital invested into the construction of airports, highways, and shipping ports.

SEZs TodayThough SEZs initially focused primarily on manufacturing and logistics, today they’ve diversified to leverage an array of comparative advantages.

For example, Xiamen is anticipated to become a touchstone in China’s Belt-and-Road initiative. As a major stop along China’s network of Trans-Eurasian railways, with the Xiamen section completed in 2015, the city acts as a connecting point between air, water, and land transport. Exports from Xiamen to other Belt-and-Road countries reached $14 billion USD in 2015, an increase of 10.1% from the previous year (Shepard, 2016).

Zhuhai has also become a key city for the Belt-and-Road. As a Free Trade Zone, it acts as a major trading point between China and other areas like Macau and Latin America (City of Zhuhai, 2015). Due to the city’s strong trade relations with Macau, the Zhuhai-Hong Kong-

Source: Hofstra University

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Macau bridge was constructed in 2017. It is the largest oversea bridge in the world and reduces transportation time by an eighth (Lei and Xie, 2017).

Shenzhen: The Silicon Valley of HardwareChina’s most successful SEZ is indisputably Shenzhen. Starting as a small fishing town of 30,000 people, Shenzhen’s GDP has grown by an annual real rate of 22% (Economist, 2017) to $296B USD today, with a population of 18 million (HKTDC, 2017).

Shenzhen’s economic surge was in large part due to their close neighbour, Hong Kong. In the earlier years, the state made up as much as 91% of Shenzhen’s foreign direct investment (Internships China, 2016). With capital investment from Hong Kong, Shenzhen was able to take on major infrastructure projects. Rice paddies were replaced with airports and highways. Factories were built, along with office buildings to act as headquarters and high-rise apartment buildings for working professionals. Like this, a city was constructed virtually overnight, and a sleepy

village was transformed into the world’s tech manufacturing hub.

With companies like Foxconn building factories in Shenzhen, the city became a major provider of parts to global tech companies like Apple; in fact, it’s estimated that Shenzhen produces 90% of the world’s electronics (Shepard, 2016). Its capacity to provide large quantities of electronic parts at low cost and unbelievable speed earned it the reputation as the “Silicon Valley of Hardware”. However, Shenzhen’s growth in the IT sector is only just beginning. Nowadays Shenzhen is shifting from basic manufacturing to high-end production and innovation. It houses the headquarters of tech giants like Lenovo, DJI, Tencent, etc. and the city’s open-source philosophy has made it a breeding ground for new start-ups. Each year about 4% of Shenzhen’s GDP is private corporations’ investment in R&D; Shenzhen’s cellphone giant Huawei spends more money on R&D than even Apple. The city prides itself on being ahead of the global mainstream when it comes to innovating new consumer technology such as smart fridges, beds, and artificially intelligent speakers (Economist, 2017).

Due to the city’s growth, Shenzhen has also become a financial centre for China. Corporations enjoy taxes 10% lower than the rest of China, and Shenzhen seeks to eliminate income tax for professionals in industries such as law and accounting (Economist, 2012). In addition to tech companies, Shenzhen is home to large banks and financial institutions, with over 1700 companies listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.

Evaluating the Success of SEZsPolicies implemented in the special economic zones proved to be highly successful. Percentage growth of SEZs regularly reached double digits, such as in 2013 when growth rates were above the national average by 3% (Yan, 2016).

NOTE: Although Shenzhen’s population is officially around 10 million, it is estimated that numbers are actually around 18 million, taking into account rural migrants and other groups not officially recognized in the population count.

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Success led the Chinese government’s expansion of these liberal policies to 14 more cities along the east coast in 1988. In 2005, numbers had increased to 210 national developmental zones as well as 1346 provincial developmental zones (Rodrigue, 2009). By 2007, SEZs accounted for 46% of foreign investment in China and made up 22% of the country’s GDP (Zeng, 2011).

Future of SEZs in ChinaThough economic zones were highly successful, the impact was ultimately limited as China transitioned from Chairman Mao’s rule. Implementation shifted as the country continued to learn and adapt.

China today is a different story. As one of the world’s emerging great powers, the country has considerably more resources and knowledge than the late 1970s, resulting in a more than promising future for new economic zones around the country. Appropriately, each announcement of a new zone creates excitement around the world.

Where and Why: the Xiongan New AreaIn April of 2017, China’s President Xi personally announced that the Xiongan New Area (XNA) within Hebei province, would be the focus of new policies and development investment (Economist, 2017).  XNA amassed massive media coverage and excitement among the Chinese people. It will include three counties: Xiongxian, Anxin, and Rongcheng.

Hebei is a poor province, heavily reliant on steel and iron production, resulting in severe overcapacity over the years and millions of people being laid off. The SEZ declaration will aim to move Hebei from manufacturing to service-related jobs and integrate the province with the

surrounding developed cities of Beijing and Tianjin (Yan, 2017). The government wants citizens to move from an overpopulated Beijing to XNA and rectify the capital’s severe population problem. The Beijing government has attempted for many years to move some of its 22 million people south due to pollution, shortage of water, infrastructure, and traffic, among other problems (World Population Review Beijing, 2017).

ConcernsPost Deng reforms, the Chinese government had succeeded with new zones for growth, such as the Pudong financial district in Shanghai. However, it has also tried and failed. For example, Tianjin’s Binhai, backed by then-premier Wen Jiabo, was meant to be an eco-city (Koh, 2016). After 2015’s large-scale industrial accident, the region lost much of its excitement and is far behind schedule in expected growth (Economist Intelligence Unit, 2017).

Facing this, concerns surrounding geography, politics, and climate has caused speculation about the success of Xiongan.

Whereas Pudong, Shenzhen, and all other SEZs gave access to crucial ports, Hebei is unfavourably landlocked. Additionally, the decision to develop XNA is argued by critics to be

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motivated by Xi’s personal goals to establish  a legacy. Deng was the paramount leader that “opened up” China and created the magical Shenzhen. Former president Jiang Zemin also built his legacy on the nation’s financial district in the Pudong New Area. There is speculation that the decision to build XNA was too motivated by politics, and President Xi is looking for his own legacy by continuing the upward trend of China’s GDP per capita growth, when the money could be of better use elsewhere (Economist Intelligence Unit, 2017).

Finally, the heavy infrastructure development needed for XNA raises questions concerning the environment. Hebei hosts six out of ten of China’s most polluted cities measured by air quality according to China’s Ministry of Environmental Protection. Heavy water and soil pollution are prevalent in the province. Toxic, untreated pools of waste water, covering 300,000 square km have also been dumped in a small town close to the XNA (Wu, 2017). The poor infrastructure will

require intense developments, which will likely intensify the environmental problems the area already faces.

ConclusionChina’s efforts in past economic zones to propel their citizens forward in terms of economic prosperity has been inimitable by other countries. Moving forward, doubt exists about whether the nation can repeat these policies to achieve the same success, but the future of XNA should not be dismissed. It’s important to remember that Shenzhen - even China itself - also started off in an unfavourable position. Therefore, it is not unreasonable to expect another mega-city in China in the next 5-10 years, nor is it unreasonable to suggest that mega-city will be Xiongan.

Source: Knoema, 2016

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BibliographyCity of Zhuhai. “Overview of Zhuhai.” City of Zhuhai. Zhuhai Municipal Government, 26 Oct. 2015. Web.

Economist. “Shenzhen is a hothouse of innovation.” Economist. The Economist Magazine, 8 Apr. 2017. Web.

Economist. “The more special economic zone.” Economist. The Economist Magazine, 7 Jul. 2012. Web.

Economist Intelligence Unit. “Xiongan New Area: China's new mega-Project.” The Economist Intelligence Unit Digital Solutions. The Economist Magazine, 7 Apr. 2017. Web.

HKTDC. “Shenzhen (Guangdong) City Information.” HKTDC. Hong Kong Trade Development Council, 2017. Web.

Internships China. “The Development of China’s Special Economic Zones.” Internships China. Internships China, 15 Jul. 2016. Web.

Knoema. “GDP per Capita by Country | Statistics from IMF, 1980-2022.” Knoema. n.p., 17 Oct. 2017. Web.

Lei, Zhao and Xie Chuanjao. “Hong Kong bridge: engineering marvel links three cities.” The Telegraph. Telegraph Media Group Ltd., 28 Jul. 2017. Web.

Rodrigue, Jean-Paul. “China’s Special Economic Zones.” Hofstra. Hofstra University, 2009. Web.

Shepard, Wade. “A Look Inside Shenzhen's High-Tech Empire.” Forbes. Forbes Magazine, 14 Jul. 2016. Web.

Shepard, Wade. “Road to economic prosperity: Xiamen’s rail, air and sea links strengthen China’s ‘one belt, one road’ initiative.” SCMP. South China Morning Post, 26 Jul. 2016. Web.

The Economist. “A plan to build a city from scratch that will dwarf New York.” The Economist. The Economist Newspaper, 6 Apr. 2017. Web.

World Population Review Beijing. “Beijing Population 2017.” Beijing Population 2017 (Demographics, Maps, Graphs), 2017. Web.

World Population Review Shenzhen. “Shenzhen Population 2017.” Shenzhen Population 2017 (Demographics, Maps, Graphs), 2017. Web.

Wu, DD. “A Closer Look at China's 1,000-Year Project: Xiongan New Area.” The Diplomat. The Diplomat, 3 May 2017. Web.

Yan, Sophia. “China to launch special economic zone in province hit by layoffs.” CNBC. CNBC, 3 Apr. 2017. Web.

Zeng, Douglas Zhihua. “China’s Special Economic Zones and Industrial Clusters: Success and Challenges.” The World Bank. World Bank Group, 27 Apr. 2011. Web.

Yan, Zhenkun et al. “Report on the Industrial Transformation Development of China’s Economic Zones.” Annual Report on the Development of China's Special Economic Zones, edited by Yitao Tao and Yiming Yuan, 2016, Springer, pp.23