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Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their Metropolitan Regions Hunter Morrison and Mark Salling Levin College of Urban Affairs Cleveland State University

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Page 1: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Economic Regeneration

in Legacy Cities and their

Metropolitan Regions

Hunter Morrison and Mark Salling

Levin College of Urban Affairs

Cleveland State University

Page 2: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Legacy Cities and Their Metropolitan Regions

Experts have recognized that there is a symbioticrelationship between legacy cities and theirregions, but it is particularly complex in placeswhere urban/suburban economic imbalance existand vehicles for fostering regionalism are unclearand ineffective.

Mallach and Brachman,

Regenerating America’s Legacy Cities , 2013

Page 3: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

American Assembly: Legacy Cities

Page 4: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

The Northeast Ohio Region

and its legacy cities.

Page 5: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Population Change, 2000-2010

Page 6: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Emerging

U.S. Mega-regionsCredit: University of Pennsylvania

America 2050: Megaregions

Page 7: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

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RPA analysis of U.S. Census and BEA

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Page 8: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Great Lakes MegalopolisJean Gottman, 1961

Page 9: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Underperforming Regionsand their Legacy Cities

Page 10: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

18 Northeast Megaregion Legacy Cities and their StatesState No. Legacy Cities

Connecticut 2 Hartford, New Haven

District of Columbia 1 Washington

Delaware 1 Wilmington

Massachusetts 2 Fall River, New Bedford

Maryland 1 Baltimore

New Jersey 3 Camden, Newark, Trenton

New York 2 Albany, Schenectady

Pennsylvania 3 Philadelphia, Reading, Scranton

Rhode Island 1 Providence

Virginia 2 Norfolk, Richmond

31 Great Lakes Megaregion Legacy Cities and their StatesState No. Legacy Cities

Indiana 2 Gary, Hammond

Michigan 5 Detroit, Flint, Pontiac, Saginaw, Warren

Missouri 1 St. Louis

New York 5 Buffalo, Niagara Falls, Rochester, Syracuse, Utica

Ohio 7 Akron, Canton, Cleveland, Cincinnati. Dayton, Springfield, Youngstown

Pennsylvania 2 Erie, Pittsburgh

Wisconsin 1 Milwaukee

West Virginia 2 Charleston, Huntington

Page 11: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 12: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 13: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 14: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 15: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 16: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 17: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Mahoning

Wayne Stark

Lorain

MedinaSummit

Portage

Trumbull

Ashtabula

Geauga

Lake

Cuyahoga

• Built on Broad Engagement of

people and organizations

through meetings, polls, and

social media.

• Used Scenario Planning and

Fiscal Impact Analysis to

study alternative futures.

• Developed a Regional Vision

and Framework for Action that

local communities can use to

become more vibrant, resilient,

and sustainable

VIBRANT NEO 2040 addresses the shared future of a

12-county region with four metropolitan areas.

Made possible by Partnership for Sustainable Communities

Initiative Grant from HUD in collaboration with USDOT & USEPA

and in-kind support from the Consortium ‘s 33 members

Page 18: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Current trends put our legacy cities

and their metros at risk

• Development without

demographic growth

leads to a widespread

supply/demand

mismatch.

• Outward expansion

requires building new

infrastructure.

• Inward abandonment

weakens the region’s

housing markets and

leaves existing

infrastructure behind.

• Result: Chronic fiscal

stress at all levels of

local government/

Page 19: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Outward Migration and Inward Abandonment

• Weakens local tax bases

• Increases infrastructure costs

• Increases household transportation costs

• Provides fewer options—other than a car.

Page 20: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Current trends will result in declining fiscal health

across the region

-0.3%

Page 21: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 22: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Workshop Map Activity

Public Support for Established Communities

Page 23: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 24: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 25: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 26: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 27: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 28: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Trend Scenario Development Impact

Do Things Differently Development Impact

Page 29: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Trend Scenario Fiscal Impact

Do Things Differently Fiscal Impact

Page 30: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Overarching Recommendation

Focus the region on livabilty by

• Investing in our existing cities,

suburbs, and town centers,

• Providing more housing and

transportation choices, and

• Connecting people and opportunity

Page 31: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Quality Connected Places

• Strengthen our Established Communities

• Increase our Housing and Transportation Choices

• Protect our Natural Resources

• Promote Collaboration and Efficiency

Page 32: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Vibrant NEO 2040A Regional Vision and

Policy Framework

Page 33: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread
Page 34: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

Validation

The Daniel Burnham Award for Best Comprehensive Plan from the American Planning Association (2015)

Page 35: Economic Regeneration in Legacy Cities and their ... · Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk • Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread

VibantNEO2040

www.vibrantneo.org