economic growth and democracy in india: the beginnings of a `scissors crisis´? mritiunjoy mohanty...

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Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India and Institut d'études internationales de Montréal (IEIM) of the Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM), Montreal, Canada

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Page 1: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors

Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty

Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India and Institut d'études internationales de Montréal

(IEIM) of the Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM), Montreal, Canada

Page 2: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

• Table from Chandrasekhar and Ghosh (2006)

Page 3: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

• Rates of growth of output, income and population

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

GDP

Per Capita Y

Population

Page 4: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

• Table from Chandrasekhar and Ghosh (2006)

Page 5: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

• Table from Chandrasekhar and Ghosh (2006)

Page 6: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

Output rates of growth Source: Bhattacharya and Sakthivel (2004)

States 1980-90 1990-2000

Assam 3.91 2.47

Bihar 5.2 3.46

Orissa 5.85 3.6

Uttar Pradesh 5.88 4.33

Punjab 5.14 4.63

Andhra Pradesh 4.81 5.12

Madhya Pradesh 5.18 5.45

Kerala 4.5 6

All-India 5.6 6.03

Rajasthan 7.17 6.46

Tamil Nadu 6.35 6.65

Haryana 6.68 6.71

Maharashtra 5.98 6.8

Himachal Pradesh 6.1 6.91

Karnataka 6.1 7.07

West Bengal 5.2 7.24

Goa 5.71 8.23

Gujarat 5.71 8.28

Coefficient of variation 0.14 0.29

Page 7: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

Population rates of growthSource: Bhattacharya et al (2004)Year 1980-90 1990-2000

Kerala 1.35 0.9

Tamil Nadu 1.44 1.07

Goa 1.57 1.3

Andhra Pradesh 2.19 1.36

Orissa 1.84 1.49

Gujarat 1.94 1.59

Karnataka 1.93 1.6

Himachal Pradesh 1.91 1.62

West Bengal 2.22 1.67

Assam 2.05 1.74

Punjab 1.91 1.83

All-India 2.44 1.94

Madhya Pradesh 2.41 2.05

Maharashtra 2.32 2.06

UP 2.3 2.3

Bihar 2.14 2.43

Haryana 2.45 2.5

Rajasthan 2.53 2.53

Page 8: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India

Per capita output growth rates and rankings

States 1980-90 1990-2000 per capita SDP rank 2001

HDR ranking 2001

Assam 1.74 0.65 12 14

Bihar 2.97 1.86 15 15*

Uttar Pradesh 3.46 1.98 13 13*

Orissa 3.96 2.12 14 11

Punjab 3.19 2.71 1 2

M. Pradesh 2.74 3.22 11 12*

A. Pradesh 2.56 3.62 8 10

All-India 3.36 4.07

Rajasthan 4.41 4.09 10 9*

Haryana 4.12 4.42 3 5*

Kerala 3.04 4.78 7 1

Maharashtra 3.6 5.04 2 4*

H. Pradesh 4.36 5.11

Karnataka 4 5.27 6 7

Tamil Nadu 4.79 5.4 5 3

West Bengal 2.93 5.41 9 8

Gujarat 3.62 6.38 4 6

Goa 4.08 6.84

CV 0.22 0.43

Page 9: Economic Growth and Democracy in India: the beginnings of a `Scissors Crisis´? Mritiunjoy Mohanty Indian Institute of Management Calcutta in Kolkata, India