econometrics model

7/24/2019 econometrics model

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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.9754945515

R Square 0.9515896199

Adjusted R Square 0.9498606778

Standard Error 1883.2516032027!ser"ations 30

A#$A

df SS

Re%ression 1 1952027477.17297

Residual 28 99305824.8270329

&otal 29 2051333302

Coecients Standard Error

'nter(ept 8028.8851392255 493.1326524073e)port o* %oods and ser"i(es+,- 3.8303611199 0.1632695151

RES'/A /&/&

Observation Predicted GDP(Y) Residuals

1 37802.2821244918 1708.2821244918

2 34420.0732555879 393.0732555879

3 33868.501254317 2668.5012543174 29356.3358550318 907.3358550318

5 26165.6450421248 145.6450421248

6 22289.319588749 1737.680411251

7 21040.6218636497 1130.3781363503

8 18776.8784417673 2589.1215582327

9 18332.5565518547 1974.4434481454

10 16746.787048201 2773.2129517991

11 15417.651739583 2759.348260417

12 14517.5168763979 2599.4831236021

13 14670.7313211954 1779.268678804614 14280.0344869619 1013.9655130381

15 12786.1936501866 1431.8063498134

16 12234.6216489158 1096.3783510842

17 11725.1836199642 998.8163800358

18 11552.8173695671 510.1826304329

19 11242.5581188522 693.4418811478

20 10920.8077847776 390.1922152224

21 10610.5485340627 64.4514659373


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22 10430.5215614257 693.5215614257

23 10162.3962830302 796.3962830302

24 10258.1553110286 1318.1553110286

25 10185.3784497498 1690.3784497498

26 10039.8247271922 1857.8247271922

27 10058.9765327919 2432.9765327919

28 9944.0656991938 2574.065699193829 9959.3871436735 3006.3871436735

30 9863.6281156751 3349.6281156751


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MS F Signicance F

1952027477.17297 550.3883529092 0.00

3546636.60096546

t Stat P!value "o#er $%&

16.2813902102 0.00 7018.748705561923.4603570499 0.00 3.4959186836


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'er $%& "o#er $%*& 'er $%*&

9039.0215728892 7018.7487055619 9039.02157288924.1648035563 3.4959186836 4.1648035563


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ear e)port o* %oods and ser"i(es+,- +- ),A

2009 7773 36094 5607.9

2008 6890 34027 4724.9

2007 6746 31200 4580.9

2006 5568 28449 3402.9

2005 4735 26020 2569.9

2004 3723 24027 1557.92003 3397 22171 1231.9

2002 2806 21366 640.9

2001 2690 20307 524.9

2000 2276 19520 110.9

1999 1929 18177 236.1

1998 1694 17117 471.1

1997 1734 16450 431.1

1996 1632 15294 533.1

1995 1242 14218 923.1

1994 1098 13331 1067.11993 965 12724 1200.1

1992 920 12063 1245.1

1991 839 11936 1326.1

1990 755 11311 1410.1

1989 674 10675 1491.1

1988 627 9737 1538.1

1987 557 9366 1608.1

1986 582 8940 1583.1

1985 563 8495 1602.1

1984 525 8182 1640.1

1983 530 7626 1635.1

1982 500 7370 1665.1

1981 504 6953 1661.1

1980 479 6514 1686.1

Su 64953 489660 0.00

A"era%e 2165.1 16322


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A ) )2 2 ,2

19772 110879398.8 31448542.41 390931984 60419529

17705 83654354.5 22324680.01 313467025 47472100

14878 68154630.2 20984644.81 221354884 45508516

12127 41266968.3 11579728.41 147064129 31002624

9698 24922890.2 6604386.01 94051204 22420225

7705 12003619.5 2427052.41 59367025 138607295849 7205383.1 1517577.61 34210801 11539609

5044 3232699.6 410752.81 25441936 7873636

3985 2091726.5 275520.01 15880225 7236100

3198 354658.2 12298.81 10227204 5180176

1855 437965.5 55743.21 3441025 3721041

795 374524.5 221935.21 632025 2869636

128 55180.8 185847.21 16384 3006756

1028 548026.8 284195.61 1056784 2663424

2104 1942202.4 852113.61 4426816 1542564

2991 3191696.1 1138702.41 8946081 12056043598 4317959.8 1440240.01 12945604 931225

4259 5302880.9 1550274.01 18139081 846400

4386 5816274.6 1758541.21 19236996 703921

5011 7066011.1 1988382.01 25110121 570025

5647 8420241.7 2223379.21 31888609 454276

6585 10128388.5 2365751.61 43362225 393129

6956 11185943.6 2585985.61 48385936 310249

7382 11686444.2 2506205.61 54493924 338724

7827 12539636.7 2566724.41 61261929 316969

8140 13350414 2689928.01 66259600 275625

8696 14218829.6 2673552.01 75620416 280900

8952 14905975.2 2772558.01 80138304 250000

9369 15562845.9 2759253.21 87778161 254016

9808 16537268.8 2842933.21 96196864 229441

0 509619698 133047428.7 2051333302 273677169


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2

1302776836

1157836729

973440000 1 3.830361

809345601 0 8028.885

677040400 R2 0.95159

577296729 $arian(e o* Model491553241 "arian(e 1

456505956 "arian(e 0

412374249

381030400 S.E. 1

330403329 S.E. o

292991689

270602500 & test

233906436

202151524

177715561161900176

145515969

142468096

127938721

113955625

94809169

87721956

79923600

72165025

66945124

58155876

54316900

48344209

42432196

10043563822


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3546636.60096543 1883.2520.0266569346

4304676221726210000000.00

0.1632695151

65610031410.80

23.4603570499

0.00

econometrics model

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