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ecdc.europa. eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership – Together Against HIV/AIDS 13 March 2007 Zsuzsanna Jakab Director, ECDC

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“Total media coverage of HIV/AIDS increased during the early 1980's, peaked in 1987, and declined steadily through 2001.” From Kaiser Family Foundation 2004 press release on AIDS at 21: media coverage of the HIV Epidemic * [* Following US based media] 25 years into the HIV epidemic

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Page 1: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

ecdc.europa.eu

Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its

Neighbouring CountriesGerman Presidency Conference

Responsibility & Partnership – Together Against HIV/AIDS 13 March 2007

Zsuzsanna JakabDirector, ECDC

Page 2: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Mid – late 1980s: HIV response in western Europe

25 years into the HIV epidemic

1981: first AIDS cases described

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

AIDSDeaths

1996: Highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART)

Page 3: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

“Total media coverage of HIV/AIDS increased during the early 1980's, peaked in 1987, and declined steadily through 2001.”

From Kaiser Family Foundation 2004 press release on AIDS at 21:

media coverage of the HIV Epidemic 1981-2002*

[* Following US based media]

25 years into the HIV epidemic

Page 4: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Presentation outline

• Geographic and time trends• Populations at highest risk• Implications for public health

Page 5: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Total: 39.5 (34.1–47.1) million Source: UNAIDS/WHO

Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV in 2006

Page 6: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

AID

S &

Dea

ths

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

Living with A

IDS

AIDS Deaths Living with AIDS

New AIDS Cases, deaths among personswith AIDS & people living with AIDS,1986–2005, EU

Data adjusted for reporting delays* Excluding Andorra, Netherlands and Norway: data not available for the whole period

Page 7: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

New HIV diagnoses in the EU & EEA/EFTA countries, 2001-05

Page 8: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

10

77

3

11

15

9

467

54

11

13035

6

127

17

9

247

418

243

14

HIV cases per million< 2020 - 99100 - 199200+

251

99

77

148

27

4326

52

10275 30

55

50

52

5

Not available

100

Source: EuroHIV

New HIV diagnoses reported in 2005per million population, Europe

Page 9: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

PortugalUKBelgiumFranceIrelandNetherlandsAustriaGreeceGermany

New HIV diagnoses in the EU15 and EEA/EFTA countries, 2000-05

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

DenmarkNorwaySwedenIcelandFinland

Note: the graphs are on a different scale!

Page 10: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

CyprusMaltaSloveniaPolandHungaryCzech R.Slovakia

New HIV diagnoses in new EU Member States, 2000-05

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

EstoniaLatviaLithuania

Note: the graphs are on a different scale!

Page 11: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

New HIV diagnoses in EU neighbouring countries 2000-05

0

10

20

30

2000 2001 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Croatia

Serbia &MontenegroBulgaria

Albania

Romania

FYROM

Turkey 0

200

400

600

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Russian F.UkraineMoldova, R.Georgia

Note: the graphs are on a different scale!

Page 12: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Source: EuroHIV

Predominant mode of HIV transmission, cases reported in 2005

Heterosexual contactMen having sex with menInjecting drug usersData not available

Page 13: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

2500

5000

750019

96

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

HeterosexualMen having sex with menInjecting drug users

New HIV diagnoses by mode of transmission, EU, 1996-2005

* Countries with data available for the whole period: Belgium, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Page 14: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

0

2500

5000

7500

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

All

Originating from countries withgeneralised HIV epidemicOthers

* Countries with data available for the whole period: Belgium, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, United Kingdom.

New HIV diagnoses in persons infected through heterosexual contact, EU, 1996-2005

Page 15: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Age at HIV diagnosis by sexCases reported in the EU in 2005

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

<20 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+ Age (years)

FemaleMale

Page 16: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Median age at HIV diagnosisby country

20 25 30 35 40

FranceDenmarSloveniaSwitzerlBelgiumGermanFinlandGreece

PortugalSweden

UKMalta

IrelandCzech

HungaryLuxembPoland

LithuaniSlovakia

Latvia

Age (years)

Median age at HIV diagnosis in the EU: 35 years

Page 17: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Men having sex with men

• MSM are the group at highest risk for acquiring HIV in many countries;

• HIV prevalence: 5 - 15%;• HIV incidence: ~3% per

year;• Multiple epidemics of other

STI (syphilis, gonorrhoea, LGV);

• Resurgence of high risk sexual behaviours.

Page 18: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

New drugs & new technologies influencing high risk sexual behaviours in men having sex with men

ViagraCrystal methamphetamin Internet

Page 19: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Injecting Drug Users

• Steady declines in unsafe injection practices and HIV prevalence in most western European countries;BUT

• HIV prevalence remains very high (>25%) in eastern Europe and in some cities of western Europe;

• Very high prevalence of hepatitis C (>60%).

Page 20: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Sex workers

• Major transformation in the sex industry worldwide;• Western Europe:

• Relatively low HIV prevalence, <2%; • Little effect on the initial spread of HIV;• HIV remains highly associated with drug use;• Shift to a primarily migrant workforce;

• Eastern Europe:• Close relationship between sex work and IDU.

Page 21: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

People living with HIV

• The number of people living with HIV keeps increasing;

• In the EU, an estimated 30% of people living with HIV are not aware of their infection;

• These people disproportionately contribute to the spread of HIV.

Page 22: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Awareness of Serostatus Among People with HIV and Estimates of Transmission

~25% Unaware

of Infection

~75% Aware of Infection

People Living with HIV/AIDS: 1,039,000-1,185,000

New Sexual Infections Each Year: ~32,000

Accounting for: ~54% of New

Infections

~46% of New

Infections

Marks G, Crepaz N, Janssen RS. Estimating sexual transmission of HIV from persons aware and unaware that they are infected with the virus in the USA. AIDS.

2006 Jun 26;20(10):1447-50.

Page 24: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

% from a country with a originating generalised epidemic among heterosexually infected persons diagnosed with HIV in 2005

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Icelan

d

Sweden

Belgium

Irelan

d UK

Luxembourg

German

y

France

Greece

Switzerl

and

Finland

Denmark

Portugal

Source: EuroHIV

Page 25: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

Conclusions

• HIV remains a major public health problem both in the EU and in neighbouring countries;

• Priorities for prevention in the EU– Increasing uptake of HIV testing and counselling;– Strengthening prevention and care in high-burden

countries;– Developing innovative prevention approaches for

men having sex with men;– Providing specific services for migrant

communities;• HIV is a global epidemic and the EU response needs

to be seen in this context.

Page 26: Ecdc.europa.eu Epidemiological Situation of HIV/AIDS in the EU and its Neighbouring Countries German Presidency Conference Responsibility & Partnership

ecdc.europa.eu

Thank you ! Zsuzsanna JakabDirector, ECDC

[email protected]