dss-wise to support risk -map tricks and tools for rapid … · 2019-11-05 · v1/5/21/2019...
TRANSCRIPT
V1/5/21/2019
DSS-WISE to Support RISK-MAPTricks and Tools for Rapid Inundation Risk Modeling
Tiffany Coleman, PE, CFM, STARRII (Stantec)
Shudipto Rahman, FEMA Region II
Ed Beadenkopf, PE, CFM STARR II (Atkins)
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Objective
• Disaster Response/Preparedness• Overview of DSS-WISE Lite/ Tips for Use• Potential Applications in RiskMAP
To provide an overview of DSS-WISE Lite, it’s uses, and how it can be integrated in FEMA’s RiskMAP
Topics of Discussion
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DSS-WISE Lite Intro
Web-based 2D-Modeling softwareEasy to learn with minimal user inputRobust numerical modelProduces digital GIS output and report
4Taken from https://damsafety.org/dam-failures
~20 failures per year (2005-2013) 587 “incidents”Aging damsPopulation
“By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail ”
The Disaster Cycle
Emergency Management
Disaster Cycle-steps emergency managers take in planning for and responding to disasters
Disaster
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“By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail ”
The Disaster Cycle
Emergency Management
Disaster Cycle-steps emergency managers take in planning for and responding to disasters
Disaster
Enact Emergency Action Plans (EAPs) 6
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Why Perform Breach Analysis
Estimate Possible
Inundation AreasEstimate
Warning Times
Plan Evacuation Routes
Identify Ways to Mitigate Risk
Dam Breach Consequences Datasets Foundational datasets from dam breach modeling• Flood depth• Velocity• Flood timingDatasets to assess consequences• Population characteristics• Structures / critical infrastructure• Transportation network
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DSS-WISE Lite Intro
Web-based 2D-Modeling softwareEasy to learn with minimal user inputRobust numerical modelProduces digital GIS output and reportInundation Mapping Can be Available
Within Hours
Hurricane Florence Hurricane
Harvey
Hurricane Maria
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DSS-WISE Lite In Disaster Response
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
Each user’s must have approved access.
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
Requires limited data entry• Dam Height/Crest Elev• Draw Line Across Crest• WSEL/Storage Info• Breach Location• Type of Failure• Breach dimensions (uses
calculator)• Distance downstream• Downstream bridge
locations
Topo/Storage Evacuation issue
PrincipalSpillwayPipe
Valley Invert in topo is too high
Actual Valley InvertSome Reservoir Volume not Included in Outflow
Embankment Assumed to Fail
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DSS-WISE LiteTips
Choose Hydrograph Simulation Type to Enter Hydrograph
DSS-WISE Lite Tips
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DSS-WISE Lite TipsHydrograph Estimation – TR 60 Spreadsheet Inputs
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Overview of DSS-WISE Lite for Dam Breach Modeling
Development of Dam Breach Hazard Mapping
• The report provides the inputs and some images of the mapping generated
• The digital files inputs can be used to generate data needed for EAPs
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KMZ file to view on Google Earth
Shapefiles of simulation setup
Hydrographs extracted as “cvs” files
Flood extent when flood front is at 3 mi
Flood extent when flood front is at 7 mi
Flood extent at the end of simulation
Max. velocity polygons
Max. DV arrival time polygons
Max. DV polygons
Flood arrival time polygons
Max. flood depth polygons
Raster files
Final report in PDF format
DSS-WISE Lite Data Output
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PDF Report
Excel File with tables and plots
Shapefiles
Human Consequences Module
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Why Integrate Dam Breach Modeling in RiskMap?
• 20,000 communities in NFIP• FEMA is authorized under the Biggert-Waters Flood
Insurance Reform Act of 2012 (BW12) to produce maps of residual risk for areas protected by dams orcould be inundated by failure
• The Technical Mapping Advisory Council (TMAC) has recommended:
“…mapping prototype products aimed at more effectively communicating residual flood risk related to levees, dams, and event-driven coastal erosion. Products developed should incorporate end user and stakeholder testing, and FEMA should develop standards for routine production…”
DFIRM Database
Traditional Regulatory Products Non-Regulatory Products
FEMA non-regulatory products currently provide a platform for use by communities for dam safety
FEMA RiskMAP Products
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Changes Since Last FIRM Data Areas of Mitigation Interest
Flood Risk ReportFlood Risk Map
Ad-Hoc Flood Risk Analyses
Flood RiskDatabase
Flood Risk Assessment Data Flood Depth & Analysis Grids
Non-Regulatory Products
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• Leverages existing analysis from dam safety officials
• Flexible depending on varying state regulations & methods
• Datasets proposed:• Basic dam characteristics• Upstream inundation areas delineated• Downstream inundation areas delineated• Assorted depth and analysis grids (depth,
velocity, arrival time)• Easements & critical facilities• Flood risk assessments• Additional Areas of Mitigation Interest
• Data would be used to communicate risks & promote mitigation
Non Regulatory Products for Dams
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Sunny Day Downstream Inundation Area
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Visual 1.28
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Visual 1.31
Sunny Day Depth times Velocity (DV)Grid
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Severity Grid Showing Danger Levels• Can be categorized into
Zones of Potential Danger• Subdivides the inundation
area in to zones of differing potential danger.
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Visual 1.34
Danger Zones
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Visual 1.35 35
Danger Zones
Changes Since Last FIRM Data Areas of Mitigation Interest
Flood RiskDatabase
Flood Risk Assessment Data Flood Depth & Analysis Grids
Dam Breach Data In Flood Risk Database
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Depth and Velocity Grids Associated with Dam Breach Scenarios
Arrival Time Grids forthe Dam Breach Wave
Severity Grids andDanger Zones*
Dam Breach USand DS Inundation Areas
Dam Easements
Dam Breach Scenarios Critical Facilities
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DSS-WISE Lite FEMA UsesRisk Communication• DSS-WISE Lite model runs for community engagement at new study scoping to
inform the community about flood risk• DSS-WISE Lite modeling for FEMA to generate the enhanced non-regulatory
products for dams • Development of fact sheets for the Risk Review Meetings to show dam risk in the
study watershedPotential New Non-Regulatory Products• Development of a combined dam breach and SFHA map• Development of a new “Danger Zone” enhanced raster• New section in the Flood Risk Report describing how dams shown on FIRM’s were
mapped or not and the specific dam risk
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Residual Flood Risk
Visual 1.39
Short Summary of Modeling with Reference to Report for More Information
Dam Breach Inundation Fact Sheet
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DSS-WISE Lite As A Tool for Risk-MAP
• Simple to Use / Get Results Quickly• Output Provides Much of the
Information Needed• Human Consequences Module provides
an analysis of the population within the estimated inundated area.
• Has Some Limitations
V1/5/7/2019
Questions???