dsm2 version 8.1 calibration status update · dsm2 version 8.1 calibration status update november...

DSM2 Version 8.1 Calibration

Status Update

November 1, 2012

Lianwu Liu, Nicky Sandhu

Delta Modeling Section

California Department of Water Resources

Liul [email protected]

http://baydeltaoffice.water.ca.gov/modeling/deltamodeling/DSM2UsersGroup/DSM2UserGroupMeeting_Nov2012.pdf

DWR-1403 What's new in DSM2 version 8.1

What’s New in 8.1?

2

• NAVD88 datum.

• Recommended time step 15/30/15 for

Hydro/Tidefile/Qual.

• Martinez EC boundary using 15min value.

• Hydro faster than Qual!


Time Step Sensitivity Test

3

• We tested Hydro 15, 5, 3 min; Tidefile 1hr, 30,

15, 5 min; Qual 15, 5, 3, 1 min.

• The model shows good convergence overall.

• For best accuracy, Hydro/Tidefile/Qual could

use 5/15/5 min.

• Recommend using 15/30/15 considering running

speed, file size, and accuracy.


4

EC

(U

MH

OS

/CM

)

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr

2006 2007 2008

EC

(P

erc

en

t)

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

CLIFTON_COURT DIFFERENCE_TIDALLY_FILTERED EC CLIFTON_COURT TIDALLY_FILTERED_153015 EC

CLIFTON_COURT TIDALLY_FILTERED_5155 EC CLIFTON_COURT PERCENTDIFF_TIDALLY_FILTERED_ EC


5

EC

(U

MH

OS

/CM

)

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr

2006 2007 2008

EC

(P

erc

en

t)

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

RSAN018 DIFFERENCE_TIDALLY_FILTERED EC RSAN018 TIDALLY_FILTERED_153015 EC

RSAN018 TIDALLY_FILTERED_5155 EC RSAN018 PERCENTDIFF_TIDALLY_FILTERED_ EC


Hydro Calibration

6

• Based on 2009 Recalibration Grid (CH2M HILL

2009)

– Hydro calibration period 10/1/2007 to 10/1/2008

– Validation period 10/1/2001 to 10/1/2002

• Only Manning’s n adjusted in this recalibration

– Adjusted by groups of channels. 26 adjustments/runs

were made to reach a satisfactory result.


7

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

RSAC101 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)

RSAC101 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.9589x - 0.1659R² = 0.9309

y = 0.9618x - 0.1891R² = 0.9301

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)

Observed Flow (1000cfs)

Tidally Averaged Flow

y = 0.9774x - 0.7172R² = 0.9904

y = 1.0078x - 0.9567R² = 0.9902

-200

-100

0

100

200

-200 -100 0 100 200

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -31

LAG = -26

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)



8

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

RSAC123 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

5

10

15

20

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)


y = 0.832x + 0.346R² = 0.991

y = 0.8897x + 0.2648R² = 0.9913

0

5

10

15

20

0 5 10 15 20

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)



y = 0.9068x - 0.0407R² = 0.9813

y = 1.068x - 0.4577R² = 0.9856

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10 -5 0 5 10 15

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -29

LAG = -24

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)



9

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

RSAN087 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)

RSAN087 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.8649x + 0.2965R² = 0.9536

y = 0.8655x + 0.2954R² = 0.9535

0

1

2

3

4

5

0 1 2 3 4 5

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)



y = 0.7516x + 0.3522R² = 0.9326

y = 0.8641x + 0.2077R² = 0.9628

-2

0

2

4

6

-2 0 2 4 6

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -20

LAG = -35

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)

RSAN087 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


10

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

LPS Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)

LPS Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.6198x + 0.0652R² = 0.7629

y = 0.8212x + 0.2866R² = 0.8752

0

1

2

3

4

0 1 2 3 4

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)



y = 0.6696x + 0.0025R² = 0.9595

y = 1.0582x - 0.0895R² = 0.9703

-10

-5

0

5

10

-10 -5 0 5 10

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -28

LAG = -13

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)

LPS Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


11

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

DLC Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)

DLC Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.9262x - 0.1068R² = 0.9942

y = 0.9703x - 0.1132R² = 0.9951

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

-1 0 1 2 3 4 5

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)



y = 0.6504x + 0.6121R² = 0.8255

y = 0.8832x + 0.0894R² = 0.8996

-5

0

5

10

-5 0 5 10

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -75

LAG = -49

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)

DLC Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


12

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Flow

(100

0cfs

)

ROLD024 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Flow

(1

000c

fs)

ROLD024 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.8667x - 0.6003R² = 0.8819

y = 0.8222x - 0.5747R² = 0.8811

-4

-2

0

2

-4 -2 0 2

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)



y = 0.8684x - 0.4988R² = 0.9791

y = 0.8719x - 0.446R² = 0.9768

-20

-10

0

10

20

-20 -10 0 10 20

DSM

2 Fl

ow (1

000c

fs)


Instantaneous Flow

LAG = -6

LAG = -10

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in F

low

(1

000c

fs)

ROLD024 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


13

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Stag

e (N

AV

D88

ft)

RMID027 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Stge

(N

AV

D88

ft)

RMID027 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.8364x + 0.0409R² = 0.5978

y = 0.7686x + 0.7246R² = 0.6431

2

3

4

5

6

2 3 4 5 6

DSM

2 St

age

(NA

VD

88 ft

)


Tidally Averaged Stage

y = 0.9994x - 0.7628R² = 0.9166

y = 1.0431x - 0.533R² = 0.9224

0

2

4

6

8

0 2 4 6 8D

SM2

Stag

e (N

AV

D88

ft)


Instantaneous Stage

LAG = -18

LAG = -19

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in S

tage

(N

AV

D88

ft)

RMID027 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


14

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

07/01/08 07/02/08 07/03/08 07/04/08 07/05/08 07/06/08

Stag

e (N

AV

D88

ft)

CHGRL009 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

10/01/07 12/01/07 01/31/08 04/01/08 06/01/08 08/01/08 10/01/08

Tida

lly A

vera

ged

Stge

(N

AV

D88

ft)

CHGRL009 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated

y = 0.5909x + 0.9788R² = 0.6481

y = 0.5728x + 1.4667R² = 0.6412

2

3

4

5

6

2 3 4 5 6

DSM

2 St

age

(NA

VD

88 ft

)


Tidally Averaged Stage

y = 0.9981x - 0.7598R² = 0.9545

y = 1.0304x - 0.4991R² = 0.954

0

2

4

6

8

0 2 4 6 8D

SM2

Stag

e (N

AV

D88

ft)


Instantaneous Stage

LAG = -4

LAG = -10

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

10/1/2007 12/1/2007 1/31/2008 4/1/2008 6/1/2008 8/1/2008 10/1/2008

Dai

ly M

ax, A

vg, M

in S

tage

(N

AV

D88

ft)

CHGRL009 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated


Qual Calibration

15

• Calibration period 10/1/2000 to 10/1/2008

• Qual time step 15min \ Tidefile 30min

• Martinez Boundary EC using 15min value.

• Based on previous calibration, 7 new

adjustments/runs were made.


16

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

Oct-00 Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08

Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

RSAC054 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


y = 0.9108xR² = 0.9917

y = 0.9744xR² = 0.9969

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)

Observed EC (1000 umhos/cm)

Monthly Averaged EC


17

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


y = 1.0048xR² = 0.962

y = 1.0125xR² = 0.9604

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

0.00 5.00 10.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Sacramento River at Collinsville (RSAC081)


18

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


y = 0.8787xR² = 0.8845

y = 0.9693xR² = 0.8896

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Sacramento River at Emmaton (RSAC092)


19

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

3MILE_SL Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

3MILE_SL Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

y = 0.9957xR² = 0.8918

y = 1.0005xR² = 0.8996

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC


20

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

RSAN007 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


y = 1.0189xR² = 0.9469

y = 1.03xR² = 0.9505

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

San Joaquin River at Antioch (RSAN007)


21

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)


y = 1.0162xR² = 0.8861

y = 1.0584xR² = 0.9072

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

San Joaquin River at Jersey Point (RSAN018)


22

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

ROLD024 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

ROLD024 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

y = 0.9567xR² = 0.8808

y = 1.0343xR² = 0.8884

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Old River at Bacon Island (ROLD024)


23

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

CLIFTON_COURT Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

CLIFTON_COURT Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

y = 0.9077xR² = 0.9228

y = 0.9324xR² = 0.9341

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Clifton Court Forebay


24

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

CHDMC006 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

CHDMC006 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

y = 0.9206xR² = 0.8577

y = 0.9439xR² = 0.8428

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Tracy Pumping Plant


25

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00


Mo

nth

y A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

SLMZU011 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

10/01/00 10/01/01 10/01/02 10/01/03 10/01/04 10/01/05 10/01/06 10/01/07 10/01/08

Dai

ly A

vera

ged

EC

(10

00

um

ho

s/cm

)

SLMZU011 Observed 2009 Calibration Recalibrated V8.1

y = 0.7971xR² = 0.9499

y = 0.7895xR² = 0.9505

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00

DSM

2 S

imu

late

d E

C (1

00

0 u

mh

os/

cm)


Monthly Averaged EC

Montezuma SL at Beldons (SLMZU011)


Summary

26

• Modifications in Version 8.1 are tested and

working properly.

• Recalibrated Hydro results are very close to

2009 calibration (CH2M), with improvements at

a few locations.

• EC results didn’t change significantly from 2009

calibration. Some improvements at Emmaton,

Clifton Court.


Issues Remaining

27

• QC Martinez Stage and EC boundary

• Franks Tract area representation / improve flow

around Franks Tract and Bacon Island

• Delta Cross Channel flow

• Simulated daily minimum stage tend to be low.

• Simulated South Delta EC tend to be low.


Thank you!

Questions

[email protected]

28


mailto:[email protected]

dsm2 version 8.1 calibration status update · dsm2 version 8.1 calibration status update november...

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