drupa 2012 - european paper day - road map 2050
DESCRIPTION
Sector analysis by the Confederation of European Paper IndustriesTRANSCRIPT
In dialogue with the XXI century
Teresa Presas
DRUPA, 8 May 2012
Unfolding the future
Confederation of European Paper Industries
Represents: 19 National Associations
683 companies
1,000 mills
European Pulp and Paper Industry
Paper production 89 mio tons
Pulp production 12 mio tons
Turn over € 80 bio
€18 billion added value to EU GDP
230 000 job
Employment multiplying effect: 8 times
60% in rural areas
CEPI Vision
Roll out of Roadmap 2012
The European Pulp and Paper
Industry is a leading example
of how competitiveness and
sustainability can go hand in
hand
69.6% of paper is recycled; wood is renewable
53% of wood used by paper industry comes from certified
responsibly managed forests
30% reduction of GHG since 1990
54.5% of total on-site primary energy is renewable
Produces 20% of biomass energy in Europe
96% of electricity is produced through CHP
83% of pulp & paper products produced in EMS certified mills
Decoupled production and environmental impacts
Is committed to reach zero accidents
Innovative and technology driven
Competitiveness and sustainability
Climate Change 4th assessment report
“a sustainable forest management strategy aimed
at maintaining or increasing forest carbon stocks,
while producing an annual sustained yield of
timber, fibre or energy from the forest, will
generate the largest sustained mitigation benefit”
International Panel on Climate Change
At a crossroads
Financial turmoil in Europe
Raw materials struggle
Mainstream substitution technologies
Power shift in the global economy
Un-level playing field at global level
• Population by 2050 – 9 billion
• GDP from US$35 to 72 trillion by 2030
• Cereal demand: + 67% by 2050
• Energy demand double by 2030
• GHG emissions decrease 50-80% by 2050
• Water demand to increase 30% by 2030
• Land deficit by 2050 – 200 million ha
A connected world
Some key drivers ….
Climate change
The global consumer
Energy prices/ security
Food Supply/prices
Demographics
Water Innovation
Transport
Biochemicals
Sustainability
Biorefineries
Urbanization
Globalization
Recycling
Renewable
Technology
Geopolitics
Literacy
Global recession
New business models
Land use/ availability
Fiber Resources
Carbon trading/tax
China
Sustainable Forest Management
Biofuels
Financial system
Knowledge mobility
….shaping the future
Low carbon economy – zero emissions
Efficient use of resources – zero impact
Sustainable material management – zero
waste
Sustainable consumption – zero wastage
Management of residues and waste – zero to
landfill
The CEPI 2050 Roadmap
Rediscovering the route to growth
It’s time to change
Henry Ford:
“If I had asked
people what they
wanted, they
would have said
a faster horse”.
The challenge
50% more value, 80% less fossil CO2,
40 years from now
in a mature European market, with a stagnating population,
within a broad sector scope
THE FOREST FIBRE SECTOR tor
Value
The core strategy of the
path to 2050 is to get the
highest possible value
from resources – wood,
virgin and recycled fibre,
wood fibres and non-
fibre raw material
Integration
With paper at its core, a system of integrated
recycled and integrated virgin mills, balanced by non
integrated mills, will produce a number of new
products and services, using the whole input raw
material .
At the core of the bioeconomy
Product innovation….
Product innovation
…..material innovation
An Industry in transformation
Modern high-tech industry with traditional heritage
Innovative industry fit for the new economy
Essential part of European society, in line with society’s values
Competitive industry, supporting the rural economy
Driver of Europe’s sustainable green growth future
Resource efficient with renewable materials and recyclable products
Excelling in fiber knowledge
High ICT user
The Future
Modern high-tech industry with traditional heritage
Innovative industry fit for the new economy
Essential part of European society, in line with society values
Competitive industry, supporting the rural economy
Driver of Europe’s sustainable green growth future
Resource efficient with renewable materials and recyclable products
Excelling in fiber knowledge
High ICT user
Creating opportunities in:
• The packaging concept 2050
• The information sector 2050
• The health care sector 2050
• The resource management 2050
Central part of the bio economy
Growing in value, in line with the EU GDP
Creating new products and services
Extending the base of current products
Able of decarbonizing
Driven by a technological push
But only if….
We get the raw material needed.
We have access to finance / investment
We find the breakthrough technologies
We remain competitive compared to our global
competitors
CEPI Roadmap 2050
Forecast of the
future?
An industry
commitment?
An action plan?
• A vision
• A strategic industry
The Value footprint of paper
Thank you!