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Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

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Page 1: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

Drivers Responses Getting a Better

Number to Use and How to Apply It.

Jeff Muttart, Ph.D.

Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

Page 2: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Jeffrey W. Muttart, Ph.D.

2018

Symposium on Traffic Safety

Page 3: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

DISCLAIMER

The information contained in this presentation is, to the best of our knowledge, authentic and reliable; the author gives no guarantee that he has exactly paraphrased prior research. The author acknowledges that other factors and procedures not discussed in this class may affect your conclusions and interpretation of these results.

We cannot teach you in one week what it took years to learn – this presentation is a very small sample and should be treated as a starter.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTSI would like to thank all those who have assisted in my research. This includes all co-authors, colleagues,

and professors at the Universities of Hartford and Massachusetts. I would also like to give credit to my

colleagues at Crash Safety Research Center, LLC including Lisa Ton, Erin Strout, Lynn Carangelo and

Swaroop Dinakar.

Page 4: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Copyright

These materials may be used by only the person who paid for attendance, or purchased the materials.

Thus, the materials are for a single user only.

Use of any part of this course material for any purpose other than reconstructing and investigating motor vehicle crashes by the single user is prohibited. No derivative works are allowed.

Therefore, do not use this material to…

teach a class,

write a study or article,

for any other purpose without the written permission of the author.

No materials herein may be shared without written permission. These materials are the intellectual property of CSS, LLC. If someone wishes to purchase these materials, please contact [email protected]

The cost for these materials is $100 per user unless provided as part of an authorized course of study provided by, or sponsored by CSS, LLC.

Page 5: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Correct application of

perception-response times

FOCUSING OUR ATTENTION ON THE RESEARCH OF DRIVERS RESPONSES TO EASILY IDENTIFIED IMMEDIATE HAZARDS (EMERGENCY RESPONSES)

Page 6: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Problem

Problems

“blanket” or “abstract” 1.5 seconds – not associated with THIS case

Unknown starting point (road edge, stop line, when 1st seen)???

Unknown end – 1st reaction? Brake reaction? Up to 0.4 g, up to 0.7 g???

In 2017, there were several Daubert hearings related to PRT

“…a blanket PRT of 1.5 seconds – such as was used by ##### in his analysis – was overly simplistic and inappropriate under the circumstances because PRT is a discipline that is very dependent on the specific environment and hazard presented to a particular driver.”

Must used accepted research

Must apply the research properly to the facts of the caseBlame a

similar study

PRT ~ Info to

driver

Page 7: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Musical ScaleGood information versus bad information

DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EXPECTED AND UNEXPECTED IS

BASED UPON INFORMATION!!!

Page 8: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

More information is good

until….

Information… more

is better

Capabilities

Until we get too

much

BAD! BAD!

Minimum Threshold

Page 9: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Example of too much

information

Average PRT 0 to ∞

Normal range (Standard

deviation)

Texting

Add 0.7 s

(If they respond at all)

Minimum

necessary

Information for

recognition

Ped dart out when negotiating a curve or

intersection when involved in a hands

free argument

Text messaging and responding to an

unexpected hazard

Page 10: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Page 11: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Example of too little

information

Also, Pedestrian

dressed in black at night

Vehicle stopped facing forward in travel

lane on high speed highway

CANNOT apply PRT…

Cannot respond to something

That is unrecognizable

Minimum necessary

Information for

recognition

Vehicle or pedestrian more than 8 feet from road edge

Page 12: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Problem – so you know?

1. What is PRT and what phases are included?

2. When does PRT start?

3. When does PRT end?

4. How each of the above might change for

different crash types?

5. Otherwise… you are

6. Making up!

Page 13: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Each crash type should be

addressed separately

Path Intrusions:

Lead vehicle:

Lead vehicle stopped < 2 seconds

Lead vehicle stopped > 2 seconds

Lead vehicle traveling slower

Lead vehicle decelerating

CSRC, LLC Added Crash Types

??Human

error??

?? Human

limitation??

Both high speed

86S 88S

National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Study Crash Types

Page 14: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Response to a vehicle

ahead

Page 15: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

driver error - slips or errors of

execution or mistakes

Information? – Sudden change in following distance

Brake lights, traffic slowing, = BRAKE STUPID!

Page 16: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Naturalistic data from Muttart, 2003, 2005

N

PRT

(AVG)

PRT

(Median) 85th Percentile Crashes Nighttime

Routine

Rear-end 13 1.1 s 1.0 s 1.3 s 7 2

(not looming)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0.6 s. 0.7 s. 0.8 s. 0.9 s. 1.0 s. 1.1 s. 1.2 s. 1.3 s. 1.4 s. 1.5 s. 1.6 s. 1.7 s. 1.8 s. 1.9 s. 2.0 s.

Low Speed Rear End & Close Following

Perception-Response Times (Day & Night)

30.7% - < 1.0 s

61.5% - 1.0 – 1.31 s

7.7% - > 1.32 s

Page 17: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Driver Response Times

Car Following Situations

Headway & Topography

Headway (seconds)

> 3.51.1 - 3.5< 1.1

Mea

n R

esp

on

se

Tim

e (

ms

.)

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

Straight & Level

Curves & Intersect.

1225

9291064

3118

1645

1001

Closing Speed is not at issue

at intersections

Muttart, Messerschmidt & Gillen, 2005

Page 18: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Human error - (Inability to

detect or diagnose closing speed)

Page 19: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Looming: > 40 mph Closing

on Straight Multi-lane Road

Average driver starts maneuver ~ 120 ft (36.6 m)

This driver was better than that

Page 20: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Path Intrusion Information

factors to consider

Information Factor A B

Where was hazard Directly ahead Right or left or ahead

Natural lighting Day Night

Movement Target was always

moving

Target was stationary

Topography Intersection, or area

where there was a

greater conflict

Straight road or

highway

Which scenarios offer drivers the least information?

Page 21: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Previously obstructed

Hazard 1st seen in the

roadSTART: APPROXIMATELY ½ THE OBJECT IS RECOGNIZABLE (3 FT OF FRONT)

END: BRT – BRAKING; PRT - ~0.4 G

AVERAGE PRT (PERCEPTION-RESPONSE TIME = 1.0 SEC +/- 0.36 SEC

85% OF DRIVERS RESPOND FASTER THAN 1.4 SEC

95% OF DRIVERS RESPOND FASTER THAN 1.7 SEC

Page 22: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

What if the Principle Other Unit is

Already In the Road When First Seen?

Pupil SizeFixation

Location

Car

Page 23: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

When to Start the PRT

Clock

Page 24: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Pre-recognition

Page 25: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Recognition

Page 26: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

From between cars - day

Page 27: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Steers Left / Brakes 1.0 s later

Average = 1.0 s +/- 0.36 s

Page 28: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

References: Sudden

appearing path intrusion Chisholm, S.L., Caird, J.K., Teteris, E., Lockhart, J., &

Smiley, A. (2006). Novice and experienced driving performance with cell phones. Proceedings of the 50th Annual Human Factors and Ergonomics Meeting, San Francisco, CA, October 2006. pp. 2354-2358.

D'Addario, P.M. (2014). Perception-Response Time to Emergency Roadway Hazards and the Effect of Cognitive Distraction, Master's Thesis. University of Toronto.

Jurecki, R., Stanczyk, T.L., (2011). The test methods and the reaction time of drivers, Eksploatacja I Niezawodnosc, 3, 16-23.

Stanczyk, T.L., Jurecki, R., Jaskiewicz, M., Walczak, S., Janczur, R. (2011). Researches on the Reaction of a Pedestrian Stepping into the Road from the3 Right Side from Behind an Obstacle Realized on the Track, Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, 18,(1), 615-622.

Page 29: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Rule of Thumb PRTs

Crash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006 r/s 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

High speed closing Looming threshold 0.4 g Expect ~ 120 ft of hard braking or

steering

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in sightline 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Requirements with all PRTs

- EASILY identifiable

- Know what it is

- Know where it is

- know that it is headed directly toward path

- Requires an emergency response

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s Ising, et al., 2012

Mazzae et al., 1999

Muttart, 2003, 2005

Goudie et al. (SAE)

Page 30: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Left turn or through

movement intruderSTART: VEHICLE: STOP LINE OR SIMILAR LOCATION

PEDESTRIAN: .5 M (1.5 FT) FROM ROAD EDGE (I.E. , CURB)

END: BRT – BRAKE; PRT - ~0.4 G

Page 31: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Path Intrusion

An object that is traveling or facing a different

direction than the subject driver and enters the

driver’s path

Primary Factors

1. Intersection vs.

straight road

2. Eccentricity

1. How many

lanes

2. How fast is

the intruder

3. PRT, BRT, pRT???

4. Manual

secondary task

NOT Factors

1. Headway

2. Lanes

Page 32: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Side intrusion starting from

a near road edge/stop

lineDay Night

Straight 1.34 sec 1.80 sec

Curve, cued,

intersection

1.55 sec 2.05 sec

Plus or minus 35%

More information

to the driver

Less information

to the driver

Page 33: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Path Intrusion Intersection

Night – 1.6 seconds works!

Page 34: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

1.6 s later – the only common crash

type where 1.5 - 1.6 s is correct

Page 35: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Pedestrian Intrusion –

Intersection - day

Page 36: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

0.8 s – hard braking

Page 37: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

0.8 s – hard braking

Expected ~ 1.1 s +/- 0.4 s

Page 38: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Straight road – dayAverage PRT – 1.8 sec

85% respond faster than 2.4 sec

95% respond faster than 3.0 sec

Page 39: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

This driver’s PRT ~ 3.2 sec(much slower than average)

Page 40: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Path IntrusionPEDESTRIANS

Page 41: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Barrett et al 1968

- Started response time

when pedestrian

emerged from a

roadside shed

Page 42: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Started at the last landing foot before

entering road

Page 43: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

One study started the

clock at the wallWhen PRT was measured as described earlier, Lubbe = IDRR

Lubbe et al, 2015 Intersection – day – expect BRT = 1.1 s –

he reported 1.4 s can you explain why he was higher?

PRT =

1.1 s

From

here

BRT =

1.4 s

Page 44: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0.0 s. 0.5 s. 1.0 s. 1.5 s. 2.0 s. 2.5 s. 3.0 s.

Intersection Path intrusion – f/ Different Direction

Day Night

Naturalistic data from Muttart, 2003, 2005

(Other unit started from stop: Day 19; Night 7)

N PRT SD CV Crashes

Eccentricity > 12 deg.

(2 lanes)

Day 30 1.42 0.51 0.33 12 11

Night-lighted 16 1.56 0.73 0.41 8 9

MeanCV 0.36

Page 45: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

References: Vehicle path

Intrusions Chang, S,H., Lin, C. Y., Fung, C., P., Hwang, J. R., and Doong, J., L. (2008). Driving

performance assessment: Effects of traffic accident location and alarm content, Accident Analysis and Prevention, 40, 1637-1643.

D'Addario, P.M. (2014). Perception-Response Time to Emergency Roadway Hazards and the Effect of Cognitive Distraction, Master's Thesis. University of Toronto.

Hankey, J. M., McGehee D. V., Dingus, T. A., Mazzae, E. N., & Garrott, W. R. (1996). Initial driver avoidance behavior and reaction time to an unalerted intersection incursion, Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society 40th Annual Meeting.

Mazzae, E. N., Barickman, F., Baldwin, G. H. S., & Forkenbrock, G. (1999). Driver crash avoidance behavior with ABS in an intersection incursion scenario on dry versus wet pavement. (SAE Paper No. 1999-01-1288) Warrendale, PA; Society of Automotive Engineers.

Lechner, D., & Malaterre, G. (1991). Emergency maneuver experimentation using a driving simulator. (SAE Paper No. 910016) Warrendale, PA: Society of Automotive Engineers.

Mazzae, E. N., Baldwin, G. H. S., & McGehee, D. V. (1999). Driver crash avoidance behavior with ABS in an intersection incursion scenario on the Iowa driving simulator. (SAE paper No. 1999-01-1290) Warrendale, PA; Society of Automotive Engineers.

Perron T., Chevennement J., Damville A., Mautuit C., Thomas C., Le Coz J.Y. (1998). Pilot Study of Accident Scenarios on a Driving Simulator, Proceedings of the 16th ESV Conference, June 1-4, 1998, Windsor, Canada, Paper n° 98-S2-O-02, pp. 374-385.

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© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

References: Pedestrian

path Intrusions Barrett, G., Kobayashi, M., & Fox, B. H. (1968). Feasibility of studying

driver reaction to sudden pedestrian emergencies in an automobile simulator, Human Factors, 10, 19-26.

Broen, N. L., & Chiang, D. P. (1996). Braking response times for 100 drivers in the avoidance of an unexpected obstacle as measured in a driving simulator, Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society 40th Annual Meeting, 900.

Fisher, D. L., Knodler, M., & Muttart, J. (2009). Driver-Eye-Movement-Based Investigation for Improving Work-Zone Safety. The New England Transportation Consortium. Project No. NETC 04-2.

Phelps, N. R., & Dunne, M. C. (2001). Factors that influence driver reaction times on a PC-based test, Proceedings of the 2001 Annual Conference of the Institute of Traffic Accident Investigators. 109-115.

Lubbe, N., Rosen, E. (2014). Pedestrian crossing situations: Quantification of comfort boundaries to guide intervention training, Accident Analysis and Prevention, 71, 261-266.

Lubbe, N., Davidson, J. (2015). Drivers' comfort boundaries in pedestrian crossing: a study in driver braking characteristics as a function of pedestrian walking speed, Safety Science, 75, 100-106. doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2015.01.019

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© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Rule of Thumb PRTsCrash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006 r/s 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

High speed closing Looming threshold 0.4 g

Expect ~ 120 ft

of hard braking

or steering

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in sightline 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Straight – day *(lane side)

Ped – 1.5 ft (0.5 m) before curb

Vehicle – stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from

curb (edge of road)

0.4 g 1.8 +/- .63

Straight –night* 0.4 g 2.1 +/- .71

Intersection/cued – day* 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .51

Intersection/cued – night* 0.4 g 1.6 +/- .73

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s Ising, et al., 2012

Mazzae et al., 1999

Muttart, 2003, 2005

Goudie et al. (SAE)

Page 48: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Where to start PRTWHAT IS STARTING FROM STOP… INTRUDER INITIALLY SLOW

WHAT IF INTRUDER IS COMING IN HOT! – SHOULD DRIVER RECOGNIZE THIS BEFORE INTRUDER REACHES STOP LINE?

Page 49: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

If I wanted to measure the

time to fill a cup, would it

matter where I start?

Start

1.3 sec

2.5 sec

End

Study

A

Study

B

Page 50: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Study: Time to fill cupWhich study (A or B) best applies?

~ stop line ~ sudden appearance in road

Estimate the time it would take to fill each cup

Page 51: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Start at one of three locations

All 3 Experimenters stop the clock

here… when brake lights go on

C

B

A

Experimenter C starts the clock here

Experimenter A starts the clock here

Experimenter B starts

the clock here

DO NOT use a PRT that started at B to a starting point at A

or C

All Response Times are Not

The Same

Page 52: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Two phase stop – Consistent

with Harwood et al.

Page 53: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

CDL Driver - Two phase

stop – secondary glance

Page 54: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

High speed intrusionBOTH VEHICLES ENTER THE INTERSECTION AT SPEED

EXPECT 0.4 TO 0.7 SECONDS OF PRE-IMPACT BRAKING AND MOST WILL CRASH

Page 55: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

What if a car comes in without

slowing? Do we recognize it earlier?... NO!

We assume drivers will obey the law.

Page 56: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Anticipation (hope?) – that side road drivers will stop

Page 57: Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How ... · Drivers Responses Getting a Better Number to Use and How to Apply It. Jeff Muttart, Ph.D. Crash Safety Solutions, LLC

© Jeffrey W Muttart 2018

Braking 0.3 s before impact

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Anticipation (hope?) – that side road drivers will stop

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Braking 0.3 s before impact

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Marshall et al, 2017; Perron

et al., 1998

Greater

eccentricity

Accounts for

Expectation that

Other driver will

obey the law

6.1 sec2.5 sec

Marshall Perron

POU Speed 45 mph 60 km/h – 37.3

mph

Visible 2.49 s 6.1 s

Warning at 1.2 s

before visible

Speed reduction

(median)

Not mentioned 5 km/h (3 mph)

Median response

before impact

0.4 s 0.7 s

Crashed 91% 89%

AT SPEED INTRUSIONS –

PRTs are fast,

but not fast

enough

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References: High speed

path Intrusion Chang,S,H., Lin, C. Y., Fung, C., P., Hwang, J. R., and

Doong, J., L. (2008). Driving performance assessment: Effects of traffic accident location and alarm content, Accident Analysis and Prevention, 40, 1637-1643.

Marshall, D., Brown, T., Boyle, L.N., Wu, X. (2016). Connected vehicle alerts: One size doesn't fit all scenarios, Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting.

Perron T., Chevennement J., Damville A., Mautuit C., Thomas C., Le Coz J.Y. (1998). Pilot Study of Accident Scenarios on a Driving Simulator, Proceedings of the 16th ESV Conference, June 1-4, 1998, Windsor, Canada, Paper n° 98-S2-O-02, pp. 374-385

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Rule of Thumb PRTsCrash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006

r/s

0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in

sightline

0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Straight – day *(lane side) Ped – 1.5 ft (0.5 m) before

curb

Vehicle – stop line or 6.5 ft

(2 m) from curb (edge of

road)

0.4 g 1.8 +/- .63

Straight –night* 0.4 g 2.1 +/- .71

Intersection/cued – day* 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .51

Intersection/cued – night* 0.4 g 1.6 +/- .73

High speed Intrusion Stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m)

from curb (edge of road)

0.4 g 0.8 +/- .7 sSpeed/

Accuracy

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s Ising, et al., 2012

Mazzae et al., 1999

Muttart, 2003, 2005

Goudie et al. (SAE)

• See previously stated

requirements For PRT

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Path Intrusion from same

directionVEHICLE CHANGING LANES OR CUT-OFF

START: 1ST LATERAL MOVEMENT OF THE INTRUDER

END: BRT-BRAKING; PRT – 0.4 G

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Sideswipe - same

A VEHICLE that is traveling the same

direction as the subject driver and enters

the driver’s path

Primary Factors

1. No. Lanes

changed

2. Eccentricity

1. How many

lanes

2. How fast is the

intruder

traveling

3. Day versus night

NOT Factors

1. Headway

2. Intersection vs.

straight road

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Path Intrusion from same

direction vehicle (Cut-off)

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Noticeable deceleration

1.2 seconds –

how did he compare?

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Path Intrusion - Principle Other from Same Direction

MeanCV = 0.35

N PRT SD CV Crashes

Day-Next lane 24 0.93 0.34 0.37 10

Day - >1 lane 28 1.13 0.41 0.37 20

Night - Next lane 6 1.32 0.49 0.37 1

Night - > 1 lane 22 1.40 0.45 0.32 11

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0.0 s. 0.5 s. 1.0 s. 1.5 s. 2.0 s. 2.5 s. 3.0 s.

Path Intrusion from Same Direction: Cut-off

Naturalistic data from Muttart, 2003, 2005

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References: Path Intrusion

from same direction (cut-off) Chen, W-H, Fung, C-P, Chang, C-C, (2005). Study of

Driver Behavior as Motorcycles Mixed in Traffic Flow. Downloaded 12/29/09. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/pdf/esv/esv19/05-0296-O.pdf

Chisholm, S.L., Caird, J.K., Teteris, E., Lockhart, J., & Smiley, A. (2006). Novice and experienced driving performance with cell phones. Proceedings of the 50th Annual Human Factors and Ergonomics Meeting, San Francisco, CA, October 2006. pp. 2354-2358.

Currie, L. (1969). The perception of danger in a simulated driving task, Ergonomics, 12, 841-849.

Muttart, J. W. (2003). Development and evaluation of driver perception-response equations based upon meta-analysis, (Technical paper no. 2003-01-0885). Warrendale, PA: Society of Automotive Engineers.

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Rule of Thumb PRTsCrash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006 r/s 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in sightline 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Straight – day *(lane side)

Ped – 1.5 ft (0.5 m) before curb

Vehicle – stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from

curb (edge of road)

0.4 g 1.8 +/- .63

Straight –night* 0.4 g 2.1 +/- .71

Intersection/cued – day* 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .51

Intersection/cued – night* 0.4 g 1.6 +/- .73

High speed IntrusionStop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from curb (edge

of road)0.4 g 0.8 +/- .7 s

Same direction day - next lane

First lateral movement that lead directly

to the intrusion

0.4 g 0.9 +/- .34

Same direction day - 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.1 +/- .41

Same direction night - next lane 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .49

Same direction night – 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.4 +/- .45

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s

• See previously stated

requirements For PRT

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Left turn across path-opposite

direction / head-on / U-turnSTART: 1ST LATERAL MOVEMENT THAT LEADS TO THE

INTRUSION

END: BRT – BRAKE; PRT - ~0.4 G

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D’Addario, 2014

Brake Resp Time = 2.05 s

Perception-Response Time to Emergency Roadway Hazards and the

Effect of Cognitive Distraction, Master’s Thesis, U. of Toronto

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LTAP-OD Day – No

Intervening vehicle

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LTAP-OD – Day – No Intervening vehicle 2.2 s

Average 1.8 s +/- 0.5 s (See D’Addario, 2015)

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1st lateral movement to

start of steering = 1.8 s

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Head-onStart- 1st lateral movement OR when it is clear

the vehicle is in lane – whichever is last

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U-Turn

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References

Hancock, P.A., DeRidder, S.N., (2003). Behavioural accident avoidance science: understanding response in collision incipient conditions, Ergonomics, 46, 1111-1135.

Unbeknownst to each driver, another live subject driver was approaching head-on in daylight at an average closing speed of near 72.1 mph.

From 1st visible over crest, steer response times were an average of 1.65 +/- 0.17 second.

Steering time was approximately 0.38 second

D’Addario, P. (2014). Perception-Response Time to Emergency Roadway Hazards and the Effect of Cognitive Distraction, Master’s Thesis, U. of Toronto

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Rule of Thumb PRTs Crash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006 r/s 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in sightline 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Straight – day *(lane side)

Ped – 1.5 ft (0.5 m) before curb

Vehicle – stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from curb (edge of

road)

0.4 g 1.8 +/- .63 s

Straight –night* 0.4 g 2.1 +/- .71 s

Intersection/cued – day* 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .51 s

Intersection/cued – night* 0.4 g 1.6 +/- .73 s

High speed Intrusion Stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from curb (edge of road) 0.4 g 0.8 +/- .7 s

Same direction day - next lane

First lateral movement that lead directly to the

intrusion

0.4 g 0.9 +/- .34 s

Same direction day - 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.1 +/- .41 s

Same direction night - next lane 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .49 s

Same direction night – 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.4 +/- .45 s

Left turn from opposite direction / Head-on / U-turnsFirst lateral movement that lead directly to the

intrusion0.4 g Use straight road PRT

High speed closing Looming threshold 0.4 gExpect ~ 120 ft of hard

braking or steering

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s • See previously stated

requirements For PRT

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Want to be more precise

than rule-of-thumb? Learn when PRT cannot be used

Night recognition

CAPLETS

Contrast

Anticipation (relevance, experience, shape of object,…)

Account for more variables

Rules of thumb are very general

PRT will vary from Rules of thumb

Driver attention

Visual angle of the target

Speed of intruder

When the driver’s foot already rests on the brake

When not driving

When the driver knows what is coming (almost never in real-life)

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Nighttime Recognition CONTRAST

ANTICIPATION

PATTERN

LIGHTING

ECCENTRICITY

TIME OF EXPOSURE

SIZE

CAPLETS

Information necessary

for recognition

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High & Low Beam

Headlight aim (SAE J599)Left headlight

position

Peak Illumination

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Nighttime Recognition Distance Unlit Open Roads

(test track tests result in much greater distances)

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Balk, S. A., Tyrrell, R. A., Brooks, J. O., Carpenter, T. L., (2008). Highlighting human form and motion informationenhances the conspicuity of pedestrians at night, Perception, 37, 1276 – 1284.

No pattern & below

threshold –no

movement

Pattern created by only when

moving

Pattern & Movement

= easily identifiable

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Pattern / Size

More information – A well marked trailer

ahead– or the underside of a trailer across the

road

Deceleration

started 1.62

sec before

impact

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0.75 Sec. Before Impact

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Family with Flashlight

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Generally, age has made a difference

But what about THIS driver?

OlderYoungerNumber

Response Time

Theoretical distribution of responses for young

versus old driver participants.

This

Driver?

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Summary of PRT / Night

RecognitionDRIVERS’ RESPONSES VARIED DUE TO ACTIONABLE

INFORMATION TO THE DRIVER

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Rule of Thumb PRTs Crash type Start End PRT

Sudden slowing LV Brake lights of LV or 0.006 r/s 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .32 s

Sudden appearance 3 ft. / 1 m of target in sightline 0.4 g 1.0 +/- .36 s

Straight – day *(lane side)

Ped – 1.5 ft (0.5 m) before curb

Vehicle – stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from curb (edge of

road)

0.4 g 1.8 +/- .63 s

Straight –night* 0.4 g 2.1 +/- .71 s

Intersection/cued – day* 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .51 s

Intersection/cued – night* 0.4 g 1.6 +/- .73 s

High speed Intrusion Stop line or 6.5 ft (2 m) from curb (edge of road) 0.4 g 0.8 +/- .7 s

Same direction day - next lane

First lateral movement that lead directly to the

intrusion

0.4 g 0.9 +/- .34 s

Same direction day - 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.1 +/- .41 s

Same direction night - next lane 0.4 g 1.3 +/- .49 s

Same direction night – 2 lanes 0.4 g 1.4 +/- .45 s

Left turn from opposite direction / Head-on / U-turnsFirst lateral movement that lead directly to the

intrusion0.4 g Use straight road PRT

High speed closing Looming threshold 0.4 gExpect ~ 120 ft of hard

braking or steering

When were brakes applied?

Subtract 0.25 s • See previously stated

requirements For PRT

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Nighttime Recognition Distance Unlit Open Roads

(test track tests result in much greater distances)