dreamer 429 ehac value 201108
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8/4/2019 Dreamer 429 EHAC Value 201108
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Investment Objective Performance from 11/24/2009 to 08/31/2011
Cumulative Performance %
1 month 1 year 3 years 5 years
Portfolio -13.68% -17.14% - -
Hang Seng Index -8.49% -0.01% - -
HSCEI -11.56% -4.03% - -
HK MidCap Index -11.93% -4.74% - -
Portfolio Information Calendar Year Performance %2007 2008 2009 2010
Portfolio manager Portfolio - - 2.54% 8.65%
Inception date Hang Seng Index - - -3.64% 5.32%
Base currency HSCEI - - -4.30% -0.79%
NAV per unit HK MidCap Index - - 1.65% 8.42%
AUM as of 08/31/2011
Sector ExposurePortfolio Characteristics
HSI
Price / Earnings 9.5
Price / Book 1.5
Dividend Yield 3.2
Breakdown by Market Capitalization
Statistical Analysis
Top Five Holdings as at 08/31/2011
Holding %
Correlation 0.78 - 0.68 LINK REIT Property 17.2%
Beta 0.85 - 0.74 PING AN INSURANCE Financials 15.3%
Annualized volatility % 20.97 - 21.16 CHINA LIFE INSURANCE Financials 12.4%
Sharpe ratio -0.82 - -0.18 LERADO GROUP Consumer Discretionary 11.6%
Average annual return % -17.15 - -9.37 GCL-POLY ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED Industrials 9.9%
-10.86%
-13.78%
Since inception
-15.94%
2011 YTD
-24.55%
-9.53%
-18.15%
-7.34%
EHAC Value Portfolio - Hong KongAugust 31, 2011
523,106.10
1 year 3 yearSince
launch
4.4
* ex-financials
To provide long term capital growth by investing
in securities of companies with promising growth
prospects, unique businesses and strong financial
positions. An aggressive while conservative value
investing approach is adopted.
The portfolio will primarily invest in public
securities of companies (including but not limited
to Chinese companies and global / regional
companies) which are located in the PRC or derive
a predominant part of their income and / or assets
from the PRC and / or benefit from the economic
growth of the PRC. The portfolio may invest in
ETFs, options or futures whose price movements
are perceived to be highly correlated with the
economic and / or market performance over the
short, medium or long term either for the purpose
of investment or hedging.
11/24/09
HKD
Dreamer429
Portfolio*
11.2
2.5
-15.92%
EHAC Value Portfolio - Hong Kong
84.06
Sector
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
11/24/09 3/24/10 7/24/10 11/24/10 3/24/11 7/24/11
NAV per share
Hang Seng HK
MidCap Index(Indexed at
100)
HSI (Indexed at
100)
8.3%
8.4%
8.4%
11.6%
15.2%
20.3%
27.7%
Cash
Consumer Staples
ETFs
Consumer Discretionary
Industrials
Property
Financials
Large
Cap
75.4%
Mid Cap
3.8%
Small
Cap
20.7%
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Monthly Highlights and Outlook
Market Summary
1-month 3-month 6-month 1-year 1Q11-YTD 2Q11-YTD 3Q11-YTD Annual
MSCI China-9.4% -14.0% -8.7% -2.5%
2.9% -0.7% - -Consumer Discretionary -10.2% -7.2% -2.4% -7.7% -3.5% 2.9% - -
Consumer Staple -8.3% -7.1% 7.2% -5.4% -6.4% 3.0% - -
Energy -8.4% -13.0% -4.9% 20.3% 8.4% 4.4% - -
Financials -12.4% -19.7% -14.3% -10.9% 3.7% -4.3% - -
Health Care -13.1% -26.4% -27.3% -27.7% -2.3% -10.5% - -
Industrials -13.4% -23.8% -27.1% -25.8% -4.6% -15.4% - -
Information Technology -10.1% -17.1% -13.3% 16.8% 10.7% 14.9% - -
Materials -13.7% -17.4% -9.3% 4.1% 8.2% 2.5% - -
Telecommunication Ser. 2.3% 7.8% 10.4% 8.6% -2.2% 1.5% - -
Utilities -3.2% -10.9% 0.9% -11.2% 7.7% 4.4% - -
Macro Indicators* Latest 3mma 6mma 12mma 1Q11-YTD 2Q11-YTD 3Q11-YTD Annual
Real GDP** 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% - -
Mfg PMI (%) 50.9 52.0 52.2 55.2 - - - -
Industrial Production 14.0% 14.1% 14.3% 14.0% 14.4% 14.3% - -
CPI 6.5% 6.1% 5.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% - -
PPI 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 6.3% 7.1% 7.0% - -
M1 11.6% 12.4% 13.3% 16.8% - - - -
M2 14.7% 15.2% 15.5% 17.3% - - - -
New RMB Loan (RMB bn) 492.6 559.4 605.5 620.5 2,255.0 4,180.1 - -
Trade Balance (USD bn) 31.5 22.3 11.8 14.8 (0.7) 46.0 - -
Exports 20.3% 19.2% 20.9% 24.8% 26.4% 24.0% - -
Imports 23.0% 23.5% 23.3% 28.3% 32.8% 27.6% - -
FAI 24.5% 25.4% 25.4% 24.9% 25.0% 25.6% - -
Retail Sales 17.2% 17.3% 16.3% 17.6% 16.3% 16.8% - -
Transportation Volume 10.9% 11.4% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 10.9% - -
Real Estate Investments 36.5% 33.6% 34.0% 32.9% 34.1% 32.9% - -
Automobile Sales 2.5% 0.1% 1.7% 10.6% 8.2% 3.8% - -
Industrial Profit Margin 5.6% 6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.2% - -
USD / CNY Spot 6.444 6.467 6.505 6.593 1.0% 2.3% - -
CNY REER (%) 1.3% -0.3% -2.4% -0.7% -1.9% -3.0% - -
CNY NEER (%) -0.2% 0.0% -1.2% -2.0% -1.2% -1.5% - -
1Yr Nom. Int. Rate (% pa) 6.56 6.31 6.06 5.56 - - - -
7-Day SHIBOR (% pa) 4.96% 3.20% 4.30% 2.19% - - - -ICE Brent Crude (US$/bbl) 112.9 118.5 92.2 79.0 23.2% 18.5% - -
Source: NBS, BIS, MSCI, Factset, Bloomberg. *YoY unless otherwise specificed. **YoY Real GDP in previous quarters.
August 31, 2011
EHAC Value Portfolio - Hong Kong
EHAC Value Portfolio - Hong Kong
Market conditions became even more challenging in August, with broad-based decline recorded in all MSCI industry groups except for
telecom services which had outperformed over the past six months. Our portfolio registered one of the worst monthly declines since
inception, primarily due to our inadequate responses in the face of the universal sell-off, especially with regarding to the positions in the
small- and mid-cap names.
The main concerns of the market were nothing new – policy mistakes in the US debt ceiling debate (which led to an unprecedented sovereign
downgrade by the S&P), fiscal woes in Europe, as well as the runaway inflation & growth slowdown in EM countries (especially China) – whichhad all been well-flagged and to a certain extent not at all a total surprise to the market. The important question is thus how much of these
downside risks had already been priced in. The offshore Chinese market (our major investment universe) is now arguably trading down to
depressed valuations close to crisis level. We believe the broad-based sell-off is overdone, unless one is factoring a recession scenario, which
we still consider it to be a low-probability event in the next six to twelve months.
Consistent with our view on the macro front, we continue to position for the potential rebound in the market as macro concerns wane and as
EM inflation stabilizes. Rather than attempting to time the short-term bounces and retreats in market prices, we are instead inclined to sit
tight and adjust our portfolio only when exceptional opportunities arise.