DRAFT PRESENTATION TO THE BOARD OF CORRECTIONSMark Rubin – Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Maine Statistical Analysis Center: Who We Are

Located at University of Southern Maine (USM) Muskie School of Public Service

Funded by DOJ-BJS and guided by a statewide advisory group: Maine Department of Public Safety, Maine Department of Corrections, Maine Administrative Office of the Courts, and Maine Juvenile Justice Advisory Group.

Primary in-state partner is the Maine Department of Corrections

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Maine Statistical Analysis Center: What We Do

Conduct research on best practices in the criminal justice system

Analyze performance measures (e.g. recidivism)

Train agency staff on best practices, such as risk assessment (OD approach)

Provide technical assistance to improve agency performance (CPAI, logic models)

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Overview of Data

In 2005, Maine began implementing a series of evidence-based principles in community corrections Part of the National Institute of Corrections

(NIC) pilot project Goal of measuring effectiveness of correctional

management of offenders in the community Using CORIS ( Corrections Information

System), the SAC has analyzed DOC data for the past six years on probation outcomes and more recently, prison exiter outcomes

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Probation Analysis 2004-2008

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Active Probation Population between 12/31/07 and 9/30/10

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Where are probationers coming from (2004-2008)?

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Probation Entrants from Jail by Gender and Race (2004-2008)

Gender Total

Female 16.4%

Male 83.6%

Total 100%

Race TotalAsian 0.2%Black or

African American

2.6%

Native American

1.3%

Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander

0.0%

Unknown 3.0%White 92.8%NA 0.0%Total 100.0%

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Age of Probation Entrants from Jail at Start of Probation (2004-2008)

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Number of revocations to Jail 2007-2009

2258

2377

2125

1950

2000

2050

2100

2150

2200

2250

2300

2350

2400

2007 2008 2009

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Revocations to Jail Facilities

303338

283

894 919

781

10601118

1061

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2007 2008 2009

Felonies

Misdemeanors

Tech.violations

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Technical Violation Outcomes

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Percentage of Technical Violations leading to a Revocation

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Program Evaluation and Outcomes

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Correctional Program Assessment Inventory (CPAI-2000) in Maine The Maine Department of Corrections

and the Muskie School of Public Service have a cooperative agreement to assess program integrity across identified juvenile and adult programs, using the CPAI-2000.

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Correctional Program Assessment Inventory (CPAI-2000)

Developed to evaluate the overall effectiveness of treatment programs to reduce recidivism

Incorporates the principles of effective intervention

Evaluates whether programs have the ingredients of effective treatment and the findings can provide a roadmap to facilitate program improvement

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

CPAI-What is it?

Programs that have higher scores on the CPAI:

1. have lower recidivism rates 2. fewer serious offenses 3. fewer incarcerations

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

CPAI Scoring

Very satisfactory70% +

Satisfactory50-69%

UnsatisfactoryBelow 50%

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Evaluation Outcomes of three DOC facility programs

Program Name Rating

Correctional Recovery Academy/Transitional Recovery Academy Very Satisfactory

Women’s Center Very Satisfactory

R.U.L.E. Sex Offender Tx Very Satisfactory

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Programming outcomes (1 year return to prison)

0.0

3.04.6

13.412.1 12.3

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

RULE (Sex offender) CRA/ TRA (substance abuse) Women's Center* (p<.=.05)

Program AttendeesNon Attendees

* Women’s Center (Windham) includes women leaving WRC (Bangor)

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Return to Prison Analysis 2004-2008

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Release Numbers

Year

Number Released

% to Probation

% to Straight Release

2004

100974.2 25.3

2005

103462.5 37.5

2006

99658.8 41.2

2007

109860.9 39.1

2008

117859.6 40.4

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Rate of Return to Prison

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Reason for return to prison in less than 1 year

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Challenges and Opportunities Data Challenges

Only able to measure recidivism while under DOC supervision

Inability to measure recidivism from county jails systematically.

Future Directions Calculating a rate of return to either jail or

prison Calculating recidivism rates for specific

facilities Evaluating jail facility programming and its

impact on recidivismMark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine

Contact Information

Mark RubinResearch AssociateMaine Statistical Analysis CenterMuskie School of Public ServiceP.O. Box 9300Portland, ME  04104(207) 780-5843Fax: (207) 228-8460mrubin@usm.maine.edu

Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine