draft factors for decline noaa (1998) habitatharvest disease & predation regulatory mechanisms...

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D R A F T D R A F T Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) Habitat Harvest Disease & Predati on Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel form Marine Disease NW Forest Plan Drought Substrate Recreational Predation Forest Practices Floods Roughness Scientific Dredge and Fill Ocean Conditions Estuaries Water Quality Artificial Propagation Wetlands Ag Practices Riparian Areas Urban Growth Water Quality Streamflows Passage Habitat Elimination

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Page 1: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Factors for DeclineNOAA (1998)

Habitat Harvest

Disease &

Predation

Regulatory

Mechanisms

Other Natural or Human

Channel form Marine Disease NW Forest Plan Drought

Substrate Recreational Predation Forest Practices Floods

Roughness Scientific Dredge and Fill Ocean Conditions

Estuaries Water Quality Artificial Propagation

Wetlands Ag Practices

Riparian Areas Urban Growth

Water Quality

Streamflows

Passage

Habitat Elimination

Page 2: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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“migration delay resulting from insufficient streamflows or habitat blockage….

loss of usable habitat due to dewatering and blockage….

increased juvenile mortality from increased water temperatures.”

Insufficient Streamflows

1997 NMFS Federal Register

Page 3: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Current impact of water withdrawals on natural streamflows (August);

Restoration efforts under Oregon Plan;

Change in water withdrawals since onset of Oregon Plan (~1999);

Impact anticipated from future water withdrawals.

Insufficient Streamflows

Page 4: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Hydrographics Database Measured Stream Flows

Measured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis Calculate Flow Duration

Curves of Natural Stream Flow

Unmeasured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis

Estimate Natural 50 and 80% Exceedance Stream Flows for

Ungaged Streams

In-stream Demands

WAB Stream Flow Database

Natural Stream Flow 50 and 80%

Exceedance Flows Only

Water Rights and Consumptive Use

Information

Storage and Consumptive Use

Demands Estimate Storage and

Consumptive Uses for Water Availability Calculation

Water Availability Calculation

Water Availability Database

50 and 80% Exceedance

Flow Duration Curve Database

Natural Stream Flow Measured Streams Only

Consumptive Use Demands

Estimate Consumptive Uses for Correction of

Measured Stream Flow to Natural Stream Flow

Water Availability Databases

Page 5: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Flow in stream with no consumptive uses - e.g. 80% exceedance flow

Estimated in one of three ways:1. miscellaneous measurements2. prediction equations based on

measured streamflows3. continuous measurements

All exceedance flows represent same period (1958 to 1987)

Natural Streamflow

Page 6: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Causes a net reduction in streamflow.

Usually associated with loss via evaporation or transpiration.

Three major categories of consumptive use:

1. Irrigation2. Municipal3. All others (e.g., domestic, livestock) -

Usually small in comparison with stream flow.

Consumptive Use

Page 7: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Natural Streamflow

...

..1

2

3

4

5

Morr is C

r

Porter Cr

Un

cle Cr

Sam Cr

N F

k Sius law

R

Mc C leod Cr

W

ilhelm C

r

N Fk S

i usl

a w R

C

ond o

n Cr

Elm

a Cr

“Water Availability Basins”

Page 8: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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DRAFT..

..

.12

3

4

5

Morr is C

r

Porter Cr

Un

cle Cr

Sam Cr

N F

k Sius law

R

Mc C leod Cr

W

ilhelm C

r

N Fk S

i usl

a w R

C

ond o

n Cr

Elm

a CrWAB

#

Aug CU (cfs)

3 10

4 3

5 2

Aug CU (cfs)

NSF

(cfs)% CU of NSF

5 25 25%

3 10 30%

2 10 20%

Natural Streamflow

Consumptive Use (CU)

10 - 3 - 2 = 5 cfs

Page 9: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Water Availability Basins“WABs” in Coastal Coho ESU

North Coast: 164

Mid Coast: 156

Mid-South Coast: 210

Umpqua: 103

Page 10: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Page 12: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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~17 cfs leased

instream

Page 13: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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~16 cfs leased

instream

Page 14: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Linking Coho Stream Miles to Water Availability Basins

Page 15: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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North Coast TotalCOASTAL COHO ESU: % of Coho Miles by August CU/NSF

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

ESU NorthCoast

Mid Coast Mid-SouthCoast

Umpqua

% Coho Miles

In Each Category

< 10 % 10 - 40 % 41 - 70 % 71 - 100 % > 100 %

Page 16: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Water Availability Datasets

Hydrographics Database Measured Stream Flows

Measured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis Calculate Flow Duration

Curves of Natural Stream Flow

Unmeasured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis

Estimate Natural 50 and 80% Exceedance Stream Flows for

Ungaged Streams

In-stream Demands

WAB Stream Flow Database

Natural Stream Flow 50 and 80%

Exceedance Flows Only

Water Rights and Consumptive Use

Information

Storage and Consumptive Use

Demands Estimate Storage and

Consumptive Uses for Water Availability Calculation

Water Availability Calculation

Water Availability Database

50 and 80% Exceedance

Flow Duration Curve Database

Natural Stream Flow Measured Streams Only

Consumptive Use Demands

Estimate Consumptive Uses for Correction of

Measured Stream Flow to Natural Stream Flow

Page 17: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Page 21: DRAFT Factors for Decline NOAA (1998) HabitatHarvest Disease & Predation Regulatory Mechanisms Other Natural or Human Channel formMarineDiseaseNW Forest

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Preliminary Conclusions

• Consumptive use of water not widespread issue

• Consumptive use generally increases from north to south within the ESU

• Since 1997, streamflow restoration activities coincide with areas of highest consumptive use impacts on streamflow

• Consumptive use not substantially increased since 1999 or likely to increase in future