draft factors for decline noaa (1998) habitatharvest disease & predation regulatory mechanisms...
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Factors for DeclineNOAA (1998)
Habitat Harvest
Disease &
Predation
Regulatory
Mechanisms
Other Natural or Human
Channel form Marine Disease NW Forest Plan Drought
Substrate Recreational Predation Forest Practices Floods
Roughness Scientific Dredge and Fill Ocean Conditions
Estuaries Water Quality Artificial Propagation
Wetlands Ag Practices
Riparian Areas Urban Growth
Water Quality
Streamflows
Passage
Habitat Elimination
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“migration delay resulting from insufficient streamflows or habitat blockage….
loss of usable habitat due to dewatering and blockage….
increased juvenile mortality from increased water temperatures.”
Insufficient Streamflows
1997 NMFS Federal Register
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Current impact of water withdrawals on natural streamflows (August);
Restoration efforts under Oregon Plan;
Change in water withdrawals since onset of Oregon Plan (~1999);
Impact anticipated from future water withdrawals.
Insufficient Streamflows
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Hydrographics Database Measured Stream Flows
Measured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis Calculate Flow Duration
Curves of Natural Stream Flow
Unmeasured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis
Estimate Natural 50 and 80% Exceedance Stream Flows for
Ungaged Streams
In-stream Demands
WAB Stream Flow Database
Natural Stream Flow 50 and 80%
Exceedance Flows Only
Water Rights and Consumptive Use
Information
Storage and Consumptive Use
Demands Estimate Storage and
Consumptive Uses for Water Availability Calculation
Water Availability Calculation
Water Availability Database
50 and 80% Exceedance
Flow Duration Curve Database
Natural Stream Flow Measured Streams Only
Consumptive Use Demands
Estimate Consumptive Uses for Correction of
Measured Stream Flow to Natural Stream Flow
Water Availability Databases
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Flow in stream with no consumptive uses - e.g. 80% exceedance flow
Estimated in one of three ways:1. miscellaneous measurements2. prediction equations based on
measured streamflows3. continuous measurements
All exceedance flows represent same period (1958 to 1987)
Natural Streamflow
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Causes a net reduction in streamflow.
Usually associated with loss via evaporation or transpiration.
Three major categories of consumptive use:
1. Irrigation2. Municipal3. All others (e.g., domestic, livestock) -
Usually small in comparison with stream flow.
Consumptive Use
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Natural Streamflow
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2
3
4
5
Morr is C
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Porter Cr
Un
cle Cr
Sam Cr
N F
k Sius law
R
Mc C leod Cr
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Elm
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“Water Availability Basins”
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..
.12
3
4
5
Morr is C
r
Porter Cr
Un
cle Cr
Sam Cr
N F
k Sius law
R
Mc C leod Cr
W
ilhelm C
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N Fk S
i usl
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C
ond o
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Elm
a CrWAB
#
Aug CU (cfs)
3 10
4 3
5 2
Aug CU (cfs)
NSF
(cfs)% CU of NSF
5 25 25%
3 10 30%
2 10 20%
Natural Streamflow
Consumptive Use (CU)
10 - 3 - 2 = 5 cfs
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Water Availability Basins“WABs” in Coastal Coho ESU
North Coast: 164
Mid Coast: 156
Mid-South Coast: 210
Umpqua: 103
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~17 cfs leased
instream
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~16 cfs leased
instream
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Linking Coho Stream Miles to Water Availability Basins
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North Coast TotalCOASTAL COHO ESU: % of Coho Miles by August CU/NSF
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
ESU NorthCoast
Mid Coast Mid-SouthCoast
Umpqua
% Coho Miles
In Each Category
< 10 % 10 - 40 % 41 - 70 % 71 - 100 % > 100 %
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Water Availability Datasets
Hydrographics Database Measured Stream Flows
Measured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis Calculate Flow Duration
Curves of Natural Stream Flow
Unmeasured Watershed Stream Flow Analysis
Estimate Natural 50 and 80% Exceedance Stream Flows for
Ungaged Streams
In-stream Demands
WAB Stream Flow Database
Natural Stream Flow 50 and 80%
Exceedance Flows Only
Water Rights and Consumptive Use
Information
Storage and Consumptive Use
Demands Estimate Storage and
Consumptive Uses for Water Availability Calculation
Water Availability Calculation
Water Availability Database
50 and 80% Exceedance
Flow Duration Curve Database
Natural Stream Flow Measured Streams Only
Consumptive Use Demands
Estimate Consumptive Uses for Correction of
Measured Stream Flow to Natural Stream Flow
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Preliminary Conclusions
• Consumptive use of water not widespread issue
• Consumptive use generally increases from north to south within the ESU
• Since 1997, streamflow restoration activities coincide with areas of highest consumptive use impacts on streamflow
• Consumptive use not substantially increased since 1999 or likely to increase in future