dr. catherine petroff, university of washington - july 22, 2007 uw educational outreach – tsunami...

30
Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 1 Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Tsunami Basics

Upload: natalie-francis

Post on 28-Dec-2015

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 1

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Tsunami Basics

Page 2: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 2

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

"Know your enemy and know yourself and you can fight a hundred battles without

disaster."

Sun TzuChinese general and author, b.500 BC

Page 3: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 3

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Page 4: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 4

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Some “Known” Large Tsunami Events:

Prehistoric (100 – 200 ka) - Hawaii Landslides1600 BC Santorini Explosion1491 Mahuika Crater impact, New Zealand (est Mw > 9.0) 1700 Cascadia (est Mw > 9.0) 1755 Lisbon, Portugal ( Mw = 8.5, 90,000 dead)1883 Krakatau (est 36,000 dead)1896 Sanriku, Japan (Ms = 7.0, est 22,000 dead)1960 Chile (Mw = 9.5, 500-2300 dead)1964 Alaska (Mw = 9.2, 122 dead)2004 Indonesia (Mw = 9.0, > 225,000 dead)

See http://www.msu.edu/~fujita/earthquake/bigquake.htmlFor historic earthquake data

Page 5: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 5

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

1. Terminology

2. Waves in the Open Ocean

3. Exercise – Wave travel times

4. Tsunami Generation Mechanisms

Outline:

Page 6: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 6

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Terminology - :

Amplitude

Schematic of water wave

Page 7: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 7

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Terminology:

Deep Water Wave?

> 1/20?Wavelength

AmplitudeDepth

Deep water waves are usually driven by surface shear forces. The energy goes into the water from the surface (like with wind)

Page 8: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 8

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Wavelength

AmplitudeDepth

Terminology:

Shallow Water Wave?

< 1/20?

Shallow water waves have energy distributed thoughout the water depth. They “feel” the bottom of the ocean.

Page 9: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 9

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Other things that we often talk about with waves.

Long wave?

Small Amplitude Wave?

Answers to these and other questions about the waves we are studying lead us to decide on whether to use:

Linear shallow water wave theory

Non-linear shallow water wave theory

Finite amplitude wave theory

And other options…

?1Wavelength

Amplitude2

Page 10: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 10

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

How do tsunamis differ from “day at the beach” waves?

Order of magnitude estimates:

Wind Waves Tsunamis

Wavelength 10-1000 m 100 km

Period 10 – 100 sec 10 min

Ocean Amplitude 1-100 m 1 m

Shore Amplitude 1-10 m 1-10 m *

Water motion More near surface Entire column

*except very near field events (100 m)

Page 11: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 11

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

A word about energy

The energy carried by a wave must come from somewhere. For example in wind waves it is the wind that transfers energy to the water by pushing on the water surface.

In terms of mechanical energy there are two main components:

• Potential Energy: Raising a body of water up above its original level

And

• Kinetic Energy: The energy of the moving water

If we keep in mind that all waves take energy to create, then the issue of tsunamis becomes somewhat more straightforward…

Page 12: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 12

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

A little exercise to amaze your friends:

Calculate the propagation time (travel time) of a tsunami using only a calculator and a map.

Recall: Tsunamis behave like shallow water waves. Their speed is governed by water depth.

In fact, a good first order estimate is:

c

metersindepths

mdepthgravity2

819.

Page 13: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 13

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Krakatau - 1883

Let’s estimate how long it took the wave to travel from Indonesia to Madagascar

http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/hazard/tsu_travel_time.shtml

http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/distance.html

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/teachers/activities/3208_tsunami.html

Page 14: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 14

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Page 15: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 15

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Now you try….

http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/distance.html

http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/education/science/docs/Alaska_travel_times.pdf

http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/education/science/docs/Alaska_Travel_times.xls

Page 16: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 16

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Causes of Tsunamis:

Any impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface.

•Seismic Rupture•Landslide•Undersea Eruption or Explosion•Meteor Impact

Page 17: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 17

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

More on energy

Some estimates put the seismic energy released during the Sumatra 2004 tsunami at 500 million tons of TNT – or about 33,000 times the energy released by the bomb at Hiroshima.

Where did all that energy go?

• Deforming a large part of the earth’s crust

• Seismic waves (earthquake)

• Tsunami waves - raising up (potential energy) and accelerating (kinetic energy) the water

Page 18: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 18

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Magnitude 9.0 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA Sunday, December 26, 2004 at 00:58:53 UTC

Page 19: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 19

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Surface Projection of Slip Distribution

Courtesy ofChen Ji,Caltech

Page 20: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 20

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Projected Surface Displacements (by Chen Ji, Caltech)

Page 21: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 21

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Tsunami Generation:

Efficiency of tsunami generation by crustal deformation:

• Controlled by the speed at which the rupture propagates down the fault• Earthquakes with slow rupture velocities are the most efficient tsunami generators, “tsunami earthquakes”. •This capacity for tsunami generation is commonly characterized by a Tsunami Magnitude, Mt.

Page 22: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 22

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Recall: Basic Concept of Seismology

Seismic moment - measure of work done by earthquake.

Mo = m A D

where m = shear modulus of rock

A = rupture area

D = average displacement over rupture area

Moment magnitude

Mw = ------------ - 10.7log Mo

1.5

Page 23: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 23

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Tsunami Magnitude:

One formula for tsunami magnitude is:

Mt = log H2 + log X + 5.55

Mt: Tsunami magnitude

H2: Maximum crest-to-trough amplitude on tide gage record in meters

X: Distance from epicenter to station along the shortest oceanic path in km

(Ref. Abe, K., Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 27, 194-205, 1981)

Page 24: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 24

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Tsunami Magnitude:

Some tsunami events with Mt = 9.0 and greater:

1837 Valdivia, Chile 9.31841 Kamchatka 9.01868 Arica, Chile 9.01877 Iquique, Chile 9.01946 Aleutians 9.31952 Kamchatka 9.01957 Aleutians 9.01960 Chile 9.41964 Alaska 9.12004 Sumatra, Indonesia 9.0

Ref: (Abe, K., J. Geophys. Res., 84, 1561-1568, 1979):

Page 25: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 25

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Landslide generation of tsunamis

So if we understand that a tsunami is generated by an impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that landslides can also generate tsunamis.

Skagway, Alaska 1994

Page 26: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 26

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Skagway, Alaska 1994

Possible lanslide generated tsunami

Page 27: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 27

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Example of landslide source computation

Page 28: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 28

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

What about Volcanoes?

So if we understand that a tsunami starts with a large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that volcanoes can also generate tsunamis. The surface displacement can be caused by lava flows, sea floor motion or even the release of a large amount of gas.

http://www.volcanolive.com/tsunami10.html

Page 29: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 29

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

And what about Meteors?

So if we understand that a tsunami is generated by an impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that meteor/asteroid impacts can also generate tsunamis.

Page 30: Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) Sponsored by NOAA

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 30

Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Phases of a Tsunami Event:

•Generation

•Propagation

•Shoaling

•Inundation