dr. catherine petroff, university of washington - july 22, 2007 uw educational outreach – tsunami...
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Tsunami Basics
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
"Know your enemy and know yourself and you can fight a hundred battles without
disaster."
Sun TzuChinese general and author, b.500 BC
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Some “Known” Large Tsunami Events:
Prehistoric (100 – 200 ka) - Hawaii Landslides1600 BC Santorini Explosion1491 Mahuika Crater impact, New Zealand (est Mw > 9.0) 1700 Cascadia (est Mw > 9.0) 1755 Lisbon, Portugal ( Mw = 8.5, 90,000 dead)1883 Krakatau (est 36,000 dead)1896 Sanriku, Japan (Ms = 7.0, est 22,000 dead)1960 Chile (Mw = 9.5, 500-2300 dead)1964 Alaska (Mw = 9.2, 122 dead)2004 Indonesia (Mw = 9.0, > 225,000 dead)
See http://www.msu.edu/~fujita/earthquake/bigquake.htmlFor historic earthquake data
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
1. Terminology
2. Waves in the Open Ocean
3. Exercise – Wave travel times
4. Tsunami Generation Mechanisms
Outline:
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Terminology - :
Amplitude
Schematic of water wave
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Terminology:
Deep Water Wave?
> 1/20?Wavelength
AmplitudeDepth
Deep water waves are usually driven by surface shear forces. The energy goes into the water from the surface (like with wind)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Wavelength
AmplitudeDepth
Terminology:
Shallow Water Wave?
< 1/20?
Shallow water waves have energy distributed thoughout the water depth. They “feel” the bottom of the ocean.
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Other things that we often talk about with waves.
Long wave?
Small Amplitude Wave?
Answers to these and other questions about the waves we are studying lead us to decide on whether to use:
Linear shallow water wave theory
Non-linear shallow water wave theory
Finite amplitude wave theory
And other options…
?1Wavelength
Amplitude2
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
How do tsunamis differ from “day at the beach” waves?
Order of magnitude estimates:
Wind Waves Tsunamis
Wavelength 10-1000 m 100 km
Period 10 – 100 sec 10 min
Ocean Amplitude 1-100 m 1 m
Shore Amplitude 1-10 m 1-10 m *
Water motion More near surface Entire column
*except very near field events (100 m)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
A word about energy
The energy carried by a wave must come from somewhere. For example in wind waves it is the wind that transfers energy to the water by pushing on the water surface.
In terms of mechanical energy there are two main components:
• Potential Energy: Raising a body of water up above its original level
And
• Kinetic Energy: The energy of the moving water
If we keep in mind that all waves take energy to create, then the issue of tsunamis becomes somewhat more straightforward…
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
A little exercise to amaze your friends:
Calculate the propagation time (travel time) of a tsunami using only a calculator and a map.
Recall: Tsunamis behave like shallow water waves. Their speed is governed by water depth.
In fact, a good first order estimate is:
c
metersindepths
mdepthgravity2
819.
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Krakatau - 1883
Let’s estimate how long it took the wave to travel from Indonesia to Madagascar
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/hazard/tsu_travel_time.shtml
http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/distance.html
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/teachers/activities/3208_tsunami.html
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Now you try….
http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/distance.html
http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/education/science/docs/Alaska_travel_times.pdf
http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/education/science/docs/Alaska_Travel_times.xls
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Causes of Tsunamis:
Any impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface.
•Seismic Rupture•Landslide•Undersea Eruption or Explosion•Meteor Impact
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
More on energy
Some estimates put the seismic energy released during the Sumatra 2004 tsunami at 500 million tons of TNT – or about 33,000 times the energy released by the bomb at Hiroshima.
Where did all that energy go?
• Deforming a large part of the earth’s crust
• Seismic waves (earthquake)
• Tsunami waves - raising up (potential energy) and accelerating (kinetic energy) the water
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Magnitude 9.0 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA Sunday, December 26, 2004 at 00:58:53 UTC
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Surface Projection of Slip Distribution
Courtesy ofChen Ji,Caltech
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Projected Surface Displacements (by Chen Ji, Caltech)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Tsunami Generation:
Efficiency of tsunami generation by crustal deformation:
• Controlled by the speed at which the rupture propagates down the fault• Earthquakes with slow rupture velocities are the most efficient tsunami generators, “tsunami earthquakes”. •This capacity for tsunami generation is commonly characterized by a Tsunami Magnitude, Mt.
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Recall: Basic Concept of Seismology
Seismic moment - measure of work done by earthquake.
Mo = m A D
where m = shear modulus of rock
A = rupture area
D = average displacement over rupture area
Moment magnitude
Mw = ------------ - 10.7log Mo
1.5
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Tsunami Magnitude:
One formula for tsunami magnitude is:
Mt = log H2 + log X + 5.55
Mt: Tsunami magnitude
H2: Maximum crest-to-trough amplitude on tide gage record in meters
X: Distance from epicenter to station along the shortest oceanic path in km
(Ref. Abe, K., Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 27, 194-205, 1981)
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Tsunami Magnitude:
Some tsunami events with Mt = 9.0 and greater:
1837 Valdivia, Chile 9.31841 Kamchatka 9.01868 Arica, Chile 9.01877 Iquique, Chile 9.01946 Aleutians 9.31952 Kamchatka 9.01957 Aleutians 9.01960 Chile 9.41964 Alaska 9.12004 Sumatra, Indonesia 9.0
Ref: (Abe, K., J. Geophys. Res., 84, 1561-1568, 1979):
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Landslide generation of tsunamis
So if we understand that a tsunami is generated by an impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that landslides can also generate tsunamis.
Skagway, Alaska 1994
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Skagway, Alaska 1994
Possible lanslide generated tsunami
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Example of landslide source computation
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
What about Volcanoes?
So if we understand that a tsunami starts with a large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that volcanoes can also generate tsunamis. The surface displacement can be caused by lava flows, sea floor motion or even the release of a large amount of gas.
http://www.volcanolive.com/tsunami10.html
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
And what about Meteors?
So if we understand that a tsunami is generated by an impulse that causes large scale displacement of the sea surface then it is easy to see that meteor/asteroid impacts can also generate tsunamis.
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Dr. Catherine Petroff, University of Washington - July 22, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)
Phases of a Tsunami Event:
•Generation
•Propagation
•Shoaling
•Inundation