Tony Randle 23 August 2012
1
Wellington Public Transport23 August 2012
Tony Randle – Wellington Commuter• Contract Business Analyst• Lived in Johnsonville for 19 years• Married with 3 children• President & Transport Spokesman for Johnsonville Progressive Association• Public Transport Advocate
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
2
Agenda
• Wellington Public Transport (PT)• Wellington PT Cost & Revenue Structure• Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate• Future Investment in Wellington PT• Greater Wellington Regional Council• Conclusion
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
3
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
Travel across the region All Modes (2006 Census)Total Trips to GW Workplaces (excluding outside the Wellington region) Ar
ea T
otal
Wai
irara
pa
TLA
Tota
l Hutt
TLA
Tota
l Kap
iti
TLA
Tota
l Por
irua
TLA
Tota
l Upp
er H
utt
TLA
Tota
l Wel
lingt
on
Tota
l Trip
s by
GW
Resid
ents
(exc
out
side
regi
on)
Total Wairarapa 14,136 330 12 30 183 864 15,555 TLA Total Hutt 168 24,597 111 687 1,485 13,524 40,572 TLA Total Kapiti 48 756 10,488 879 171 3,768 16,110 TLA Total Porirua 45 1,449 255 7,779 303 8,193 18,024 TLA Total Upper Hutt 69 4,050 45 399 7,320 3,990 15,873 TLA Total Wellington 354 5,256 279 2,619 633 79,149 88,290 Total Trips to GW Workplaces 14,820 36,438 11,190 12,393 10,095 109,488 194,424
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
4
Census ALL Trips across the Region
All Trips Origin Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 9,141 79,149 Lower Hutt City 15,975 24,597 Upper Hutt City 8,553 7,320 Porirua City 10,245 7,779 Kapiti Coast District 5,622 10,488 Wairarapa 1,419 14,136 Total 50,955 143,469
All Trips Origin % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 18% 55%Lower Hutt City 31% 17%Upper Hutt City 17% 5%Porirua City 20% 5%Kapiti Coast District 11% 7%Wairarapa 3% 10%Total 100% 100%
All Trips Destination Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 30,339 79,149 Lower Hutt City 11,841 24,597 Upper Hutt City 2,775 7,320 Porirua City 4,614 7,779 Kapiti Coast District 702 10,488 Wairarapa 684 14,136 Total 50,955 143,469
All Trips Destination % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 60% 55%Lower Hutt City 23% 17%Upper Hutt City 5% 5%Porirua City 9% 5%Kapiti Coast District 1% 7%Wairarapa 1% 10%Total 100% 100%
All Inter-District % Origin % DestinationWellington City 18% 60%Lower Hutt City 31% 23%Upper Hutt City 17% 5%Porirua City 20% 9%Kapiti Coast District 11% 1%Wairarapa 3% 1%Total 100% 100%
OriginDestinationOrigin/Destination
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
5
Census Bus Trips across the RegionOriginDestinationOrigin/Destination
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
Bus Trips Origin Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 339 12,075 Lower Hutt City 717 1,023 Upper Hutt City 204 117 Porirua City 69 228 Kapiti Coast District 75 117 Wairarapa 15 66 Total 1,419 13,626
Bus Trips Origin % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 24% 89%Lower Hutt City 51% 8%Upper Hutt City 14% 1%Porirua City 5% 2%Kapiti Coast District 5% 1%Wairarapa 1% 0%Total 100% 100%
Bus Trips Destination Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 900 12,075 Lower Hutt City 366 1,023 Upper Hutt City 42 117 Porirua City 54 228 Kapiti Coast District 27 117 Wairarapa 30 66 Total 1,419 13,626
Bus Trips Destination % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 63% 89%Lower Hutt City 26% 8%Upper Hutt City 3% 1%Porirua City 4% 2%Kapiti Coast District 2% 1%Wairarapa 2% 0%Total 100% 100%
Bus Inter-District % Origin % DestinationWellington City 24% 63%Lower Hutt City 51% 26%Upper Hutt City 14% 3%Porirua City 5% 4%Kapiti Coast District 5% 2%Wairarapa 1% 2%Total 100% 100%
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
6
Census Rail Trips across the RegionOriginDestinationOrigin/Destination
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
Rail Trips Origin Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 282 2,541 Lower Hutt City 3,609 255 Upper Hutt City 1,335 78 Porirua City 1,779 87 Kapiti Coast District 1,302 69 Wairarapa 519 33 Total 8,826 3,063
Rail Trips Origin % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 3% 83%Lower Hutt City 41% 8%Upper Hutt City 15% 3%Porirua City 20% 3%Kapiti Coast District 15% 2%Wairarapa 6% 1%Total 100% 100%
Rail Trips Destination Inter-District Intra-DistrictWellington City 8,082 2,541 Lower Hutt City 336 255 Upper Hutt City 114 78 Porirua City 177 87 Kapiti Coast District 57 69 Wairarapa 60 33 Total 8,826 3,063
Rail Trips Destination % Inter-District % Intra-DistrictWellington City 92% 83%Lower Hutt City 4% 8%Upper Hutt City 1% 3%Porirua City 2% 3%Kapiti Coast District 1% 2%Wairarapa 1% 1%Total 100% 100%
Rail Inter-District % Origin % DestinationWellington City 3% 92%Lower Hutt City 41% 4%Upper Hutt City 15% 1%Porirua City 20% 2%Kapiti Coast District 15% 1%Wairarapa 6% 1%Total 100% 100%
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
7
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Wellington City
Lower Hutt City
Upper Hutt City
Porirua City
Kapiti Coast
District
Wairarapa
All Trips
Bus
Rail
What does the census tell us about PT ?• Most travel is by car• Most short PT trips are by bus• Most longer trips (between cities) are by rail• Over half of all PT in within Wellington City
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
8
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
The two roles of Public Transport:The appropriate role for public transport is to provide an alternative to private cars, particularly for longer journeys where active modes are less attractive.It also has a vital role in providing for people who do not own a private vehicle, are unable to drive or cannot use active modes to access the goods or services they need.(source: GWRC RLTS)
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
9
Wellington Public Transport (PT)
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
Bus Rail Ferry
2005/06
2010/11
Wellington Public Transport Annual Patronage 2005/06 and 20011/12
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
10
Wellington PT Cost & Revenue Structure
Estimated Cost by Mode
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Rail Bus
Operational Costs
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Rail Diesel Bus Trolley Bus
Subsidy Funding
Revenue Funding
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Rail Diesel Bus Trolley Bus
GWRC Rates
NZTA Subsidy
Revenue Funding
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Rail Bus
Non-Operational
Operational Costs
$-
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Rail Diesel Bus Trolley Bus
Non-Operational
Operational Costs
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
11
Wellington PT Cost & Revenue Structure
Est. Rail Costs split by Line
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Jville Line Waikanie Line Hutt Line Wairarapa Line
QWERTYUIOPASDFG
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Jville Line Waikanie Line Hutt Line Wairarapa Line
Wairarapa
Kapiti Coast District
Upper Hutt City
Hutt City
Porirua City
Wellington City
by City Patronage
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
12
Wellington PT Cost & Revenue Structure
Public Transport Per Trip CostAve Bus & JvilleWaikanie Line
$6.94 $6.80
$11.10 $9.20
$29.63
$-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
Hutt City 91-4 Sectns Upper Hutt 91-7 Sectns Wairarapa
$5.70 $3.86
$9.10
$6.00
$19.85
$10.80
$-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
Well 211-4 Sectns
Porirua 211-5 Sectns
Kapiti 91-9 Sectns
$3.37 $5.83
$3.44
$11.59
$-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
Diesel Trolley 91/211-3 Sectns Jville Line
Hutt & Wairarapa
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
13
Wellington PT Cost & Revenue Structure
Summary of Costs by Mode & City• Trolley bus costs significantly more than diesel• Rail costs more than bus on an equivalent trip basis• The rail trip costs increase with distance• The rail costs vary significantly due to differences between patronage and vehicle mileage
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
14
GWRC Transport Rates 2011/12 ($46.4M)
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
$-
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
Rail Bus Other
Rates
$-
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
Rail Bus2Rail Deisel Bus Trolley Other
Rates
$-
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
Rail Bus2Rail Deisel Bus Trolley Other
CBD
Business
Residential
CBD RatesWellington City Diesel Buses 50%Wellington City Trolley Buses 50%Wellington Rail Costs 42%Other City Buses 42%
CBD RatesWellington City Diesel Buses 4,464,250$ Wellington City Trolley Buses 2,241,994$ Wellington Rail Costs 9,579,679$ Other City Buses 1,536,081$
In fact the CBD Rail Costs are a bargain !
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
15
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Greater Wellington uses the following funding allocations in respect of expenditure on public transport services, except for Total Mobility:• A target of 45%-50% user charges• The remainder from a community contributionThis community contribution is funded as follows:• The maximum contribution from Crown agencies, primarily New Zealand Transport Agency (NZTA), ... (this contribution ranges from 50%-100%, depending on the type of service)
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
16
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
The balance ... is from a Greater Wellington contribution funded via a targeted rate Inter-district services:• Inter-district services includes all rail costs and a portion of the cost of bus services that connect with rail• 20%-25% of rates required for inter-district services are borne by the Wellington CBD with the remainder borne equally by ratepayers in the district of origin and the district of destination using census journey to work statistics
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
17
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Intra-district services:• Intra-district services include all ferry costs and bus costs that have not been apportioned to inter-district costs• The rates required for intra-district services are borne by the ratepayers in the district that services operate in• A cost apportionment is made where services travel through more than one district• Within Wellington city 50% of intra-district trips are allocated to the Wellington CBD
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
18
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Rates for Intra-District Bus and Ferry Services
$-
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
$14,000,000
$16,000,000
Other
Trolleys
Diesel Bus
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
19
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Rates for Inter-District Rail and Bus Services
$-
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
$14,000,000
Bus2Rail
Rail
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
20
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Factors Used to calculate the rates:• Intra-District (Bus & Ferry) =
Contracted Subsidy Cost by CitySplit 50% Original and Destination
• Inter-District (Rail & Bus to Rail) =2006 Census Trips between citiesSplit 50% Origin and Destinationwith 25% of Origin charged to the
CBDBUT NOTETrips are ALL Trips (not just rail trips)
ANDThere is no adjustment for distance !
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
21
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
What does this mean ? Using Intra-District (Bus)
$-
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
$14,000,000
Bus2Rail
Rail
$1,436,918 $1,446,437
$476,353
-$1,992,626
-$1,298,369
-$2,500,000
-$2,000,000
-$1,500,000
-$1,000,000
-$500,000
$-
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
Well City Hutt City U Hutt Porirua Kapiti Wairarapa
$-
$2,000,000
$4,000,000
$6,000,000
$8,000,000
$10,000,000
$12,000,000
$14,000,000
Bus2Rail
Rail
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
22
Local Subsidy through the Transport Rate
Summary of Transport Rates Discussion• Rates to support Bus services are calculated on a totally different basis from Rail Services• There is significant cross-subsidies from Wellington and Hutt Cities to Kapiti and Wairarapa through the rates calculation• The rail rates essentially penalise residents who live closer to the CBD and favour residents living far away• The Transport Rates Calculation is a secret … the information here was only obtained with the intervention of the Ombudsman and some $$$s
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
23
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Objectives for PT Growth in Bus and Rail The overall public transport mode share is the key indicator for public transport’s efficiency and effectiveness. The target seeks a 4% increase in public transport mode share for journey-to-work trips. The strategic target for public transport trips equates to around 5.6 million additional peak period trips per annum (a 32% increase in trips from 2009/10). RLTS 2010
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
24
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
BusRailFerry
Peak Patronage Past and Future 4% Growth
Actual RLTS
+ 3.1MTrips
+ 2.3MTrips
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
25
GWRC Long Term Plan Transport ProjectsProject description Total cost Year(s) 48 new two-car Matangi trains* $8 million 2012/13 Refurbish Ganz Mavag trains $79 million 2012-17 Rail infrastructure renewal and minor improvements**
$49 million 2012-22
Rail rolling stock heavy maintenance and minor improvements***
$78 million 2012-22
Regional Rail Plan – reliability and frequency upgrades
$52 million 2015-20
Trolley bus overhead network infrastructure renewals
$36 million 2012-22
Bus shelters and interchanges $3 million 2012-22 Electronic/integrated ticketing $39 million 2013-16 Install bike racks on buses $1 million 2017/18 Customer information systems $2 million 2012-22 Total $347 million
Total Transport Projects of $347M• $236M on Rail• $36M on Trolley Buses Maintenance• $39M on Integrated Ticketing (Mainly on Rail)• $4M on Buses ($1M for Bikes on Buses !)
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
26
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
In fact the truth is:• Rail costs are increasing 10% per year• Bus costs are static
The Transport Rate Increasing 5%The costs of providing passenger transport services usually increase each year. The last year has seen an over 5% increase in costs with operators being reimbursed by Council through increased contract payments.(GWRC Long Term Plan)
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
27
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
ALL fares are increasing
An increase in fare levels is likely to be needed to maintain the required contribution from passengers ... If the passenger contribution was to drop, the ratepayers and NZTA would have to contribute more. A 3% revenue increase equates to a $0.7m impact on rates ...In fact, bus users are being made to pay much more than 50% of their costs to hide that rail users are paying less than 50% of their costs !
due to rail cost increasesGWRC says bus fares must go up
even when they are already more expensive than cars. Meanwhile it funds rail users to get extra discount fares that mean long distance rail journeys are less than half or even a quarter that of a car !
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
28
The rail costs drive ongoing Transport Rate hikes
$-
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
Trans Rates
$-
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
Rail
Other
Ferry
Trolley Bus
Deisel Bus
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
29
GWRC Loves Rail so much• It wants more new Matangis• Ganz-Mavag refurbishment claimed = $80M• The minimum cost is actually = $60M• It states new Matangis will cost $135M• But this is just the trains• It states it needs the additional capacity• But refuses to consider bus alternatives• Want a good price, use the Superbus !
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
30
GWRC Loves Rail so much• It subsidises rail more heavily than bus• It rates Wellington City to subsidise others• It increases bus fares to fund rail costs• It provides rail monthly discounts but not bus• It keeps investing only rail not bus• It refuses to subsidise alternative bus services such as the 211, 97 or 91/Flyer
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
31
GWRC Loves Rail so much They Bought the Company ! GWRL: owns rolling stock and stations
is now the 2nd Largest PT Operatorhas no permanent staff, insteadit is operated by GWRC transport
officers who also decide PT funding for the
regionrecently applied to make GWRL “for
profit”The GWRC LTP has $80M for GM Refurbbut GWRL already budgets for
Maitangis!
Wellington PT – A Rail focused Strategy
Tony Randle 23 August 2012
32
Conclusion
The Regional Council’s action do not match it’s plans or strategy:• The costs of PT services are not known• The rates funding of rail is not understood and kept secret by the regional council• The PT Strategy cannot succeed without investment in buses as well as rail• How do ratepayers know that it is the Greater Wellington Regional Council that controls Greater Wellington Rail Ltd and not the other way around ?