VITA
Robert S. Erikson
April 2018
Address: Department of Political Science
Columbia University
New York, NY 10027
Phone: (212) 854-0036
Fax: (212) 222-0598
E-mail: [email protected]
Education: B.A., Lake Forest College, 1963
M.A., University of Illinois, 1966 (Political Science)
Ph.D., University of Illinois, 1969 (Political Science)
Positions: 1999--. Professor of Political Science, Columbia University,
1991-99. Distinguished Professor of Political Science;
1978-99. Professor
Department of Political Science
University of Houston
Winter, Spring 1990; Winter, Spring 1995
Visiting Professor
Division of Humanities and Social Sciences
California Institute of Technology
1977-78
Visiting Associate Professor
Department of Political Science
Washington University, St. Louis
1967-78
Assistant Professor, Associate Professor
Department of Political Science
Florida State University
Research and Teaching Interests:
American Political Behavior
Elections
Methodology and Statistics
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Miscellaneous Professional Awards and Activities:
Career Achievement Award, Political Methodology Society. 2017.
Editor, Political Analysis. July 1, 2003-June 30, 2007.
Editor, American Journal of Political Science, 1982-1984
Research Scholar, Russell Sage Foundatoin. New York. 2013-2014.
Fellow, Center for the Study of Democratic Politics. Woodrow Wilson
School. Princeton University. 2005-2006.
Inducted in American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2007
Philip E. Converse book award for Statehouse Democracy, 2010.
Malcolm Jewell Enduring Contribution award for Statehouse Democracy,
2014.
Heinz Eulau award for best article in American Political Science Review
for 1995
Recognized as one of 10 living members of APSR “Hall of Fame.” PS,
March 1996
Recognized as one of 21 “integrators of the profession” in Goodin and
Klingeman, A New Handbook for Political Science. 1996: Oxford
University Press
Priincipal Investigator, LSE-Columbia University Alliance grant,
“Candidate Competition in Two-Party Systems: Uncertainty about Voter
Motivations and Non-Convergent Equilibria.” 2006-2009. Co-PI:
Michael Bruter, LSE
Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant.
“The Campaign Time Line.’ 2001-2005
Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “Spending and
Incumbency in Congressional Elections.” 1993-1995
Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “State Public
Opinion.” l983-5
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Principal Investigator, National Science Foundation Grant. “Collaborative
Research on State Public Opinion.” 1986-9
Principal Investigator, Texas Advance Research Program Grant
“Understanding Incumbency: A Simulation Approach.” 1988-1989
President, Southwestern Political Science Association, 1989-1990
Chair, Selection Committee for Annual Meeting of Political Methodology
Society, 1995, 1998.
Section Head, Public Opinion and Political Psychology, 1987 American
Political Science Association Convention
Member, National Science Foundation Review Panel for Political
Science, 1977-1980
Member, APSA Woodrow Wilson Book Award Committee, 2012
Member, Editorial Board, American Political Science Review, 1995-2001
Member, Editorial Board, American Journal of Political Science,
1978-1981, 1986-1988, 2001-2005
Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Politics, 1981-82, 1997
Member, Editorial Board, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2004--
Member, Editorial Board, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and
Parties 2011--
Member, Editorial Board, International Journal of Political Science,
2011--
Member, Editorial Board, State Politics and Policy. 1999-2009
Member, Editorial Board, American Politics Quarterly, 1987-1997
Member, Editorial Board, Legislative Studies Quarterly, 1989-92
Member, Editorial Board, Political Analysis, 1991-1993.
Member, Editorial Board, Experimental Studies of Politics, 1979-81
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Member, Educational Testing Service, CLEP Advisory Committee in
American Government, 1976-1978
Team Leader, Ralph Nader's Congress Project, Summer 1972
Chair, Committee to select Franklin Burdette award winner for best
paper at 1994 APSA Convention
Member, APSA Committee to select James Madison award winner for
lifetime achievement, 1994
Professional Memberships:
American Political Science Association
Midwest Political Science Association
American Association of Public Opinion Researchers
Books:
Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 2015. American Public Opinion: Its
Origins, Content, and Impact. New York: Pearson. Ninth
Edition. (Earlier editions published in 1973, 1980, 1988, 1991,1995, 2001,
2004, 2011). (Tenth edition in preparation)
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. The 2012 Campaign and the
Timeline of Presidential Elections. E-book, Univ. Chicago Press.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. The Timeline of Presidential
Elections: How Campaigns do (and do not) Matter. Chicago: University of
Chicago Press.
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. The
Macro Polity. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, Jr, and John P. McIver. 1993. Statehouse
Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States. New York:
Cambridge University Press..
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Refereed Journal Articles:
Christopher Wlezien, Will Jennings, and Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “The
‘Timeline’ Method of Studying Electoral Dynamics.” Electoral Studies,
Robert S. Erikson and Kelly Rader. 2017. “Much Ado About Nothing: RDD and
the Incumbency Advantage.” Political Analysis
Robert S. Erikson. 2016. “Congressional Elections in Presidential Years:
Presidential Coattails and Strategic Voting.” Legislative Studies Quarterly. 41:
August. 551-72.
Robert S. Erikson. 2015. “Income Inequality and Policy Responsiveness.” Annual
Review of Political Science. 18: 11-29.
Robert S. Erikson and Rocio Titiunik. 2015. “Using Regression Discontinuity to
Uncover the Incumbency Advantage.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science.
10(1): 101-119, 2015
Robert S. Erikson, Olle Folke, and James Snyder. 2015. “Is there a Gubernatorial
Helping Hand?” Journal of Politics. 77: 491-504.
Robert S. Erikson, Pablo M. Pinto, and Kelly T. Rader. 2014. “Dyadic Analysis in
International Relations: A Cautionary Tale.” Political Analysis, 457-463
Robert S. Erikson. 2012. “Public Opinion at the Macro Level.” Daedalus. 141
(4) Fall. Pp. 35-49.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. “Markets vs. Polls as Election
Predictors: An Historical Assessment.” Electoral Studies. 31: Pp. 512-539.
Robert S. Erikson and Laura Stoker. 2011. “Caught in the Draft: The Effect of
Vietnam Lottery Status on Political Attitudes. American Political Science
Review. May.
Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010,
”Balancing, Generic Polls, and Midterm Congressional Elections.” Journal of
Politics. July. 72: 705-19.
Robert S. Erikson, Pablo Pinto, and Kelly Rader. 2010. “Randomization Tests and
Multi-Level Data in State Politics.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly. 10:
180-198
Robert Erikson, Costas Panagopoulos, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010,. “The Crystallization of Voter Preferences during the 2008 Presidential Campaign.” Presidential Studies Quarterly. September. 40: 482-496.
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Michael Bruter, Robert S. Erikson and Aaron Strauss. 2010.
“Uncertain Candidates, Valence, and the Dynamics of Candidate Position-
Taking.” Public Choice. 144: 153-168.
Robert S. Erikson and Lorraine Minnite. 2009. “Modeling Problems in the
Voter ID-Voter Turnout Debate." Election Law Journal 8 (2): pp. 85-101
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Are Political Markets Really
Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?” Public Opinion Quarterly. 72 (2): pp.
190-215.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “The Economy and the
Presidential Vote: What Leading Economic Indicators Reveal Well in Advance.”
International Journal of Forecasting. 24: pp. 218-226.
Robert S. Erikson. 2008. “Does Public Ignorance Matter?” Critical Review. 19:1.
pp. 23-34.
Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 2007. “Measuring the
Public’ Ideological Preferences in the 50 States: Survey Responses versus Roll
Call Data.” State Politics and Policy Quarterly. 7:2 pp. 141-151.
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson 2007. “The Horse Race: What Polls
Reveal as the Election Campaign Unfolds” International Journal of Public
Opinion Research. 19:1 pp. 74-88
Robert Erikson, Costas Panagopoulos, and Christopher Wlezien. 2004, “Likely
and Unlikely Voters and the Assessment of Campaign Dynamics.” Public Opinion
Quarterly. 68:4 pp. 588-601.
Robert S. Erikson. 2002. "National Election Studies and Macro Analysis"
Electoral Studies. 21: 269-81.. (Reprinted in: Mark N. Franklin and Christopher
Wlezien (eds.), The Future of Electoral Studies. Pergamon Press, 2002.)
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “The Time Line of
Presidential Campaigns.” Journal of Politics. 64: pp. 969-93.
Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “Sources of Partisan Bias in U.S. Congressional
Elections: An Update Stimulated by Ron Johnston’s Essay. Political Geography.
21: pp. 49-54.
Robert S. Erikson and Mikhail Filippov. 2001. “Electoral Balancing in Federal
and Sub-National Elections: The Case of Canada.” Constitutional Political
Economy. 12: December, pp. 312-331.
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Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2001. “Campaign Effects in Theory
and Practice.” American Politics Research. 29 (September): pp. 419-436.
Robert S. Erikson. 2001. “The 2000 Election in Historical Perspective.”
Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 116: Spring, pp. 29-52.
Robert S. Erikson and Thomas R. Palfrey. 2000. “Equilibrium in Campaign
Spending Games: Theory and Data.” American Political Science Review,
94: September, pp. 595-610.
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2000. “Bankers
or Peasants Revisited: Economic Approval and Presidential Approval,” Electoral
Studies: 19.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 1999. “Presidential Polls as a Time
Series: The Case of 1996.” Public Opinion Quarterly, 73: Summer, pp. 163-
177.
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 1998. “What
Moves Macropartisanship? A Reply to Green, Palmquist, and Schickler. “
American Political Science Review, 92: December, pp. 901-912.
Robert S. Erikson and Thomas R. Palfrey. 1998. “Campaign Spending Effects
and Incumbency: An Alternative Simultaneous Equations Approach.” Journal of
Politics, 60: May, pp. 355-373.
Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 1996. "Poll Based Forecasts of the House
Vote in Presidential Years: 1952-92 and 1996." American Politics Quarterly, 24:
October, pp. 520-531.
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 1996. "Temporal Horizons and
Presidential Election Forecasts." American Politics Quarterly, 24: October, pp.
492-505.
Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1996.
[“Comment” on Helmut Norpoth, “Presidents and the Prospective Voter.”]
Journal of Politics, 58: August, pp. 793-801.
Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 1995. "Poll-Based Forecasts of Midterm
Congressional Elections: Do the Pollsters Get it Right?" Public Opinion
Quarterly. 59: Winter 1995, pp. 589-605.
James A. Stimson, Michael B. MacKuen, and Robert S. Erikson. 1995.
"Dynamic Representation." American Political Science Review, 89: September,
pp. 543-565.
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Robert S. Erikson. 1995. "State Turnout and Presidential Voting: A Closer
Look." American Politics Quarterly, 23: October, 387-396.
Robert S. Erikson. 1995. “Pooling and Statistical Control, A Reply to Radcliff.”
American Politics Quarterly, 23: October, 404-408.
Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1992. "Peasants
or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy." American
Political Science Review, 86: September, pp. 597-611.
Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1992.
"Question-Wording and Macropartisanship." American Political Science Review,
86: June, pp. 475-481.
Robert S. Erikson and David W. Romero. 1990. "Candidate Equilibrium and the
Behavioral Model of the Vote." American Political Science Review, 84:
December, pp. 1103-1125.
Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Roll Calls, Reputations, and Representation in the U.S.
Senate." Legislative Studies Quarterly. 15: November, pp. 623-42.
Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote: A
Review of the Macrolevel Evidence." American Journal of Political Science,
34: May, pp. 373-399.
Robert S. Erikson. 1990. "Reply to Jacobson." American Journal of Political
Science, 34: May, pp. 405-7.
Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, and James A. Stimson. 1989.
"Macropartisanship." American Political Science Review, 83: December, pp.
1125-42.
Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 1989. "Political Parties,
Public Opinion, and State Policy." American Political Science Review, 83:
September, pp. 729-50.
Robert S. Erikson. "Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote." 1989.
American Political Science Review, 83: June, pp. 567-73.
Robert S. Erikson, Thomas B. Lancaster, and David W. Romero. 1989. "Group
Components of the Presidential Vote, 1952-1984. Journal of Politics, 51:
May, pp. 337-346.
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Robert S. Erikson. 1988. "The Puzzle of Midterm Loss," Journal of Politics, 50:
November, pp. 1011-1029.
Gerald C. Wright, Robert S. Erikson, and John P. McIver. 1987. "Public Opinion
and Policy Liberalism in the American States." American Journal of Political
Science, 31: November, pp. 980-1001.
Robert S. Erikson, John C. McIver, and Gerald C. Wright. 1987. "State Political
Culture and Public Opinion." American Political Science Review, 81: September,
pp. 788-793.
Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 1986. "Voter Conversion and the New
Deal Realignment." Western Politics Quarterly, 39: December, pp. 729-731.
Gerald C. Wright, Robert S. Erikson, and John P. McIver. 1985. "Measuring
State Partisanship and Ideology with Survey Data." Journal of Politics, 47: May,
pp. 469-489.
Robert S. Erikson. 1982. "The 'Uncorrelated Errors' Approach to Problems of
Causal Feedback." Journal of Politics, 44: August, pp. 863-885.
Robert S. Erikson and Kent L. Tedin. 1981. "The 1928-1936 Partisan
Realignment: Evidence for the Conversion Hypothesis." American Political
Science Review, 75: December, pp. 951-962.
Robert S. Erikson. 1981. "Why Do People Vote? Because They Are Registered."
American Politics Quarterly, 8: July, pp. 259-276.
Robert S. Erikson. 1981. "Measuring Constituency Opinion: 1981. The 1978
U.S. Congressional Election Survey." Legislative Studies Quarterly, 6: May,
235-245.
Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 1980. "Elections and Policy
Representation of Constituency Interests: The Case of the 1974 House Elections."
Political Behavior, 2: November, pp. 91-106.
Robert S. Erikson. 1979. "The SRC Panel Data and Mass Political Attitudes."
British Journal of Political Science, 9: January, pp. 89-114.
Robert S. Erikson. 1978. "Constituency Opinion and Congressional Behavior: A
Reexamination of the Miller-Stokes Representation Data." American Journal of
Political Science, 22: August, pp. 511-535.
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Robert S. Erikson. 1978. "Analyzing One-Variable Three-Wave Panel Data: A
Comparison of Two Models." Political Methodology, 5: Number 2, pp. 151-
167.
Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "The Influence of Newspaper Endorsements in
Presidential Elections: The Case of 1964." American Journal of Political
Science, 20: May, pp. 207-233.
Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "Is There Such a Thing as a Safe Seat?" Polity, 8:
Summer., pp. 623-632.
Robert S. Erikson. 1976. "The Relationship Between Public Opinion and State
Policy: A New Look Based on Some Forgotten Data." American Journal of
Political Science, 20: February, pp. 25-35.
Robert S. Erikson, Norman R. Luttbeg, and William V. Holloway. 1975.
"Knowing One's District: How Legislators Predict Referendum Voting.
American Journal of Political Science. 19: May, pp. 231-46.
Robert S. Erikson. 1972. "Malapportionment, Gerrymandering and Party
Fortunes in Congressional Elections." American Political Science Review, 65:
December, pp. 1234-1245.
Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Electoral Impact of Congressional Roll Call
Voting." American Political Science Review, 65: December, pp. 1018-1032.
Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Incumbency Advantage in Congressional
Elections." Polity, 3: Spring, pp. 395-405.
Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Relationship Between Party Control and Civil
Rights Legislation in the American States." Western Political Quarterly, 24:
March pp. 178-182.
Robert S. Erikson. 1971. "The Partisan Impact of State Legislative
Reapportionment." Midwest Journal of Political Science, 15: February, pp. 51-71.
Stuart Nagel and Robert S. Erikson. 1966-7. "Editorial Reaction to Supreme Court
Decisions on Church and State." Public Opinion Quarterly, 30: Winter, pp. 647-
655.
Book Chapters
Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “The Congressional Incumbency Advantage Over
Sixty
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Years: Measurement, Trends, and Implications” In Alan Gerber and Eric
Schickler
(eds.). Governing in a Polarized Age: Elections, Parties, and Political
Representation in America. Cambridge University Press
Robert S. Erikson. 2017. “Understanding the 2014 Midterm Election. “ In Chris
Galdieri, Tauna Sisco, and Jennifer Lucas (eds.) Beyond the Midterms:
Implications of the 2014 Election, University of Akron Press, forthcoming.’
Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 2017. “Voters, Candidates, and Issues in
Congressional Elections.” Chapter 4 in Lawrence Dodd and Bruce I Oppenheimer
(eds.) Congress Reconsidered. 11th
edition. Sage. (earlier versions appeared in
editions 3-10)
Robert S. Erikson and Yair Ghitza. 2016. “Legislative Leaders as Condorcet
Winners? The Case of the US Congress.” In Marie Gallegos and Norman Schofield
(eds.),The Political Economy of Social Choices, Springer.
Robert S. Erikson. 2014. “Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election: Should We
Have Known All Along that Obama Would Win?” Chapter 1 in Amnon Cavari,
Richard J. Powell, and Kenneth Mayer (eds.), The 2012 Election: Forecasts,
Outcomes and Consequences. Rowman and Littlefield,
Robert S. Erikson, Aaron Straus, and Michael Bruter. 2013. “Working
Backwards? Using Simulation to Sort Out Empirical Inconsistencies,” Chapter
11 in “Political Science Research Methods in Action.” Chapter 11 in Michael
Lodge and Martin Bruter (eds.), Political Science Research Methods in Action.
Palgrave.
Yosef Bhatti and Robert S. Erikson. 2011. “How Poorly are the Poor Represented
in the U.S. Senate?” In Peter Enns and Christopher Wlezien (eds.), Who Gets
Represented? New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Robert S. Erikson. 2010. “Hispanic Voting in the American States: the Case of
2004.” Chapter 2 in Beyond the Barrio: Latinos and the 2004 Election, R de la
Garza, L. Desipio, D. Leal (eds.). Univ. of Notre Dame Press.
Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Forecasting
House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls,” In Wendy Alvey and Fritz
Scheuren (eds.), Elections and Exit Polling. New York: Wiley and Sons,
Robert S. Erikson, Gerald C. Wright, and John P. McIver. 2006. “Public Opinion
in the States: A Quarter Century of Change and Stability.” Chapter 9 in Jeffrey
Cohen (ed.), Public Opinion in State Politics. Stanford: Stanford University Press.
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Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2006. “Public
Opinion and Congressional Policy: A Macro-Level
Perspective.” In E. Scott Adler and John S. Lapinski (eds), The
Macropolitics of Congress. Princeton University Press.
Michael B. MacKuen, Robert S. Erikson, James A. Stimson, and Kathleen Knight.
2003. “Elections and the Dynamics of Ideological Representation.” Chapter 6 in
Michael B. MacKuen and George Rabinowitz (eds.), Electoral Democracy. Ann
Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Robert S. Erikson. 2002. “Explaining National Party Tides in Senate Elections:
Macropartisanship, Policy Mood, and Ideological Balancing.” In Bruce I.
Oppenheimer (ed.), U.S. Senate Exceptionalism. Columbus, OH: Ohio State
University.
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. “Public
Opinion and Policy: Causal Flow in a Macro System.” Chapter 2 in Jeff Manza,
Fay Lomax Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds.), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls,
Policy and the Future of American Democracy. Oxford University Press, Inc.
(USA).
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. “Panderers
or Shirkers? Politicians and Public Opinion.” Chapter 4 in Jeff Manza, Fay Lomax
Cook, and Benjamin I. Page (eds.), Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy and
the Future of American Democracy. Oxford University Press, Inc. (USA).
Robert Lineberry, Darren Davis, Robert Erikson, Richard Herrera, and Priscilla
Southwell. 2002. “The Electoral College and Social Cleavages: Ethnicity, Class,
and Geography.” Chapter 11 in Paul D. Schumaker and Burdette A. Loomis, eds.,
Choosing a President. New York: Chatham House.
Robert S. Erikson, Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2001.
Macropartisanship: The Permanent Memory of Partisan Evaluation.” Chapter 20 in
Richard G. Niemi and Herbert F. Weisberg , eds., Controversies in Voting
Behavior, 4th
ed. Washington: Congressional Quarterly Press.
Robert S. Erikson and Gerald C. Wright. 2000. “Representation of Constituency
Ideology in Congress.” Chapter 8 in David Brady and John Cogan (eds.),
Continuity and Change in Congressional Elections. Stanford: Stanford University
Press.
Robert S. Erikson and Lee Sigelman. 2000. “Poll-Based Forecasts and the House
Vote in Presidential Years, 1952-1992 and 1996.” In James E. Campbell and
James C. Garand. Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections.
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Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. Pp. 145-157. [Update and extension of article
originally appearing in American Politics Quarterly, 1996.]
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2000. “Temporal Horizons and
Presidential Election Forecasts.” In James E. Campbell and James C. Garand.
Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections. Thousand Oaks, CA:
Sage. Pp. 145-157. [Update and extension of article originally appearing in
American Politics Quarterly, 1996.]
Robert S. Erikson and Darren W. Davis. 1998. “The President’s Approval
Rating.” Chapter 6 in Kent L. Tedin, Donald S. Lutz, and Edward P. Fuchs
(eds.), Perspectives on American and Texas Politics 5th edition. Dubuque, IA:
Kendall-Hunt.
Robert S. Erikson and Mark Franklin. 1998. “The Puzzle of Low Voter Turnout in
the United States.” Chapter 8 in Kent L. Tedin, Donald S. Lutz, and Edward P.
Fuchs (eds.), Perspectives on American and Texas Politics, 5th edition. Dubuque,
IA: Kendall-Hunt.
Kathleen Knight and Robert S. Erikson. 1997. "Ideology in the 1990s." In Barbara
Norrander and Clyde Wilcox (eds.), Understanding Public Opinion. Washington:
CQ Press.
John P. McIver, Robert S. Erikson, and Gerald C. Wright. 1993. "Public Opinion
and Public Policy: A View from the States." In Lawrence C. Dodd and Calvin
Jillson, editors. New Perspectives on American Politics. Washington:
Congressional Quarterly Press.
Robert S. Erikson. 1973. "Reapportionment and Policy: A Further Look at Some
Intervening Variables." In Lee F. Papayanopoulos (ed.) Democratic Representation
and Apportionment. New York: New York Academy of Sciences. Pp. 280-290.
Publications, Other:
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2016. “Forecasting the Presidential
vote with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls.” Political Science: PS. 49.
669-672.
Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. “National
Polls, District Information, and House Seats: Forecasting the 2014 Midterm
Election: PS. Political Science and Politics (October). 776-778.
14
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2014. “Forecasting US Presidential
Elections Using Economic and Noneconomic Fundamentals.” PS. Political
Science and Politics.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2013. “Forecasting with Leading
Economic Indicators and the Polls in 2012” PS: Political Science and Politics,
46: pp. 620-624. 46 (1): pp. 38-39.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2012. “The Objective and Subjective
Economy and the Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics, 45: pp. 620-624.
Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2010. “Forecasting
House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election.”
PS: Political Science and Politics, October.
Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien. 2011. “Forecasting
House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: A Post-Mortem” PS: Political
Science and Politics, January.
Robert S. Erikson. 2009. “The American Voter and the Economy, 2008.” PS:
Political Science and Politics,41:3 (July) 467-471.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2009.. PS: Political Science &
Politics. “The Economy and the Presidential Vote in 2008.”
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. PS: Political Science &
Politics. “Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote” 41
(October): 703-707.
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2005. “Post-Election
Reflections on Our Pre-Election Poll Predictions.” PS: Political Science
and Politics. 38 (January): 25-26.
Christopher Wlezien and Robert S. Erikson. 2004. “The Fundamentals, the
Polls, and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics. 37
(October): 747-751.
Robert S. Erikson, Joseph Bafumi, and Bret Wilson. 2001. “Was the 2000
Presidential Election Really Predictable?” PS: Political Science and Politics,
December.
Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien. 1996. "Of Time and Presidential
Election Forecasts." PS: Political Science and Politics, March.
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Robert S. Erikson. 1993. “Counting Likely Voters in Gallup’s Tracking Poll.”
The Public Perspective. March/April.
Robert S. Erikson. 1989. "Why the Democrats Lose Presidential Elections:
Toward a Theory of Optimal Loss." PS: Political Science and Politics, March.