Vick Khalil Mamlouk – VP Sales Middle East and Africa
May 16 2011
The Future of Cellular
2PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
The Goal
• The goal of the Future State Working Group was to answer the following two questions:
• In the year 2015 how is cellular service delivered?
• What strategies should the business units take to maximize our market share in 2015?
Participants
• Wireless business unit GMs, wireless sales, and designated “thought leaders” within product management and R&D
3PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Things Taken as Given
• Data growth will be dramatic and non-stop
• HSPA+ and LTE will be the predominant technologies for delivering high-speed data
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
1,800,000
3,600,000 4%5%
8%
17%
66%
Source: Cisco VNI Mobile, 2010
TB
pe
r M
on
th
Mobile VoIP Mobile Gaming Mobile P2P
Mobile Web/Data Mobile Video
108% CAGR 2009–2014
4PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Our Conclusions - 2015Areas of Consensus – The Highlights
• Heterogeneous Networks. The “HETnet”• The concept, among other things, of a coverage network and a capacity
network
• Multiprotocol/Multi-frequency
• Operator’s focus will be on increasing the efficiency/utilization of their spectrum by various means (sector splitting, MIMO, etc.)
• DAS, given it’s ability to be multi-vendor/multi-frequency will continue to be a viable coverage/capacity solution
• Even in light of wide spread remote radio head adoption
5PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Areas of ContentionWhere No Consensus was Reached
• The extent of using 802.11 to offload data from the cellular network
• The extent of like-for-like upgrade of cellular networks, i.e. the Sprint CDMA upgrade
• The speed of LTE adoption/deployments• How many WCDMA operators will shift to or
add LTE services?
TowerStream’s Pilot Wi-Fi Network in New York City
6PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Heterogeneous NetworksCoverage Network
7PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Heterogeneous NetworksAdding a Capacity Network
8PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Heterogeneous NetworksAdding Indoor Coverage
9PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Heterogeneous Networks (the HETnet)
• The main idea is that operators will need to deploy two networks
• A Coverage Network that provides wide area and mobility access• A Capacity Network that provides increased capacity in data
hotspots, i.e. airports, train stations, sport and concert venues, and large enterprises
• It may be that operators deploy these two networks at different frequencies so as to mitigate interference issues
• The capacity network will be provided by a varied topology of access solutions such as remote radio heads, micro and pico base stations, femtos, and DAS products
• Andrew Solutions is a leader in DAS but there will be large opportunity for new solutions
10PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Evolution of Base Stations(LTE example)
TMA
Coax Cable for RF Feed
Base Station Cabinet with Fuel-Cell Battery Backup
BSA
Radio Server
Fiber
RRH
Coax Cable
2008/20092 Protocols
2 Bands
BSA
TMA
Today add LTE3 protocols
3 Bands
2015?
11PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Evolution of Base Stations(LTE example)
12PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Evolution of Base Stations(LTE example)
13PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Evolution of Base Stations(LTE example)
14PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
Evolution of Base Stations(LTE example)
15PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc
• 2015 will have large networks supplying all three generations of wireless technology
• We do not see 2G or 3G networks being turned off until well past 2015
• In order to support the introduction of 4G, new frequency bands will be deployed
• In addition, in many cases there will be multiple protocols in each band
• Given this development, the increasing complexity of the cell site will become a major problem. Across all wireless business units we need to increase our capability to provide multiband/multiprotocol solutions with reduced time to market
• We would be happy to present the entire set of findings at a later date
Multi-Protocol/Multi-Frequency
North America
EMEA
China
India
• 700/850/1900/2100/2500MHz
• 800/900/1800/2100/2600MHz
• 700/800/900/1800/1900/2100/2600MHz
• 700/800/850/900/1800/1900/2100/2300MHz
16PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL © 2011 CommScope, Inc