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Data-Driven Approach to Government Investing & Policy Making
Three Hats, Three QuestionsThree Hats, Three Questions
Bowei Gai
World Startup Report
WTIS-17
14 Nov 2017
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Bowei I WEAR A FEW HATSHELLO, MY NAME IS
Engineer Founder Investor Researcher Magician
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Founder
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IT companies have come a long way
Source: Financial Times, Crunchbase
Top Market Cap
Companies
Unicorn
Sightings
Cultural Acceptance
2007 1/10 ? Minimal
Today 7/10 304 Widely
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Everything
Counts
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Researcher
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1. What is the impact on government
programs on local startups success?
2. What is the ROI on these government
assisted startup programs?
Let’s take a closer look
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Global
Entrepreneurship
Week
Source: Global Entrepreneurship Week, 2017
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Countries 170
Partners 20,000
Events 35,000
People 10,000,000+
Global
Entrepreneurship
Week
Source: Global Entrepreneurship Week, 2017
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$1B Startup
Successes
Source: Crunhbase, 2017
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Unicorns$1B Startup
Successes
USA 151 50% Silicon Valley 86
New York 18
Los Angeles 12
Others 35
United Kingdom 10
Others 15
China 95 32%
Europe 25 8%
Rest of the World 31 10%
Source: Crunhbase, 2017
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What if we redefine success?
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Startup
Weekend
Source: StartupWeekend, 2013
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Years 2009-2015
Members 150,000+
Countries 100+
Cities 560+
Startup
Weekend
Events 2,000+
Source: StartupWeekend, Pando
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Program Cost: $27,321,343
Program Impact: ~$1,000,000,000
Program Notable Successes
Source: StartupWeekend, 2017
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But how does it compare?
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Fund Size: $6,250,000
Fund Impact: ~$15,000,000,000
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Year Started 2009 2009
Investment $27M $6.25M
Impact ~$1B ~$15B
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Worldwide Top Tech InvestorsSource: Crunchbase 2017
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Source: Last week tonight
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Source: Last week tonight
“…331 million in lost tax revenue, and think about that for a second… you can create a program wherethe first 1100 people that move to Kansas city from Missouri would each get a Ferrari, which theycould then drive around in a giant pile of $30m where the state has set on fire. Then you wouldactually be fiscally more responsible, because you’d save the area $20m.”
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Magician
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3 Questions to Always Ask3 Questions to Always Ask
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What is your goal?What is your goal?
• Foreign Direct Investment?
• Job creation?
• Tax revenue?
• Publicity?
Rule of thumb: Be realistic. Don’t just sell the dream.
What is your realistic goal?What is your realistic goal?
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• Amount of Foreign Direct Investment
• Number of jobs created
• Earning per $ spent
• Tax revenue collected
Rule of thumb: if it can be disputed, it is not a good metric.
What are your metrics?What are your metrics?What are your hard metrics?What are your hard metrics?
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How do you collect data?How do you collect data?
• Maintain the data continuously throughout the lifetime of the program
• Provide full transparency for accountability
• Make it easily accessible for all to use
Rule of thumb: data analytics should be part of the program budget
How do you collect & maintain data?How do you collect & maintain data?
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3 Questions to Always Ask3 Questions to Always Ask
1. What is your realistic goal?
2. What are your hard metrics?
3. How do you collect and maintain data?
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It’s a journey together
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Thank youThank you