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MYKHAILO GONCHAR
NOMOS Center
Ukraine
Vienna, March 08
Transparency of Gas Flows
and Security of Supply
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Surplus of pipeline capacities from Russia is a
challenge for stability of gas supply to the EU & ECT
Directions of export Capacities, bcma
Ukrainian mainstream 142
Belorussian direction 35
Blue Stream 16
North Stream + Finland 55+7
South Stream 63
Total: existing/future 255 / 318
Gazprom gas
export to the EU –
138 bcm in 2012
(only <113 bcm
physically)
Contracted gas
volumes (LTC)
for 2020-2025
~158 bcm/year
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CASE: FUTURE GAS SUPPLY TO LITHUANIA
IS UNDER RISK OF AN INTERRUPTION
Possible interruption
According to order dated November 2012
Kaliningrad interconnector has to be built
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Scheme of the Energy Transparency Regime for Gas (ETR-G) based
on physical on-line data interchange as an Early Warning Mechanism
on-line
verification
Producer
(RU)
Transmitters
EaP countries
(UA, BY, MD)
Consumer
(EU)
1. WORKING PRESSURE
2. OUTCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY)
3. INCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY)
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Thank you for
your attention!
NOMOS/Strategy XXI
www.nomos.com.ua
geostrategy.org.ua
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Annex 1.
REACTION FROM THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION
ON ENERGY TRANSPARENCY REGIME PROPOSED BY
UKRAINIAN THINK TANK