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The Analogues Online Interface: hands-on using baseline case studies
Julian Ramirez-Villegas
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Overall objective
• Plug descriptions of households in CCAFS benchmark sites into the analogues concept to get an idea of what the options of using analogues in the context of adaptation are
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Why these sites?• Agro-ecological differences• Key socio-economic aspects (gender,
urbanisation, etc)• Large warming• Land use pressure• Contrasting cases for adaption• High likelihood to impact through CCAFS R&D• Institutions• Other criteria (accesibility, mitigation
potential, etc…)
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The CCAFS benchmark site network
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The three regions are very diverse
• 43 different ethnicities• 27 different types of animals• 86 different crops• Different land-use and intensification
patterns• Different technology levels• Different adaptive responses
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WAF
EAF
BGD
Bihar
NPL Kristjanson et al. 2011 (draft)
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Burkina Faso and Kenya?
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Mali and Ethiopia?
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Kanchanpur and Khulna?
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Bihta and Piro?
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Kaffrine, Senegal• Rainy season between mid-April and
October
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Where are the best analogues (2030)?
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Where are the best analogues (2030)?
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Now we will
• Test the effect of different climate pattern• Test different directions• Forward• Backward• None
• Test the effect of lagging• Test the effect of the different variables and
their weights• Test the effect of different growing season