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Small Cells Industry Update
Gordon Mansfield
Chairman Small Cell Forum &
AVP Small Cell Solutions AT&T
December 3, 2013
[email protected] www.smallcellforum.org
© Small Cell Forum Ltd 2013
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The Small Cell Forum
AimsTo accelerate small cell adoption to change the shape of mobile networks and maximise the potential of the mobile internet
Not-for-profit, founded in 2007
Independent, Inclusive, International
Ecosystem Development
Market Education
Driving open standards
67 operators covering 3 billion global mobile subscribers – 44% of total
83 providers of small cell technology representing all parts of the
ecosystem
*As of September 2013
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FY 2013 Summary
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• 56+ operators incorporate small cells in their network today.
• 44+ operators offer a residential femtocell to end users
• 26+ operators use an enterprise femtocell
• 17+ operators are working with urban small cells for capacity
Market Status Report (1/4)
Source: Mobile Experts, December 2013
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As of October 2013:
• 7.2 million residential femtocells deployed
• 168,000 indoor small cells deployed
• 2,700 outdoor small cells deployed
Market Status Report (2/4)
Source: Mobile Experts, December 2013
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3,919,478
26,025
861,810
433,965
1,072,120
687,525 N America
L America
Europe
China
APAC
MEA
13,47817,663
30,245
229,178
350
Installed base indicated for October 1, 2013
Total Small Cells Non-Residential Small Cells
Market Status Report (3/4)
Source: Mobile Experts, December 2013
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Market Status Report (4/4)
Market Forecast
Source: Mobile Experts, December 2013
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Dense OutdoorHot Spots
IndoorHot Spots
Rural Areas
Residential
2
4
-5 +5 +15
Peak d
ata
effi
ciency
(b
ps/
Hz)
Signal-to-noise ratio (dB)
Limits of 2G, 3G, 4G
Shannon Bound
Infeasible region
EV-DO
LTE
HSDPA
Coverage Holes due to Regulatory Constraints
GOAL: COST EFFECTIVELY ADD CAPACITY TO IMPROVE END-USER QoE AND OPERATOR PROFITABILITY
SPECTRUM EXHAUST
SITES: COVERAGE / CAPACITY
THREE KEY CHALLENGES FACING OPERATORS
AT&T 30,000% increase in mobile data traffic over past 6 years
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LTE user experience improvements with small cells (co-channel)
% in
crea
se in
med
ian
thro
ughp
ut
over
mac
roce
lls a
lone
Small Cells per Macrocell1 2 4 10
193%300%
467%
960%
Assumptions:• TR36.814 at 700MHz• 2x1 watt cell Tx Power
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• SCF work given structure & direction by Release Programme
• Goal: to accelerate small cell adoption across all major use cases.
• Publish new releases when significant body of work completed.
• This serves as the theme for the Release.
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Our Release Program: How it works
Timetable
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• 25 new documents covering technical & business
• Unlock the commercial potential of small cells within enterprises
• 11.5M non-residential indoor small cells To be deployed by 2018
Announced Today – SCF Release 2
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Release 2 Documents
Small Cells, what's the big idea?
SCF Release Structure and Roadmap
Enterprise overview E-SCN Use Cases and
Requirements Enterprise Market Drivers Enterprise Business Case Wi-Fi/Cellular simulations Wi-Fi/Cellular radio co-
existence in enterprise products
Enterprise Reference Scenarios
Enterprise SON use cases E-SCN Network
Architectures E-SCN IT Considerations for
Enterprise Small Cells E-SCN and Shared Network
Requirements Security WP (internal
document) Synchronization for
Enterprise Deployments Multi-technology (3G+LTE)
Whitepaper Non-traditional enterprise
coverage extension solutions
Regulatory White Paper Backhaul for Enterprise
topic brief Small Cell Enterprise
Deployment Issues Enterprise Services
Leveraging Small Cells Unified Communication
Services and Small Cells
www.scf.io
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Release Two: Enterprise A Peek Inside
• 39%-61% of offices have noticeably poor in-building coverage1
• Over 80% of total mobile data traffic is indoors2
• Serving in-building traffic from outdoors places a heavy load on operator spectrum, reducing potential efficiency3
• 87% of businesses would switch provider to guarantee coverage4
1YouGov Research, Feb 2013, figures for UK and US respectively2 Paolini, M. “Mobile data moves indoors”, September 2011 3 Signals Research Group: “Valuable Licensed Spectrum is a Largely Under-Utilized Asset Indoors”, Feb 20134 Alcatel-Lucent study Feb 2013
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Release Two: Key findings summary
• Release Two business case finds compelling commercial argument for small cells in almost every enterprise context.
• In fact in almost all the enterprise deployments modeled, the payback period for both the operator and the enterprise was found to be less than a year.
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Release Two: Key Findings Summary
For Enterprises:
•Essential to provide coverage that addresses their business needs
High Quality Voice is Essential
•Opportunity for value-added services
For Operators:
• Can deploy small cells quickly and easily at relatively low cost
• Establish strategic relationship by providing services in demand
• Huge opportunity for those who move quickly to gain market share
For Small Cell Vendors:
• Products must provide high quality voice
• Opportunity to develop for value-added data services
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How to get involved: Release Three in progress
Upcoming Events•Mobile World Congress, Barcelona, February, 2014•Small Cell Forum PlugFest, TBD, April 2014•Small Cells Asia – Bangkok, Thailand April, 2014•Small Cell World Summit – London UK, June 2014
We welcome your membership & participation!!!
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Thank you!
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www.smallcellforum.org