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Rotterdamis building (for) the future
Denis Wiering / Program-manager Youth Strategy / City of Rotterdam
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In this presentation:
• Rotterdam: before and after
• Changes and challenges
• From objectives to factors
• Interaction and evidence
• Ranking the factors
• Sneak preview on data science
• Some showcases
• Results and things ahead
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Rotterdam ‘80
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Rotterdam now
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Rotterdam now623.652207.098
17%
3,8% vs 2,1%
18% vs 15%
1.350
17.500
9%1/4
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Rotterdam objectives
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Rotterdam f1
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Rotterdam now
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Rotterdam now
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Rotterdam is growing Policy model
Input
time / money /
quality
Throughput
Activities / interventions
OutputBenefits from
activities and
interventions
Outcome Impact
Monitoring and learning
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Ranking the factorsOn relevance, on impact, on prevalence
Factor ranking
Social and emotional competences 1
Parental psychopathology 2
Social economic situation / debts / poverty 2
Parental skills 2
Psycho social problems 3
Truancy / school drop out / poor performances 3
Housing / deprived environment 3
Substance abuse 4
Domestic violence 4
Criminality 5
Sport and activity 5
Culture and leisure 5
Temperament 5
Acces to services 5
Nutricion 5
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Smart cluster approach: ecosystemsMacro level
Meso level
Micro level
Impact
familynetworkperson
neighborhoodschoolwork
legislationpublic policieseconomyvalue systems
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Possibilities of data science
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Some showcases
• Social emotional health: from 0.3M to 2.2M of evidence or theory based interventions
• For example: Good Behaviour Game / decrease on agression, depression, anxiety, adhd
• Dynamic Cost Benefit Analysis of effective prevention: savings on child protection costs
• Monitoring and learning cycles with practitioners in preventive youth domain
• Method of distric programming of activities ‘Prosperous Neighbourhoods’, inspired by American Communities that Care programme: prevevntion, educational programmes, sports, culture etc.
• Drugs & Alcohol programme: projects in sports, leisure, nightlife, schools
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Results: some stats
• Decrease in substance abuse:• Alcohol life time use among 14/15 year olds: from 45% in 2010 to 31.5% in 2017
• Alcohol binge drinking among 14/15 year olds: from 18% in 2010 to 7.1% in 2017
• Canabis life time use among 14/15 year olds: from 11% in 2010 to 4.6% in 2017
• Decrease in school drop outs: from 5,3% in 2011/2012 to 3% in 2016/2017
• Decrease in criminality: from 9.360 crimes commited by young people per year in 2010 to 3.418 per year in 2017
• Increase in school performance: average Dutch National Final Test score from 531,2 in 2010 to 534,2 in 2017
• Increase in birth outcomes: 11,5 per 1,000 births (2000-2008) to 7,6 per 1,000 births (2011-2016)
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Things ahead
• Smart cluster approach in order to tackle the complex ecosystem of poverty
• Social emotional health: flip the perspective, insight in protective factors
• Criminality: what’s behind the stats?
• Equal opportunities: closing the gap
• Every day focus in building (for) the future: more young people growing up healthier, safer and withmore chances in life