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Assessing linkages between Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk
Reduction in Floodplains of Southeast Asia
Rodel D. Lasco
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Key Message 1: Climate change will worse flooding in SE Asia
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IPCC AR5 (2013)
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Wet and wetter
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Sea level rising
4 IPCC AR5 (2013)
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Less number of cyclones but more intense
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IPCC AR5, 2013
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Increasing exposure to tropical cyclones
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IPCC SREX, 2012
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Increasing exposure to floods
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IPCC SREX, 2012
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Numbers and Types of Natural Disasters, 1950–2012.
Increasing climate-related disasters
Leaning et al 2013
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9 Germanwatch, 2014
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10 Germanwatch, 2014
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11 GAR, 2015
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12 GAR, 2015
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13 GAR, 2015
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Key Message 2: Flooding greatly impacts the economies of SE Asia
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Thailand 2011 flooding
• The heaviest flooding in 50 years
• Economic losses of USD45.7 billion, which makes the floods one of the top five costliest natural disaster events in modern history.
15 AON, 2012
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Metro Manila in October 2009…
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23 July 2010
In July 2010…
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Key Message 3: Flooding will severely impact food security in SE Asia
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Flood affected rice fields in 2011 (USDA)
19 http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/highlights/2011/11/SE%20Asia/
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Flood affected rice fields in 2011 (USDA)
• Heavy monsoon rainfall and multiple typhoons have inundated large areas of productive rice lands in Southeast Asia
• 2.6 million hectares or 6 percent of the region’s total rice area experiencing flooded conditions.
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2011 floods damage to standing crops (FAO)
• 1.6 million hectares (or 12.5 percent of total national cropped area) in Thailand
• 420,337 hectares (or 6 percent of the total national cropped area) in the Philippines
• 332 634 hectares (or 12 percent of the total area under paddy) in Cambodia,
• 64 000 hectares (or 7.5 percent of the total area under paddy) in Lao PDR
• 28 813 hectares (or 0.4 percent) in Viet Nam.
21 http://www.fao.org/giews/english/shortnews/seasia21102011.pdf
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Key Message 4: Flooding leads to high mortality
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Key Message 4: Flooding leads to high mortality
• Southeast Asian floods of 2011 killed more than 2,000 people directly
• Many more died later due to illnesses and diseases
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More than 6,000 died in Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines in 2013
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Linking CCA and DRR
• Government agencies dealing with CCA and DRR are separate
• But they starting to collaborate
• This will have to be speeded up
• Coordination mechanisms are needed between institutions
• Mainstream CCA and DRR in land use planning
• Involve local government units and communities
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26 26 RD Lasco 26
Thank You!!!