1 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy Integrated Fire
Control - Counter Air (NIFC-CA)
Tammy McNeley, Rick Null, Matthew Craig Lockheed Martin
Note: All performance values are notional and used only for purposes of simulation development.
17th Annual Systems Engineering Conference October 27-30, 2014
Distribution Statement A: This presentation/paper is unclassified, approved for public release, distribution unlimited, and is exempt from U.S. export licensing and other export approvals under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (22 CFR 120 et seq.)
2 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Project Overview
• Develop rapid simulation, analysis, and visualization capability to gain understanding of fighter aircraft integration in the From-the-Sea kill chain for integrated fire control operations in counter air engagements.
– Employ integrated engagement concepts – Examine engagement outcomes – Quantify benefits of military utility and effectiveness
3 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Approach
Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement
concepts • Develop Discrete Event Simulation (DES) environment • Simulate effects-based modeling of:
– Defensive fighter operations – Sea based missile defense – Communications / data link network – Threat attacks
• Generate military utility results – Rapid analysis of integrated
engagement capabilities – Understanding of top-level interactions and outcomes – Measures of Outcome, Effectiveness, and Performance
4 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Engagement Scenario*
• Carrier Defense: – Airborne fighter defense – Surface destroyer defense – Integrated operations against low-altitude targets
Fighter Engagement Zone (FEZ)
Joint Engagement Zone (JEZ)
Utilizing Engage on Remote
Missile Engagement Zone (MEZ)
“Organic” Engagement
Fighter Engagement
DDG CVN Max
. DD
G E
ngag
emen
t Ran
ge
Threat Missile A
ttack
*Notional Data
5 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Carrier Defense Visualization
FEZ
JEZ
MEZ
Visualization Used to Generate IFC Conops (engagement logic, timing, etc.)
Notional Data
6 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Additional Visualization Capabilities* Analysis layers that can be turned on/off
CADRG Maps Measurements
Missile Flyout
Battlespace Access
• Investigate the susceptibility of aircraft flying through a threat laydown
• Visualize the interdependent effects of flight conditions, terrain effects, threat system capabilities, etc.
Line of Sight
*Notional Data
7 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Carrier Defense DES “Desktop” View
Sensor Network
Shooter Network
Comms Network
*notional data
Target
Simulation Features – Threat missile attack – Missile detection and tracking – Communications networking – Missile engagement / defense
Fighters on Station
Carrier
Threat Missile Attacks
Threat Attack
Surface Defense
Destroyer
Fighter Defenses
8 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Example Attack Scenario*
• 20 threat missiles launched against carrier battle group
• Surface defense provided by destroyer
• Fighter defense options… – Case 1: No fighter defense – Case 2: Integrated fighter defense (limited bandwidth) – Case 3: Integrated fighter defense (unlimited bandwidth)
• 25 Replications run for each option
*Notional Data
Threat missile speed = high subsonic Threat missile altitude = Low Destroyer supports up to 10 simultaneous engagements
9 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Combined Kill Plot
Fighter Limited Bandwidth: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.58 Rmax
Fighter Unlimited Bandwidth: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.81 Rmax
Fighter Kills
Max Destroyer Engagement Range
No Fighter Defense: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.24 Rmax
Fighters Unlimited Bandwidth
+ Fighters Limited Bandwidth
No Fighters
Averages across 25 Replications
Destroyer Organic Fire Control Engagement
Zone
Engage on Remote Zone
Fighter Engagement Zone (FEZ)
*Notional Data
Nor
mal
ized
Ran
ge
0.25
0
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.++
Radar Horizon.
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Data Link Simulation Summary
*Notional Data from Single Replication
Simple message queuing and processing model captures link “bandwidth / capacity”
11 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Engagements – No Fighter Defense
Engagement Series – Single Replication (No Fighter Defense)
No Fighters Destroyer 19 kills, 36 shots Leakers = 1 1 Replication
Nor
mal
ized
Ran
ge
0.25
0
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.++
Max. DDG Engagement Range
Destroyer Intercepts
Destroyer Kills
Fighter Intercepts
Fighter Kills
All Engagements Occur at Close Range
No Fighter Defense (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.24 Rmax
*Notional Data
12 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Engagements – Limited Bandwidth
Engagement Series – Single Replication (Limited Bandwidth)
Fighters 4 kills, 8 shots Destroyer 16 kills, 23 shots Leakers = 0 1 Replication
Max. DDG Engagement Range
Destroyer Intercepts
Destroyer Kills
Fighter Intercepts
Fighter Kills
Nor
mal
ized
Ran
ge
0.25
0
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.++
Few Engagements Occur at Extended Range
Fighter Limited Bandwidth (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.58 Rmax
*Notional Data
13 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
Engagements – Unlimited Bandwidth
Engagement Series – Single Replication (Unlimited Bandwidth)
Fighters 4 kills, 8 shots Destroyer 16 kills, 30 shots Leakers = 0 1 Replication
Max. DDG Engagement Range
Destroyer Intercepts
Destroyer Kills
Fighter Intercepts
Fighter Kills
Nor
mal
ized
Ran
ge
0.25
0
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.++
Many Engagements Occur at Extended Range
Fighter Unlimited Bandwidth (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.81 Rmax
*Notional Data
14 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved
About the Author
Ms. Tammy McNeley is a Lockheed Martin Fellow and serves as Chief Engineer of the Lockheed Martin Aeronautics’ Warfare Integration Laboratories including F-35 and Advanced Development Program facilities. She has 30+ years of experience in military Operations Analysis (OA) and human-in-the-loop simulation and is certified as an Expert Systems Engineering Professional (ESEP) by the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE). She is also an active member of the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) Systems Engineering (SE) Modeling and Simulation (M&S) Committee.
Tammy McNeley Lockheed Martin Fellow Lockheed Martin Aeronautics P.O. Box 748 Fort Worth, Texas 76101 (817) 935-1022 [email protected]