Primary Places in Deptford & New Cross
Background
• Births in Lewisham have increased by 34% between 2000/01 and 2009/10
• Conversion rate of births to requests for places has increased from 69% to 74%
• Demand for primary places has exceeded supply since 2008/09
Year Places Added
2008/09 60 places
2009/10 255 places
2010/11 & 2011/12
564 places
2011/12
• 564 places added across 21 schools (many of which have taken a bulge in previous years)
Forest Hill & Sydenham: Adamsrill (2009 & 2010) Dalmain (2009 & 2010) Horniman, Kelvin Grove(2010) Kilmorie (2009 & 2010) Rathfern, St William of York
Lee Green: John Ball (2009)
Brockley, Lewisham, Telegraph Hill: Gordonbrock, Lucas Vale, Myatt Garden, Turnham
Catford, Bellingham & Grove Park: Athelney (2010), Coopers Lane, Rushey Green (2010) Sandhurst Infants (2009 & 2010)
Deptford & New Cross: Grinling Gibbons, Kender (2010) St Joseph’s
Downham: Good Shepherd, Rangefield
Neighbouring Local Authorities
• There is no centralised summary of the numbers of classes added in other Local Authorities across London
• Greenwich, Lambeth. Southwark and Bromley have each opened on average 5/6 classes each year
• There has been little change in patterns of cross-border migration
2012/13
• 150 permanent places will be added through the enlargement ofKilmorie, Dalmain, Gordonbrock, Brockley, Sandhurst Infants & Juniors, Kender
• Supply is 3,304 places• Demand is projected to be for over 4000
places• Borough wide shortfall could be at least
18 forms of entry
Births
Births September 1st 2000 to August 31st 2001
616
Births September 1st 2008 to August 31st 2009
744
Births September 1st 2009 to August 31st 2010
758
Increase 2000/01 to 2009/10 23%
Increase 2008/09 to 2009/10 2%
Demand for Reception
Year High Projection Additional Requirement
2012/13 538 118 (4FE)
2013/14 527 107 (3.5FE)
2014/15 542 122 (4FE)
2015/16 539 119 (4FE)
And later?Demand is projected to increase
2016 605 places
2017 629 places
2018 648 places
2019 663 places
Options
• We have expanded Kender from 1FE to 2FE
• We hope to open 2FE at a re-furbished Mornington Centre in 2013
• We know that Haberdasher Aske’s are planning to apply to open a 2FE Free school on their site
Other possibilities
• We have applied for funding that would enable us to rebuild Sir Francis Drake as a 2FE school – decision awaited
• We are in discussion with the developers of major sites in the area to get either a school built as part of the development OR a financial contribution