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New Technology 2014
Course Introduction
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Teacher
▪ Ólafur Andri Ragnarsson – Adjunct at Reykjavik University – Co-founder & Chief Software Architect, Betware !
– [email protected] – http://www.olafurandri.com – http://twitter.com/olandri – http://delicious.com/olandri !
– Office hours after Friday lecture
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Teacher
▪ Hilmar Kári Hallbjörnsson – Leiðbeinandi !
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Course Content
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The Adjacent Possible
Disruptive Technology Connecting People
Becoming Invisible
A Journey Exploring Technology Exponential World
The Rise of the Machine
How Innovation Happens
Diffusion of Innovation
Looking for Opportunities The Innovator´s Dilemma
Power of Software Interacting with Technology
The Broadcast Century
A Worldwide Network
The Mobile Revolution
The Social Layer Predictive Intelligence
New Business models Computer games
Gamification
Future Trends
Robotics and Drones
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A Journey Exploring Technology
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What does technology mean?
How do we define technology?
The Study of People
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Exponential World
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Waves of development
What exponential means?
Local and linear vs. global and exponential
Moore’s Law
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The Adjacent Possible
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Why are things invented when they are?
Layers of technology
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How Innovation Happens
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How does technology evolve?
The Slow Hunch
Liquid Network
Serendipity
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Diffusion of Innovation
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Why do people adopt new technology?
Why do good technologies fail and inferior succeed?
What are customers really buying?
Crossing the Chasm
The Hype Cycle
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Becoming Invisible
When products mature, technology is irrelevant
Importance of style and emotion
Why engineers are bad designers
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Disruptive Technology
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Technologies that change everything
Why do businesses always fail to respond?
Reactions to disruptive technologies
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The Innovator´s Dilemma
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Making all the right decisions and still failing
Why listening to your customers is fatal
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Looking for Opportunities
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Can we track and understand technology trends?
Principles of Disruptive Innovations
Model to understand trends
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Connecting People
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The ultimate market
Those who have accessto information tend to win
Telegraph, telephone, wireless transmissions, broadcasting
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Rise of the Machine
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From adding machines to electronic brains to general purpose computers
Disruption of Automation
Birth of the IT industryMITS Altair 8800
How IBM created an industry
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Power of Software
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Xerox Parc
The DEMO of the Century
Beginning of GUIs
OS for the consumers
The Rise of Microsoft
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Interacting with Technology
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Beyond the Desktop
Touch, gesture and audio
New User Interfaces
Displays anywhere
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The Broadcast Century
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The transformation of the TV industry is beginning
TV of the Future
The Cognitive Surplus
End of the Movie Start
The Long Tail
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A Worldwide Network
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The Accidental network
Brief History of the Internet
The Future of the Internet
The Wi-Fi revolution
Standards
RFID
Near-field communications
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The Mobile Revolution
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Cellular networks
Generations
Smartphones
The iPhone effect
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The Social Layer
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P2PUGC
Collaboration
Crowdsourcing
The Long Tail
Folksonomy
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Predictive Intelligence
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Checking in
Mining the digital footprint
Exploiting context
Machine learning
The Local in SoLoMo
Predictive Intelligence
Big Data
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New Business Models
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The Business of Music
Beyond selling digital copies
Freeconomics
Freemiums
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Computer Games
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The rise of computer games
The crash of 1986
Multiplayer games
Serious games
Casual games
Future of games
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Gamification
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Getting people to do stuff they don’t like
Status and rewards
Player types
Player emotions
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Robotics and Drones
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Race against the machine
Personal programmable robots
Drones
Future of Work
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Future Trends
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What’s next?
Virtual reality is more real than reality
Your phone will tell you what you need to know
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Reading
▪ Textbook – New Technology text available
as PDF – Reading material are articles
or videos from the Internet – Some are posted on http://olafurandri.com
▪ Reading is either required or optional – All readings will be posted on the course web
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Interesting Books
▪ Engines That Move Markets – Alasdair Nairn
▪ The Innovators Dilemma – Clayton M. Christensen
▪ Crossing the Chasm – Geoffrey A. Moore
▪ The Tipping Point – Malcolm Gladwell
▪ The Invisible Computer – Donald A. Norman
�29see http://www.olafurandri.com/?cat=3
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Interesting Books
▪ Where do good ideascome from – Steve Johnson
▪ What Technology Wants – Kevin Kelly
▪ Reality is Broken – Jane McGonigal
▪ The Singularity is Near – Ray Kurzweil
▪ The Future of the Internetand how to Stop it – Jonathan Zittrain
�30see http://www.olafurandri.com/?cat=3
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Interesting Web Sites
▪ Economist - http://www.economist.com ▪ Technology Review - http://
www.technologyreview.com ▪ NY Times - http://www.nytimes.com ▪ Businessweek - http://www.businessweek.com/ ▪ ZDNet technology News - http://news.zdnet.com/ ▪ CNet - http://www.cnet.com/ (news.cnet.com) ▪ Google News - http://news.google.com ▪ Yahoo Finance News - http://finance.yahoo.com/ ▪ Ars Technica - http://arstechnica.com/ ▪ Wired - http://www.wired.com/ ▪ Guardian - http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology
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http://www.olafurandri.com/?page_id=1490
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Trend!
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Grading
▪ Study exercises – Short in-class exercises 10%
▪ Assignments – Two assignments 20% (10% each)
▪ Reading Review – Three reviews 20% (8%,8%,4%)
▪ Paper Peer-review – Review of paper and comments 10%
▪ Research Paper – Research of a particular topic 40%
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Research
▪ Objectives – Term project – Study or research of a particular topic chosen by the
student – Must be approved by the teacher
▪ Area of study – Can be a device, a concept, a trend, a standard,
philosophy or a metaphor, or a particular product – Gather information and write a paper – Best papers will be published
▪ Your research starts now!
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Research
▪ These milestones are set: – Research topic selection is due 16.02 (week 5) – Research goals and outline are due 02.03 (week 7) – Research Paper Draft for Peer Review is due 16.03
(week 9) – Peer-Review is due 23.03 (week 10) – Paper is due 30.03 at 22:00 (week 11)
!▪ Research Paper is an individual work and is 40% of
the course grade – Draft and Peer-review is 10%
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Research Study Group
▪ Group of 4-5 students – Will read your paper and give you review – Valuable service – Peer review
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Online Resources
▪ Course Web Site in MySchool !!!!!!!
▪ Teacher’s web site: http://www.olafurandri.com – Twitter: @olandri #nyti
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Online Resources
▪ Slides are in Slideshare !!!!!!!!▪ Links in MySchool
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Online Resources
▪ Audio Recording are on Vimeo !!!!!!!!▪ Links in MySchool
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Timeplan (stundaskrá)
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Lectures are in Flight Mode
▪ Laptops and other communication devices are forbidden in class – You don’t need them! – Classes are interactive and focused
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Prerequisite
▪ None... except
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Prerequisite
▪ No programming required ▪ Interest in technology and social change is
recommended ▪ Qualification test – 2001 Space Odyssey – The Matrix – Minority Report
• http://www.minorityreport.com/
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A Journey Exploring Technology
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What was the major technology innovation in 2013?
Study Exercise
MISSION: FIND OUT BEFORE NEXT CLASS