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Surviving the Renaissance:
Flourishing in an Age of Technology-Driven Chaos
and Disruption
New Media ConsortiumJune 02016
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https://futuristpaul.com/2012/09/27/how-to-make-strategy-sexy/
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/15831109296/
http://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=2192
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/16283090113
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/jonny2love/4016385671
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/128688968@N03/16201298985/
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/rooners/15649718968/
https://www.flickr.com/photos/uflinks/4955877639/
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1. Short term: to 2021
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/multnomahcountylibrary/18457790768
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Making stuff• Global economic
shifts
• Rethinking consumer vs producer
• What happens when we take students seriously as producers?
http://studentasproducer.lincoln.ac.uk/blog/
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Hardware heading towards the invisible
https://www.flickr.com/photos/26556146@N07/16347907406/
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https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide/
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Internet of Everything
Rethink:
• privacy
• data ownership and control
• safety tradeoffs
• public and private
• Brin, T Society
http://www.davidbrin.com/transparentsociety.html
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/lorda/14613457286
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http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
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The boring new old stuff
Social media, crowdsourcing, crowdfunding, open source, data analytics, mobile computing, gaming, gamification, virtualization, digitization, digital storytelling, always-on media capture, always-on surveillance, hacking…
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That's all in the short term.
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We already know all about this stuff.
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2. Medium term
https://consumerist.com/2016/01/04/a-message-from-the-year-2026-about-the-future-of-your-tv
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http://www.businessinsider.com/facebooks-world-of-virtual-reality-in-2026-2016-4
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automation• Self-driving
car
http://www.google.com/selfdrivingcar
/
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http://avc.com/2016/04/an-ai-first-world/
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AI taking up human functions
http://americangut.org/how-it-works/
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/nnova/7159517903
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add robots
http://www.memes.com/img/381928
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-08/wall-street-has-hit-peak-human-and-an-algorithm-wants-your-job
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objections•Humans want contact!•Automation is too expensive!
•I’m scared of machines doing bad things to me and my children!
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3. Long term
http://www.newsweek.com/forget-2015-2050-year-predictions-296481
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• Let’s look ahead even further. Try 2050.
http://www.businessinsider.com/ways-the-world-will-be-terrifying-in-2050-2015-3
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rainbows_End
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0151U75ME/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?ie=UTF8&btkr=1
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0151U75ME/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?ie=UTF8&btkr=1
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The new silicon order
• Bostrom, Hawking, Forbin Project
• Or Iain Banks.http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0064177
/
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The new social order• Given sufficient automation in post-1990
forms?
• Might not see new jobs appear.
• Income inequality accelerates to 19th-century levels.
• we could see two new worlds of work.
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/dlnorman/27513144566/
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Hacking life
• http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.macromol.6b00091
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The new humanity
What happens to our sense of what it means to be human?
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The new humanity
https://www.flickr.com/photos/pennstatelive/12103651054/
http://www.dezeen.com/2012/09/07/paralympic-design-flex-foot-cheetah-blades-by-ossur/
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A new nature“Really, what I am is a futurist,.. Our project is acknowledging that a future is coming where nature is no longer fully natural.”
-marine biologistRuth Gates
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/04/18/a-radical-attempt-to-save-the-reefs-and-forests
,
http://www.billmckibben.com/eaarth/eaarthbook.html
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A new nature
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Territorial_claims_in_the_Arctic
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Hacking the world
• Humans change humans
• Humans change the world
• The new world changes humans
• And so it goes.
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Renaissance?• A rebirth of human creativity and
identity
• an expansion of our powers and capacities
• fraught with all kinds of dangers and disasters
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexandra_Elbakyanhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
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https://antivigilancia.org/es/2016/03/ciudades-rebeldes-hacia-una-red-global-de-barrios-y-ciudades-rechazando-la-vigilancia/
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Hang on
https://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/109934159/
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“I love the poorly educated!”
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/cogdog/16283090113
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Let’s go even further
https://www.quora.com/What-will-the-world-look-like-in-2075
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https://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/16228105584/
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We are so not ready• Weird simultaneity of popular
($$-fed) embrace of technology with strong anti-scientism, unreason
• Academic disciplines not necessarily ready (think political science, macroeconomics)
• Radical divides over human nature
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenny_McCarthy
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We are so not ready
• Horrendous American tv “news”
• Horrible legacy of prejudice restricting human growth and creativity
• Returning inequality “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “
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What shouldn’t we do?
Don't think about it.
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What shouldn’t we do?
Stop evading the issue by thinking about retirement
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What shouldn’t we do?
(present generations don’t have a good record about leaving a world to the young right now)
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What is to be done?
The blindingly obvious things:
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What is to be done?Collaborate with each other, across institutions, sectors, nations, populations, professions
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What is to be done?
Work through inter institutional groups (like NMC!)
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What is to be done?
Use social media
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What is to be done?
Use and be open
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What is to be done?
Read and watch science fiction
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What is to be done?
The not so obvious, and challenging: Rethink everything in terms of automation’s possibilities…
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What is to be done?
What could be replaced?
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What is to be done?
Become a cyborg
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What is to be done?
Use futures methods
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What is to be done?
More challenging:
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What is to be done?
Lead - you’re best placed on campus to inform people in context
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What is to be done?
Get political
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What is to be done?Imagine different worlds and inhabiting them - yourselves, your institution, your children and the generation to come
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Image credits
•Each cited on slide.
•Otherwise, mine.
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Selected bibliographyAndrea Castillo, “Can a Bot Run a Company?” http://reason.com/archives/2016/05/24/can-a-bot-run-a-company
Alison Cook-Sather, Catherine Bovill, Peter Felten, Engaging Students as Partners in Learning and Teaching: A Guide for Faculty (2014)
Kristi DePaul, “Robot Writers, Open Education, and the Future of EdTech” (2015) http://er.educause.edu/blogs/2016/4/kyle-bowen-robot-writers-open-education-and-the-future-of-edtech.
Donna Haraway, “Anthropocene, Capitalocene, Chthulucene: Staying with the Trouble” http://opentranscripts.org/transcript/anthropocene-capitalocene-chthulucene/ .
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Selected bibliographyMichio Kaku, Physics of the Future.
Rebecca Keller, “The Rise of Manufacturing Marks the Fall of Globalization.” https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/rise-manufacturing-marks-fall-globalization
Kevin Kelly, The Inevitable .
Ray Kurzweil, http://www.kurzweilai.net/how-to-erase-bad-memories-and-enhance-good-ones
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Selected bibliographyBrooke McCarthy, “Flex-Foot Cheetah”. http://www.ele.uri.edu/courses/bme281/F11/BrookeM_2.pdf
Alexis Madrigal, "'The Future Is About Old People, in Big Cities, Afraid of the Sky’". http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2014/03/the-future-is-about-old-people-in-big-cities-afraid-of-the-sky/284459/
Babak Parviz, "Augmented Reality in a Contact Lens" http://spectrum.ieee.org/biomedical/bionics/augmented-reality-in-a-contact-lens/0
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Selected bibliographyBrandt Ranj, "Goldman Sachs says VR will be bigger than TV in 10 years “. http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-predicts-vr-will-be-bigger-than-tv-in-10-years-2016-1
David Rose, Enchanted Objects.
Avianne Tan, “Legally Blind 5th Grader Sees Mother for 1st Time Through Electronic Glasses”, http://abcnews.go.com/Health/legally-blind-5th-grader-sees-mother-1st-time/story?id=38740863
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http://bryanalexander.org
http://twitter.com/http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderbryanalexander