Download - Nevada State Agency Climate Change Survey
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Orion Cuffe, Ira Cross, Elaine HirtStatistical Analysis for Business Decisions
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Interdisciplinary Research Project
NSHE is Administrator
Funded by $15M Grant
Sponsors: NSF, EPSCoR
Institutional Partners: UNR, UNLV, DRI
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Important Role to Develop Public Policy
Implementation
Most Closely Match Local Needs for Climate Change Adaptation
Often Lack Resources and Timely & Accurate Scientific Information Necessary to Implement Policy Effectively
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Surveymonkey.com
All Public Agencies
Sent 204 Surveys
Received 29 Complete Self-Selected Responses
14.2% Response Rate
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Regional Agency
13%
Federal Government
Agency0%
State Government
Agency23%Local
Government Agency
48%
Special Purpose
Government (School, Utility,
Water District, etc.)
7%
Business Association
6%
Non-Profit Organization
3%
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Climate Change Priority Level?
Organization Planning?Information Sources?
Capacity for Planning?
Constraints and Obstacles for Implementation?
Cooperation Between Local Government & Organizations?
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Is This Related to…Media
Information Source
Size of Budget
Number of Employees
Organization Types
How Does Nevada Compare with National Trends?
That?Confidence in Science
Organization Preparedness
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Successful Tests
Test of Two Means
T-Test of Proportions
Chi-Square
Unsuccessful Tests
ANOVA
OLS Multiple Regression
Data Cleaning & Coding
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Chi-Square Test Results Reveal Yes, There is a Relationship.
P = 0.0409
Inverse Relationship
Less News = More ConfidenceMore News = Less Confidence
Conclusion: Watching the News Erodes Confidence in the Science.
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Yes, Consultants Strengthen Confidence in the Climate Change Science When Used More Often.
Chi-Square Test Results Show Yes, There is a Relationship.
P = 0.08
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Two Sample Test of Means gives P-Value: 0.427 at 95% Confidence Interval.
No, Budget Size Does Not Play a Role Whether or Not an Agency is Prepared for Climate Change.
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Chi-Square Test Results Show NO Relationship
P = 0.6226
Conclusion: Do Not Rely on the Agency Type Determine How Prepared the Agency is to Deal with Climate Change Issues. Applies to State Agencies to Non-Profit Organization.
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Regardless of the Type of Agency, the Confidence in Climate Change Science Remained Unaffected.
Chi-Square Test Reveals NO Relationship.P-Value = 0.4504
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Two Sample Test of Means Reveals NO Relationship at 95% Confidence Interval.P-Value = 0.924T-Test Score = 0.096
Even the Number of Staff of an Organization has NO Affect in Preparedness for Climate Change Issues.
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Is Climate Change a Priority?18% Nevada Agencies Say Yes, It’s a Top Priority*
3% National Average Says Yes, It’s a Top Priority**
Confident in the Science of Climate Change71% Nevada Agencies Are Confident*
57% National Average Is Confident***
*Note: NOT statistically significant different due to extremely high error, a consequence of low sample size.**Bloomberg Poll conducted by Seizer & Co., Dec 3-7, 2009. N=1,000 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%***Pew Research Center Poll conducted Sept 30-Oct 4, 2009. N=1,500 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%
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“This is a waste of time and money. You cannot
do anything about climate change.”
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“It’s hard to get concerned, when reports
are so conflicting, and politics play such a role.”
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“What do we need to better plan?
The Truth.”
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“The national news media cannot be trusted to tell
an unbiased truth!”
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“A climate change clearing house.”
“Get truthful, factual, long-
term, non-political data!”
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“Is it really real, or made up Al Gore
BS?!”
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Long Process to Create & Approve SurveyUNR Survey Policy
Very Poor Lack of Response!Not Enough Samples
Limited What Tests Could Be Used
High Margin of Error
Survey Was LongOver 45 Questions
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Collect More Responses Through Phone Interviews
Plan for Focus Group Research
Presentations—February & March 2010Las Vegas, Nevada
San Francisco, California
Collaboration with UNLV
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Save the Earth. It’s the only planet with chocolate!