Transcript
Page 1: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

Margaret Thatcher

Polling Trends

1978 - 2011

Contacts:

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Page 2: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

2

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

% Satisfied with Thatcher

% Satisfied with government

Net satisfaction - government

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: 59%

Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 3: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

3

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug

-79

Nov-7

9

Feb

-80

May-8

0

Aug

-80

Nov-8

0

Feb

-81

May-8

1

Aug

-81

Nov-8

1

Feb

-82

May-8

2

Aug

-82

Nov-8

2

Feb

-83

May-8

3

Aug

-83

Nov-8

3

Feb

-84

May-8

4

Aug

-84

Nov-8

4

Feb

-85

May-8

5

Aug

-85

Nov-8

5

Feb

-86

May-8

6

Aug

-86

Nov-8

6

Feb

-87

May-8

7

Aug

-87

No

v-8

7

Feb

-88

May-8

8

Au

g-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb

-89

Ma

y-8

9

Aug

-89

Nov-8

9

Fe

b-9

0

May-9

0

Aug

-90

No

v-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher as Prime Minister

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister?

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

% Satisfied with Thatcher

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: Falklands

General Election General Election

March 1990:

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Spending cuts

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-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Net satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

Net satisfaction - government

Net satisfaction -Thatcher

June 1982: Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

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-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Aug-7

9

Nov-7

9

Feb-8

0

May-8

0

Aug-8

0

Nov-8

0

Feb-8

1

May-8

1

Aug-8

1

Nov-8

1

Feb-8

2

May-8

2

Aug-8

2

Nov-8

2

Feb-8

3

May-8

3

Aug-8

3

Nov-8

3

Feb-8

4

May-8

4

Aug-8

4

Nov-8

4

Fe

b-8

5

May-8

5

Aug-8

5

Nov-8

5

Feb-8

6

May-8

6

Aug-8

6

Nov-8

6

Feb-8

7

May-8

7

Aug-8

7

Nov-8

7

Feb-8

8

May-8

8

Aug-8

8

Nov-8

8

Feb-8

9

May-8

9

Aug-8

9

Nov-8

9

Feb-9

0

May-9

0

Aug-9

0

Nov-9

0

Source: Ipsos MORI

Satisfaction with Thatcher and her government

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister/the government is running the country?

% Satisfied with government

Net satisfaction - government

June 1982: Falklands

March 1981: -58

Budget – spending cuts

General Election General Election

March 1990: -63

Poll tax

October 1984:

Brighton bomb

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Se

p-7

8

Sep

-79

Sep

-80

Sep

-81

Sep

-82

Sep

-83

Sep

-84

Se

p-8

5

Sep

-86

Sep

-87

Sep

-88

Sep

-89

Sep

-90

Margaret Thatcher – personal attributes

General Election General Election

Capable leader

More honest than most

politicians

Out of touch with

ordinary people

General Election

Understands

problems facing

Britain

Source: Ipsos MORI Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

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7

Like her? Like her policies? Compared to Blair and

Cameron

Thatcher

October

1984

Thatcher

November

1990

Blair

December

1997

Blair

May

2007

Cameron

April

2010

% % % % %

I like him/her and I like his/her policies 26 20 47 27 29

I like him/her but I do not like his/her

policies 19 19 22 30 19

I do not like him but I like his policies 15 8 7 6 9

I do not like him & I do not like his policies 35 52 14 31 38

Don't know 5 2 10 5 4

Total like him/her 45 39 69 57 48

Total do not like him/her 50 60 21 37 47

Total like his/her policies 41 28 54 33 38

Total do not like his/her policies 54 71 36 61 57

Source: Ipsos MORI Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

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Source: MORI Political Monitor

Margaret Thatcher – satisfaction ratings

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Margaret Thatcher is doing her job as Prime Minister?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

May 1979-November 1990 Average 1979-90

Satisfied Don’t know

Dissatisfied

40%

54%

6%

Net = -14

Base: c. 1,000-2,000 British adults 18+ each month

First term Second term Third term

Falklands War

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Net

sati

sfa

cti

on

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his / her job as Prime Minister?

Satisfaction with Prime Ministers

THATCHER

BLAIR MAJOR

BROWN

CAMERON

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Number of months from becoming Prime Minister

Note: Data collected prior to June 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from June 2008 was via telephone

Page 10: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

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Net

sati

sfa

cti

on

LABOUR: 1997 - 2010

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Number of months from new

government taking power

Note: Data collected prior to June 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from June 2008 was via telephone

JOHN MAJOR

BECOMES PM

CONSERVATIVES: 1979-1997

COALITION: 2010-2012

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the government is running the country?

Satisfaction with governments

GORDON BROWN

BECOMES PM

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3

9

10

17

13

26

22

4

6

7

10

11

27

36

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Don't know

None

John Major

David Cameron

Gordon Brown

Tony Blair

Margaret Thatcher

Capable

Liked

Base: 508 British adults 18+, 17th - 19th June 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Most capable/liked Prime Minister?

Which one of the following Prime Ministers do you consider the most capable leader/like most as a person?

%

Page 12: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jun-8

7

Sep-8

7

Dec-8

7

Mar-8

8

Jun-8

8

Sep-8

8

Dec-8

8

Mar-8

9

Jun-8

9

Sep-8

9

Dec-8

9

Source: Ipsos MORI

Poll tax

Do you support or oppose the government adopting the following policy? ‘Replacing the system of domestic rates with a fixed charge paid by people in each household aged over 18’

% Oppose

% Support

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each month

Page 13: Margaret Thatcher: Poll Rating Trends

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

14 A

pr '8

2

21 A

pr '8

2

24 A

pr '8

2

30 A

pr '8

2

03 M

ay '8

2

16 M

ay '8

2

26 M

ay '8

2

23 J

un '8

2

Source: Ipsos MORI

Falklands

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government are now handling the situation in the Falkland Islands?

% Satisfied

% Dissatisfied

Base: c. 1,000 British adults each time


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