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Manpower
EmploymentOutlook SurveyUnited States
A Manpower Research Report
Q
32007
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Contents
United States Employment Outlook 1Regional ComparisonsSector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 13International Comparisons Americas
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
International Comparisons EMEA
About the Survey 20
About Manpower 21
Q3/0
7Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
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More than 14,000 interviewshave been conducted withemployers across theUnited States to measureanticipated employmenttrends between July andSeptember 2007.
All participants were asked,How do you anticipatetotal employment at yourlocation to change in thethree months to the endof September 2007 ascompared to the current
quarter?
Among the U.S. employers surveyed, 29% foresee an
increase in hiring activity, and 7% expect a decline instaff levels during Quarter 3 2007. Fifty-eight percent
anticipate no change in the hiring pace, while 6% are
undecided about their July September hiring plans.
According to the seasonally adjusted survey results, the
Quarter 3 hiring pace is expected to remain unchanged
from the April June period. This stability comes after
three consecutive quarters of slight declines in employer
confidence levels. This trend is apparent in the year-
over-year comparison, which shows that employers
were slightly more optimistic about staffing plans oneyear ago.
Please note that throughout this report, the figure used
in all graphs is the Net Employment Outlook. This
figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers
anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting
from this the percentage of employers that expect to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the
next quarter.
United States Employment Outlook
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Increase Decrease No Change Dont KnowNet Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
% % % % % %
3rdQuarter2006 31 6 57 6 25 21
4thQuarter2006 28 8 58 6 20 20
1stQuarter2007 23 11 60 6 12 19
2ndQuarter2007 28 7 59 6 21 18
3rd Quarter 2007 29 7 58 6 22 18
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
1
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Employers in six of the 10 industry sectors surveyed
anticipate relatively stable hiring activity compared to
three months ago, according to the seasonally adjusted
survey results. This includes employers in Construction,
Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate and Services. Education employers are the only
group anticipating a slightly more positive hiring trend in
Quarter 3 versus Quarter 2 2007. Those in the Mining,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Public Administration
sectors foresee more modest hiring activity for the
coming quarter.
Compared to the April June period, employers in theMidwest and South expect to maintain a similar hiring
pace for Quarter 3. Those in the Northeast anticipate
slightly weaker labor market conditions in the next
three months, while a slightly improved hiring pace
is predicted for the West.
A comparison of regional hiring activity shows thatemployers in the West predict the most rapid hiring
pace, while those in the Northeast report the countrys
most conservative hiring plans.
Employers in most industries are less inclined to add
staff than they were a year ago at this time. Hiring plans
have tapered off in the Construction, Wholesale/Retail
Trade and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate sectors. To a
lesser degree, hiring is also expected to slow down in
the Durable Goods Manufacturing, Services and Public
Administration sectors. Employers in Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities
and Education are as optimistic about hiring for the
summer months of 2007 as they were one year ago,
while Mining employers forecast improved hiring plans.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % %%%
Construction 36 7 53 294 16Education 27 11 57 16 175
Finance,Insurance & RealEstate 22 6 67 5 16 16
Manufacturing Durables 30 9 56 5 21 18
ManufacturingNon-Durables 29 8 58 5 1821
Mining 31 5 55 9 2426
PublicAdministration 24 7 61 17 148
Services 30 6 59 5 24 20
Transportation & PublicUtilities 26 6 61 7 20 18
Wholesale & RetailTrade 30 7 57 6 23 17
Attheoverallnationallevel,themarginoferroronthedatais +/0.8%.
Net Employment SeasonallyIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
Outlook Adjusted
% % % %
Midwest
Northeast 27 8 59 6 19 15
29 7 59 5 22 19
27 7 61 5 20 16
SouthWest 36 8 48 8 28 24
% %
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Regional ComparisonsMidwest +20 (16)%
Twenty-seven percent of employers in the Midwest plan
to increase staff levels, while 7% foresee a decline inpayrolls, which results in a solid Net Employment
Outlook of+20%. According to the seasonally adjusted
data, hiring activity is expected to be similar to Quarter 2
projections, but slightly slower than it was one year ago.
Hiring intentions are varied among Midwest employers
in the 10 industry sectors surveyed. Education and
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing employers report
improved job prospects for Quarter 3, while those
in Construction, Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Transportation/Public Utilities and Services foresee
little change in the hiring pace. Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Public Administration
and Mining employers anticipate weaker hiring trends.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 27 7 61 5 20 16
Construction 40 7 50 3 33 14
Education 1123 60 6 12 15
Finance,Insurance & RealEstate 19 5 71 5 14 13
ManufacturingDurables 29 10 57 4 19 16
ManufacturingNon-Durables 29 7 59 5 22 19
Mining 0 0 100 0 -110
PublicAdministration 18 8 69 5 10 7
Services 25 6 64 5 19 15
Transportation & PublicUtilities 24 674 5 20 16
Wholesale & RetailTrade 29 8 58 5 21 13
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South
Dakota, Wisconsin.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Northeast +19 (15)%
In the Northeast, 27% of employers intend to increase
the hiring pace, while 8% expect to decrease staff
levels, thus the Net Employment Outlook is a respectable
+19%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the surveyresults indicate a moderate decrease in employer
confidence regarding hiring, a decline that positions the
Northeast as the region with the weakest hiring plans.
In a quarter-over-quarter comparison, employer sentiment
in six of the 10 industry sectors is less optimistic.
This includes the Construction, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Services, Public
Administration and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
sectors. The hiring pace is expected to remain unchanged
in the Durable Goods Manufacturing and Transportation/
Public Utilities sectors, while Education and Mining
employers anticipate stronger demand for staff.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 27 8 59 6 19 15
Construction 39 5 47 9 34 20
Education 822 68 2 14 16
Finance,Insurance & RealEstate 19 7 71 3 12 12
ManufacturingDurables 30 8 57 5 22 19
ManufacturingNon-Durables 26 12 56 6 14 11
Mining 25 0 75 0 3525
PublicAdministration 17 7 67 9 10 6
Services 27 6 63 4 21 15
Transportation & PublicUtilities 25 589 8 16 16
Wholesale & RetailTrade 28 9 56 7 19 15
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, Vermont.
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South +22 (19)%
In the South, 29% of employers surveyed anticipate an
uptick in payrolls during the July September period,
while 7% plan to reduce staff levels, resulting in a healthy
Net Employment Outlook of+22%. When seasonalvariations are removed from the data, the employment
picture is relatively stable in the South versus Quarter 2.
However, a year-over-year comparison reveals a cooling
trend, as employer confidence levels are weaker for
Quarter 3 2007.
Hiring intentions are stable compared to Quarter 2 in the
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Services and Public
Administration sectors. Employers are slightly less
optimistic about their staffing plans for Quarter 3 in the
Mining, Durable Goods Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail
Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate and Education
sectors. A more noticeable slow down in hiring is
anticipated for the Construction and
Transportation/Public Utilities sectors.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 29 7 59 5 22 19
Construction 30 8 58 4 22 15
Education 1132 53 4 21 20
Finance,Insurance & RealEstate 24 6 66 4 18 17
ManufacturingDurables 30 9 55 6 21 19
ManufacturingNon-Durables 29 7 59 5 22 19
Mining 27 7 57 9 1920
PublicAdministration 26 7 59 8 19 17
Services 31 7 57 5 24 22
Transportation & PublicUtilities 21 656 8 15 13
Wholesale & RetailTrade 30 5 60 5 25 20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
West +28 (24)%
Thirty-six percent of employers surveyed in the West
are likely to increase staff levels, while 8% expect to
trim payrolls during Quarter 3. This creates a robust Net
Employment Outlook of+28%. According to seasonallyadjusted survey results, the hiring pace is expected to be
up slightly from Quarter 2 and on par with expectations
from one year ago. Employers in the West express the
strongest hiring intentions when compared with the
three other regions surveyed.
Among the 10 sectors surveyed, increased optimism
about hiring is reported by those in the Construction,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Durable and Non-
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Transportation/Public
Utilities, Education and Services. The hiring pace is
expected to soften in the Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Mining and Public Administration sectors.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 36 8 48 8 28 24
Construction 40 8 47 5 32 18
Education 1531 49 5 16 20
Finance,Insurance & RealEstate 27 7 59 7 20 19
ManufacturingDurables 36 10 47 7 26 21
ManufacturingNon-Durables 37 12 42 9 25 22
Mining 50 0 36 14 4350
PublicAdministration 34 7 49 10 27 24
Services 41 7 44 8 34 30
Transportation & PublicUtilities 38 486 8 32 30
Wholesale & RetailTrade 34 6 51 9 28 20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, Wyoming.
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Sector ComparisonsAccording to seasonally adjusted survey data, employers
in the Mining sector express the most confidence about
hiring prospects for Quarter 3 2007. Services employers
anticipate solid hiring plans while employer confidence
is more modest in the Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities, Wholesale/
Retail Trade, Construction, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
and Education sectors. Public Administration employers
are the least optimistic about their third quarter hiring
plans, as compared with the other sectors.
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing Durables
Manufacturing Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
16
16
16
17
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
2624
1714
24
18
20
2317
1821
21
20
18
16
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook
29
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Construction +29 (16)%
After five quarters of decline, the hiring pace in the
Construction sector is expected to stabilize. According
to seasonally adjusted data, employer hiring intentions
for the July through September period are expected tobe identical to Quarter 2. However, year-over-year
comparisons show a moderate decline in staffing plans.
The strongest job prospects are reported in the
Northeast, while employers in the Midwest express the
weakest hiring intentions.
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-10
25
-5
0
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Education +16 (17)%
Employer optimism in the Education sector for the July
through September period is slightly stronger than in
Quarter 2, according to seasonally adjusted survey results.
Hiring plans for Quarter 3 2007 are similar to a year ago at
this time.
Job seekers are likely to find the most promising job
prospects in the West and South and the weakest hiring
plans among employers in the Midwest.
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0
25
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2530
35
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Finance, Insurance &Real Estate+16 (16)%
The hiring pace in the Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
sector for the July through September period is expected
to be similar to Quarter 2, according to seasonally
adjusted survey data. However, hiring expectations
are moderately weaker than a year ago at this time
and have trended downward since Quarter 4 2006.
Those seeking Finance/Insurance/Real Estate jobs are
likely to find the strongest employment activity in the
West, and employers in the Northeast to be more
reserved about adding staff than any other region.
Manufacturing Durable Goods+21 (18)%
For the July September period, Durable Goods
Manufacturers expect hiring activity similar to Quarter 2,
according to seasonally adjusted survey results. Employer
optimism, which started to soften in early 2007, is slightly
weaker than a year ago at this time.
Employers in the West report the strongest job prospects,
while those in the Midwest have the weakest hiring
intentions.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-10
35
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2530
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods+21 (18)%
Hiring activity is expected to remain stable in the Non-
Durable Goods Manufacturing sector for the July through
September period, as it has for the past nine quarters,
according to seasonally adjusted survey data. The
anticipated hiring pace is identical to Quarter 2 and
a year ago at this time.
Employers in the West express the strongest hiring
intentions, while the weakest job prospects are
reported in the Northeast.
Mining +26 (24)%
Confidence about hiring among Mining employers is
expected to decline slightly for Quarter 3 2007, according
to seasonally adjusted data. However, Mining employers
forecast the strongest hiring activity among the 10
industry sectors surveyed, and the hiring pace for the
July through September period is moderately stronger
than the same period one year ago.
Regional hiring patterns show that employers in the
West report the strongest job prospects, while Midwest
companies report the weakest hiring intentions.
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-10
30
-5
0
510
15
20
25
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Public Administration +17 (14)%
Employer optimism in the Public Administration sector is
expected to decline slightly during Quarter 3, making it the
weakest among the 10 industry sectors surveyed,
according to seasonally adjusted results. The hiring pacefor the July September period is also slightly weaker than
the same period a year ago.
Employers in the West report the strongest hiring intentions,
while those in the Northeast are the most conservative
about adding staff.
Services +24 (20)%
For Quarter 3 2007, stable hiring activity is anticipated
among Services employers, according to seasonally
adjusted data. However, employers foresee slightly
softer hiring intentions compared with the same period
a year ago.
Employers in the West report the most upbeat hiring
plans, while employers in the Midwest and Northeast
express the weakest hiring plans.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
-10
25
-5
0
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-15
35
-10-505
1015202530
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Transportation &Public Utilities+20 (18)%
Hiring intentions remain relatively stable among
Transportation/Public Utilities employers for Quarter 3.
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
employers expect little change in the hiring pace from
Quarter 2 and from the same period a year ago.
Employers in the West are most likely to add staff,
while those in the South are least likely to hire.
Wholesale &Retail Trade +23 (17)%
According to seasonally adjusted survey results,
Wholesale/ Retail Trade employers are slightly less
optimistic about hiring plans for Quarter 3. Hiring intentions
are slightly weaker on a quarter-to-quarter comparison
and moderately weaker versus one year ago.
Regional hiring patterns show that employers in the
West and South expect to offer the most promising job
prospects while those in the Midwest are the most
reserved about hiring.
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Nearly 52,000 employers have been interviewed across
27countries and territories to measure anticipatedemployment trends* between July and September 2007.
Positive third-quarter hiring is expected in all 27countries
and territories surveyed with employers in Germany
and Norway reporting their most optimistic hiring planssince the survey began in these countries.
* Comments in this section are based on seasonally adjusted datawhere available.
Global Employment Outlook
Americas
Asia Pacific
Australia
China
HongKong
Japan
India
New Zealand
Singapore
Taiwan
EMEA*
Austria
Belgium
France
GermanyIreland
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
UK
Italy
Switzerland
Sweden
Net Employment Outlook
Net Employment Outlook
Net Employment Outlook
Quarter 3 2007
Quarter 3 2007
Quarter 3 2007
Quarter 2 2007
Quarter 2 2007
Quarter 2 2007
21
%
10(7)1
7(8)1
5 (5)1
12(10)1
10(11)1
17
%
%
31(29)1
45 (26)1
32(29)1
24(24)1
31
53(54)1
19
18 (19)1
17(14)1
15 (12)1
15 (11)1
14(13)1
7(6)1
18
%
12(10)1
8 (6)1
6(6)1
14(13)1
9(10)1
11
%
%
24(26)1
16(21)1
24(27)1
23(20)1
39
51(48)1
14
11(8)1
25 (22)1
13(10)1
16(12)1
15 (14)1
6(4)1
25 (17)1
22(19)1
48
28 (18)1
19(19)1
48
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q2 2007 to Q3 2007
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q2 2007 to Q3 2007
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q2 2007 to Q3 2007
-3
2(3)1
1(-2)1
1(1)1
2(3)1
-1(-1)1
-6
-7(-3)1
-29(-5)1
-8 (-2)1
-1(-4)1
8
-2(-6)1
-5
-7(-11)1
8 (8)1
-2(-2)1
1(1)1
1(1)1
-1(-2)1
12
-2(-1)1
-5 (-5)1
2(2)1
13(14)1
5 (6)1
6
9(10)1
-3(-3)1
5 (5)1
-7(-7)1
-4
37(37)1
-9
-11(-10)1
9(8)1
-3(-2)1
5 (4)1
2(2)1
4(4)1
Yr on Yr Change
Q3 2006 to Q3 2007
Yr on Yr Change
Q3 2006 to Q3 2007
Yr on Yr Change
Q3 2006 to Q3 2007
*EMEAEurope,MiddleEastandAfrica.1.NumberinparenthesesistheNetEmploymentOutlookwhenadjustedtoremoveseasonalvariations.
Quarter 3 2006
%
Quarter 3 2006
%
15 (16)1
23
5
6
43
30(27)1
19(24)1
19(22)1
14(11)1
Quarter 3 2006
%
14(11)1
13(11)1
4(4)1
1(-1)1
22(18)1
4(4)1
16(14)1
16(12)1South Africa 34 19 -15
11(8)1
13(12)1
2(0)1
29(19)1
19(18)1CostaRica 20 22 2 -224
16
United States 21 (18)1 22 (18)1 1 (0)1 -3 (-3)125 (21)1
Canada
Mexico
Peru
3(1)1
-3(0)1
0
-1(-1)135 32 Argentina -3
0(1)1
32
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Employers in 15 countries and territories are reporting
weaker hiring plans compared to the second quarter,
while those in 14 are reporting stronger hiring expectations
compared to this time last year. Third-quarter U.S. job
prospects are expected to remain stable, but are softer
when compared to Quarter 3 2006. Meanwhile, the
Asia Pacific labor market is expected to cool from three
months ago. A notable exception is India, where
employer demand has bounced back after a dip
reported in Quarter 2.
The strongest third-quarter hiring prospects reported
globally were in Singapore, Peru, India, Argentina,
New Zealand, Australia, Norway, Costa Rica, Japan
and Hong Kong. Conversely, employers in Italy, Belgium
and France reported the weakest job prospects.
Regionally, employers in the Americas continue to report
positive Net Employment Outlooks, with those in Peru
reporting the strongest hiring plans. Hiring expectations
in Asia Pacific remain healthy, as employers in Singapore
again report the most optimistic Outlook in the region.
In the Europe, Middle East &Africa (EMEA) region, all
13 countries surveyed report positive hiring activity for
Quarter 3 2007. Hiring intentions in Germany remain
strong, continuing the upward trend first reported in the
fourth quarter of 2006.
Asia Pacific33%
EMEA23%
Americas44%
Survey Respondents by Region
Research for the Quarter 3 2007 Manpower
Employment Outlook Survey involved surveying nearly
52,000 human resources directors and senior hiring
managers from public and private organizations
worldwide. 44% of respondents came from six
countries in the Americas; 33% from eight countries
and territories across Asia Pacific; and 23% from
13 countries in EMEA.
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International Comparisons AmericasNearly 23,000 interviews have been conducted across
Argentina, Canada, Costa Rica, Mexico, Peru and theUnited States to measure employment prospects for
Quarter 3 2007.
The data indicates that job prospects in the U.S.,
Canada and Mexico should hold steady in the next
three months as these three labor markets appear to
be moving in unison. Slightly weaker hiring activity
is expected in Argentina and Mexico compared to
Quarter 2 2007.
Compared to Quarter 3 2006, Outlooks are relatively
stable in Canada and Mexico; slightly weaker in CostaRica and the U.S.; but notably improved in Peru.
Employers in Peru and Argentina are the most optimistic
about adding to their workforces in the quarter ahead.
The Outlook for Mexico remains one of the most optimistic
since the survey was established in the country.
ArgentinajoinedthesurveyinQ12007.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Argentina50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Canada
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
CostaRicajoinedthesurveyinQ32006.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
PerujoinedthesurveyinQ22006.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Costa Rica50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Mexico
Peru
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
USA
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Japan
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
New ZealandjoinedthesurveyinQ22004.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
New Zealand
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
ChinajoinedthesurveyinQ22005.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
IndiajoinedthesurveyinQ32005.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Australia China
Hong Kong India
International Comparisons Asia PacificOver 17,000 interviews have been conducted across
the Asia Pacific region to measure anticipated hiringactivity between July and September of 2007.
Net Employment Outlooks for the eight countries and
territories surveyed across the Asia Pacific region are
positive. However, with the exception of India, Outlooks
for seven of the eight are weaker when compared to
Quarter 2 2007. Compared to one year ago, employers
in Australia, China, New Zealand and Singapore are
reporting improved hiring plans. The strongest Outlooks
are reported in Singapore, India, New Zealand and
Australia, while employers in Taiwan expect to offer the
fewest employment opportunities.
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-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
TaiwanjoinedthesurveyinQ22005.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Singapore Taiwan
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
International Comparisons EMEANearly 12,000 interviews have been conducted with
employers across 13 EMEA countries to measureanticipated hiring activity for Quarter 3 2007.
Employers across the region continue to report varying
degrees of positive hiring activity.
Job prospects in the region are strongest in Norway,
South Africa, the UK, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland,
with employers in Germany and Norway reporting the
most optimistic Outlooks since the survey began in
these countries. Italian employers reported the weakest
but still positive hiring expectations in the region.
With the exception of the weaker Outlook in Ireland and
stronger employer hiring plans in Norway, hiring shouldremain relatively steady from Quarter 2 across Europe.
Employers in Ireland expect to slow hiring considerably
from both three months ago and Quarter 3 2006. On a
year-over-year basis, employers in eight European
countries anticipate increasing the pace of hiring.
Ireland Italy50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Austria Belgium
France Germany
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Spain
Switzerland
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Norway
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
SwitzerlandjoinedthesurveyinQ32005.NobarindicatesNetEmploymentOutlookofzero.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
South Africa
Sweden
UK
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
SouthAfricajoinedthesurveyinQ42006.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Netherlands
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
About the SurveyThe Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers intentions to increase or
decrease the number of employees in their workforces during
the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of
employment activity in the world. Various factors underpin the
success of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area
of focus.
Projective:The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the
most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the
world, asking employers to forecast employment over the
next quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on
retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derivedall of its information from a single question.
Independent:The survey is conducted with a representative
sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it
is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from
Manpowers customer base.
Robust:The survey is based on interviews with nearly
52,000 public and private employers across 27 countries and
territories to measure anticipated employment trends each
quarter.This sample allows for analysis to be performed across
specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.
MethodologyThe Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
using a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest
standards in market research. The research team for the
27 countries and territories where the survey is currently
conducted includes Manpowers Market Intelligence team; the
Organization Research and Analysis Division of Right
Management Consultants an independent operating division
of Manpower Inc.; NOP World, Grupo IDM, DATUM Research
and SEL Consultores. The survey has been structured to be
representative of each national economy. The margin of error for
all national, regional and global data is not greater than +/- 3.9%.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted by
Manpowers North American Market Intelligence Team and
includes 14,000 employers. With this number of interviews,
the margin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%.
Survey QuestionAll employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked
the same question, How do you anticipate total employment
at your location to change in the three months to the end of
September 2007 as compared to the current quarter?
Net Employment OutlookThroughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of
employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and
subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the next
quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment
Outlook.
Seasonal AdjustmentSeasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany,
Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands,
New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden,
United Kingdom and the United States to provide additional
insight into the survey data. These adjustments make it
possible to review the data without the employment fluctuations
that normally occur at the same time each year, thus providing
a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower intends to
add seasonal adjustments to the data for other countries in
the future, as more historical data is compiled.
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History of the Survey1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
1966 Manpowers UK operation launches the equivalent of
the United States survey, naming the report the QuarterlySurvey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts
the same forward-looking research format as the United
States survey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpowers Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Research methodology is updated to evolve with
advancements in the field of market research.
2002 Manpower UKs Quarterly Survey of Employment
Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research
methodology. Manpowers operations in Mexico and
Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total
18 countries and territories worldwide: Australia,
Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong
Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands,
Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom
and United States.
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
2005 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and
Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey.
2006 Manpower operations in Costa Rica, Peru and South
Africa joined the survey program. Surveys in Australia,
Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland,
Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,
Spain and Sweden add seasonally adjusted data in the
third quarter.
2007 Manpower operations in Argentina launch the Manpower
Employment Outlook Survey. The survey in New Zealand
adds seasonally adjusted data in the first quarter.
About Manpower Inc.Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the
employment services industry; creating and delivering services
that enable its clients to win in the changing world of work.
The $18 billion company offers employers a range of servicesfor the entire employment and business cycle including
permanent, temporary and contract recruitment; employee
assessment and selection; training; outplacement;
outsourcing and consulting. Manpowers worldwide network
of 4,400 offices in 73 countries and territories enables the
company to meet the needs of its 400,000 clients per year,
including small and medium size enterprises in all industry
sectors, as well as the worlds largest multinational corporations.
The focus of Manpowers work is on raising productivity
through improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction across
their total workforce, enabling clients to concentrate on their
core business activities. Manpower Inc. operates under fivebrands: Manpower, Manpower Professional, Elan, Jefferson
Wells and Right Management. More information on Manpower
Inc. is available at www.manpower.com.
About Manpower USAIn the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range
of HR services, in addition to providing administrative,
industrial and contact center personnel. Under the
Manpower Professional brand, the company placescontract professionals on assignment in areas such as
information technology, scientific, f inance, engineering and
telecommunications. More information about Manpowers
US operation can be found at www.us.manpower.com.
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Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217, USA
Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com