InternationalTelecommunicationUnion
Committed to Connecting the World
Global and Regional Global and Regional Broadband trendsBroadband trends
Workshop on “Regulatory policies on universal access to broadband services”
ITU-D Study Group 1, Question 7-2/1ITU Headquarters, Geneva
8 September 2008
Susan Teltscher, Ph.D.Head, Market Information and Statistics Division
International Telecommunication Union
April 2008
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This presentation
Global and regional ICT trends Digital divide and broadband B4D applications Spotlight on Asia-Pacific
April 2008
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Fixed telephony
60.5%
39.5%
Developed
Developing
Fixed telephone lines, 2000
43.9%
56.1%
Developed
Developing
Fixed telephone lines, 2007
0.7%
51.7%
0.5%
19.3%
27.9%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Fixed telephone lines, 20001.1%
21.6%
2.8%
46.5%
28.1% Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Fixed telephone lines, 2007
April 2008
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Fixed telephony
45.5
13.1
19.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Developed Developing World
Fixed telephone lines per 100 inhabitants
1.9
31.3
11.016.1
41.6
19.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Africa AmericasArab States Asia & Pacific
Europe & CIS countries World
Fixed telephone lines per 100 inhabitants
1.2 billion phone lines in 200756% in developing countries
Highest increase in AsiaOverall global stagnation
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Mobile telephony
1.6%
25.3%
1.3%
31.0%
40.8%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Mobile cellular telephone subscriber, 2000
5.2%
19.8%
5.3%
41.7%
27.9%Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Mobile cellular telephone subscriber, 2007
65.1%
34.9%Developed
Developing
Mobile cellular telephone subscribers, 2000
37.5%
62.5%
Developed
Developing
Mobile cellular telephone subscribers, 2007
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Mobile telephony
100.9
37.8
49.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Developed
Developing
World
Mobile cellular telephone subscribers per 100 inhabitants
22.7
71.7
53.0
36.1
103.6
49.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
AfricaAmericasArab StatesAsia & PacificEurope & CIS countriesWorld
Mobile cellular telephone subscribers per 100 inhabitants
3.3 billion mobile subscribers Steep growth in developing
countries (incl. Africa) Single most widespread ICT
Half of the world’s population have mobile telephony
Rich countries: >100% penetration
April 2008
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Internet users
75.4%
24.6%
Developed
Developing
Internet users, 2000
50.3%49.7%
DevelopedDeveloping
Internet users, 2007
0.9%
41.0%
0.9%28.5%
28.7% Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Internet users, 20002.0%
28.3%
3.1%
41.0%
25.5% Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Internet users, 2007
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Internet users54.8
12.2
20.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Developed
Developing
World
Internet users per 100 inhabitants
3.6
41.4
12.814.4
38.3
20.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
AfricaAmericasArab StatesAsia & PacificEurope & CIS countriesWorld
Internet users per 100 inhabitants
1.3 billion Internet users Half of the world’s
Internet users are in developing countries (mainly Asia)
But only 12 per 100 inhabitants in developing countries use Internet
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Broadband: high-speed Internet connection
International speed threshold: 256 kbps
Mainly fixed lines Trend: Mobile broadband – 3G,
WiMAX, Wi-Fi
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Broadband divide: fixed
0.2%
27.4%
0.9%
37.9%
33.6%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Fixed broadband subscribers, 2007
0.0%
45.4%
0.1%
35.1%
19.4%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia
Europe & CIScountries
Fixed broadband subscribers, 2001
73.5%
26.5%
Developed
Developing
Fixed broadband subscribers, 2001
66.5%
33.5% Developed
Developing
Fixed broadband subscribers, 2007
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Broadband divide: fixed
17.7
2.3
5.2
0
5
10
15
20
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Developed
Developing
World
Fixed broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants
0.1
10.3
1.0
3.4
13.0
5.2
0
5
10
15
20
98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
AfricaAmericasArab StatesAsia & PacificEurope & CIS countriesWorld
Fixed broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants
346 million subscribers Large divide – poor
countries yet to catch up in growth
Steepest growth in Europe/developed countries
April 2008
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Broadband divide: mobile
67.3%
32.7% Developed
Developing
Mobile broadband subscribers, 2004
79.2%
20.8% Developed
Developing
Mobile broadband subscribers, 2007
4.3%
69.4%
26.1%
0.2%0.0%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia & Pacific
Europe & CIScountries
Mobile broadband subscribers, 20048.0%
1.6%
55.3%
34.4%
0.8%
Africa
Americas
Arab States
Asia & Pacific
Europe & CIScountries
Mobile broadband subscribers, 2007
April 2008
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Broadband divide: mobile
13.2
0.8
3.0
0
5
10
15
2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
DevelopedDevelopingWorld
Mobile broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants
0.2
1.81.0
2.9
7.8
3.0
0
5
10
15
2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
Africa Americas
Arab States Asia & Pacific
Europe & CIS countries World
Mobile broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants
200 million subscribers A few Asian countries are
at the forefront Steep growth in
developed countries – increasing global divide
In developing countries still insignificant – important policy implications
April 2008
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Broadband champions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Kore
a(R
ep)
Icel
and
Net
her
lands
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ay
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eden
Mac
ao,
Chin
a
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Icel
and
Slo
venia
US
A
Den
mar
k
Norw
ay
Tai
wan
, C
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Japan
HK
, C
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Kore
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ep.)
Sou
rce
: IT
U W
orld
Tel
ecom
mun
icat
ion/
ICT
Ind
icat
ors
data
base
.
Sou
rce
: F
iber
-to-
the-
Hom
e C
oun
cil.
Top 10 economies by FTTH/LAN household penetration, 2007
Top 10 economies by broadband household penetration, 2007
April 2008
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Benefits of broadband
Broadband makes the Internet always available at a fast speed: Companies can keep websites up and running 24x7
and can deliver products & services in real time, anywhere in the world.
Individuals enjoy a faster and more pleasant Internet surfing experience and the ability to use bandwidth-intensive applications (e.g., VoIP, IPTV).
Broadband enhances a range of socially desirable and valuable online services in areas such as government, education and health.
April 2008
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Broadband for Development (B4D) applications
Education: online distance learning Business: e-commerce, e-banking, ICT-
enabled services/BPO Health: access to medical information in
rural/underserved areas Government: e-procurement, online tax
filing, e-voting Environment: disaster management
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Spotlight on Asia-Pacific
Launched 1 September 2008
Broadband: -trends -technologies -divide -policies
Statistical tables Directory of national
ICT/telecom organizations
April 2008
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Broadband Divide: Speed
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
J apan
Hong Kong, China
Singapore
Taiwan, China
Macao, China
Maldives
Philippines
Fij i
Pakistan
Solomon I slands
Bangladesh
Laos
Tonga
Sou
rce
: IT
U.
Note: The range of speeds show the advertised lowest and highest speed consumer broadband plan offered using DSL technology. Higher speed, mass market broadband plans using fiber optic connections are available in several high-income economies, with speeds from 100 Mbps to 1 Gbps. For Bangladesh, speeds refer to a cable modem plan.
Mbps50
5030
20
April 2008
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Broadband Divide: Price
$0$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80$90
$100
Ma
cao
, C
hin
aT
aiw
an
,Ch
ina
Sin
ga
po
reJa
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Ch
ina
Ne
w Z
ea
lan
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ust
ralia
Ko
rea
(R
ep
.)M
ald
ive
sM
ala
ysia
Bru
ne
i Da
rus.
Th
aila
nd
Fiji
Ch
ina
Ind
iaS
ri L
an
kaIn
do
ne
sia
Ph
ilip
pin
es
Vie
tna
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aki
sta
nB
hu
tan
To
ng
aM
on
go
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ng
lad
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Ca
mb
od
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an
ua
tuS
olo
mo
n I
sl.
La
os
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Monthly subscription% of GNI per capita
Price >per
capita income
Monthly broadband prices in Asia-Pacific, minimum 256 kbps, US$, July 2008
Sou
rce
: IT
U
High cost of international fibre & scarcity of international bandwidthLack of competition & barriers for new entrants
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Mobile browsing
Sou
rce
: A
dapt
ed
from
Nie
lse
n M
obile
. A growing
number of users in developing countries are using mobile phone as browser to access Internet
05
10152025303540
Th
aila
nd
Ch
ina
Ph
ilip
pin
es
Sin
ga
po
re
Ind
iaN
ew
Ze
ala
nd
Ind
on
esi
a
Mill
ion
s
0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
Using mobile phone to access Internet% of mobile subscribers% of Internet users
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Broadband divide: too much - too littleHigh-income economies
Ubiquitous, ultra-high speed access at ever lower price
IP-based voice and video applications and 3G mobile use
Fixed and mobile technologies complement each other so that many users enjoy uninterrupted high-speed connectivity
Low-income economies
Bandwidth deprived Low-speed ICT access Mobile phones have become
a substitute for fixed lines and fixed broadband access, fulfilling data needs
Internet cafes to provide higher speed, PC-based access
B4D: Low-income economies should not be complacent about broadband. High-speed connectivity is crucial for many applications that can be important development-enablers.
April 2008
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Recommendations Recognize importance of broadband; formulate
national plans, including specific targets Award licenses and spectrum for wireless broadband
technologies (3G, WiMAX) Open up the broadband market to new operators
and stimulate competition to lower prices Create investment incentives in telecom sector Utilize universal service funds to bring broadband
to rural and underserved areas Promote development of local content Encourage convergence and the transition to NGN
including adoption of regulations allowing the use of voice and video over broadband networks.
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More Information
ITU Statisticshttp://www.itu.int/ict/
ITU Publicationshttp://www.itu.int/opb/