Download - Greg sho
NGO’S – BUILDING AGE FRIENDLY COMMUNITIES
Ufa - September 2012 – Greg Shaw (IFA)
DEMOGRAPHIC UPHEAVALS
SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES
THE NEW NORM
Drivers of Ageing
2010COUNTRY
POPULATION(Millions)
2050COUNTRY
POPULATION(Millions)
China 1,338 India 1,748
India 1,189 China 1,437
United States 310 United States 423
Indonesia 235 Pakistan 335
Brazil 193 Nigeria 326
Pakistan 185 Indonesia 309
Bangladesh 164 Bangladesh 222
Nigeria 158 Brazil 215
Russia 142 Ethiopia 174
Japan 127 Congo, Dem. Rep.
166
Most Populated Countries 2010 - 2050
Drivers of Ageing
Fertility Rates
Where will residents come from in the future?
Drivers of Ageing
Life Expectancy and Elderly
Support Ratio
Drivers of Ageing
Elderly Support
Ratio2010
2050
Life Expectancy Both Sexes
Percentage Urban
WORLD 9 4 69 50MORE DEVELOPED
4 2 77 75
LESS DEVELOPED 11 4 67 44LESS DEVELOPED (Excl China)
13 5 65 44
LEAST DEVELOPED
17 9 56 27
NTH AMERICA 5 3 78 79Canada 5 2 81 80
STH AMERICA 9 3 73 82ASIA (Excl China) 11 4 68 41China 9 3 74 47
EASTERN AFRICA 17 12 53 22Zambia 17 16 42 37
MIDDLE AFRICA 18 13 48 41
28 Countries currently have life expectancy of 80+ for both sexes
25 Countries have a life expectancy of less than 55 for both sexes.
Elderly Support Ratio - The number of working-age people ages 15-64 divided by the number of persons 65 or older, indicating levels of potential societal support available for the elderly.
Working Age Population(15-64 as a % of the total population)
40% of public service can retire by 2011Universities are gearing up for a hiring boomAverage age of retirement is 58.4 years“Tories consider dropping early retirement provision”The Global and Mail , 29 December 2010
10
91
Lesotho, Africa
Sweden
Face and
Form of Family
Home
Older people’s rights are not being adequately protected
Failure to capture
discriminatory practices
Failure to prohibit age
discrimination
Gaps in protection
Lack of clarity
Inconsistent attention to
narrow range of rights
Dispersal of standards
Outdoor space & buildings
TransportationCommunication &
informationHousing
Respect & social inclusion
Social participationCivic participation &
employmentCommunity support &
health services
Domains of Life
“an age friendly city benefits everyone:
children, the young, the old”
Next Steps - Understanding - Debate - Evidence - Stakeholders - Voices of older people - Priorities
[NGOs] must hold governments accountable while at the same time working with them
to ensure that a more equitable world becomes a reality
Kofi Annan 2003
International Federation on Ageing is ….. International network of experts Source of information and knowledge Educator to public and private sectors Connector of stakeholder groups across
disciplines and sectors Capacity builder Collaborator and partner Voice at the United Nations, World
Health Organization and agencies