Download - Georgian National Study - IRI
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Georgian National Study
International Republican Institute,
Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization,
The Institute of Polling And Marketing
with funding from the
United States Agency for International Development
November 9 – 21, 2012
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INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY The survey was conducted by the Institute of Polling and Marketing for Baltic Surveys/Gallup on
behalf of the International Republican Institute. This national representative survey was carried out from November 9 - 21, 2012. The sample consisted of 1,500 Georgian residents aged 18 and older, and eligible to vote, and is
representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion. The sample design was a multi-stage random sample.
Stage One: Break country into official administrative regions. Stage Two: Select clusters of sampling points based on settlement population (large, medium,
small towns and villages). One sample point – approximately one percent of survey population (39-41 surveys). Sampling points in each region were selected based on the percentage of population living in the various levels of settlement in that region.
Respondents were selected by the random route method, using the next birthday rule to select a respondent from within a household.
Data was collected through face-to-face interviews with the respondents. The poll was conducted nationwide, including the capitol and all major regional centers. The margin of error does not exceed +/- 2.5 percent. The response rate was 72 percent.
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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ISSUES
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What is the most important issue that Georgia is facing?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What is the most important issue your town/village is facing?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What is the most important issue your household is facing?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What issue do you fear the most?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What issue do you fear the most? (Tbilisi vs. other territories)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you consider the following forms of social protest acceptable?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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POLITICS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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How would you rate your interest in politics?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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When considering which party to vote for, what is more important?
5651 54 54 53 53
4855 53 55
5055 54 58 58 60
53
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21 18 18 20 19 25
23 2327
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2622
26 26 25
26
2024 21 21
16 1915
2316
1911
2 4 5 9 7 7 6 5 5 3 2 3 5 616 14
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2023 19
Nov
12
Mar
12
Nov
11
May
11
Oct
10
Mar
10
Sep
10
Jun
09
Feb
09
Sep
08
Feb
08
Sep
07
Feb
07
Apr
06
Oct
05
Jun
05
Oct
04
No answer
Both
Party is moreimportant
Leader is moreimportant
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What are your main expectations of the new government?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What do you consider as the biggest failures of the former government?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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In what area should the Georgian government carry out reforms in first? And second/third?
34
24
13
8
6
5
3
3
2
27
25
10
11
7
6
3
5
17
21
11
13
9
7
2
7
1
1 2
2
2
8
2
3
Economy
Healthcare
Judiciary
Education
Defense
Penitentiary
Agriculture
Local governance
Environmental protection
Energy
DK/NA
First Second Third
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and is working effectively to address the problems of your region?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and is working effectively to address the problems of your region?
(by region)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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INSTITUTIONS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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How would you describe your confidence in the following institutions?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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How would you evaluate Georgia’s relations with the following?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Which countries are the most important partners for Georgia? And which comprise the most political and economic threat?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you believe the change in government will help to improve the relationship with Russia?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you support further dialogue with Russia?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you support Georgia joining NATO?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you think that Russian aggression to Georgia is over or is it still going on?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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SOURCES OF INFORMATION
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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From where do you receive general political information?
95
30
53
23
15
4
5
1
0.3
0
98
30
18
27
9
4
2
1
1
0.3
TV news, programs
Newspaper articles
Internet
Relatives, friends
Radio news, programs
Magazine articles
Colleagues at work
Meetings with politicians
Leaflets and direct mail
Billboards and street stands
Tbilisi Other territories
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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From which of these sources did you get most of the information for the parliamentary election campaigns?
95
50
28
19
11
3
3
0.6
0.3
0
1
97
14
22
18
6
2
2
1
1
0.5
1
TV news, programs
Internet
Newspaper articles
Relatives, friends
Radio news, programs
Colleagues at work
Magazine articles
Meetings with politicians
Leaflets and direct mailings
Billboards and street stands
None
TbilisiOther territories
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
Did you benefit from the Must Offer-Must Carry Law?*
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
* The Must Offer-Must Carry Law was passed by parliament prior to the October 2012 elections, and required all cable networks to carry all television news stations, including those with prevailing viewpoints contrary to the views of the network operators.
Do you believe Must Offer-Must Carry should be continued/renewed?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views or is there government control over media content?
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17
22
13
10
13
14
10
15
11
13
16
14
14
17
45
51
53
47
41
44
35
35
37
43
39
42
38
40
56
16
20
14
28
28
24
26
25
23
22
22
19
25
21
14
4
2
5
13
8
14
14
11
9
11
7
9
11
3
8
9
7
7
11
11
15
14
15
15
16
14
14
10
3 16Oct 05
Apr 06
Feb 07
Sep 07
Feb 08
Sep 08
Feb 09
Jun 09
Oct 09
Mar 10
Oct 10
May 11
Nov 11
Mar 12
Nov 12
Totally free Somewhat free Not very free Not free at all DK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to express various political views? (N=256)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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How many times per week do you access the Internet?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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How many times per week do you access the Internet?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Where do you access the Internet? (Internet users)
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How often do you use the Internet for the following activities? (Internet users, N=613)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What are three main issues that the Mayor of Tbilisi needs to address? (Residents of Tbilisi, N=416)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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OPINIONS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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All things considered equal, which candidate would you vote for?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What are the top five issues that the government should address? (one – highest priority and five – lowest priority)
2.67
2.81
2.97
2.98
3.02
3.11
3.12
3.20
3.25
3.26
3.27
3.35
2.61
3.28
2.80
3.01
3.04
3.42
3.12
3.32
3.16
3.41
3.19
3.58
2.60
3.22
2.70
2.98
3.01
3.30
3.22
3.40
3.15
3.54
2.98
3.42
1 2 3 4 5
Supporting business development
Court system
Return of refugees and internally displaced persons to theirhomes
Educational system
The establishment of the relations between the governmentand the population
Improving relations between ethnic groups
Road infrastructure
Fight corruption
Tax system
Environment improvement and protection
Foreign policy
Strengthening military power of the country
Nov 12
Mar 12
Nov 11
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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If/when Georgia becomes a member of NATO, what do you expect from membership?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you think that the Governor of your region should be directly elected by the people? (Regions only)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you think that mayors and gamgebelis* should be directly elected?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you think that local governments should have more control over local budgets and programs?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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What are three main issues that the new parliament needs to address first?
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EmploymentHealthcare
EconomyUtilities
AgricultureGeneral social problems
PensionsEducation
Improve legislationTerritorial integrity
JusticeInflation
Care for the peopleJudicial independence
Low wagesRussian-Georgian relations
Foreign affairsBudget
Rule of lawConstitution
OtherDK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you think that the government and opposition should continue dialog?
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86
81
81
85
87
88
87
72
86
77
6
4
8
7
6
3
4
3
5
4
10
6
10
11
12
9
10
8
10
23
9
12
Feb 08
Sep 08
Feb 09
Jun 09
Oct 09
Mar 10
Oct 10
May 11
Nov 11
Mar 12
Nov 12
Yes, should continue No, should not DK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you trust Georgian nongovernmental organizations?
58
54
60
16
21
14
26
25
26
Georgia
Tbilisi
Other territories
Yes No DK/NA
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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If no, why you do not trust Georgian nongovernmental organizations? (N=239)
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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POLITICS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Did you vote in the parliamentary elections that were held on October 1, 2012?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Do you plan to vote in the presidential election in 2013?
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Male47%
Female53%
Gender
18-2919%
30-4937%
50+44%
Age groups
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Primary1% Unfinished secondary
3%
Secondary38%
Vocational22%
Unfinished higher3%
University, higher33%
Education
Georgian88%
Armenian5%
Azeri4%
Other3%
Ethnicity
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Attendance of religious service
A few times a week4%
Once a week16%
Once a month25%
A few times per year38%Never
17%
Orthodox86%Muslim
9%
Other4%
None1%
Religion
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
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Occupation
Housewife16%
Unemployed33%
Self-employed3%
Student3%
Blue collar7%
Farmer3%
White collar4%
Executive10%
Retired21%
Sector of employment
Private sector20%
State sector7%
IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, November 2012
Not Working 73%