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Fast Track to the Future Rohit Talwar - CEO - Fast Future Research
Next Gen 14 Conference – Derby November 11th 2014 [email protected] www.fastfuture.com
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What we do Foresight Research Helping you explore and understand the roadmap of economic,
business, scientific, technological, social, political and environmental trends, forces, developments and ideas shaping the future of the sector
Consulting Helping you create future strategies, business models and innovations
to help respond to and create disruptive change
Speaking and Moderating Delivering keynote speeches offering inspiring insights into a changing
world and how others are responding to the future
Future Leadership Programs and Events Designing high impact leadership development programs, workshops
and events that encourage new thinking, bring the future to life and enable you to develop an action agenda
Business Design and Innovation Facilitating development of innovative, future proofed designs for
products, services, processes and customer experiences
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Contents • Presentation p. 4
• About Fast Future p. 45
• Image Sources p. 59
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Can we Change our DNA?
Play by the Rules of the Game
Create a New Game
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‘Future Proofed’ Organisations Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel
4-10+ Years
Creating the Future
1-3 Years
Search for Growth
1-12 Months
Operational Excellence
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Powerful Forces are
Shaping the Landscape...
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Socio-Demographic Shifts are Reshaping Society
Free education is a game changer
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Intense Competition
Strategy, ICT, Insight, Ideas, Responsiveness, Innovation, Financing, Structure, Business Models, New Entrants and Talent
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Disruptive Innovation is
the Holy Grail...
...and Driving
Systems Change
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Production is Being Democratised e.g. 3D Printing
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Innovators are Bypassing ‘the System’
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Barbarians at the Gate
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Magicians are Creating ‘Wow’ Factor E.g. One Time Insurance
• Smartphone service • One day contracts • Premiums start around US$4 • E.g:
• Sports and Leisure • Golf (Hole in one protection) • Domestic and Overseas
Travel
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Aliens in our Midst
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Robots are Entering the Workforce
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‘Magic’ and Science are Blurring Mapping and Uploading the Human Brain
Cognitive, Genetic, Physical and Electronic Enhancement of the Human Body
The biological era is emerging
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Technology is Transforming Everything
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Embracing the Transformative Role of IT
Customer Centric
‘Hive Mind’
Talent: Develop and
Leverage Staff
Innovate to Differentiate
Re-engineer Processes
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Technology Timeline
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Our Technologies are Evolving From the Desktop...
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...to Portable and Mobile ...
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...to Wearable...
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...to Embedded...
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...Natural, Gestural and Intelligent...
...Cloud Based, Data Rich and Predictive...
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... And Connected to an Immersive Multi-Sensory / Multi-Sensor ‘Internet of Everything’
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Speech / gesture / image recognition, integrated analytics, knowledge management, image / video / voice mining, client self-service, intelligent documents, expertise systems, collaboration, secure
email, virtual assistants, intelligent agents and collective intelligence
AI and SuperIntelligence are Catalysing a Heated Debate
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Picking City Strategies
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Map the development timeline for current and emerging sectors / markets
– Pick some to back
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Science is Creating New Sectors
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Future Growth Markets?
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The Shape of Jobs to Come - What Advances might we See in Science and
Technology over the Next 20 Years?
What S&T Based or Enabled Occupations Might Emerge or Grow as a Result?
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The 20 Jobs - Science Based 1. Body Part Maker 2. Nano-Medic 3. Pharmer of Genetically Engineered
Crops and Livestock 4. Memory Augmentation Surgeon 5. ‘New Science’ Ethicist 6. Vertical Farmers 7. Climate Change Reversal Specialist 8. Alternative Vehicle Developers 9. Quarantine Enforcer 10. Weather Modification Police
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The 20 Jobs - Science Enabled 11. Old Age Wellness Manager /
Consultant Specialists 12. Space Pilots, Architects and Tour
Guides 13. Virtual Lawyer 14. Avatar Manager / Devotees - Virtual
Teachers 15. Narrowcasters 16. Waste Data Handler 17. Virtual Clutter Organizer 18. Time Broker / Time Bank Trader 19. Social 'Networking' Worker 20. Personal Branders
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Virtual Collaboration Novel and Adaptive Thinking Social Intelligence
Trans Disciplinarity New Media Literacy
Computational Thinking
Design Mindset Cross Cultural Competency Sense Making Cognitive Load Management
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Incubate New Business Models
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Alternative Revenue Models E.g. Auctions
£3088 £8791.50 £81
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Seek Breakthrough Innovations
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Foster Ideas Reshaping Industries
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Pioneer and Leverage New Infrastructure Thinking
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Rapid Execution is Rewriting the Rule Book e.g. Superfast Construction
Ark Hotel - Dongting Lake - China
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Mapping a Future • Sustainable / Balanced
• Educated / Learning
• Partnership
• Motivational
• Stretching
• Forward Looking
• Creative / Innovative
• International
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…or be Consumed by them
Conclusion - Step into Our Fears…
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About Fast Future
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• 50 key trends • 100 emerging trends • 10 major patterns of change • Key challenges and choices for
leaders • Strategic decision making framework • Future Scenarios • Key futures tools and techniques
Designing Your Future - Key Trends, Challenges and Choices
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Reinventing the Airport Ecosystem • Drivers of change • Science and technology advances • Customer expectations • Innovation priorities • Strategies and business models • Surveys to test ideas and scenarios on a
global audience • Models for managing tomorrows airport
ecosystem • http://www.amadeus.com/airlineit/resour
ces/reinventing_the_airport_ecosystem/index.html?OADS=78
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ILTA Legal Technology Future Horizons Project
• Key business and legal trends and forces • Timeline of emerging technologies and IT developments
with high potential legal impact • Explores IT’s transformative role in future legal business
models and service differentiation • Defines strategic business and IT imperatives • 6 sponsors - combined desk research, interviews with
managing partners, CIO’s, vendors, futurists and technologists, global surveys on the business applications of IT and emerging technologies
• http://www.iltanet.org/Downloads/LTFH-Report.pdf
• 200 emerging technology developments http://www.iltanet.org/Downloads/TechTimelineAppendixLTFH.pdf
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Futurium - Science and Technology Transformations Shaping the World of 2050
• European Commission project • Examined 87 potential
developments and trends • Clustered into 11 overarching future
societal themes • Content identified through a
combination of crowdsourcing via the Futurium web platform, suggestions from the EC, and ideas proposed by our team
• http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/futurium/
Futurium
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ACCA / IMA – 100 Drivers of Change
• Identifies 100 drivers of change impacting business and the accounting profession
• Outlines future scenarios for the accounting function
• Highlights strategic imperatives for business and the accounting function
• ‘5 minutes on’ executive summary • Report:
www.accaglobal.co.uk/en/research-insights/accountancy-futures/drivers-change.html
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Hotels 2020 • Identifying key drivers of change for the
globally branded hotel sector over the next decade
• Examining the implications for: Hotel strategy Brand portfolio Business models Customer targeting Innovation
http://www.amadeus.com/hotelit/beyond-segmentation.html
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• Global strategic foresight study to help the meetings industry prepare for the decade ahead - Industry-wide sponsors
• Future strategies for venues, destinations and agencies
Convention 2020
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Fast Future Clients Technology, Media and Telecoms 3M BT Cable & Wireless Chloride CIO Connect Etisalat Gartner GE Hibu / Yell / Yellow Pages Hyland Software IBM Intel Microsoft Nokia O2 Orange (EE) Panasonic RIM (Blackberry) Samsung SAP Siemens The BBC T-Mobile twofour54 Vodafone
Banking and Financial Services ABN AMRO Actis Alliance & Leicester American Express AXA Chartis Citibank DeutscheBank HSBC ING Group Invesco Investcorp Morgan Stanley Nomura Royal Bank of Scotland Santander Standard Life Professional Services ACCA (Association of Chartered Certified Accountants) Berwin Leighton Paisner Crowe Horwath Deloitte Ernst & Young
ILTA (International Legal Technology Association) JLT Group Kennedys KPMG Linklaters Moore Stephens Mott MacDonald Norton Rose Fulbright PwC RSM Tenon Simmons and Simmons Wragge Lawrence Graham & Co
Food, Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Associated British Foods Astra Zeneca Bayer Boehringer Ingelheim Cargill Food Service Network Europe GlaxoSmithKline NHS London NHS West Midlands Novartis Pepsi
Pfizer Sara Lee United Biscuits Government and Intergovernmental Defra – Department for Environmental, Food and Rural Affairs DG Connect, European Commission DTCM - Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing Dubai Chamber of Commerce Government of Finland Government of Singapore Ministry of Defence (UK) OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) Office of Science and Technology (UK) Saudi Government Singapore National Horizon Scanning Centre UK BIS – Department for Business, Innovation and Skills UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office UK Health Modernisation Agency UK Home Office US Department of Defense
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Fast Future Clients Commercial and Industrial ACE (Association for Consultancy and Engineering) Ball Corp. BAT California Workforce Association Danaher Corporation DHL Diamond Trading Corporation (De Beers) EdF Electrolux Fitflop Hoover Hyundai IBTTA (International Bridge Tunnel and Turnpike Association) Jardines Laing O’Rourke MAP (Management Association of Pakistan) Marks and Spencer Nakheel Philip Morris
Playtex Shell Tata Thames Water Whirlpool Aviation, Travel, Tourism, Hotels, Events Industry Accor ACI (Airport Council International) Aerovista Air Plus Airport Revenue News AMAC Amadeus American Express Business Travel ASAE (Center for Association Leadership) ATAG (Air Transport Action Group) BAE Systems Boeing CANSO (Civil Air Navigation Services Organisation) Center Parcs CTW (Corporate Travel World) EADS / Airbus Emirates FCm Travel
Future Travel Experience Europe / Asia / Global Global Airport Development Hurel Hispano ICCA (International Congress and Convention Association) IMEX Intercontinental Hotels IT&CMA (Incentive Travel & Conventions, Meetings) ITB (International Tourism Bourse) MPI (Meeting Professionals International) PATA (Pacific Asia Travel Association) Preferred Hotels Qatar Airways Qatar Airways Sabre TFWA (Tax Free World Association) Travelex Travelodge Travelport TTRA (Travel and Tourism Research Association) World Travel Forum Christchurch Airport Edmonton Airport Mumbai Airport Aeroports de Paris
Schiphol Airport, Vancouver Airport Wellington Airport Denver Airport Dubai Airport Adelaide Convention Centre Melbourne Convention Centre QEII Convention Centre Qatar Convention Centre Vancouver Convention Centre Abu Dhabi Convention Bureau Athens Convention Bureau Durban Convention Bureau London Convention Bureau San Francisco Convention Bureau Seoul Convention Bureau Sydney Convention Bureau Toronto Convention Bureau Norway Convention Bureau
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Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research. • Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation –
addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents • Author of Designing Your Future • Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global
Future Thinkers • Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects
for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors
• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email [email protected]
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Videos of Rohit Exploring the Future The World in 2025 - Driving Forces, Global Challenges and Potential
Disruptions (35 mins) http://vimeo.com/93302584
Anticipating 2025 - Driving forces, global challenges and potential disruptions (30 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwcLQCIfxpY
A World in Transition (60 mins): http://www.colliers.com/en-gb/uk/insights/multimedia
Future of Travel (22 mins) http://www.travelmole.tv/watch_vdo.php?id=14300
Parallel Revolutions Impacting Global Labor: Bloomberg TV Interview (4 mins): http://www.bloomberg.com/video/parallel-revolutions-impacting-global-labor-talway-T0tJZRX6TpGIxjKShTzv~w.html
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Useful Sources • Genetic profiling - https://www.23andme.com/ • X Prize - Breakthrough innovation projects - http://www.xprize.org/ • Google brain uploading - http://digitaljournal.com/article/352787 • Brain mapping projects - http://www.technologyreview.com/news/513011/why-obamas-brain-mapping-project-matters/ • Global Future 2045 (immortality) http://2045.com/ • Human enhancement - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_enhancement • Wearable technology – Google Project Glass - http://www.google.com/glass/start/ • Emotiv Epoc Brain-Computer Interface - http://www.emotiv.com/ • AI Essay Grading Software - http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/05/science/new-test-for-computers-grading-essays-at-college-
level.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 • Digital / Crypto currencies –
– http://www.abc.net.au/technology/articles/2013/09/25/3855973.htm – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryptocurrency – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cryptocurrencies
• Autonomous cars - – http://www.engineering.com/DesignerEdge/DesignerEdgeArticles/ArticleID/6357/Tesla-Working-on-Autonomous-Car.aspx – http://www.popsci.com/cars/article/2013-09/google-self-driving-car
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Contact Information Email [email protected] Phone +44 (0)7973 405145 Web http://www.fastfuture.com Twitter http://twitter.com/fastfuture Blog http://widerhorizons.wordpress.com LinkedIn http://www.linkedin.com/in/talwar Past presentations http://www.slideshare.net/fastrohit Newsletter signup http://fastfuture.com/?page_id=13 Our current charitable campaigns: Charlotte Talwar's fundraising project to build a new toilet block for Sunrise School Ghana http://www.gofundme.com/7gaxho Street Kids International - Helping Street-Active Youth In Ghana Start Businesses https://www.globalgiving.co.uk/projects/help-street-active-youth-in-ghana-start-businesses
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Image Sources
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Image Sources p.1 Page: 1. http://www.derbytelegraph.co.uk/Future-Derby-architect-practice-Morrison-Design/story-20103704-detail/story.html 2. http://lifecoachonthego.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Woman-Ladder-Binoculars-300x200.jpg 4. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-EJhAZaiyA8E/TfRRHfKzDMI/AAAAAAAAAGo/JmTQLz1z0xc/s320/6a00d8341c65c453ef010536d4981b970c-800wi.jpg 5. Left, right: http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-72BxV124lUA/UFvsRsDW46I/AAAAAAAADMQ/cTdnJRp9lVo/s1600/DIA.Gensler.PerspectiveHotelTrainStation.jpg http://www.kgwings.com/hawkeye/hawkeye05.jpg 6. http://images.atelier.net/sites/default/files/imagecache/scale_crop_587_310/articles/418551/atelier-visage.jpg 7. Left, right: http://inclusionparadox.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/Multi-generational_Latino.jpg http://discoverwebsbest.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/khan-academy.jpg 8. http://www.geekbinge.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/GoT-4.3-Thenns-620x330.jpg 9. http://www.instablogsimages.com/1/2011/10/03/bmw_autonomous_car_dtcci.jpg 10. http://static.ibnlive.in.com/pix/slideshow/03-2013/the-3d-printing/2-3dprinting-100313.jpg 12. http://www.daz3d.com/media/catalog/product/cache/1/image/9df78eab33525d08d6e5fb8d27136e95/f/r/frost-giants-8.jpg 13. http://media.propertycasualty360.com/propertycasualty360/article/2012/03/23/tokio-marine-logo.jpg 14. http://a1.s6img.com/cdn/box_002/post_12/374833_10689477_lz.jpg 15. Clockwise: http://images.techtimes.com/data/images/full/8770/pepper.jpg?w=600 http://cdn.visualnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/robot-restaurant-56-600x370.jpg http://res.img.ifeng.com/2012/0625/wm_5576a382827c4d8515157b8c52200644.jpg 16. http://www.careercapitalist.com/.a/6a00d8345275cf69e201a3fca52fe1970b-450wi 17. Top, bottom: http://www.newsyaps.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/digital-brain.jpg http://www.pakalertpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Transhuman-Symbolism-in-Prometheus.png
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Image Sources p.2 18. http://www.inc.com/uploaded_files/image/protecting-invention-pan_18519.jpg 19. Clockwise: http://media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/236x/fe/1a/f4/fe1af47f31e8002cc988b913944d90b2.jpg http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--rMZwgTy7--/18kxdi8an8yyzjpg.jpg http://legalfutures.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/litigation_process_flow_re-engineering1.jpg http://images.sciencedaily.com/2009/07/090727140349-large.jpg 21 . http://wp.streetwise.co/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/10_DesktopComputer.jpeg 22. Clockwise: http://quietfurybooks.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/original-cell-phone.jpg http://blogs.cio.com/sites/cio.com/files/u7727/Smartphones.jpg http://images.thenews.com.pk/updates_pics/apple-unviels-ipad-air_10-22-2013_123439_l.jpg 23. Clockwise: http://cdn2.ubergizmo.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Google_Glass_features_in_flux.jpeg http://cdn-static.cnet.co.uk/i/c/blg/cat/mobiles/samsung-gear-myvouchercodes.jpeg http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-StC2ZrWjsfE/T-PV9BO5xsI/AAAAAAAACII/8-DlVgXSrUY/s1600/fuelband3.jpg 24. http://tancast.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/USB-head.jpg 25. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_Al_X7bPgEY/UGpSDY0oCCI/AAAAAAAAACE/owfEdg40heQ/s1600/598c2b9be9674bd2ae7e1951ce846def_main.jpg 26. http://www.telecom-cloud.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/Immersive-Media-Paradigm.jpg 27. http://overthemoonscifi.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/brain-mind.jpeg 30. Inside out, clockwise: http://assets.dornob.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/growing-livign-tree-house-design.jpg http://www.printedelectronicsworld.com/images/v5/articles/820x615/main3149.jpg http://www.rumormillnews.com/pix5/nbic8.jpg http://crnano.org/srg-iii-pov-animation2.gif http://www.midwich.com/common/userfiles/midwich/cube-cubeX.png
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Image Sources p.3 31. http://static.dnaindia.com/sites/default/files/1838804.jpg 32. http://www.stanford.edu/group/gender/Events/scientistwbeaker.jpg 33. Top, bottom: http://biotechnologyjobssites.com/images/biotechnology/biotechnology_250x251.jpg http://okledokle.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/bionichand.jpg 34. Top, bottom: http://www.pgsuite.com/stories/2009/09/Eldercare.jpg http://www.shapingyouth.org:8000/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/info-overload.jpg 35. http://www.iftf.org/uploads/media/IFTF_FutureWorkSkillsSummary_01.gif 36. http://www.rat-race-escape-artists.com/images/passive-income-faucet-in-pool.jpg 38. http://www.progressiveautoxprize.org/ 39. http://blog.ocad.ca/wordpress/envr4c03-fw2011-01/files/2011/09/vertical-farm-seatle-01.jpg 40. http://www.amo.on.ca/AM/Images/Infrastructure/Infrastructure_Collage.gif 41. http://inhabitat.com/rotterdams-wooden-luchtsingel-footbridge-is-a-fantastic-piece-of-crowdfunding-architecture 42. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2083883/Ark-Hotel-construction-Chinese-built-30-storey-hotel-scratch-15-days.html 43. http://globalnerdy.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/future_cities.jpg 44. http://img4.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20120605015933/gameofthrones/images/thumb/c/c7/White_Walker_2x10.jpg/500px-White_Walker_2x10.jpg