![Page 1: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Emerging Areas:The Environment
Robert E. O’Connor
Decision, Risk and Management SciencesNovember 8, 2007
![Page 2: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Organization
• Past and current support for SBE environmental research
• The Big Success in integrated SBE / natural science environmental research
• Two unpleasant expirations
• Lessons learned
• Opportunities
• The Big Gap
![Page 3: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The Funding Mix
• Most SBE awards for environmental projects always have come from regular competitions in the standing programs.
• Many special competitions have focused primarily on the SBE sciences.
• More recent special competitions have aimed to foster interdisciplinary research spanning the natural and SBE sciences.
![Page 4: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Support in Standing SBE Programs• Some programs actively support
environmental research because of the major theoretical emphases in their communities.– Geography; Decision, Risk, and Management
Sciences; Anthropology
• Other programs tend to see the environment as an "application domain."
• A third group of programs provides some support for theoretically driven work in environmental settings
![Page 5: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Special Competitions I: Focusing Largely on the SBE Sciences
• Mid-1990s to early 2000s: Human Dimensions of Global Change (HDGC), centers and teams
• 2004-: Decision Making Under Uncertainty (DMUU) centers, part of the Climate Change Research Initiative– Centers at Arizona State, Carnegie Mellon, and
Columbia.– Smaller teams at RAND and Colorado, Boulder.
![Page 6: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Special Competitions II: Integrating the SBE and Natural Sciences
• Methods and Models for Integrated Assessment competition in the late 1990s.
• Small support for SBE science involvement in work of the Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) sites and network.– Core support for Urban LTER sites,
supplemental support for other integration-building activities
• The big success: CNH
![Page 7: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Dynamics of Coupled Natural and Human Systems (CNH)
Dynamics of Coupled Natural and
Human Systems
![Page 8: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Origins of CNH
• A component of the “Biocomplexity in the Environment” Priority Area, FY2001-05
• A free-standing CNH competition in FY2007with BIO, GEO, and SBE support
![Page 9: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
CNH Is Now a Standing, Multi-Directorate Program
• An MOU signed by the ADs of BIO, GEO, and SBE provides a long-term commitment.
![Page 10: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
The 12 CNH Awards Resulting from the FY2007 Competition
Continue the Tradition• Two awards effectively are renewals of previous
CNH awards:– David Campbell,
Michigan State U, "Dynamic Interactions Among People, Livestock,and Savanna Ecosystems Under Climate Change "
![Page 11: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
– Jianguo Liu, Michigan State U, "Effects of Cross-Boundary Processes on Human-Nature Dynamics in Wolong Nature Reserve for Giant Pandas"
![Page 12: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
• Other awards examined human-natural system interactions in urban environments:– Nicolas Brozovic, U of Illinois-Urbana/Champaign,
"Coupling Hydrologic, Economic, and Social Network Models to Improve Understanding of Surface Water-Groundwater Interactions for Protection of Instream Flows"
![Page 13: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
– Colin Polsky, Clark U, "Suburbanization, Water Use, Nitrogen Cycling, and Eutrophication in the 21st Century: Interactions, Feedbacks, and Uncertainties in a Massachusetts Coastal Zone"
![Page 14: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
– Lawrence Baker, U of Minnesota-Twin Cities, "Integration of Human Choice into Models of Biogeochemical Cycling in Urban Ecosystems"
![Page 15: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Two Unfortunate Expirations
• Human and Social Dynamics Priority Area– ~ 1/3 of awards are environmentally related– Much work is interdisciplinary within the social
sciences
• Decision Making Under Uncertainty for Climate Change– E.g., DCDC at ASU integrates GIS, ECON, SOC,
POLSCI, PSY– E.g., CRED at Columbia integrates lab and
international empirical work
![Page 16: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Lesson Learned:Ground Activities Firmly in Theory
• The most significant advances in SBE research related to the environment have resulted with research and related activities are firmly grounded in and contributing to the enhancement of fundamental theory in and across the SBE sciences.
• "Applied" or "reactive" research may serve short-term needs, but rarely contributes to sustained community engagement.
![Page 17: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Experience with "Big Science"• SBE sciences traditionally have been "cottage
industries" rather than "factory production."• Experience with HDGC, DMUU, and other centers
has shown synergies and contributions of participating in larger-scale coordinated activities.
• The most successful activities have been those whose origin has been grounded in fundamental theoretical inquiries.
• Activities focused on serving the immediate needs of stakeholders, decision makers, and/or other "users" have worked only when strong theoretical emphasis has been maintained (often with external pressure from NSF).
![Page 18: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Opportunities: Lead from Other Directorates
• NEON Observatory
• WATERS Network Observatory
• LTERs
![Page 19: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Opportunities: SBE Lead
• Resilience Observatories– DRMS, IMHR, and USGS funded workshop
• Sustainable Development– SBE funded workshop (Columbia)
• DMUU for Climate Change– Extend, then re-compete?
• Valuation of Ecological Services– Co-funded conference with USGS?
• Warnings– DRMS, IMHR, and NOAA funded 2008 solicitation
![Page 20: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
The Big Gap
• Multi-Disciplinary research within the social sciences
• Solution: Create a new program within SBE
![Page 21: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
The Environmental Campaign Theme:
The Environmental Campaign:
To increase knowledge of
how humancognition, structure, and action
interact with the natural environment
over spatial, temporal, and organizational scales.
![Page 22: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
ActionAction
CognitionCognition
StructureStructure
Natural Natural EnvironmentEnvironment
Spa
tial s
cale
Temporal scale
Organ
izatio
nal s
cale
![Page 23: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
ActionAction
CognitionCognition
StructureStructure
For Example:Perceptions
BeliefsAttitudes
ValuesLanguage
CultureEthicsMorals
SpiritualityNeural processes
MemoryAttention
KnowledgeCreativityIngenuity
PersonalityEmotions
For Example:BehaviorsInnovationConflictConsumerismDevelopmentObservationExplorationResearchEducationConsumptionExploitationConservationReproductionMigrationDecision making
For Example:Government
PolicyEconomy
LawReligion
LanguageTechnology
Educational systemsHealth careTraditions
InfrastructureHousing
Built environmentFormal organizations
Informal organizationsInterest groups
![Page 24: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
ActionAction
CognitionCognition
StructureStructure
For Example:Perceptions
BeliefsAttitudes
ValuesLanguage
CultureEthicsMorals
SpiritualityNeural processes
MemoryAttention
KnowledgeCreativityIngenuity
PersonalityEmotions
For Example:BehaviorsInnovation ConflictRevolutionConsumerismDevelopmentObservationExplorationResearchEducationConsumptionExploitationConservationReproductionMigrationEvolutionDecision making
For Example:Government
PolicyEconomy
LawReligion
TechnologyEducational systems
LanguageHealth careTraditions
InfrastructureHousing
Built environmentFormal organizations
Informal OrganizationsInterest groups
Natural Natural EnvironmentEnvironment
![Page 25: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Work on the Campaign
• Develop multiple approaches, methods, and tools
• Identify types of data to respond to crucial questions
• Understand transformations• Explore the quality of life and environmental
management options• Ascertain the role of resilience, robustness, and
sustainability• Learn how to address inter-generational equity
![Page 26: Emerging Areas: The Environment Robert E. O’Connor Decision, Risk and Management Sciences November 8, 2007](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032606/56649e8a5503460f94b9059d/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
• Topics and perspectives that seem to excite
SBE scientists include:– Dynamics of human activity
• Population• Resource consumption• Technological capabilities
– Cognition, attitudes, perceptions, values, and beliefs– Informal arrangements, formal structures, and
organizations– Interactions across scales: spatial, temporal, and
organizational – Adaptation, resilience, robustness, sustainability– Uncertainty– Quality of life and environmental management options– Inter-generational equity