Deaths from smoking
in Serbia and Montenegro
Deaths from smokingin Serbia and Montenegro
• Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69)
• Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• This presentation provides estimates of the numberof deaths caused by smoking in Serbia and Montenegro
Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000”
• Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by aninternational team of scientists:
– Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford
– Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland
– Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford
– Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society
Annual deaths from smoking
• About 12,000 die in middle age from smoking
• Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years
• About 20 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
• Smoking kills about 18,000 people a year in Serbia and Montenegro
Smoking causes about four times as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
4,644*non-medical
Murder / assault FallsSuicide DrowningRoad accidents PoisoningPlane crashes FiresTrain crashes Floods / stormsAccidents at work Other natural disastersAccidents at home Other accidents
*in year 2000
18,000smoking
Smoking kills 18,000 people a year,from many different diseases
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
*includes 3,900 (86%) ofthe 4,558 lung cancer deaths
5,700 cancer*
7,500 vascular(heart disease,stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins)2,100
respiratory2,700 other
About one in four of all cancer deathsis due to smoking
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
20,000total cancer deaths
5,700 (29%)from smoking
11,500male
800 (9%)from smoking
8,500female
4,900 (43%)from smoking
Male deaths in middle age from smoking
• This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age
• The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• The main pattern of increase and, eventually,decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women
About one in three of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking*
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
*9,800 (35%) of the28,000 deaths at ages 35-69
Of 100 men aged 35 years …
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
*risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69
• 41 die in middle age*
41%
• 14 of these 41 deaths are from smoking
14
Summary for the whole population
• Smoking kills about 18,000 men and women every year
• About 12,000 die in middle age from smoking
• Smoking causes about four times as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together
• About one in four of all cancer deaths is due to smoking
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Serbia and Montenegro, year 2000
In Serbia and Montenegro:
Messages for the individual smoker
• Those killed in middle age lose many years
• Stopping smoking works– Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have
lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco
– Stopping before middle age works even better
www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• The risk is big: about half are killed
Deaths from smoking: an electronic resourcewww.deathsfromsmoking.netPublished by International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006
Funded byClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of OxfordInternational Union Against Cancer (UICC)Fogarty International Center, US NIHUK Medical Research CouncilCancer Research UK
Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian BorehamProject management Sinéad JonesAdvice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish CotterDesign bwa-design.co.uk