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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
1/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 1 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
AK 00 6,015 20,027 1,9
AL 01 6,747 22,464 2,2
AL 02 5,155 17,164 1,6
AL 03 4,784 15,927 1,5
AL 04 3,918 13,044 1,2
AL 05 5,782 19,251 1,9
AL 06 7,961 26,506 2,6
AL 07 4,508 15,008 1,4
AR 01 3,426 11,405 1,1 AR 02 4,852 16,156 1,5
AR 03 6,232 20,749 2,0
AR 04 2,825 9,405 9
AR 05 0 0
AR 08 0 0
AZ 01 6,336 21,093 2,0
AZ 02 12,547 41,775 4,12
AZ 03 8,514 28,345 2,7
AZ 04 5,307 17,668 1,7
AZ 05 5,963 19,852 1,9
AZ 06 7,907 26,324 2,6
AZ 07 7,995 26,620 2,6
AZ 08 10,237 34,082 3,36
CA 01 5,726 19,065 1,883
CA 02 6,423 21,384 2,112
CA 03 10,460 34,826 3,440
CA 04 9,417 31,351 3,096
CA 05 6,623 22,050 2,178
CA 06 6,079 20,239 1,999CA 07 8,231 27,403 2,707
CA 08 2,721 9,060 895
CA 09 5,598 18,636 1,841
CA 10 4,164 13,865 1,369
CA 11 6,425 21,391 2,113
CA 12 4,667 15,537 1,534
CA 13 3,408 11,347 1,121
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
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Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 2 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
CA 14 2,998 9,982 986
CA 15 2,284 7,605 751
CA 16 2,757 9,180 907
CA 17 3,861 12,856 1,270
CA 18 7,462 24,843 2,454
CA 19 6,006 19,997 1,975
CA 20 5,271 17,550 1,733
CA 21 5,972 19,884 1,964
CA 22 6,143 20,451 2,020CA 23 3,460 11,521 1,138
CA 24 6,169 20,540 2,029
CA 25 8,772 29,206 2,885
CA 26 7,941 26,439 2,611
CA 27 5,687 18,936 1,870
CA 28 1,872 6,231 615
CA 29 2,251 7,495 740
CA 30 2,655 8,840 873
CA 31 1,446 4,815 476
CA 32 2,179 7,254 716
CA 33 2,431 8,095 799
CA 34 2,703 8,998 889
CA 35 3,448 11,480 1,134
CA 36 4,431 14,751 1,457
CA 37 5,104 16,992 1,678
CA 38 2,633 8,768 866
CA 39 4,786 15,933 1,574
CA 40 5,228 17,405 1,719
CA 41 9,003 29,973 2,960CA 42 5,475 18,228 1,800
CA 43 4,984 16,595 1,639
CA 44 9,446 31,448 3,106
CA 45 9,025 30,048 2,968
CA 46 4,470 14,883 1,470
CA 47 1,580 5,262 520
CA 48 5,211 17,350 1,714
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
3/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 3 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
CA 49 5,629 18,741 1,851
CA 50 5,444 18,124 1,790
CA 51 7,242 24,111 2,381
CA 52 6,313 21,019 2,076
CA 53 2,382 7,930 783
CO 01 8,490 28,266 2,792
CO 02 9,115 30,347 2,997
CO 03 9,288 30,924 3,054
CO 04 7,616 25,357 2,504CO 05 11,042 36,764 3,631
CO 06 9,748 32,453 3,205
CO 07 5,341 17,782 1,756
CT 01 7,283 24,247 2,395
CT 02 8,077 26,893 2,656
CT 03 7,329 24,399 2,410
CT 04 4,490 14,948 1,476
CT 05 6,313 21,019 2,076
DC 98 5,429 18,075 1,785
DE 00 12,457 41,473 4,096
FL 01 7,605 25,319 2,501
FL 02 4,408 14,675 1,449
FL 03 7,915 26,351 2,603
FL 04 5,642 18,785 1,855
FL 05 7,709 25,664 2,535
FL 06 4,129 13,746 1,358
FL 07 7,472 24,876 2,457
FL 08 6,218 20,703 2,045
FL 09 7,069 23,534 2,324FL 10 6,723 22,384 2,211
FL 11 5,929 19,740 1,950
FL 12 6,109 20,338 2,009
FL 13 7,486 24,924 2,462
FL 14 14,211 47,314 4,673
FL 15 10,162 33,832 3,341
FL 16 10,327 34,381 3,396
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
5/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 5 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
IL 02 6,105 20,326 2,007
IL 03 4,808 16,008 1,581
IL 04 2,671 8,892 878
IL 05 3,200 10,654 1,052
IL 06 6,242 20,782 2,053
IL 07 4,007 13,342 1,318
IL 08 7,617 25,360 2,505
IL 09 3,697 12,308 1,216
IL 10 3,878 12,912 1,275IL 11 6,531 21,746 2,148
IL 12 5,491 18,281 1,806
IL 13 5,999 19,972 1,973
IL 14 7,739 25,767 2,545
IL 15 3,416 11,372 1,123
IL 16 5,100 16,980 1,677
IL 17 3,313 11,029 1,089
IL 18 3,465 11,537 1,139
IL 19 1,761 5,863 579
IN 01 8,490 28,267 2,792
IN 02 8,554 28,479 2,813
IN 03 9,259 30,826 3,045
IN 04 12,478 41,545 4,103
IN 05 13,149 43,779 4,324
IN 06 7,580 25,238 2,493
IN 07 7,512 25,009 2,470
IN 08 4,499 14,979 1,479
IN 09 5,609 18,673 1,844
KS 01 2,652 8,831 872KS 02 3,938 13,110 1,295
KS 03 7,269 24,202 2,390
KS 04 5,439 18,108 1,788
KY 01 2,519 8,387 828
KY 02 3,912 13,026 1,286
KY 03 5,776 19,232 1,899
KY 04 4,873 16,224 1,602
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
6/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 6 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
KY 05 1,248 4,157 411
KY 06 3,705 12,334 1,218
KY 07 0 0 0
LA 01 4,956 16,501 1,630
LA 02 2,144 7,137 705
LA 03 3,380 11,254 1,112
LA 04 4,662 15,520 1,533
LA 05 2,521 8,394 829
LA 06 6,677 22,229 2,195LA 07 3,815 12,702 1,254
MA 01 4,958 16,507 1,630
MA 02 7,585 25,253 2,494
MA 03 8,577 28,556 2,820
MA 04 6,763 22,517 2,224
MA 05 8,961 29,835 2,947
MA 06 9,730 32,394 3,199
MA 07 7,356 24,491 2,419
MA 08 4,526 15,067 1,488
MA 09 7,561 25,172 2,486
MA 10 9,477 31,552 3,116
MD 01 8,130 27,066 2,673
MD 02 6,317 21,030 2,077
MD 03 3,904 12,998 1,284
MD 04 9,087 30,255 2,988
MD 05 8,235 27,416 2,708
MD 06 6,700 22,307 2,203
MD 07 2,864 9,536 942
MD 08 4,425 14,731 1,455ME 01 9,611 31,998 3,160
ME 02 4,689 15,610 1,542
MI 01 6,311 21,012 2,075
MI 02 6,427 21,398 2,113
MI 03 6,563 21,852 2,158
MI 04 5,555 18,494 1,827
MI 05 10,964 36,503 3,605
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
7/14
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
8/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 8 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
NC 02 6,132 20,415 2,016
NC 03 4,403 14,660 1,448
NC 04 6,135 20,426 2,017
NC 05 4,758 15,840 1,564
NC 06 5,310 17,679 1,746
NC 07 4,765 15,863 1,567
NC 08 4,960 16,512 1,631
NC 09 7,708 25,662 2,535
NC 10 3,419 11,384 1,124NC 11 5,030 16,745 1,654
NC 12 2,501 8,328 823
NC 13 3,698 12,310 1,216
ND 00 1,887 6,283 621
NE 00 0 1 0
NE 01 3,522 11,726 1,158
NE 02 5,393 17,957 1,774
NE 03 2,131 7,097 701
NH 01 10,570 35,191 3,476
NH 02 7,724 25,717 2,540
NJ 01 10,658 35,483 3,505
NJ 02 8,922 29,706 2,934
NJ 03 10,797 35,948 3,550
NJ 04 8,346 27,786 2,744
NJ 05 7,331 24,408 2,411
NJ 06 6,560 21,840 2,157
NJ 07 5,750 19,145 1,891
NJ 08 5,075 16,898 1,669
NJ 09 4,938 16,441 1,624NJ 10 4,835 16,097 1,590
NJ 11 5,986 19,930 1,968
NJ 12 5,768 19,205 1,897
NJ 13 2,360 7,859 776
NM 01 7,190 23,939 2,364
NM 02 2,763 9,199 909
NM 03 2,764 9,201 909
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
9/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 9 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
NM 13 0 0 0
NV 01 9,102 30,305 2,993
NV 02 7,708 25,661 2,534
NV 03 8,107 26,990 2,666
NV 04 2 6 1
NY 01 6,137 20,432 2,018
NY 02 3,775 12,569 1,241
NY 03 3,040 10,121 1,000
NY 04 3,438 11,447 1,131NY 05 1,507 5,017 496
NY 06 3,590 11,953 1,181
NY 07 1,211 4,031 398
NY 08 862 2,870 283
NY 09 1,176 3,917 387
NY 10 1,616 5,381 531
NY 11 446 1,486 147
NY 12 537 1,787 177
NY 13 2,759 9,187 907
NY 14 590 1,966 194
NY 15 298 992 98
NY 16 474 1,579 156
NY 17 2,287 7,616 752
NY 18 2,425 8,075 798
NY 19 5,642 18,784 1,855
NY 20 4,003 13,329 1,316
NY 21 3,255 10,836 1,070
NY 22 3,117 10,379 1,025
NY 23 2,303 7,669 757NY 24 2,245 7,476 738
NY 25 4,203 13,992 1,382
NY 26 3,981 13,254 1,309
NY 27 2,742 9,129 902
NY 28 2,821 9,392 928
NY 29 2,117 7,048 696
OH 01 5,513 18,355 1,813
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
10/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 10 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
OH 02 4,316 14,370 1,419
OH 03 7,482 24,909 2,460
OH 04 4,571 15,217 1,503
OH 05 3,573 11,897 1,175
OH 06 2,885 9,605 949
OH 07 6,874 22,887 2,260
OH 08 2,989 9,950 983
OH 09 5,661 18,849 1,862
OH 10 5,338 17,773 1,755OH 11 5,441 18,115 1,789
OH 12 7,063 23,516 2,323
OH 13 5,155 17,161 1,695
OH 14 4,767 15,870 1,567
OH 15 4,718 15,708 1,551
OH 16 3,780 12,585 1,243
OH 17 3,154 10,501 1,037
OH 18 2,294 7,638 754
OK 01 17,016 56,651 5,595
OK 02 4,196 13,970 1,380
OK 03 6,193 20,620 2,037
OK 04 13,057 43,470 4,293
OK 05 9,544 31,777 3,138
OK 13 0 1 0
OR 01 6,141 20,445 2,019
OR 02 6,312 21,015 2,076
OR 03 5,848 19,470 1,923
OR 04 5,901 19,645 1,940
OR 05 3,791 12,623 1,247PA 01 7,546 25,124 2,481
PA 02 3,380 11,254 1,112
PA 03 2,954 9,836 971
PA 04 3,619 12,049 1,190
PA 05 2,590 8,623 852
PA 06 7,700 25,638 2,532
PA 07 4,871 16,216 1,602
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
11/14
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
12/14
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
13/14
Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
1/27/08 13 of 14
State CongressionalDistrict [0]
ProjectedForeclosures
in 2009[1]
ProjectedForeclosuresover next four
years [2]
Expected benefit of court-supervised
modifications(# of homes saved) [3]
VA 06 5,578 18,572 1,8
VA 07 5,140 17,115 1,69
VA 08 7,008 23,333 2,3
VA 09 2,583 8,600 8
VA 10 9,636 32,082 3,1
VA 11 4,532 15,090 1,49
VT 00 5,582 18,586 1,8
WA 01 5,828 19,404 1,9
WA 02 6,906 22,992 2,2 WA 03 7,674 25,549 2,5
WA 04 8,008 26,662 2,6
WA 05 6,707 22,329 2,2
WA 06 6,669 22,204 2,1
WA 07 4,347 14,471 1,4
WA 08 6,506 21,660 2,1
WA 09 4,156 13,835 1,3
WI 01 5,831 19,413 1,9
WI 02 2,867 9,546 9
WI 03 3,208 10,681 1,0
WI 04 5,838 19,436 1,9
WI 05 5,347 17,802 1,7
WI 06 3,245 10,804 1,0
WI 07 2,954 9,835 9
WI 08 3,409 11,348 1,1
WV 01 2,512 8,362 8
WV 02 4,274 14,231 1,4
WV 03 2,314 7,703 7
WY 00 4,466 14,870 1,4 WY 02 1 4
WY 03 0 1
WY 04 1 2
United States (rounded) 2,432,900 8,100,000 800,000
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8/14/2019 Crl Congressional District Foreclosure Projections
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Projected Foreclosures by Congressional District
NOTES[0] Shares of projected foreclosures for congressional districts were estimated using the McDash mortgage database.
Data aggregated based on latest available matching of zipcodes to Congressional district (109 th Congress). Total of 22,530,041 first lien mortgages secured by single family house, condo, townhome, or multifamily home were
analyzed for this purpose. All the mortgages are outstanding by the middle of 2008. For any of the mortgages, if it isin foreclosure process, or if it has at least three late payments for the past 12 months by the middle of 2008, themortgage is projected to foreclose eventually. # of mortgages projected to foreclose was aggregated to Zip codelevel. Zip codes were then assigned to congressional districts. # of mortgages projected to foreclose was thenaggregated from Zip code level to congressional district level weighted by portion of the Zip code in thecongressional district. Finally, # of mortgages projected to foreclose for congressional districts are divided by thetotal of US projected foreclosures to get the share of projected foreclosures for congressional districts. Districts that are represented in the McDash data in significantly greater proportion than their share of the overall housingmarket may show an overly high foreclosure projection.
[1] Shares of projected foreclosures for congressional districts multiply by MBA projections of foreclosures in 2009(2,432,900).
[2]
Shares of projected foreclosures for congressional districts multiply by Credit Suisse projections of foreclosuresover next 5 years (8,100,000).
[3] Shares of projected foreclosures for congressional districts multiply by Moodys Economy.com projected reduction on foreclosures due to court-supervised modifications (800,000).