Japan-Sweden Railway Industrial Business Forum
Tokyo, May 15, 2015
Björn Westerberg
ASTOC
ASTOC
Rail traffic in Sweden
Trends Railway 2050
EU
Agenda
BotniaTåg AB
Keolis Sverige
Nordiska Tåg AB
TMRail AB
Tågåkeriet i Bergslagen AB
Ansaldo STS Sweden AB
Associate members
45 members of which 10 are associate members
Passen
gers
F
reig
ht
Swedish railway 2015
Rolling stock maintenance and renovating
Train manufacturers
Rolling stock owners
Certification/Safety Market control
Infrastructure Manager
EuroMaint Rail Mantena Bombardier Alstom DSB Vedligehold Midwaggon mgw Service
Jernhusen A-train SL kommuner Train Alliance
SJ, Veolia DSB, MTR Arriva A-train Tågkomp.
Motala Trains MiTrans
Bombardier Alstom Stadler Siemens Ansaldo
SPFs memb. Transitio SL SJ DSB
RKTM IBAB Green Cargo Hector Rail TÅGAB RushRail TX Logistik m fl
AlphaTrains Mitsui Railpool Hector Rail Green Cargo
InfraNord Strukton VR Track Baneservice
Infrastructure maintenance
Regional public transport agencies
Train operating companies
Trafikverket Transportstyrelsen Konkurrensverket
Properties Train stations Depots Terminals
Quality - Capacity – Competitiveness
The Swedish railway sector needs more
effective cooperation
ASTOC
Rail traffic in Sweden
Trends Railway 2050
EU
Agenda
7
• Sweden has more than 12,000 km of railway track
– 2,000 double tracks
– 10,000 single tracks
Rail traffic in Sweden
Strong growth of railway services in
Sweden
• Since the early 2000’s both passenger and freight
services have experienced a strong growth
• Important factors behind this development:
Structural reforms and market opening
Infrastructure investments
Regional development
Market development
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200In
dex
(1
98
8=
10
0)
Passenger traffic (passenger km)
Freight traffic (tonne km)
Source: SIKA/Trafikanalys
Development of Cargo traffic by train millions tonkm
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Market development of regional and long distance travel
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Mil
jard
er
pe
rso
nk
ilo
mte
r
Persontrafik på järnväg
Långväga resor > 100 km
Regionala resor < 100 km
Källa: KTH Järnvägsgrupp
SOURCE: SJ 11
Market development and new entrants
- passenger
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Pas
sen
ger
traf
fic
(mili
on
pas
sen
ger
km)
SJ Other companies
The car is the train’s major competitor, when it comes to traveling further than 10 miles
8% 15%
6%
Norwegian
SAS
Malmö Aviation
Sverigeflyg
Swebus
Bus4You
Arriva Abellio
SJ
MTR
Arriva
Abellio
Veolia
Tågkompaniet
Blå Tåget Länstrafikoperatör
er (RKTM)
70%
Advantage Passenger Rail
sid 14
Källa: Trafikanalys
Järnväg 2050
Index 1
992
ASTOC
Rail traffic in Sweden
Trends Railway 2050
EU
Agenda
Challenges for Freight
• Need for consistent and high quality logistic chains
• Need for longer trains
• Competition with truck traffic - Longer and heavier trucks and low-wage cabotage by road
• Reduces volumes and margins
• Cost increases in terms of track charges and funding of ERTMS onboard equipment
• Deficiencies in maintenance and maintenance liability
• Reductions in speed on some sections of track
• Closures of low density lines which are vital for the economy, industries and employment along the path
• Rail freight will lose market share to road
BLS-visit 2009-07-09 17
Facing full-fledged deregulation
Customer satisfaction Improved quality of service
Employee contribution Increased participation
Sustained profitability Improved productivity
Expansion New markets
Challenges
Continuous improvement and business development
Digitalisation Examples from Passenger operator
Migration from manual to digital channels
19
Offline/FullService Online/SelfService
Direct/Own Travel shop Contact Center
SJ.se, Mobil.sj.se Mobile app Vending machines
Indirect/Agent Travel agency Resellers
Micro sites / widgets Partners / affiliates
94 %
Strategy •Meet new customer habits •More efficient sales & service
Active shift for digitalisation
Goal • 94% sales via own
digital channels
Mobile applications facilitates travelling both for customers and employees
20
Traffic info
-Real time and transparent -Map view or route view -Follow your (or other trains) -Detailed info if disturbances
Travel agency in your pocket -Purchase ticket -Change or cancel your booking -Overview over all trips
Loyalty program
-Manage loyalty points -Pay witth loyalty points -Manage your details
• Added value – Customers expect B2B to be as developed as
B2C – Customer relations, employee tools, data and
information, security.
• Quick wins. – Information portals, secure information,
updated information
• 2016/2018 – Extensive investments and building of internal
IT-Capability
• Need for rapid deployment – Short term temporary solutions, long term
focus with clear benefits
• Regulatory framework – Modern IT compliance
• Standardization – Cross-border customer demands but do not over
complicate.
Digitalisation Examples from Freight operators
New business opportunities created by new capacity
Fehmarn Bält 2024
Ostlänken 2028
New High Speed tracks 2035
ASTOC
Rail traffic in Sweden
Trends Railway 2050
EU
Agenda
Kapacitetsutnyttjande under högtrafik 2013 Källa: Trafikverket, grafisk bearbetning SWECO
Tomorrow’s railway
• New capacity • Reduced traveltimes • Increased traffic frequency • Reduced CO2 emissions • Larger regions, increased labour
markets
• Start coordinated planning for the long term today
• There is a need for 400 Billion SEK • Focus on a sustainable and
competitive development of infrastructure and maintenance
Need for coordinated planning
and investments!
Passenger traffic • Existing and new tracks • Railway traffic • Housing • Labour market • Education and innovation • Regional and local public transport • International connections • Cycling and walking • Travel centers • Etc.
Freight traffic •Tracks •Harbours •Intermodal terminals •Industrial links •Education and Innovation •International connections
Need for coordinated planning and investments!
sid 28
Vision Railway 2050!
x2 x3
ASTOC
Rail traffic in Sweden
Trends Railway 2050
EU
Agenda
• New European Parliament 2014, New TRAN Committee, new Chairman Michael Cramer
• New Commission, Juncker-Package
• New Transport Commissioner Violetta Bulc – EU White Paper 2011 review, Digitalisation
• New Presidency , Latvia
• New Managing Director of ERA , Joseph Doppelbauer
• Focus on implementing the 4th Railway Package - Political Pillar and Technical Pillar
– T
”New EU”
30
Latvia Luxemburg
2015
4RP Political Pillar: Market opening and Governance
31
Market opening - Yes
Infrastructure - Integrated model
Infrastructure - Separated model
Market opening - No
Status 4RP 2015?
32
Lettland Luxemburg
Political Pillar
Technical Pillar
13 M
ars
TTE C
ouncil
11 Ju
ni T
TE C
ouncil
Key issues for the European railway from Swedish operators perspective
• Accessibility, drives the need of standards (ERA), simplified administration, investments in bottlenecks
• Functional specifications and less regulation
• ERTMS, verification and funding
• Corridors in Europe, TEN-T, need of a management committee with the right resources
• Funding opportunities of TEN-T
• Taxation, harmonizing the different modes of transportation, climate taxation and VAT
• Approval of the 4th Railway Packages
• Fair competition from trucks
• The increased need for European infrastructure investments (rolling stock, maintenance etc.) requires external funding
Thank you!
Björn Westerberg, CEO, ASTOC
Mobil: +4673 - 802 67 11
E-post: [email protected]
ありがとう
Arigatō!