Transcript
Page 1: Assimilation of Streamflow  and Surface Soil Moisture Observations  into a Land Surface Model

Assimilation of Streamflow Assimilation of Streamflow and Surface Soil Moisture and Surface Soil Moisture

Observations Observations into a Land Surface Modelinto a Land Surface ModelChristoph Rüdiger, Jeffrey P. WalkerChristoph Rüdiger, Jeffrey P. Walker

Dept. of Civil & Env. Engineering., University of MelbourneDept. of Civil & Env. Engineering., University of Melbourne

Jetse D. KalmaJetse D. KalmaSchool of Engineering, University of NewcastleSchool of Engineering, University of Newcastle

Garry R. WillgooseGarry R. WillgooseEarth & Biosphere Institute, School of Geography, University of LeedsEarth & Biosphere Institute, School of Geography, University of Leeds

Paul R. HouserPaul R. HouserHydrological Sciences Branch, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center,Hydrological Sciences Branch, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center,

Now: Now: George Mason University & Center for Research on Environment and George Mason University & Center for Research on Environment and WaterWater

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Christoph RüdigerEGU05

Background

Koster et al., JHM, 2000

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Christoph RüdigerEGU05

State of Art

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Christoph RüdigerEGU05

Location of Study Catchment

Melbourne

NewcastleSydney

1000km0km

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Location of Study Catchment

Streamgauge

Soil Moisture

Climate

www.sasmas.unimelb.edu.au

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Methodology (NLFIT)

Kuczera, 1982

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Streamflow Assimilation- Single catchement -

Discharge Soil Moisture

Assimilation with "wrong" forcing data (profile mc)

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Streamflow Assimilation- Single catchement -

Root Zone Surface Layer

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Surface Soil Moisture Assimilation

• Eg. Walker et al. (2001) have shown that surface soil moisture assimilation is generally a viable tool for SM updating.

• Can remote sensing data then be used to further constrain variational type assimilations?

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Adjustments to Experiment Runs

• First initial state estimates are set to average values, rather than extremes

• Maximum and minimum values are not allowed to be violated

• Observation errors of forcing data are made more “realistic” by changing pure bias to bias and white noise errors (Turner et al., in review)

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Errors and Biases of Forcing Data

Bias Error

Rainfall 25% 25%

Radiation 0% 15%

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Variational-type Surface Soil Moisture Assimilation

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file

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Focus CatchmentsUpper Catchment

Lower Catchment

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Unmonitored Catchments

Upper Catch.Lower Catch.

Truth Degrad. Assim.

Catchment Deficit

221.744270.119

150.461 148.909

228.773253.190

Root Zone Excess

-5.76858-3.60799

0.00.0

0.0-3.21003

Surface Excess

-0.00615-0.46736

0.79978 0.97535

0.51269 -6.7E-05

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Summary

• Streamflow Assimilation in subhumid catchments can produce adequate estimates of initial moisture states.

• DA of surface soil moisture observations can act as an additional constraint for the observed catchment.

• Assimilation of both observations has potential for use in finding initial lumped moisture states for a LSM for ungauged upstream catchments.

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Conclusions

• States of ungauged upstream basins can be retrieved to a certain extent.

• Length of assimilation window will have to be variable for different conditions, esp. if errors in forcing are large and biased.

• Some states may not have an impact on the objective function, but may be retrieved using additional observations of other variables.

• First estimate of initial states can potentially be crucial to success of the proposed DA scheme, hence have to handled appropriately.

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Acknowledgment• Australian Research Council (ARC-DP

grant 0209724)• Hydrological Sciences Branch,

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), USA

• University of Melbourne – Melbourne International Fee Remission

Scholarship (MIFRS)– Postgraduate Overseas Research

Experience Scholarship (PORES)


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