1
Rear Admiral R.P. GirrierDeputy Commander, U.S. Pacific Fleet
3UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the PacificLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
There are more people living inside this circle than outside of it
- Over 50% of the Earth's surface- Over 50% of the world's population- World’s most populous country and its
smallest nations- 7 of 10 largest armies- 15 of 20 busiest ports- 8 of 10 busiest air travel routes- World's largest democracy- Ring of Fire
Globalization Fuels Prosperity
Strait of Malacca•1/3 of world trade•1/2 of oil shipping•70,000 ships/year
15 of world’s 20 busiest container ports
- 10 in China
4UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
Tokyo 1945The Han River 1953
Singapore 1950s
Tokyo Today
Singapore Today
The Han River Today
Prosperity Requires Unfettered Access
Maritime security today……And the assurance of security tomorrow
5UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
Maritime security underpins free movement of trade
& access to resources
Imperatives and Daily challenges
6
Freedom of the seas Natural disastersGlobal commerce
UNCLASSIFIED
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
Most Volatile Challenge: North Korea
Assessment: Kim has established his own regime, separate from his father; however expect Kim to use a range of provocation options in a similar manner to ensure his regime’s hold on power. Presents a volatile challenge to regional stability.
ROKS CHEONAN Bow Section Recovered, Apr 2010
Chang Song Taek Arrested, Dec 2013
Shelling of Y-P Do, Nov 2010
Kim Jong-Un Consolidates Military Authority & Party
Loyalty
Directly Responsible for Provacative Actions
Kim at Military Parade, Jul 2013
Troops Wearing Backpacks with Radiation Symbol, Jul 2013
following Feb 2013 Nuke Test
Satellite Launch,Dec 2012
UNCLASSIFIED7
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
UNCLASSIFIEDUNCLASSIFIED
2C H I N AC H I N A
J A P A NJ A P A N
VIETNAMVIETNAM
MALAYSIAMALAYSIA
ROKROK
DPRKDPRK
RUSSIARUSSIA
TAIWANTAIWAN
PHILIPPINESPHILIPPINES
200 nm Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputed Areas
Japan-Russia Dispute:Northern Territories/Southern Kurile Islands
Japan-Korea Dispute:Takeshima/Dokdo
8UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
Potential for MiscalculationConflict Fueled by History
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
Which China Is It?
“China will depend on the ocean to prosper and will steadily promote the building of its maritime power…” – PRC President Xi, Jul 2013
PEACE ARK
UNCLASSIFIED 9
JIANGKAI II
YUZHAO
“The United States welcomes the rise of a peaceful, prosperous, and stable China….” SECSTATE Kerry, August 14, 2014
RIMPAC
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific
“We love peace…but that doesn’t mean giving up our rights, especially those involving the nation’s
Core interests” – PRC President Xi, Aug 2013
PRC actions indicate desire to challenge status quo, achieve sovereignty inside First Island Chain, increase influence abroad
Reveal Nuclear Subs
JIDONG-5
CV-16 LIAONING
New Platforms
Challenging Japan in ECS
UNCLASSIFIED 10
Which China Is It?
MISSION ACTION 2013
HYSY 981
The pace and scale of China’s land reclamation are unprecedented
30 Jan 201530 Mar 2014
PRC South China Sea Land Reclamation
Source: IHS Jane’s via Wall Street Journal, 18 Feb 2015Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific UNCLASSIFED 11
Jul 2014 Nov 2014
2004
Jan 2015
Feb 2006
Jan 2015
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific 12
How We Operate: Our Maritime Strategy In The Pacific
UNCLASSIFIED
Sea ControlDeterrenceMaritime Security
Humanitarian Assistance/ Disaster Relief Power Projection
All Domain Access (Cyber)
150+ Exercises & 350+ Port Visits Each Year
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 13
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 14
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 15
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 16
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 17
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 18
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 19
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 20
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 21
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 22
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 23
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 24
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 25
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 26
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 27
Leading America’s Rebalance to the PacificDTG: 28