don falk, students, and collaborators · pete fulé, andrea thode, northern arizona university...

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Fire history in a changing world Don Falk, students, and collaborators Alex Arizpe Josh Conver Jacquie Dewar Josh Farella Chris Guiterman Dustin Hannah Lauren Maghran Laura Marshall Jesse Minor Kit O’Connor Tyson Swetnam Geoff Towne

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Page 1: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Fire history in a changing world Don Falk, students, and collaborators

Alex Arizpe Josh Conver

Jacquie Dewar Josh Farella

Chris Guiterman Dustin Hannah

Lauren Maghran Laura Marshall

Jesse Minor Kit O’Connor

Tyson Swetnam Geoff Towne

Page 2: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Arguably the central scientific and management challenges of our time: How will organisms and ecosystems adapt to rapid reorganization of the Earth system? How will these changes affect approaches to ecosystem management?

Page 3: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,
Page 4: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Sites in Mexico demonstrate the fire regimes that would exist currently in the SW Rustler Park,

Chiricahuas, AZ

Mesa de las Guacamayas, SON

Fulé et al. 2012; Cortes-Montano et al. 2012

Page 5: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Master fire timeline for 19 central and eastern Oregon sites

Heyerdahl, Falk et al., in prep.

Page 6: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Fire and Climate Synthesis (FACS): A major

new network for continental paleoecology

• Data from 886 cross-dated fire-scar sites • 3,248 year record (1248 BCE – 2011 CE) • 7 primary forest types • 28,931 fire site-years Falk et al. 2010, 2011, in prep.

Page 7: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Fire tracks the spatial patterns of annual drought closely, creating regionally coherent patterns across WNA

Page 8: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Preceding years’ climate can set up fire years 2-3 years in advance

Page 9: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,

Craig Allen, USGS

Citlali Cortès Montaño, Tecnológico de Monterrey, México

Gregg Garfin, Matt Hall, Jim Malusa, Ellis Margolis, Jeremy Weiss, Connie Woodhouse, Steve Yool, University of Arizona

Peter Brown, Rocky Mountain Tree-Ring Research

Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University

Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst

Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman, USFS, Fire Sciences Laboratory

Deborah Finch, Pepe Iniguez, Ann Lynch, Elaine Sutherland, USFS, Rocky Mountain Research Station

Thomas Kitzberger, Universidad Nacional del Comahue, Argentina

Don McKenzie, USFS Pacific Northwest Research Station

Carol Miller, Aldo Leopold Wilderness Institute

Jennifer Ruyle, Chris Stetson, Craig Wilcox, Coronado NF

Collaborators:

Page 10: Don Falk, students, and collaborators · Pete Fulé, Andrea Thode, Northern Arizona University Sandra Haire, University of Massachusetts – Amherst Emily Heyerdahl, Rachel Loehman,