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TRANSCRIPT
DMGT INVESTOR BRIEFING
MATTHEW BURKLEY, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERWEDNESDAY 9 SEPTEMBER 2015
© 2015 DMGT | 2
DISRUPTIVE CHANGES DRIVE NEED FOR INFORMATION
Changing Sources of Supply & Demand
• Renewables replacing
Carbon-based Power
Generation
• Adoption of demand
management and
energy conservation
programmes
• Uneven and volatile
global economic growth
Decentralisation of Production
• Home/Business
Generation of
Renewable Power
• Broader geographic and
industry participation in
Oil & Gas production
Regulation & Deregulation
• Global Commitment to
Reduce Greenhouse Gas
Emissions
• Greater environmental
enforcement in the
United States & China
• Deregulation of Power,
Oil & Gas Markets (i.e.
Japan & Mexico)
Digitisation of Commodities &
Energy
• “Conventional Wisdom”
is being replaced by
fact-based analysis
• Increasing
professionalisation of
management
• Rapid increase in new
measurement—drones,
nano-satellites, sensors
© 2015 DMGT | 3
OPTIMISING PERFORMANCE THROUGH TRANSPARENCY
Genscape’s Mission: Optimising the performance of commodities & energy supply chains and markets through greater transparency
• Proprietary Monitoring
• Collect Public Data
• Purchase Private Data
• Reuse “Exhaust” Data
Gather
• Normalise
• Aggregate
• Analyse
Measure & Analyse
• Real-time Production
• Event Analysis
• Forecasts
• “Fair Market” Analysis
Create Services
• Alerts & Reports via
email/Twitter
• Genscape Portals
• Data Feeds
• Third Party Redistribution
Distribute
Proprietary Power Monitoring Oil Tank Measurement Analysis of Power Prices Distribution Channels
© 2015 DMGT | 4
Predictions to help anticipate where the market is moving
Analysis and commentary that is designed to optimise customer’s business decisions
Deliver highly differentiated information that customers cannot get anywhere else
DIFFERENTIATED AND COMPELLING VALUE
Genscape’s services help Commodities & Energy firms better manage volatility, make complex decisions and increase efficiency of supply chains
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
12:00 AM 3:00 AM 6:00 AM 9:00 AM 12:00 PM 3:00 PM 6:00 PM 9:00 PM
Energy prices rise
to over $200/MWh
shortly after the
trip of two units at
Calvert Cliffs
Mid Atlantic Energy Prices on April 7, 2015
En
erg
y P
ric
e p
er
MW
h
PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
INTELLIGENCE AND REAL-TIME ALERTS
FUNDAMENTAL DATA
Workflow tools are industry standard and are needed to run the business
WORKFLOW TOOLS
© 2015 DMGT | 5
BROAD & DIVERSE CUSTOMER BASE
Producers
Power (Electricity)
2000
Oil
2008
Agriculture & Biofuels
2013
Maritime Shipping
2013
Water
2015
Financial Traders(Banks, Trading Houses, Hedge Funds, Brokers)
Government &
Regulators
Oil Majors, Regional
Producers, Pipelines
Operators
Large Utilities,
Cooperatives,
Renewables
Gas Producers,
Pipeline Operators,
Refiners
Farmers, Fertilizer/
Ethanol/Gasoline
Producers
Port Operators,
Line Owners,
Logistics firms
Injection Wells,
Exploration &
Production Firms
Year Launched
Gas/Gas Liquids
2013
© 2015 DMGT | 6
STRONG DIVERSIFIED REVENUE GROWTH
Genscape continues to drive into new markets to both grow revenues and decrease volatility within the business.
Revenues
~20% CAGR (15% Underlying)
FY 2013
$48 M
Marine Shipping5%
Biofuels1%
Oil27%
Gas8%
Power59%
FY 2011
$37 M
Gas<1%
Oil
19%
Power81%
2015 (10 Months)
$63 M (10 Months July YTD)
Marine Shipping10%
Biofuels2%
Oil27%
Gas11%
Power43%
© 2015 DMGT | 7
BALANCING GROWTH, SCALE AND INNOVATION
Direct
Operating
Profit Margins*
Current
Portfolio
Future Strategy
* Excludes Central Administration (Administration, Strategy, HR, Finance),
Central Technology (Infrastructure, Architecture)
Scale Businesses
High
• North American
Power
• SpringRock
• Oil
• Invest to Support
Core
• Create Next Gen.
Strategy
Emerging/
Recovering
Businesses
Medium
• Maritime
• Gas
• Market Intelligence
• Invest to Establish
Scale and
Differentiation
New Investments
Low
• Biofuels/Ag
• Water
• Next Gen. Power
• Commodity
Vectors
• Stage I: Invest &
Launch
• Stage II: Scale or Kill
Sustainability
Investments
• Next Gen. Platform
• Reliability
• Security/Compliance
• Risk Management
• Assess Risk & Invest
NA
© 2015 DMGT | 8
CONTINUED RUNWAY FOR GROWTH AND SCALE
Oil/Pet
Chem
28%
Gas
12%
Maritime
9%
Biofuels/Ag
1%
Power
49%
Water
<1%
Non-Genscape
Users
94%
Genscape
Customers
6%
Genscape’s Market Penetration
(By Users)
Composition of Genscape’s Customers
(By Users)Revenue Model
• 90%+ subscription based
• Annual and multi-Year contracts
• Remaining revenues are largely
volumetric (pipeline flows)
• <1% one-off revenues
Customer Dynamics
• Target 90%+ retention rates
• Regulatory change and volatility
biggest drivers of demand
• Exiting the market or business
altogether are biggest drivers of
cancellations
Overall Market Size: $1.0-1.5 Billion
Source: Genscape analysis of Marketing Database & External Market Studies
© 2015 DMGT | 9
KEY GENSCAPE DIFFERENTIATORS
Inter-Disciplinary
Domain Expertise
30% of the team
members attained
advanced degrees.
Strong Intellectual
Property
65 patents protect the
key intellectual
property of the
business.
Trusted Customer
Relationships Drive
Innovation
39% of the revenue
growth from
Genscape’s core
markets (Oil, Gas,
Power & Maritime) is
coming from products
developed in the last
18 months.
Entrepreneurial
Talent
60% of the senior
leadership and P&L
owners have started a
company or were part
of a founding team.
© 2015 DMGT | 10
ILLUSTRATION: PROVIDING FUNDAMENTAL DATA ACROSS THE GAS SUPPLY CHAIN
How much
Gas will be
produced?
How much Gas is
already sitting in
storage?
How much
Gas is going
to this port?
How much is
ready for
export?
How much is
sitting on
Liquid Natural
Gas Ships?
How much do
customers want?
Supply &
Production
Acquisition
& Storage
Primary
Distribution
Product
Storage
Secondary
DistributionEnd Customer
Demand
Refining and Processing
Production
Decisions
Trading
Strategies
Risk
Management
Portfolio/Asset
OptimisationCompliance
© 2015 DMGT | 11
NORTH AMERICAN REAL TIME GAS MONITORING
© 2015 DMGT | 12
VESSELTRACKER MONITORS IN REAL TIME ALL MAJOR VESSELS 24/7 AROUND THE GLOBE
© 2015 DMGT | 13
COMMODITY VECTORS LIQUID NATURAL GAS TRACKING & PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
© 2015 DMGT | 14
GENSCAPE: DELIVERING OUR STRATEGY
Mid-Teens Growth in
Core Business
Drive New Growth Vectors
• High teens growth
supported by bolt-on
acquisitions
• Continue double digit organic
growth with bolt-on acquisitions
• Maintain balance between
margin & investment
• New Asset Classes:
• Natural Gas Liquids
• Ethanol
• Fertilizer
• Waste Water
• SaaS Business Models:
• Pipeline Scheduling
• Biofuels
• Predictive Analytics
• Continued Asset Class
Expansion:
• Renewables (Solar)
• Rail Tracking
• International Expansion:
• Asia
• Cross-Asset Class:
• Foreign Exchange
• Equities
2013-2015 PerformanceStrategic Goals 2016-2018 Goals
© 2015 DMGT | 15
GENSCAPE: DELIVERING OUR STRATEGY
Continue to Scale Business to Support Growth
Marketing D-Base
Names:
Sales People:
Technologists: 55
• Continue to attract high talent
people
• Maintain top-quartile
employee engagement
• Established two redistribution
partnerships
• Launched rebuild of core
platforms & increased
operational resiliency
• Created signature process in
recruiting & onboarding
• Develop relationships with key
industry leaders to create
thought leadership
• Continue to expand and
personalise content marketing
• Continue investment in monitor
& sensor development
2013-2015 PerformanceStrategic Goals 2016-2018 Goals
145K 544K*(+275%)
19 35(+84%)
84(+54%)
2013 2015
* Includes Partner databases
© 2015 DMGT | 16
BOLT-ON ACQUISITIONS ACCELERATE STRATEGY
POWER OIL GAS AGRICULTURE
North
AmericaEurope Crude
Refined
Product
Petro-
ChemicalsNatural Gas
Nat. Gas
LiquidsCrops Biofuels
Supply
Forecasting • Energytics• Energy
Fundamentals• SpringRock • SpringRock • SpringRock • Landviewer
Current
Production• Promethean
Devices
• Petrotranz
• WellAware
• Digital H2O
• Petrotranz • Landviewer
Acquisition
& Storage
Primary
Distribution
• Energytics• Energy
Fundamentals• Petrotranz • Petrotranz
Vesseltracker, Commodity Vectors, MIS
© 2015 DMGT | 17
SUMMARY: SIGNIFICANT GROWTH POTENTIAL
• Market Size: Over $1.0-$1.5 Billion* (traders, physical producers, analysts)
• With less than 10% market share, there is opportunity to further penetrate our markets
• The overall macro environment is driving the need for additional information
Large Addressable Market
• We continue to invest in people, processes and systems to scale the business to support growth
• Our philosophy is to drive growth & innovation until differentiated and sustainable scale is achieved
• We continue to expand our business to create further growth vectors
Building Scale & Critical Mass
• All services are driven by patented, proprietary business processes and technology
• Bolt-on acquisitions in niche areas to exploit growth opportunities/accelerate growth strategy
• Strong entrepreneurial culture with a unique combination of inter-disciplinary skills
• Long-term, trusted customer relationships
Differentiated,
Defensible Services
Maintaining Momentum
• Double digit revenue growth
• Continue to balance investment and margin expansion
*Source: Genscape analysis of Marketing Database & External Market Studies
QUESTIONS