diminishing partnership housing by: ex cllr bill powell [email protected] housing portfolio...

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Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell [email protected] www.fairshares.plus.com/fair-housing Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North Warwickshire Borough Council.

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Page 1: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell

[email protected] www.fairshares.plus.com/fair-housing

Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007)

North Warwickshire Borough Council.

Page 2: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North
Page 3: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North
Page 4: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

‘Free Land’ for Housing?

R = Social Rent (subsidised)

Discounts should be ‘in perpetuity’??

M = Open Market (mortgage)

M M MR RM

Page 5: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Affordability: Current Menuat 30% of Income

House£100,000

Income p.a. Required

AffordabilityRelative %

£ Weekly payment

£ Weekly including

Maintenance

Mortgage28 year £ 23,600 Reference £ 136 £ 164

‘Shared Ownership’ £ 16,500 70 £ 95 £ 123

Open Market Rent £ 16,500 70 £ 95 £ 95

RSL Rent £ 11,600 50 £ 67 £ 67

NWBC Rent £ 9,000 38 £ 52 £ 52

Page 6: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Affordability: Land Trust Menuat 30% of Income

House£100,000

Income p.a. Required

AffordabilityRelative %

£ Weekly payment

£ Weekly including

Maintenance

Mortgage28 year £ 23,600 Reference £ 136 £ 164

Co-Rent & Buy 28 yr £ 18,600 80 £ 107 £ 135

Co-Rent £ 12,200 52 £ 70 £ 70

Social Co-Rent £ 9,200 40 £ 53 £ 53

Page 7: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

UK Housing in CRISIS

• Elderly living longerDivorceLate marriage

• Prices up 38% in one year• Low / Variable interest rates• Fewest built since WW2 (1945)• First time buyers can’t afford

NEED = 100,000 more homes p.a.?

Page 8: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Snapshot of ‘HAVE’s vs. ‘HAVE NOT’s

18 25 45 5535 65AGE

Pension

IncomeSupport

Rental

Mortgage

Engineer PhD

NursePension

£

Page 9: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

No Hope

LOW INCOMENursesFiremenTeachers

IRREGULAR INCOMEWaitersFruit PickersMusicians

RENT POVERTY

Page 10: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

The ‘Missing Middle’

Page 11: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Purchase by Mortgage

0 5 15 25YEARS

£ x 1000's

300

200

100

£ per m onth

00

660

Ho

use

Pri

ce

Mr Jonesforced sale

Equity Mr

Sm

ith

'sE

qu

ity

Loan

Pay

men

ts

Page 12: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Winners

Small Mortgage

BIG Mortgage

FREE Housing

BORROW

World Cruise!

Page 13: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Losers

WAGE LOSSIll HealthJob Loss

PARENTHOOD

DIVORCE

INCREASE %interest rate

HOME

REPOSSESSED

Page 14: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

£

££

£ £

365Units

1 UnitBought

RentRent

Investor

Partnership – Year 1

Page 15: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

£

££

1 UnitBought

Rent

365Units

Rent

Investor

Partnership – Year 27

£ £

Page 16: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Mrs JONES

‘Career Break’

Parent: for 5 Years

Miss JONES

Student Nurse

In training: RENTS

Trained: BUYS 8 units p.a.

Mr & Mrs JONES

Retire with 365 units.

SELL: 16 units p.a.

Flexibility

Page 17: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Purchase in Partnership

0 7 21 28YEARS

Rent & Buy

£ X 1000s

300

200

100

£per m onth

1000

660

BankEquity

Pay

men

ts

Hou

seP

rice

14

Rent only

Equity Equity

Page 18: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Inve

sto

r

So

cial

Lan

dlo

rd

Occ

up

ier

Social Landlord

Social Units

Rent Free

‘Never’ Sold

+Maintenance Charge

‘Affordable’ Rent = £ 231 per month

Income Required = £9,263 p.a.

Social Housing in Partnership

Page 19: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Free Land??

Savers & Occupiers in Partnership

Local Housing Partnership LLP

Community LandTrust

Property Investment Fund Ltd

Shares

Depos

its SA

VE

RS

OC

CU

PIE

RS

Maintenanc e

Other LHPs

Mutual HousingCo-op

Page 20: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Key Elements Buy & Sell Units

Indexed Values

Financial Partner

Mortgage not required

Low Deposit

Co-Ownership

AND

Community Land Trust

Single Tenure

Staircase UP & DOWN

Shared risk & reward

Equity NOT Loan

no Credit Hurdle

Start out Renting

Shared Commitment

Holds Community Interest

for Rent, Buy, and Sell.

Page 21: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% Inflation options

Page 22: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% Inflation options

Page 23: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% p.a. Deflation

Page 24: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% p.a. Deflation

Page 25: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% p.a. with Social Share

Page 26: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

3% p.a. with Social Share

Page 27: Diminishing Partnership Housing by: ex Cllr Bill Powell bill@vts16.fastmail.net  Housing Portfolio (2005 to 2007) North

Who's who?

Pat Conaty & Rosemary Foggitt (Common Futures)David Rodgers (Co-operative Development Assn)

Bob Paterson (Salford Uni + govt. pilots)Toby Lloyd (Researcher)

Carl Taylor (Redditch Homes)Chris Cook (Limited Liability Partnerships)

Adrian Moran (Housing Corporation)Jock Coates (Oxfordshire CLT)

David Murray (Wolverhampton CLT)Charles Barlow (Warks Rural Community Council)

David Seviour (ex Leicester Housing Assn)Tarek El Diwani (Ansar Finance)