dhp costs & nebs
DESCRIPTION
DHP Costs & NEBs. Ecotope, Inc. August 20, 2013. Agenda . Overview DHP Cost AC Credit Supplemental Fuel Benefit Summary Q&A. Overview. May RTF, presented DHP UES key issues July RTF, presented SEEM calibration and preliminary savings estimates - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
1 NORTHWEST ENERGY EFFICIENCY ALLIANCE
DHP Costs & NEBs
Ecotope, Inc.August 20, 2013
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Agenda
OverviewDHP CostAC CreditSupplemental Fuel BenefitSummaryQ&A
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Overview
May RTF, presented DHP UES key issues July RTF, presented SEEM calibration and
preliminary savings estimates August RTF, presenting cost/NEB analysis based on
directives from May RTF Quantify/monetize DHP cost, AC credit, supplemental fuel benefit Do not quantify/monetize comfort or other takeback effects Seeking general acceptance of cost/NEB inputs for UES
workbook September RTF, present UES workbook based on
prior RTF feedback on calibration, savings inputs, and cost/NEB inputs
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Cost/NEB Assumptions
Costs and NEBs are calculated by climate zone Calculations do not include:
Operation & maintenance costs Air pollution or emission impacts Any change in supplemental fuel over measure life
time
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DHP Cost
Data source = NEEA DHP Program cost tracking (All_Approved_Install_Data-03_04_13.csv)
Cost average based on “Total Cost,” minus tax Weighted average of three climate zones
Total program dataset, n=18,091 Screened in sequence:
Pre 3/31/12 sites, BPA changed reporting requirements (n=15,425) Not multifamily (n=14,867) 1 indoor head, 1 compressor (n=9,624) >3/4t,<2t compressor capacity (n=9,055) ≥$1,200, ≤$10,000 (n=9,046)
Total screened dataset, n=9,046
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DHP Cost Distribution
Median = $3,852 Mean = $3,874 Wtd mean = $3,859
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Average DHP Cost by Climate Zone
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Puget Cluster Higher, No Big Impact on Average Cost
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AC Credit
AC equipment estimate = $447 Source: Amazon, Target, Home Depot, Sears
Various capacities and makes, 10,000 up to 20,000 Btu/hr capacity (26 units)
AC equipment credit by climate zone(credit for homes that do not already have AC):
*Source: RBSA
HZ1 HZ2 HZ3AC Baseline Saturation* 18% 23% 8%Forecast of Future Incremental Cooling Saturation
82% 77% 92%
Average AC Equipment Credit $367 $344 $411
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Annual Supplemental Fuel Benefit Options
Option 1: Benefit based on fuel cost = $0.082/kWh Wood benefit = $0.068/kWh assuming $200/cord; 20 MMBtu/cord; 50% delivery
efficiency Propane benefit = $0.146/kWh assuming $2.84/gal (EIA); 92,000 Btu/gal; 72%
delivery efficiency for high efficiency, freestanding stove or fireplace insert Wood/propane ratio taken from RBSA, 17% of supplemental fuels is propane
and 83% is wood (calcs. in table are weighted averages of both fuel types)
Option 2: Based on retail kWh rate = $0.089/kWh Avg. of WA, OR, & ID (April 2013) (
http://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.cfm?t=epmt_5_6_a)
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Annual Supplemental Fuel Benefit Options, Cont.
*HZ supplemental fuel saturations derived from RBSA**HZ supplemental fuel use derived from DHP billing analysis. Supplemental savings equals delta between total pre-space heat average with and with supplemental fuel.
HZ1 HZ2 HZ3Supplemental Fuel Saturations* 30% 23% 90%Heating Energy Impact for Average Home with Supplemental Fuels** 1,489 kWh/yr 858 kWh/yr 1,560 kWh/yr
Option 1: Benefit @ $0.082/kWh (Fuel Cost) $122 $70 $128
Option 2: Benefit @ $0.089/kWh (Retail kWh Cost) $132 $77 $139
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Summary of Costs & NEBs
Split capital cost by climate zone or use regional average?
Use electricity cost equivalent to estimate supplemental heat benefit?
HZ1 HZ2 HZ3 AverageDHP Cost $3,915 $3,699 $3,472 $3,859
AC Credit $367 $344 $411 $365
Capital Cost $3,548 $3,355 $3,061 $3,494 Supplemental Fuel Benefit:Option 1: Fuel Cost (@ $0.082/kWh) $122 $70 $128 $115
Option 2: Retail kWh Cost (@ $0.089/kWh) $132 $77 $139 $124
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Questions & Answers