developmental test & evaluation - itea...•range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were...

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UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Developmental Test & Evaluation Presented to 2011 ITEA Symposium Fostering Partnerships in T&E and AcquisitionEdward Greer Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Developmental Test & Evaluation Director, Test Resource Management Center September 12-15, 2011 www.acq.osd.mil/dte/

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Page 1: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

UNCLASSIFIEDUNCLASSIFIED

Developmental Test & EvaluationPresented to 2011 ITEA Symposium

“Fostering Partnerships in T&E and Acquisition”Edward Greer

Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Developmental Test & EvaluationDirector, Test Resource Management Center

September 12-15, 2011

www.acq.osd.mil/dte/

Page 2: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

UNCLASSIFIED

Developmental Test & Evaluation (DT&E)Test Resource Management Center (TRMC)

Organizational Construct

ASD(R&E)

AT&L

Principal Deputy

Land/Expeditionary Warfare Systems

Capabilities Development

Air WarfareSystems

Info Systems

Political Appointee

Career SES/ DASD(DT&E)

Space Systems

Naval WarfareSystems

Principal Deputy Director

Strategic Planning

T&E Resources

Chief Financial Officer

Test Infrastructure

T&E/S&T

CTEIP

JMETC

Administrative Operations

Director, TRMC

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TRMC Initiatives

• Concurrent service as Director, TRMC– DASD(DT&E) is also D, TRMC effective April 1, 2011

– But Staffs have NOT merged!

• 90-Day Study underway• Cyber T&E Vision• MRTFB Charge Policy Revision Study Team• Inter-Agency Partnerships• Budget Certification Reports• Biennial Infrastructure Review

3

Page 4: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

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Per Title 10, if TRMC non-certifies a budget the SecDef must notify Congress and describe the

corrective actions to be implemented

4

Budget Certification ReportFY12 Update and FY13 Process

• TRMC certified Component FY12 T&E budgets • Jan 11 – Army / AF reduced T&E budgets $99.6M and

$103.8M respectively• SecDef response is in work (Non-certify; mitigation plans)

• FY13 Budget Certification Process has begun• USD (Comptroller): “Halt development of budget

justification materials pending new guidance”

• TRMC Program/Budget Review will be affected

DoD Budget Volatility can be expected

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Established in FY02 Joint DDR&E / DOT&E Initiative

RDT&E Budget Activity 3 funds Purpose

High Risk / High Payoff R&D for Testing Foster technology transition to ranges Risk reduction for test capabilities

112 ActiveProjects Annual Broad Agency Announcements

Tri-Service working groups Validate requirements Evaluate proposals Facilitate technology transition

Central Oversight – Distributed Execution

Advanced Propulsion

18 Active Projects

Nine Test Technology Areas

Directed Energy26 Active Projects

Spectrum Efficiencies

19 Active Projects

Net-Centric Systems

13 Active Projects

Unmanned & Autonomous Systems

8 Active Projects

AdvancedInstrumentation

11 Active Projects

Shaping Technology into Tomorrow’s T&E Capabilities

T&E/S&T ProgramOverview

FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016

$95.7M $97.6M $99.6M $102.2M $103.7M $105.4M $108.4M

As of 6 June 2011

5

Multi-SpectralSensors

17 Active Projects

Electronic WarfareRe-aligning 6 projects

from Multi-Spectral

Cyberspace TestRe-aligning 2 projects

from Net-Centric

Page 6: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

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($ in Millions)FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016

160.4 162.3 140.2 151.5 147.4 147.9 146.4

020406080

100120140160180

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

Fisc

al Ye

ar B

udge

t ($M

)

CTEIP Funding ProfilePB12 Reductions

Total Reductions FY12-16: $66.9M

Source: FY2012 President’s Budget Submission

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FY12 Cost of Testing

7

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11FY12

12

8

642

10$

BillionsSource: FY12 BES R-3 and September 2010 MRTFB (Then Year Dollars)

DoD Cost of Testing

$10.2B

$ Billions

4

2

1

3

Investment

MRTFB / Direct (Reimbursable)

Not at MRTFB

Other Institutional T&E Cost

MILCON

MRTFB Institutional Operations

Page 8: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

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Minimizing Discovery in IOT&E

DT&E supports:• Program Offices & DoD T&E community • Test planning and data analysis • Early discovery of deficiencies• Identification / sharing of best practices

Improve DT&E practice through:• T&E Policy & Guidance• Advancing DT&E Capability and Service Competencies

DASD(DT&E) Mission Helping Programs Succeed

DWSS

MRAP

8

CVN-78

JSF

Improve acquisition outcomes by early & continuous engagement

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OSD(DT&E) since WSARA

9

• DT&E minimized in OSD since 1995

• Acquisition accomplishments:• Few but Significant• New Emphasis at OSD level• Strong, Data-based inputs

• Every victory is hard won

• Concurrent need to educate Service and OSD Leaders on the role and value of DT&E

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• Increased use of Modeling and Simulation

• Experimental Design and Analysis

• Incorporating T&E into DoD Acquisition Contracts

• Requirement for Technical Degree

• Certified DAU T&E Curriculum

• TEMP at Milestone A

DASD(DT&E) Initiatives

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DT&E ObservationsAcross the Portfolio of Programs

• Schedule Compression– Delays in development do not drive schedule adjustments

• Concurrent development and Production– High risk to concurrently develop and produce

• Limited Test resources– T&E budgets are continually challenged

• Race to Milestone B – Usually without approved TEMP

• Race to get under contract – Without adequate T&E planning

• Requirements not always mature11

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How DT&E Helped – We recommended:•Program conduct IOT&E only when system demonstrates readiness during DT and satisfies IOT&E entrance criteria

•Continue with LRIP II

•Convene OIPT, evaluate reliability

DAB T&E Issues: •Program Not meeting Sustainment KPP / Reliability KSA

•Compressed schedule – Little time to implement corrective actions

DT&E Impacts – ADM Directed Included:•Program provide reliability growth curves in 60 days, report progress against the reliability curve

•Conduct IOT&E on an event-based schedule notify OSD if delayed

DT&E Risk Assessments for MDAPsPost MS C LRIP DAB

Gray Eagle - MQ-1C Extended Range/Multi-Purpose (ER/MP) Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS)

DT&E Impact – POSITIVEPrior to OTRR, Army rescheduled

IOT&E to July 2012

MTBSA(hrs)

CPD DTPoint Est

LUTPoint Est

Aircraft 100 56 20

OSGCS 150* 27 20

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How DT&E Helped•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important.

•Developed options on how test objective could be met.

•Key Option: Limit contractor full payment until a successful test event is completed.

DAB T&E Issues• Justify a low risk Milestone “C” by

focussing on key operational capability.• Overall T&E approach and risks to

IOT&E were acceptable, but some key functions not yet demonstrated.

DT&E Impact• Milestone remained on schedule, yet

discipline to meet a key test was maintained.

• Program remains on track to completing DT program before entering IOT&E in FY12

AIM-9X Block II

How to manage risk, yet not hold up the Milestone

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UNCLASSIFIEDFOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 5

UNCLASSIFIED

SM-6 DT/OT Flight Test Assessment

MissionPrelaunchOperation

PitchoverGuidance

Performance

Midcourse Guidance

Performance

Missile Radar Performance

Terminal Guidance

Performance

TDD/FuzePerformance

Remarks

GTV-1Mission SuccessDirect hit

GTV-2Mission SuccessDirect hit

AADIMission SuccessLive warhead kill

GTV-3Mission SuccessIntercept within Region R

DT-5/OT-3Mission SuccessGlancing hit

ALT-1Mission Failure - Design issueWBS Anomaly

DT-3Mission SuccessDirect Hit

DT-1/OT-1Mission FailureTDD Anomaly due to flight test

configuration

DT-1A/OT-1AMission SuccessIntercept within Region R

DT-2Mission SuccessIntercept within Region R

DT-4 /OT-2Mission FailureInitialization dud

•1Reference: SM-6 OIPT Briefing 2011

Initiated IMU FRB (still open), Initiated investigation on recurring booster anomaly (still open), moved re-test to IOT&E phase

WS

MR

PM

RF

1P

MR

F 2

CTV-1

CTV-1A

• CTV-1: DUD missile Failure;(Power supply failure)

• CTV-1A: Control Surface Anomaly; (stopped following commands)

• GTV-3 TDD Anomaly(2 early detections)

• ALT-1: Missile Failure:(Wide Band Search (WBS) anomaly prevented proper acquisition of target)

• DT-3: TDD Anomaly:(Race Condition with Adjunct Telemeter)

• DT-1/OT-1: TDD Failure:(Race Condition with Adjunct Telemeter)

• DT-1A/OT-1A: GIF Fuze Anomaly:

• DT-4/OT-2: DUD missile Failure:(Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) Failed)

Note: All Discovery issues have been addressed by the PM with the exception of the DT-4/OT-2 IMU failure.

D

D

D

D

D

D

Significant Discovery Continues – Increasing Trend* Flight Test Assessment in Table above provided by Navy. Detailed Test Reports not provided to verify each column assessment.

D

D = Discovery in Test

D

14

Standard Missile 6 (SM-6)

• SM-6 combines legacy SM-2 propulsion and ordnance with AMRAAM active seeker

AOTR Results• Not enough DT - Discovery rate high & rising• IOT&E looked more like DT (scenarios)“I do not recommend proceeding to

lOT&E. I assess SM-6 at high risk to favorably completing lOT&E”

May2010

DT/OT

Jun 2011

IOT&E

Aug 2010LRIP #2

DAB

Apr 2011LRIP #3

DAB

May 2011AOTR

Jan 2011DT/OT

Aug 2009MS C & LRIP #1

DAB

Apr 2012

FRP DAB

2009 2010

2011

2012

Acquisition Timeline• Assumption of low risk very aggressive sked• Test Schedule reflected low risk assumption• Early discovery of problems did not delay sked

Significant Discovery Continues – Increasing Trend

DT&E Risk Assessments for MDAPs Assessing Programs at OTRR

(OTRR = Operational Test Readiness Review, decision point to enter IOT&E)

IOT&E complete

DT&E Impact – No ImpactNavy chose to proceed to IOT&EDT&E recommendation ignored

Test result: TBD

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Program Service /ACAT AOTR Recommended: IOT&E Results

EA-18G Navy 1D Moderate risk weigh-in Effective Not SuitableRMS Navy 1D Significant risks - OA

before IOT&EEffective Not Suitable

H-1 Upgrade (AH-1Z ) USMC 1D No AOTR in 2008 Test TerminatedRisk to IOT&E Effective Suitable

C-5 RERP USAF 1D Do not proceed IOT&E Effective Not SuitableMIDS JTRS Navy 1D Proceed to IOT&E Not

EffectiveNot Suitable

Global Hawk Blk20/30

USAF 1D Do not proceed IOT&E Not Effective

Not Suitable

Stryker NBCRV Army 1D Proceed to IOT&E Ph II Test Complete Awaiting Report

JASSM-ER USAF 1D Proceed to IOT&E TBDSM-6 USN 1D Do not proceed IOT&E Test Complete

Awaiting Report

Historical AOTR - IOT&E resultsHelping programs achieve better results

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DASD (DT&E) Appointed 15 March 2010

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T&E Associations across the Enterprise

Warfighter

Test Infrastructure

Developmental Testing

Operational Testing

MaterielSolutionAnalysis

Production & Deployment

Operations & Support

Technology Development

Engineering and ManufacturingDevelopment

A B C

We must be more efficient with our DoD budgets

Need to Maximize Synergies Across Associations16

SingleNational

Symposium?

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Questions?

The right information, to the right decision maker, at the right time, for better decisions

OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE

OFFICE OF THE UNDER SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR ACQUISITION,

TECHNOLOGY AND LOGISTICS

DEVELOPMENTAL TEST & EVALUATIONTEST RESOURCE MANAGEMENT CENTER

3090 Defense PentagonRoom 5a1076

Washington, DC 20301-3090

Email: [email protected]

www.acq.osd.mil/dte

Page 18: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

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Government T&ECapabilities

Defense Acquisition

Board

T&E Workforce

DAU T&E Curriculum

Responsible TestOrganizations

Environmental Scan

SECDEFEfficiencyInitiatives

DoD 5000Update

DT&E in Rapid Prototyping

Defense Acquisition Executive Summary

Design of

Experiments

Assessment of Operational Test Readiness

18

DDT&ETES/TEMP

Consolidation

Page 19: Developmental Test & Evaluation - ITEA...•Range shots were unpredictable, yet tests were important. •Developed options on how test objective could be met. • Key Option: Limit

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Civilian T&E Coded

16%

Military T&E Coded

3%Military Non T&E

< 1%

Non Acq T&E14%

Acq CodedNon T&E

(PM, SPRDE)5%

Support Contractors

42%

Prime ContractorT&E Support

19%

FFRDC/ UARC1%

Non T&E Coded personnel supporting the T&E mission (PM, SPRDE, MRTFB)

T&E WorkforceData from Services’ 2010 Self Assessment

Low number of organic T&E resources 19% (Civ + Mil)

Heavy reliance (61%) on Prime

Contractors / Developers and

Support Contractors to support T&E

mission Inherently Government T&E functions may not necessarily be accomplished by Government Personnel

Does not represent all T&E resources

19

Civilian T&E16%

Military T&E13%

Support Contr24%

Developer

T&E47%

Air Force T&E