development of renewable energy in russia: …
TRANSCRIPT
DEVELOPMENT OF RENEWABLE ENERGY IN RUSSIA:
ACHIEVEMENTS, BOTTLENECKS AND PROSPECTS
Geneva, 2 – 3 November 2017
Dr. Georgy Ermolenko
Head of the center
for the development of renewable energy,
Energy Institute,
National Research University – Higher School of Economics
the 4-th Session of the UNECE Group of Experts on Renewable Energy
RES Legislation in Force
2
Decree of July 28, 2015 №1472-p "On stimulation of production of power generation from
renewable sources“, Governmental Decree of November 10, 2015 № 2279-p "Changes the
main directions of the state policy in the field of improving energy the efficiency of power
sector using renewable energy sources for the period till 2024”, the Resolution of the
Russian Government dated 10 November 2015 № 1210 “On amendments to certain acts of
the Russian Federation on the use of renewable energy sources in the wholesale
power(capacity) market” and Resolution from May 5, 2016 N 850-r "The changes that are
made to the main directions of the state policy in the field of improving energy efficiency of
power sector using renewable energy sources” for the period until 2024 formed a support
mechanism for renewable energy in the wholesale power market, including:
- Targets for the types of renewable energy development to 2024,
Types of RES 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Всего
Wind- 51 50 200 400 500 500 500 500 500 399 3600
Solar35,2 140 199 150 270 270 270 21,5 21,5 21,5 21,5 1520
Hydro- - - 124 141 159 159 42 42 42 42 751
Total35,2 191 249 574 811 929 929 563,5 563,5 563,5 462,5 5871
Targets for Local Production
- Targets for local production of the main and (or) auxiliary generating equipment,
- Accounting in marginal cost of capital return on invested capital and the change in
exchange rates in Russia
3
Types of generating facilities
Year of commissioning Target degree of
localization
Generating facilities operating on the basis of
wind power
2016
2017
2018
2019 - 2024
25%
40%
55%
65%
Generating facilities operating on the basis of the
photoelectric conversion of solar energy
2014 - 2015
2016 - 2024
50%
70%
Generating facilities operating on the basis of
other renewable
energy sources
2014 - 2015
2016 - 2017
2018 - 2024
20%
45%
65%
Selected and realized RES projects at
Whole Sale Market
4
Projects of solar energy are leading, of them already is commissioned about 5 %. This year,
120 MW should be introduced - 90 MW will be provided by solar power plants. In second
place are wind power projects with a total declared capacity of 2809.3 MW with no
completed projects, the third - the declared 70. 44 MW of hydropower, also not completed.
The planned volume of installed capacity, MW
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 ∑
Wind power
399.2 505 280 - 1625.1 2809.3
Solar power
105 51 35 610 520 1321
Hydropower
facilities- 20,64 49,8 - 49.8 120.24
Solid waste based
power generation
335.5 335.5
5
Commissioned Solar PV plants
PV plant/
region
Time period Installed
capacity,
MW
Power
production in
the period,
MWh
Annual power
production,
MWh
ICUF,
Actual,
%
Kosch-Achag PVP/
Altai Republick
04.2015-
11.2016
(1.6 year)
5.0 1200 7500 17.1
Bugulchan PVP/
Bashkiria
01.2016-
07.2016
(0.6 year)
5.0 4500 7500 17.1
Abakan PVP/
Hakasia
12.2015-
06.2016
0.6 year)
5.2 6000 7500 15.8
Orsk PVP/ Orenburg region 12.2015-
06.2017
(1.5 year)
25.0 55000 36667 16.7
4 PVP Sachaenergo/Yakutia,
North East
2014 0.1 (total) 100 100 11.4
6
Local Production of Main and Auxiliary
Equipment
SOLAR ENERGY
1. ROSATOM – LAGERWAY
2. FORTUM – VESTAS
3. ENEL – GAMESA&SIEMENS
1. HEVEL – heterostructure PV
modules. PC - 160 MW/year
2. SATURN – multi-junction
GaInP/GaAs/Ge solar cells
2. RZMP – polycrystalline modules
3. QUANTUM – single -crystals of
gallium arsenide
4. SOLAR WIND - polycrystallinemodules
WIND ENERGY
7
In the retail market operate 33 qualified renewable
energy units with total installed capacity 294.3 MW
(including 202.8 MW in Crimea)
Retail market
Pricing and non-pricing
zones of the wholesale
market
Territories and regions not
connected to UES
Sale of electricity to grid
organizations in order to
compensate for losses
Sale of electricity to the
guarantee supplier at
regulated prices (tariffs)
8
RES projects in remote regions
The participants of RES industry in Russia
in the wholesale market of power (capacity)
9
Strategic investor
Developer
Engineering company
Parent company
Equipment producer SPV with commissioned plant
Operating company
Planning companySPV of plant under
construction Constructed plant
The plant of future construction
R&D companies
Negotiations are underway
Production ties
Ownership relationsCompany combining 3 types of activities
Company combining 2 types of activities
10
Bright Capital Management Ltd.
«KompeksInsustria»
SC «Solar Energy»
«Solar Management»
«Abakan SPP», 5.198 MW
Republick Hakasia
«EvrosibenergoEngineering»
En+ Group Ltd.Industrial group«Basic
Element»
«IEC Energoholding»
«Evrosibenergo»
«Krasnoyarsk HPP»
Bright Capital LLC.
13 SPP; 195 MWAstrachan, Lipetsk, Belgorod,
Chelyabinsk, Volgograd regions; Zabaykalsk krai;
Republic Buryatia
Astrachan, Irkutsk, Volgograd, Chelyabinsk regions;
Stavropol provine; Republic Kalmykia
«Hevel»
«Renova» «Rosnano»
«Buribaevsk SPP», 20 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Baymaksk SPP», 10 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Yldybayevsk SPP», 10 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Bugulchansk SPP», 15 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Matraevsk SPP», 5 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Ak’yarsk SPP», 5 MWRepublic
Bashkortostan
АСТ-BashkirskSPP -6, 5 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Kosch-Agach SPP», 5 MW
Republic Altay
«Kosch-AchagskSPP» -2», 5 MWRepublic Altay
«Perevolotsk SPP», 5 MW
Orenburg Region
ООО «IsyangulovskSPP», 9 MW
Republic Bashkortostan
«Grachevsk SPP», 10 MW
Orenburg Region
«Sol-Ilitsk SPP», 25 MW
Orenburg Region
22 SPP; 245 MWOrenburg, Saratov, Omsk regions
Republics Altay, Buryatya, Bashkortostan
; Zabaykalsky, Altay provinces
«T Plus»
Orenburg brunch «T Pus»
Orsk SPP, 25 MWOrenburg Region
IC«EKRA»
Production plant«Hevel»
Amur Sirius Power Equipment Co., Ltd.
«Solar Systems»
«Samarskaya SPP», 75 MW
Samara region
6 SPP; 150 MWVolgograd region;
Stavropol provine; Republic Kalmykia
«Heliotechnik Sirius»
3 SPP; 135 MWOrenburg region
«STC SFT»
« Derjavinsk SPP» 5 MW
Orenburg Region
« Orenburg SPP-5»; 10 MW
Orenburg Region
Local Market
Export
SPP«Hunzach-1»5 MW
Republic Dagestan
«MEK-Engineering»
SPP«Kaspiyskaya»5 MW
Republic Dagestan
SPP «Kaspiyskaya»first stage 1 MW
Republic Dagestan
SPP «Kaspiyskaya»second stage 4 MWRepublic Dagestan
Sales PVP«Avelar Solar Technology»
Yingli Energy (China) Co., Ltd.
Solar power sector of Russia
11
Falcon Capital a.s.
«Priyutninsk WPP» 1 stage, 51 MW
Republic Kalmykia
LahmeyerInternational
«Project Institute of Kalmykia»
FWT Production GmbH
Bright Capital Management Ltd.
«ComplexIndustria»
SC «Solar Energy»
«Solar Management»
«WindUGC»
SC«ROSATOM»
«Atomenergoprom»
«Atomenrgomasch»
«WPP Simbirsky», 35 МW
Ulyanovsk region«Activity»«TEP Engineering»
Dongfang Electric
Fortum Corporation
«WindEnergySystems»«Wind generating
company»
«Wind №5»
«Went Rus»
ООО «SOWITEC Russia»
«Enel Russia»
«Windlife Cola»
Windlife Renewables B.V.
Sowitec International GmbH
Sowitec group GmbH Enel Investment Holding B.V.
Enel SpA
En+ Group Ltd. IG«Basic Element»
«ALTEN»
JC«OTEC»
«Fortum»
«EvroSibEnergo»
Bright Capital LLC.
3 WPP; 150 MWRepublic Adygeya
23 WPP; 460 MWKrasnodarsky kray
7 WPP; 105 MWAstrachan, Orenburg,
Ulyanovsk regions
«Russian Wind»
Wind power sector of Russia
12
Taking into consideration the use of statistical data on the consumption of oil equivalents by power
stations by type of fossil fuel (Russian Federal State Statistics Service, 2016) proved that the cumulative
technical potential of all renewables amounts to 133935 m of oil equivalent. If renewables would be used
to replace oil fuel it would allow saving approx. 97760 m tons of oil fuel per year, with the replacement of
coal – 174390 m tone per year. Replacement of natural gas will save 115980 b of cubic meters per year.
Tables 2, 3 feature the outcomes of the assessment of oil fuel, coal and natural gas savings with the
replacement of fossil fuels with various types of renewables, prevention of air pollution calculated as СО
- and СО2 –equivalents.
Technical potential
Type of
renewables
Fuel and power potential Oil fuel potential
Power Heat Fuel Resource-
savingEnvironmental
mln
kWh/year
mln
gcal/yearmln toe/year mln t/year
СО-
equiv.,
mln t/g
СО2 -
equiv.,
mln t/g
Solar energy 87747704,0 202293,0 30060,7 21942,1 27425,7 65826,4
Wind energy 17100856,7 39645,0 5891,2 4300,2 5374,8 12900,5
Biomass energy 2896910,9 5783,6 859,4 627,3 784,1 1882,0
Geothermal
energy246592891,6 571677,3 84951,3 62008,2 77504,7
186024,
6
Low-grade heat 34753230,8 80568,6 11972,5 8739,0 10923,0 26217,1
Small hydro 584534,9 1355,1 198,7 145,1 181,3 435,2
Organic fuels substitution potential of RES
13
Technical potential
Type of
renewables
Coal potential Gas potential
Resource-
savingEnvironmental
Resource-
savingEnvironmental
m t/yearСО-equiv.,
m t/g
СО2 -equiv., m
t/gb m3/year
СО-
equiv.,
m t/g
СО2 -
equiv., m
t/g
Solar energy 39141,6 861099,3 117424,8 25969,0 5401,8 51938,0
Wind energy 7670,9 168756,6 23012,7 5105,1 1061,9 10210,1
Biomass energy 1119,1 24619,1 3357,2 744,8 154,9 1489,5
Geothermal energy 110613,6 2433455,1 331840,8 73614,6 15312,5 147229,2
Low-grade heat 15589,2 342955,7 46767,5 10374,8 2158,0 20749,5
Small hydro 258,8 5693,0 776,3 172,2 35,8 344,4
Organic fuels substitution potential of RES
14
In accordance with national of development of indicators of renewable energy in
the wholesale market up to 2024 should be introduced in 1520 MW of solar
generation, 2024 to 3600 MW of wind generation in the retail market is provided
cover of 5% of losses in electric grids UES by RES.
In accordance with the forecast of the Ministry of Energy, renewable energy
development in the areas of isolated power supply to 2024 it is predicted
commissioning of 300 MW of wind and 300 MW of solar generation.
Accordingly, with the full implementation of these plans and projections for the
wholesale market after 2024, solar energy will be presented in the amount of 2.7
bln. KWh / year, wind - in the amount of 11.07 billion kWh / year at optimistic
capacity factor of the equipment. To cover the losses in the grids these types of
sources will supply about 5 billion kWh / year, and in the isolated systems of 1.05
billion kWh / year.
Total realized plans and forecasts can lead to an annual substitution of 3.2%
organic fuels coming for energy needs.
Organic fuels substitution potential of RES
15
According to the Energy Strategy, by the year 2035, 8.5 GW of RES generation
facilities should appear in the Russian Federation, of which 5.5 GW will already
be introduced by 2024. Thus, the rate of commissioning of new facilities (3 GW
for the period 2024-2035) after the end of the program will decrease. This means
that capacities created under the DPM program with a potential to produce up to
800 MW / year of RES facilities (500 MW / year of wind, 300 MW / year of solar
power plants) and capable of providing at least 10 GW of renewable energy in
Russia in the period 2024-2035 years will not be fully loaded or will be idle. By
developing renewable energy sources, we are creating in Russia two new high-
tech industries in parallel: the production of equipment and machinery for
renewable energy, and the construction and operation of such facilities. The
only correct solution in this case will be to discard all doubts and create a large-
scale and promising branch of renewable energy, develop and develop
competencies in this area, be integrated into global production chains and be
one of the main players in the world market of RES.
Perspectives and bottle necks
Thank [email protected]